Electricity Supply Effort Plan PT PLN (Persero)

Transcription

1 Electricity Supply Effort Plan PT PLN (Persero) Enacted with the Decree of the Minister of ESDM No. 4092K/21/MEM/2013 dated 31 st of December 2013 Jakarta, 21 st of March

2 Outline of Differences of RPTL with Previous RPTLs pdating of demand forecast, reduced projection of average electricity demand growth of 8.4% instead of 8.7% in the previous RPTL. Increased growth of electric facility capacity of 60 GW instead of 57 GW in the previous RPTL, transmission from 55 ribu kms to 58 ribu kms, GI trafo from 122,000 MVA to 134,000 MVA. Required investments at SD billion, comprising of PLN generators at SD 372 billion, IPP generators at SD 54.1 billion, transmission + GI at SD 19.4 billion and distribution at SD 14.5 billion. PLN investment capacity decreased with the covenant limit of the credit nearly being passed, thus necessitating the following efforts to maintain the sustainability of PLN: - Strengthening of PLN s capital - Controlling electricity demand - New business models that would reduce PLN load by relaxing the electricity sector, such as: power wheeling, granting business concession areas to other parties The biggest risk is funding risk and delay of completion of generation and transmission projects 2

3 Projected Electricity Needs TWh 44 TWh 385 TWh TWh Kalimantan: 10,7% Sulawesi: 10,8% TWh Sumatra: 10,6% Maluku: 10,9% IT: 10,8% 188 TWh 385 Papua: 10% TWh TWh JB: 7,6% Nusa Tenggara: 11,1% Indonesia: 8,4% Year Need (TWh) Electrification Ratio ( % )

4 Additional Capacity of New Generators (including IPP) Increased growth of electricity facilities Per Generator Type Total additional capacity until 2022 at ± 60 GW. Allocation for PLN and IPP generator projects is only for ongoing and committed projects. Projects whose developer and funding sources are not yet determined are called unallocated projects. Additional capacity: PLT: 38,0 GW PLTP: 6,0 GW PLTG: 5,0 GW PLTG/PLTMG: 3,7 GW PLTA/PLTM: 6,5 GW Lainnya: 0,3 GW 4

5 Additional Capacity of New Generators (including IPP) Additional capacity : FTP-1 : 5,4 GW. FTP-2 : 17.8 GW Regular : 36.8 GW 5

6 Transmission Growth Per Voltage Level (kms) 500 kvac: 500 kvdc: 275 kvac: 250 kvdc: 150 kv 70 kv : : 5,648 kms 1,100 kms 6,386 kms 462 kms 39,593kms 3,943 kms Total about 57,132 kms 6

7 Main Powerhouse Growth Per Voltage Level (MVA) 500/275 kv: 500/150 kv: 500 kv DC: 275/150 kv: 250 kv DC: 150/70 kv 150/20 kv 70/20 kv : : : 4,000 MVA 35,674 MVA 3,000 MVA 17,070 MVA 600 MVA 480 MVA 72,881 MVA 3,730 MVA Total about 134,435 MVA 7

8 Total Projected Energy Mix in Indonesia including IPP liquefied Natural Gas Gas Oil Fuel Coal Geothermal Hydro Import Biomass Solar/Hybrid Coal 8

9 Projected Total Energy Mix in Indonesia in 2013 and 2022 Including IPP 9

10 Total Primary Energy Need in Indonesia including IPP thousand kl million Ton COAL bcf 10

11 In Need of Investment billion S$ PLN Power Plant IPP Power Plant Transmission Distribution : : : : 37,2 billion S$ 54,1 billion S$ 19,4 billion S$ 14,5 billion S$ Total PLN Total PLN+IPP : 71,1 billion S$ : 125,2 billion S$ PLN total investment Transmission PLN+IPP total investment Distribution PLN+IPP power plant PLN power plant IPP investment contribution over 10 years equals 43% of total investing needs. 11

