Community Colleges: Preparing America s Workforce in the 21 st Century

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1 Community Colleges: Preparing America s Workforce in the 21 st Century Presented by: Dr. Jesus Jess Carreon Chancellor, Dallas County Community College District

2 What s Changing? Demographics Nature of work Workplace Worker

3 Future Work By 2005, almost half of all workers will be employed in industries that produce or are intensive users of information technology. Source: U.S.Dept. of Labor

4 Future Work (cont.) Baby boomers make up almost half (47%) of the workforce today. Young women are enrolling in college at a higher rate (70%) than young men (64%). Source: U.S.Dept. of Labor

5 Future Work (cont.) Small businesses employ about half of the nation's private sector workforce. Source: U.S.Dept. of Labor

6 Future Work (cont.) With more than 1600 corporate training institutions already established, Corporate Universities could surpass traditional universities, in number, by Source: U.S.Dept. of Labor

7 75 Million Baby Boomers! (Born )

8 U.S. Population Projections 330,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

9 U.S. Population Projections Source: U.S. Census Bureau

10 Projected U.S. Population - Age Mean Median Source: U.S. Census Bureau

11 Geographic Distribution Persons % live in nine states: California 3.6 million Florida 2.8 million New York 2.4 million Texas 2.1 million Pennsylvania 1.9 million Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, and New Jersey each with over 1 million. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

12 Geographic Distribution Persons 65+ (cont.) Metropolitan areas 77.5% Suburbs 50.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau

13 Regional Changes 2025 Total Population South and West will comprise majority of growth Northeast 17.1% Midwest 20.7% West 26% South 36.2% Source: U.S. Census Bureau

14 Projected U.S. Population by Ethnicity % Change from Caucasian Black Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15 % Change Ethnic Groups to 2025 Caucasian Slowest Growing, still largest Hispanic 2 nd Fastest Growing, Southwest Black 2 nd Slowest Growing, all regions Asian Fastest Growing, all regions American Indian 3 rd fastest growing Source: U.S. Census Bureau

16 The Pipeline Challenge America will face a social and economic crisis unless it succeeds in promoting and taking advantage of racial and ethnic diversity. Business Higher Education Forum - Investing in People: Developing All of America s Talent on Campus and in the Workplace.

17 Employment Trends Growth in Civilian Workforce: = +17% = +15% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

18 Observations Largest shift will be decrease of prime-age (25-54) workers in the labor force. Over 60% of workers do not have children at home but care for elderly family members. Shift from defined-benefit to definedcontribution pensions has unknown impact. Various organizational responses to technology impact productivity. Source: The Urban Institute

19 More Observations During expansion, college-educated workers accounted for 90% of growth. Globalization of production has weakened the position of U.S. workers. Although expansion increased job opportunities, many less educated workers have not reentered the job market. Source: The Urban Institute

20 More Observations (cont.) In the next 20 years... The civilian labor force will see a major change in age cohorts. Men 16 and over will continue to decline in numbers and percentage. Minorities and women will continue to increase dramatically in the civilian workforce. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

21 Projected U.S. Workforce Source: U.S. Census Bureau

22 Occupations by Replacement Need Created by Retirees (in thousands) Total, all employees 22,205 Secretaries Truck drivers, heavy Teachers, elementary school Janitors and cleaners Teachers, secondary school Registered nurses Bookkeepers, accounting and auditing clerks. 330 Teachers, college and university Source: Monthly Labor Review

23 Source: Monthly Labor Review Replacements Needed for Retirees (cont.) Administrators, education and related fields Farmers, except horticultural Supervisors, construction occupations Administrators and officials, Real estate sales occupations Insurance sales occupations Industrial machinery repairers Maids and housekeeping cleaners Private household cleaners and servants Physicians Financial managers Lawyers.99

24 Industry Employment Service Sector Continues to dominate growth adding 20.5 million jobs (+19%). Manufacturing down by 3%. Health, Business, Human Services, Engineering, Management and related services account for 1 of every 2 non-farm jobs. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

25 Occupational Employment Professional and related occupations will add 7% and 5.1%, respectively. Transportation and material moving occupations are projected to grow 15%. Office admin support will grow more slowly fastest growing occupations are computer related. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

26 Fastest Growing Occupations, (National) Computer Software Engineer +100% Computer Support Specialist + 97% Medical Assistants + 57% Soc. & Human Serv. Asst. + 54% Physician Asst. + 53% Home Health Aide + 47% Veterinary Asst. + 40% Dental Asst. + 37% Source: Monthly Labor Review

27 New Workforce Skills Highly Skilled and Unskilled Jobs as a % of the Workforce 16% 14% 12.5% 14.1% 15.6% 14.2% 13.2% 12.7% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% % 0% Professional specialties (skilled) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Operators, laborers and fabricators (unskilled)

28 Declining Job Tenure 5.00 Median Years of Job Tenure 4.75 Years vs 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

29 The Workplace Individual Rigid Company Focused Non-Responsive Insensitive to Diversity Coordinated Flexible Customer Focused Responsive Sensitive to Diversity Other?

