Brazil. Infrastructure Investment Opportunities Washington, DC Guilherme Ramalho. Infrastructure Advisor Presidency of the Republic

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1 Brazil Infrastructure Investment Opportunities Washington, DC Guilherme Ramalho Infrastructure Advisor Presidency of the Republic

2 PAC Growth Acceleration Program In 2007 PAC 1 To accelerate the pace of economic growth To increase employment and income rates To decrease social and regional inequalities To overcome infrastructure bottlenecks In 2009, a new goal To reduce the impact of the international economic crisis countercyclical policy In 2010, a new stage: PAC

3 GROWTH ACCELERATION PROGRAM PAC 1, Infrastructure projects in three areas US$ billion Area After 2010 TOTAL LOGISTICS POWER G&T SOCIAL AND URBAN TOTAL

4 GROWTH ACCELERATION PROGRAM PAC 2, Preliminary investment forecast US$ billion Area After 2014 TOTAL LOGISTICS POWER G&T SOCIAL AND URBAN TOTAL

5 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES: HIGHWAYS RAILROADS AIRPORTS PORTS URBAN MOBILITY POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION HOUSING AND SANITATION

6 HIGHWAYS

7 FEDERAL HIGHWAY CONCESSION PROGRAM Central-South Region 54% of Brazil s GDP Length: 2,212.4 km BR-040/Distrito Federal-Goiás-Minas Gerais 937 km BR-116/Minas Gerais 817 km BR-101/Espírito Santo km Total Investment: US$5.5 billion GO BR-040 DF BR-116 BR-101 Concession bidding 2nd Half, 2010 MG Belo Horizonte Governador Valadares ES Vitória

8 CONCESSION MODEL Internal Rate of Return: 8.0% per year Reference value used on the 3 rd Phase of the Federal Highway Concession Program Term of Concession: 25 years Annual tariff adjustment according to inflation variation Investments described in the Highway Usage Program Constructions required (recovery, duplication, lighting, and others) Constructions conditioned to the volume of traffic (to expand capacity) Performance Parameters: paving, safety, signage, lighting, user assistance, and others. Focus on service quality Concessionaire performs the necessary investments in the most efficient way to meet the Performance Parameters *Allows the participation of Brazilian or foreign companies, financial institutions, pensions funds and private equity funds, separately or in consortiums

9 BR-040/DISTRITO FEDERAL-GOIÁS- MINAS GERAIS Connects the federal capital, Brasília, to two important cities: Belo Horizonte and Rio de Janeiro Length: 937 km Toll Plazas: 12 Basic Tariff US$ per 100 Km: 2.1 Toll*: US$ 1.4 Total Investment: US$1.8 billion GO BR-040 MG DF Belo Horizonte Concession bidding 2nd Half, 2010 *Prices on January, 2007

10 BR-116/MINAS GERAIS Important South-Southeast connection with the Northeast Length: 817 km Toll Plazas: 8 Basic Tariff US$ per 100 Km: 3.1 Toll*: US$ 3.5 Total Investment: US$2.3 billion MG BR-116 Governador Valadares Concession bidding 2nd Half, 2010 *Prices on January, 2007

11 BR-101/ESPÍRITO SANTO Connecting corridor linking RJ, SP and BA states, tourism hubs with high traffic volume. Crucial to cargo transportation Length: km Toll Plazas: 7 Basic Tariff US$ per 100 Km: 3.7 Total Investment: US$1.4 billion Concession bidding 2nd Half, 2010 BR-101 ES Vitória

12 PAC HIGHWAYS Preliminary investment forecast Total - US$ 29 billion Type of investment Km Construction Maintenance Projects

13 RAILROADS

14 RAILROAD CONCESSION PROGRAM Participation in bidding processes North-South Railroad East-West Integration Railroad High-Speed Rail

15 NEW CONCESSION AND USAGE MODEL FOR NEW RAILROADS In study by the Government Separation of Infrastructure and Operations: VALEC is a public company which is the concessionaire for the North-South, East-West Integration and Midwest Integration Railroads Infrastructure management would continue to be under VALEC s responsibility, and totally separated from the operation The operation concessionaire (logistics operator) would acquire the right-of-way to use a preset number of tracks Goal is to optimize the usage of the railroad and reduce costs due to the efficiency gains