12 Electricity Systems Development in Java-Bali PLT Lontar Exp #4 315 (2017) PLT Banten 625 (2016) PLTG Muara Karang 450 (2016) PLTG Muara Tawar Add-on Blok 2,3,4 650 (2018) PLT Jawa-5 2x1.000 (2019/20) PLT Jawa-6 2x1.000 (2021) PLT Jawa (2018) PLT Jawa-3 2x660 (2019/20) Keterangan: ~ Existing enerator Planned generator GITET 500 kv Planned GITET 500 kv STET 500 kv Planned STET 500 kv SRLYA BANTEN MTWAR ~ PLT PLT 4x1.000 ~ SRALAYA ~ 2x1.000 PRIOK ~ MKRNG CLGON DKSBI IDRMY KMBNG BKASI CBTBR PLT Jawa-7 2x1.000 (2021) PLT Pelabuhan Ratu 3x350 (2013/14) BRAJA CWANG TMBN GNDL DEPOK CIBNG XBOGOR CSKAN PS CBAT CRATA ~ PLT Indramayu 2x1.000 (2022) PLT 1x1.000 PLT 2x1.000 TJATI B ~ SGliquefie NGAR JBRG d Natural PMlique Gas fied CGRlique TASIK ~ Natural fied BDSLN RWALO Gas Natural SOLO Gas CLCAP IPP ADIPALA PEDAN PLT Jawa-4 2x1.000 (2019/20) PLT Tj. Awar-awar 2x350 (2014) PLTG Jawa (2017) ~ PLT 2x660 JATENG IPP MDCAN GRSIK PLT Madura ~ ~ 2x200 (2022) PLTA Jatigede 2x55 (2017) PLT Adipala 660 (2014) ~ NGBNG SBBRT KDIRI TANDES SBSLN GRATI BANGIL PITON PLTG Grati 450 (2015/16) PLT Clk. Bawang 380 (2014/15) NE~W ANTOSARI PLTA Rajamandala 47 (2017) PLT Cilacap 614 (2016) PLT Central Java 2x950 (2018/19) PLT Pacitan 2x315 (2013) PLTG Jawa (2018) ~ pper Cisokan PS 4x260 (2017) Matenggeng PS 4x225 (2020/21) PLTMG Pesanggaran 200 (2015) 12

