Single Stock Trade Idea Generation and Strategy. Greg Harmon, CMT, President and Founder Dragonfly Capital Management LLC Dragonflycap.
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1 Single Stock Trade Idea Generation and Strategy Greg Harmon, CMT, President and Founder Dragonfly Capital Management LLC Dragonflycap.com
2 Disclaimer This document is created and authored by Gregory W. Harmon (the Content Creator ) and is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only (collectively, the Document ), The information in the Document constitutes the Content Creator s own opinions. None of the information contained in the Document constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You understand that the Content Creator is not advising, and will not advise you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. To the extent any of the information contained in the Blog may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. From time to time, the Content Creator or its affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Document and may trade for their own account(s) based on the information presented. The Content Creator may also take positions inconsistent with the views expressed in its messages on the Document. Investing in the investments discussed in the Document may be risky and speculative. The companies may have limited operating histories, little available public information, and the stocks they issue may be volatile and illiquid. Trading in such securities can result in immediate and substantial losses of the capital invested. You should use invest risk capital, and not capital required for other purposes, such as retirement savings, student loans, mortgages or education. The Content Creator assumes no responsibility for any error, omission, interruption, deletion, defect, delay in operation or transmission, communications line failure, theft or destruction or unauthorized access to, or alteration of, the Document. The Content Creator is not responsible for any technical malfunction or other problems of any telephone network or service, computer systems, servers or providers, computer or mobile phone equipment, or software occurring for any reason, including but not limited to, on account of technical problems or traffic congestion on the Internet or at any site or with respect to the Document or combination thereof, including injury or damage to any person's computer, mobile phone, or other hardware or software, related to or resulting from using or downloading Content Creators content in connection with the Web and/or in connection with the Document. Under no circumstances will the Content Creator be responsible for any loss or damage, including any personal injury or death, resulting from anyone's use of the Document, or any interactions between the Content Creator and readers of the Document, whether online or offline. The Document may provide information from or links to certain brokerage companies for your convenience only. The Content Creator does not endorse or recommend the services of any brokerage company. The brokerage company you select (and not the Content Creator) is solely responsible for its services to you. Dragonfly Capital Management, LLC, an Ohio based company, is unaffiliated with Dragonfly Capital Partners, LLC, a registered broker-dealer with the SEC and FINRA and its parent, Dragonfly Capital Management Co., LLC, based in North Carolina. 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3 Why Do We Perform Technical Analysis? Purpose of Technical Analysis -Trend Identification Review Influencers to get Landscape Review Indexes Themselves Potential Catalysts for Change Identification of Ideas Within the Trend
4 What Do the Influencers Tell Us? Summary of Influencers Intra-Market Relationships Identification of Possible Macro Causes for a Shift in Trend Identification of Events that May Affect the Trend
5 The Trend is Identified What Could Signal A Change? Perspectives From the Index Charts Other Influencers Copper Moving Average Breadth Measures Bonds
6 MTA Webinar The Previous 4 slides were a high level process overview from a Webcast for the Market Technicians Association (MTA) presented July 13, 2011 and available here: The Next Six Months: A Macro Technical View of the Major Indexes with Greg Harmon videoarchives
7 Trend Identified, Risks Assessed, Now What? Sector analysis Individual setups Inter-Market trades
8 Individual Stock Trade Set Ups Horizontal Support and Resistance Trendlines Patterns Fibonacci Extensions and Retracements Simple Japanese Candlestick Techniques
9 Horizontal Support and Resistance
10 Horizontal Support and Resistance
11 Horizontal Support and Resistance
12 Horizontal Support and Resistance
13 Trendline Support and Resistance
14 Trendline Support and Resistance
15 Patterns Bear Flags (there are Bull Flags too) Head and Shoulders Diamond Top Triangles Symmetrical Descending Ascending Channels
16 Flags
17 Flags
18 Head and Shoulders
19 Head and Shoulders
20 Diamond Top
21 Triangles - Symmetrical
22 Triangles - Descending
23 Triangles - Descending
24 Triangles - Ascending
25 Triangles - Ascending
26 Channels
27 Channels
28 Fibonacci Retracements
29 Fibonacci Retracements
30 Japanese Candlestick Simple reversals Hammer/Hanging Man, doji, Shooting star, Evening/Morning star
31 Japanese Candlestick Simple reversals Hammer/Hanging Man, doji, Shooting star, evening/morning star
32 Japanese Candlestick Simple reversals Hammer/Hanging Man, doji, Shooting star, evening/morning star
33 Japanese Candlestick Simple reversals Hammer/Hanging Man, doji, Shooting star, evening/morning star
34 Other Factors Indicators (RSI, MACD etc) Short Interest Events (Earnings, split, etc) Options Activity
35 A Word on Timeframes All daily swing and position traders Day Traders 5, 15, 30 minute charts Position traders/investors daily/weekly
36 Dragonflycap.com Macro Week in Review/Preview to establish the trend and the intermarket factors that may influence that trend. Weekly trade ideas using stocks, options or both with the entry, target and risk management strategy for each. Trades based on pattern and trend breaks, earnings plays and others. Adjustments to the strategies as required. New trades will be added during the week with the strategy for trading them. Direct access for questions and clarifications. Sign up at Dragonflycap.com and select Get Premium tab
37 Single Stock Trade Idea Generation and Strategy Greg Harmon, CMT, President and Founder Dragonfly Capital Management LLC Dragonflycap.com
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