16 NORTH-SOUTH RAILROAD SOUTH SECTION Port of Itaqui / MA 33% of Brazilian agricultural production 72% of agricultural land Large mineral reserves Outflow of the agro-industrial and mineral production to four ports Peru Aguiarnópolis Araguaína Açailândia Palmas Alvorad a Uruaç u Anápolis Santa Fé do Sul Araguaína Palmas Açailândia Aguiarnópolis North Section Length: 1,525 km Uruaçu South Section Anápolis Bidding for the logistic operator 1st Quarter, 2011 Estrela D Oeste (SP) Section to be Concessed Concessed Section

17 EAST-WEST INTEGRATION RAILROAD Outflow of the agricultural and mineral production Waterway integration Port of Vila do Conde / PA Port of Itaqui / MA Figueirópolis (TO) Length: 1,527 km Bidding for the logistic operator 4th Quarter, 2010 Ilhéus (BA) Port of Itaguaí / RJ Port of Santos / SP

18 HIGH-SPEED RAILS PLANNED 36 million inhabitants Resende São José dos Campos Taubaté Metropolitan Region of Campinas Volta Redonda Metropolitan Region of São Paulo Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro Campinas - São Paulo - Rio de Janeiro 519 km Market Potential Metropolitan Region of São Paulo: 19 million inhabitants Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro: 12 million inhabitants Metropolitan Region of Campinas: 2.5 million inhabitants Economic Importance Concession bidding 4th Quarter, 2010 Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo States concentrate 45 % of Brazil s GDP São Paulo is Latin America's biggest financial center, concentrating 70% of the stock market Rio de Janeiro is the biggest Brazilian tourism hub

19 HIGH-SPEED RAIL HSR Project scope Estimated investment: US$19.7 billion Deadline for entry into operation: 2016 Concessionaire responsible for the design, construction, operation and maintenance, complying with technical performance parameters; Auction to be open to all existing technologies Compulsory technology transfer Public sector participation: own capital and financing Documentation available at Technical studies on demand, alignment, geology, operation and economic-financial modeling completed and available

20 HIGH-SPEED RAIL - HSR Financial Modeling General assumptions Demand and Revenue: Studies made by Halcrow Taxes exoneration: REIDI, and ICMS, PIS and COFINS exemption Investment: 5 years US$19.7 billion Term of Concession: 40 years Government s direct financing: Interest Rate: TJLP + 1% Term: 30 years IRR For the project: 5.7% For the stockholder: 9.2% Leverage level: 70% / 30% Public participation (ETAV): US$0.6 bi (own capital) + US$1.3 bi (expropriation)

21 HIGH-SPEED - HSR TREMRAIL DE ALTA VELOCIDADE - TAV Concession model Legal model: concession of public service paid with extraordinary revenues and tariffs Object: public high-speed rail concession preceded by the infrastructure construction Term: 40 years Tariff system: price ceiling adjusted by IPCA with pricing freedom, provided the following condition is respected: Price ceiling for Economy Class: US$ 0.3 per km in the Rio de Janeiro - São Paulo direct connection

22 PAC RAILROADS Preliminary investment forecast Total - US$ 26 billion Type of investment Construction Studies High Speed Train Km

23 WORLD CUP 2014 HOST CITIES Fortaleza Natal Manaus Recife Cuiabá Salvador Brasília Belo Horizonte São Paulo Curitiba Porto Alegre Rio de Janeiro

24 RESPONSIBILITY ASSIGNMENT MATRIX Issue Responsible Ports Passenger Terminals Federal Government Airports Passenger Terminals and Lanes Federal Government Stadiums Construction, reform and maintenance States and Municipalities Urban Mobility States and Municipalities Hotels Private sector Federal Government financing

25 AIRPORTS

26 AIRPORTS Guidelines To provide airports a structure suitable for: Ensuring quality care and users comfort Meet the projected increased demand Improving the conditions for operational safety: Lane, yard, control tower Technological upgrade of the operating systems Total: 13 airports

27 AIRPORTS Historical Demand 1997 : 0.3 passengers carried per capita (163.8 million) 2008 : 0.6 passengers carried per capita (189.6 million) After 2003: growth of 10% on passengers carried per capita 10% py Number of passengers: Million boardings + landings + connections 96 4% py % International Domestic Source: EMBRATUR