13 Electricity Development System in Sumatra PLTP Seulawah /22 D Banda Aceh Jantho lee Kareng P Seulawah PLT Nagan Raya #1,2: /14 #3,4: /19 Sigli Samalanga PLTA Asahan III PLTP Sarulla I&II /18/22 PLTP Sorik Merapi /21 PLTA Batang Toru Bireun C. Trueng G Lhokseumawe P. Labu PLTMG Arun PLTG Sumbagut PLTG Sumbagut Idie PLTG Sumbagut 3, Takengon Tualang Cut PLT A Blangkjeren Langsa Meulaboh P. Brandan Peusangan1-2 P. Susu HEPP G PLT Binjai Meulaboh Lawe Mamas Mabar ~ HEPP P. Geli P. Pasir Blang Pidie A Labuhan KIM Lamhotma Wampu Namorambe GlugurSei Kuta Cane Sei. HEPP P. Batu Rotan Denai A Titi Kuning K.Namu Perbaungan K. Tanjung T. Tinggi T. Morawa Brastagi Galang Kisaran G. Para Tapak Tuan Renun HEPP ~ P. Siantar Aek Kanopan Sidikalang Sabulusalam PLTP Muara Laboh /18 PLTP Bonjol kv AC 500 kv AC HVDC D. Sanggul PLTP P P. Bukit Simangkok PLT ~ L. Angin PLT Teluk Sirih /14 Tele Tarutung ~ PLTA Merangin Sarulla& PLTP Sipaholon ~P Sibolga A PLTA B. Toru Porsea ~ Asahan I R. Prapat HEPP Asahan III A HEPP Asahan ~ IV& V HEPP Pd. Sidempuan PLTP Hulu Lais /19 PLTP Kepahiyang G.Tua K. Pinang Bagan Batu PLT Pangkalan Susu #1,2: /15 #3,4: /17 PLTG/MG Peaking Riau & Jambi Bagan Siapi- api Duri G Kandis 300 -M2ala0ysia Dumai New G. Sakti KID TNB 16 Perawang Siak Sri Indra Pura Minas Garuda P. Pangarayan Pasir Putih Sakti Tenayan Bangkinang PLTP P Panyabungan ~ S. Merapi Teluk Lembu Simpang4 ~ Kt. Panjang Payakumbuh HEPP P Pd. Luar Maninjau HEPP ~ Singkarak Batusangkar HEPP ~ Pariaman Lubuk Pd. Panjang ~ Alung PIP Pauh Ombilin ~ Limo GIS Kota S. Haru Indarung Solok Bungus Sumbar Pess el PLTP Lumut Balai /18/19 PLTP Rantau Dedap /20 Salak T. Kuantan Kiliranjao Malaka Kulim P. Kerinci PLT Riau Kemitraan Rengat Tembilahan K. Tungkal Aur Duri P PLTP S. Rumbai Payo Selincah G. Talang Kambang P Muara Bungo Sarolangun Muara Bulian S. Penuh Bangko PLT A Muara Jambi Merangin (KPS) Rupit HEPP PLTP Danau Ranau PLTP Suoh Sekincau /22 PLTP lubelu & 16/17 PLTP Rajabasa /22 G ~ B. Lincir Betung S. Lilin Tl. Kelapa T.Api-api Mukomuko PLTP Hulu Sekayu ~ GIS Kot a 2 I Lais 1 P 6 PLT Keramasan 7 S. Belimbing Bukit Lubuk PLT ~ K. Agung Asam Tes HEPP Mariana Linggau ~ ~ Simpang3 Pekalongan Prabumulih PLT Kayu Banjarsari M. ENIM ~ Argamakmur PLTG Agung T. Tinggi G. Megang Lahat Sukamerindu ~ Musi HEPP Gumawang Mesuji PLTP P.Baai P L. Balai Pagar Alam P Baturaja PLTP P. Ratu Manna PLT Riau Kemitraan (PLN-TNB-PTBA) PLT Jambi KPS /20 PLT Sumsel 5 & /16/17 PLT Banjarsari PLT Keban Agung PLT Sumsel-1 MT PLT Sumsel /20 PLT Sumsel-8,9, /19 ~ 1. PLTG Apung 3. IPP Palembang Timur 2. PLTG Ex Pulo Gadung Borang G PLTG/MG Peaking Lampung & Bangka Dipasena R. Dedap Menggala Muara Dua B. mpu Sp.Banyak Bukit Kotabumi Kemuning PLTP P Metro D. Ranau ~ G Besai HEPP Sribawono Adijaya Tegineneng P B. Tegi Gd. Tataan Natar PLTP S. Sekincau HEPP ~ Pagelaran Langkapura Sutami Liwa PLTP lubelu~ Suka Tlk. rame New Tarahan Bengkunat K.Agung Betung P PLTP Wai Tlk. Ratai ~ Ratai Kalianda Tarahan PLTPP Rajabasa SistSeimstem JAWJ AWA 13

14 Electricity System Development in Kalimantan PLTG/MG Pontianak Singkawang PLT Parit Baru PLT Pantai Kura-Kura PLT Parit Baru (FTP2) P LT Kalbar /19 P LT Kalbar /21 Sambas Bengkayang N A gabang PLTA Pade Kembayung PLTA Nanga Pinoh PLTA Kelai PLT Kaltim /18 PLT Embalut (Eksp.) SERAWAK PLTG (MALAYSIA) Kaltim Peaking Putussibau 2x PLTG Kaltim Peaker PLT Kaltim PLTG/MG Bangkanai /16/17 SABAH (MALAYSIA) PLT Malinau Malinau A A Tidang Pale Tj. Selor Tj. Redep Talisayan Muara Wahau Sintang mpawah Sanggau Bontang Me Siantan G Parit Baru G Sekadau G G Tayan Melak Kota Bangun Nanga Pinoh Kota Baru Sei Raya Puruk A Cahu G G PLT Ketapang PLN: IPP: Sukadana Ketapang Sukadana Nangabulik PLT Kalselteng /19 PLT Kalselteng /18 PLT Sampit PLT Pulang Pisau Sukamara A D Muara Karangjoang Kuala Kota Baru D Kurun Teweh GG D Manggarsari Petung Industri Pangkalan Banteng Pangkalan Bun Kuala Pambuang Parenggean Sampit D Kasongan Palangkaraya D Selat Seberang Barito PLTG/MG/G Kalsel Peaker New Palangkaraya Kayutangi TrisGakti Mantuil D lin Buntok Bandara Amuntai D A Cempaka Pelaihari Rantau A A Kuaro D Tanjung Barikin Satui Batu Licin D Kotabaru Sangatta G Maloi PLTMG Tj. Selor PLT Tj. Selor PLT Tj. Redep PLT Kaltim /21 PLTG Senipah /17 PLT Telu S k L B A a W li E k S p I a TE p N a G n AH PLT S L K A a W l E s S e I SELATAN l /18 PLTA Kusan PLT Asam-Asam PLT Kalselteng