30 The 21 st Century Worker Skills Needed: Academic (standard) Technical (standard) Social new International/Intercultural new

31 Implications for Workforce Education/Training Labor shortage of skilled workers Higher levels of education will be necessary to secure new, higher-paying jobs 80% of jobs will require more post-secondary education No easy answer whether supply of qualified workers will meet demand in key industry sectors

32 Path to the American Dream % of High School Graduates Attending College and projected to % 71% 75% Percent Attending 70% 60% 50% 54% 58% 59.6% 67% 66% 40% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics and National Alliance of Business

33 Education Required Projected Supply and Demand of Workers with some Postsecondary Education Demand (Jobs) Supply (Workers) Thousands 150, , , , , ,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60, Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Bureau, U.S. Census and National Alliance of Business

34 Tidal Wave II Total Undergraduate Enrollment in Postsecondary Education, 1995 and 2015 (in millions) 17 Enrollment in millions Million 2.6 Million 80% Minority 31% 35 and older 16 Million Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Richard A. Fry. Crossing the Great Divide. Educational Testing Services, 2000.

35 National Perspective Projected Postsecondary Enrollment Distribution by Institution, 1975 to % 60% 58.1% 56.5% 55.8% 50% 40% 30% % 35.5% 39.5% 20% 10% 6.4% 5.3%4.7% 0% Private university Other four-year Two-year Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics and National Alliance of Business

36 Associate Degree Desired 35% % Growth in Occupations (1998 to 2008) by Type* of Training Required 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Doctoral degree Master's degree Bachelor's degree Associate degree Postsecondary vocational training Long-term onthe-job training Short-term onthe-job training * Does not include all types of training

37 Source: U.S. Dept. of Education Students Readiness for College Among families with incomes greater than $75,000 per year, < 60% of HS graduates were highly qualified for admission to 4-yr colleges. For families under $25,000 per year, 47% were not even minimally qualified. 63% of community college students take at least one remedial course.

38 Preparing a 21 st Century Workforce : Everyone s Involved Providers: K-16 (includes public and private 2 & 4 year colleges) Private vocational schools, consultants Industry, businesses and labor unions Need for continuous education and training as workplace demands change.

39 Fundamental Changes Training for new economy credentials Vendor provided credentials Vendor driven curriculum Rapid changes in job expertise More than 300 discrete certifications Over 2.4 million IT certifications awarded Most training providers outside traditional higher education and on and on

40 Opportunities for Community Colleges Increasing Demand for skilled workers Shortage of prepared workers Job demand for post-secondary education Productivity based on skills Higher educational attainment Enrollment in post-secondary institutions Decreasing job tenure

41 More Opportunities for Community Colleges Increasing Education level of the workforce Enrollment in community colleges Diversity of community colleges Need for financial assistance Anywhere & Anytime Learning: (flexible & responsive) Competencies vs. completions Employer relationships Increasing government recognition.

42 So, What Now Coach? Local Response Local Impact Regional Response Regional Impact National Response National Impact

43 So, What Now Coach? We accept the challenges We take advantage of the opportunities We plan toward our future We will make a difference We will lead America into the 21 st Century!

44 You are all Community College Super Heroes - Everyday! We are our nation s greatest weapon against economic down turn and stagnation. We build individuals, we build community, we impact the quality of life throughout our nation.

45 Thank You! Dr. Jesus Jess Carreon Chancellor, Dallas County Community College District

46 Sources of Demographic and Occupational Data AARP - America s Career InfoNet - stfips= America s Job Bank - dni.us - / Bureau of Labor Statistics - Hudson Institute -

47 Sources of Demographic and Occupational Data (cont.) Monthly Labor Review - National Alliance of Business - National Center for Education Statistics - National Governors Association - National Institute on Aging -

48 Sources of Demographic and Occupational Data (cont.) Urban Institute - U.S. Administration on Aging - U.S. Census Bureau - U.S. Department of Labor -

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