28 WORLD CUP HOST CITIES AIRPORTS R$ Million, Preliminary Airport Investment Belo Horizonte Brasília Cuiabá 87.5 Curitiba 72.8 Fortaleza Manaus Natal 568.9* Porto Alegre Recife Rio de Janeiro Salvador São Paulo 1,961.4 Total 5,552.5 * Includes Considering Guarulhos (R$1,219.4 million) and Viracopos (R$ 742 million) R$ 400 million from concessionaire s investment

29 HOST CITIES AIRPORTS Temporary Operating Modules (TOMs) R$ Million Airport Amount (R$ Million) Size (m2) Current operating capacity (million) Capacity increase (million) Opening Ending Brasília 4.0 1, Balancing to improve the comfort level August, 2012 June, 2013 Campinas 5.0 1, October, 2010 July, 2013 Guarulhos , ,.0 February, 2011 December, 2011 Guarulhos , August, 2012 June, 2013

30 AIRPORTS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AIRPORTS CONCESSION PROGRAM Participation in public bidding processes São Gonçalo do Amarante Airport

31 AIRPORTS CONCESSION Strategic location closer to the Northern Hemisphere favoring tourism and cargo transport São Gonçalo do Amarante Airport / RN Concession to operate the airport preceded by the construction of the passenger terminal Fixed tariffs adjusted annually by a consumer price index and revised every five years The higher value offered by the grant wins Prohibited Bid announcement 3rd quarter, 2010 Participation of air transport services companies, directly or indirectly, on the voting capital of the concessionaire in a percentage equal to or greater than ten percent Participation of the concessionaire or its shareholders, directly or indirectly, on the voting capital of companies providing air transport services in a percentage equal to or greater than ten percent

32 SÃO GONÇALO DO AMARANTE AIRPORT Demand projection million passengers per year

33 AIRPORTS CONSTRUCTION AND MODERNIZATION - US$ 1.7 billion Guidelines To provide airports an adequate structure for: Ensuring quality care and users comfort Meet the projected increased demand To improve the conditions for operational safety: Lane, yard, control tower Technological upgrade of the operating systems 22 PROJECTS 14 AIRPORTS - US$ 1.7 billion Ventures Quantity Passenger Terminals 11 Temporary Operational Modules 4 Lane, Yard, control tower 5 Studies and projects 2

34 AIRPORTS

35 PORTS

36 PORTS CONSTRUCTION AND MODERNIZATION US$ 2.9 billion Build and modernize docks, piers, terminals, improve aquatic and land access Debureaucratization of port operations Passengers Terminals for the World Cup 2014 Reduced logistics costs Better operational efficiency Increased competitiveness Encourage private investments 48 PROJECTS 21 PORTS - US$ 2.9 billion Ventures Quantity Dredging 12 Port Infrastructure 24 Logistics Intelligence Systems 5 Passengers Terminals World Cup

37 URBAN MOBILITY

38 URBAN MOBILITY PAC 2 - Subway, LRT, BRT and bus lanes 1st Phase US$ 6.8 billion World Cup - projects selected in December 2009 Federal Government Financing Execution by state and city governments 2nd Phase US$ 10.2 billion Public transportation systems in major urban centers US$ billion Investment Union Budget Financing TOTAL 10.2

39 URBAN MOBILITY WORLD CUP Projects selection criteria: Directly related to the World Cup: to improve access to the stadium, hotel zones and airports Existence of preliminary or, preferably, executive designs To comply with the World Cup schedule To be connected to the local transport network

40 URBAN MOBILITY WORLD CUP Summary per Modal US$ Million Modal Qty Project Value Financing Subway Bus Terminals Monitoring VLT Bus Corridors Monorail BRT ,138 2,449 2, , ,098 Total 50 6,817 4,587

41 URBAN MOBILITY WORLD CUP Summary Worksheet US$ Million Host City Qty Project Value Natal Brasília Fortaleza Curitiba Cuiabá Porto Alegre Salvador Recife Manaus Belo Horizonte São Paulo Rio de Janeiro TOTAL , ,817 Financing Value ,587

42 URBAN MOBILITY FINANCING WORLD CUP Deadline: 4 years of grace period after signing the contract 20 years to repay after the grace period (30 years for public rail transport) Scope: Light Rail Trains (LRTs), Monorail and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)

43 ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION

44 ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEM GENERAL FEATURES Installed Capacity 105,066 MW Number of Customers 64.6 million Energy Production TWh / year 60% of South America Peak 67,632 MW Transmission Lines 96,207 km 230kV Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy

45 ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION Annual tenders to contract energy in the regulated contracts environment Hydroelectric power plants energy to be delivered at the fifth year after the tender Thermal power plants and others energy to be delivered at the third year after the tender Tenders planned HPP 3,288 MW US$5.2 billion 2nd half 34 HPP 32,440 MW US$42.9 billion

46 ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION Large interconnections To provide greater security and reliability to the electric power supply To complete the interconnection of the Isolated Systems to the National Interconnected System To ensure the energy flow from large hydropower projects Belo Monte, Tapajós and Teles Pires To meet the expanding demand in all country regions Tenders planned ,500 km US$666 million 2nd half 36,686 km US$16.2 billion

47 ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES From 2011 to Wind Power Plants MW 3 Biomass TPP 224 MW TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 5.5 billion

48 Alternative Energy Sources Wind Power Aratua 1 Areia Branca Miassaba 3 Coqueiros Quixaba Garças Lagoa Seca Vento do Oeste Dunas do Paracuru Taíba Águia Taíba Andorinha Icarai I e II Araras Buriti Cajucoco Morro dos ventos I, III, IV, VI, IX Rei dos Ventos 1, 3 Eurus VI Colonia Embuaca Cabeco Preto Mangue Seco 1, 2, 3 e 5 Sangradouro 3 Sangradouro 2 Osório 2 Fazenda Rosário 3 PAC 2 Barra dos Coqueiros Mar e Terra Santa Clara I Guirapa Guanambi Igapora Candiba Serra do salto Alvorada Ilheus Pindai Pedra do Reino Seabra Macaubas Pajeu do vento Coxilha Negra V Coxilha Negra VI Coxilha Negra VII Fazenda Rosário Planaltina Porto Seguro Rio Verde Faisa I, II, III, IV e V Icarai Santa Clara II, III, IV, V e VI Nossa Senhora da Conceição Licinio de Almeida Novo Horizonte

49 Alternative Energy Sources Biomass UTE Unid. Bio. Morro Vermelho UTE São João da Boa Vista UTE Boa Vista UTE Ben Bioenergia UTE Unid. Bio. Água Emendada UTE Quirinópolis (1ª etapa) UTE Quirinópolis (BC) UTE Baia Formosa UTE Porto das Águas UTE Angélica UTE Rio Brilhante F. I e II UTE Jataí UTE Cachoeira Dourada UTE Codora UTE Paraúna UTE Caçu I UTE Unid. Bio. Alto Taquari UTE Chapadão Agroenergia UTE Ferrari UTE Santa Isabel BC UTE Santa Luzia I UTE Lagoa da Prata F. I e II UTE CBB UTE Costa Pinto BC UTE Vale do Tijuco UTE Vale do São Simão UTE São José BC UTE Unid. Bio. Costa Rica UTE São Fernando UTE Bonfim UTE Iacanga UTE Ipaussu Bioenergia UTE Noble UTE Decasa UTE Pioneiros II BC UTE Santa Cruz AB F.I e II UTE Clealco- Queiroz UTE Colorado BC UTE Noroeste Paulista UTE Destilaria Andrade UTE Ester UTE Bevap UTE São João Biogás UTE UTE Interlagos Cocal II UTE Biopav II UTE Flórida Paulista BC UTE Barra Bioenergia UTE Rafard BC UTE Quatá BC UTE Conquista do Pontal UTE São Luiz PAC 2 PAC 1 PAC 1 com conclusão original após 2010

50 HOUSING AND SANITATION

51 MINHA CASA, MINHA VIDA PROGRAM 1st phase US$30.7 billion Production of 1 million homes to families with income up to US$2,784 equivalent to 14% of the housing deficit Subsidies for low-income families (up to US$1,670 per month) Long-term government partnership with private investors Establishment of a Guarantee Fund to reduce risks and costs 2nd phase US$40.3 billion Production of 2 million homes

52 SANITATION PAC 2 Water treatment Sewage and waste treatment Projects and studies To expand sewage collection and treatment system Improve waste treatment and reduce environmental damage TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 12.6 billion

53 Brazil is not afraid to grow or to seek better ways. Brazil believes in the free market, but also in the state-driven development. Brazil will always seek the best for its people. Speech by Mr. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Brazil s Independence Day Celebration September 7th, 2009

54 Brazil PAC s Investment Opportunities Washington, DC Guilherme Ramalho guilherme.ramalho@planalto.gov.br +55 (61)