15 G Electricity System Development in Sulawesi Tolito1li 3 KALIMANTAN TIMR GORONTALO 10 Mamuju 19 Pasangkayu Mamuju Baru Majene SLAWESI BARAT Topoyo 14 Tambu Bangkir Moutong Leok P Silae 15 D Talise Ampana A 18 A 22 Polman A A A Pinrang Pangkep Tello D Bakaru Palu Baru 20A 21 P 16 Makale Enrekang Palopo Sidrap SLAWESI SELATAN G 23 A A 17 Siwa Poso Tentena Wotu Lasusua Malili 28 A 12 G SLAWESI TENGAH Kolonedale Marisa Bungku SLAWESI TENGGARA 29 Bunta Toili G Tilamuta Pare D A 30 Kolaka Sengkang Kendari P G naaha Barru 24 Soppeng Bone Andolo 9 Isimu 31 Tonasa G Maros Bosowa Kajuara Kasipute Daya Baru S ungguminasa Sinjai Bantaeng Jeneponto Bulukumba Bau-Bau Tallasa Punagaya 2 7 Bantaeng Smelter Luwuk Raha Buroko 8 D Botupingge 11 Bintauna Lolak SLAWESI TARA 34 Molibagu 5 Otam 2 Tasik Ria Tomohon 4 Likupang Paniki Teling 3 Bitung Ranomut D A Kema Sawangan 1 P P Tonsealama D Kawangkoan Lopana P A P PLT Sulut 3 PLTG/MG/G Minahasa PLTA Sawangan PLT Lease PLT Sulbagut 2 PLTP Lahendong V & VI PLTP Kotamobagu I & II PLT Sulut I PLT Gorontalo PLT Sulbagut 1 PLT Sulbagut 3 PLTG/MG/G Gorontalo PLT Tolitoli PLT Palu 3 PLTP Marana/Masaingi PLTP Borapulu PLTA Poso 2 PLTA Karama PLT Mamuju PLTA Malea PLTA Bonto Batu PLTA Bakaru II PLTG Sengkang PLT Sulsel Barru 2 PLTG/MG/G Makassar PLT Sulsel 2 PLT Jeneponto 2 PLTA Wotunohu PLTA Konawe PLT Kendari 3 PLTP Laenia PLT Raha PLT Bau-Bau PLT Wangi-Wangi / / / / / / /17/ / /16 15

16 Electricity System Development in Maluku Taniwel 8 A ACSR 1x240 mm 2 30 km (2016) Piru ACSR 1x240 mm 2 55 km (2016) A A 6 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 15 km (2017) A ACSR 1x240 mm 2 Kairatu A 105 km (2016) A 9 G Masohi 7 A A Bula Wayame Passo Waai Tulehu P 3 Haruku 5 G Sirimau 1 G 2 14 P P Jailolo ACSR 1x240 mm km (2019) ACSR 1x240 mm 2 M ACSR 1x240 mm km (2019) Tobelo15 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 72 km (2019) 23 km (2019) Maba 1. PLT Am bon 2. PLT Am bon 2 3. PLTP Tul ehu 4. PLT Ambon 3 5. PLTMG Ambon 6. PLTA Wai Tala 7. PLTMG Seram 8. PLTM Sapalewa 9. PLTM Nua 10. PLT Tidore 11. PLT Tidore PLTMG Ternate 13. PLT Sofifi 14. PLTP Jailolo 15. PLT Tobelo / / / /20 16

17 Electricity System Development in Papua PLT Holtekamp 1&2 PLT Skouw PLTA Genyem 1&2 PLTMG Jayapura 1&2 PLT Jayapura 3 PLTA Baliem PLT Timika PLT Nabire PLT Biak PLT Manokwari PLTA Warsamson PLT Sorong & & & / /

18 Electricity System Development in Lombok GI Bayan ACSR 1x240 mm 2 35 km A ACSR 1x240 mm 2 41 km (2018) 5 A ACSR 1x240 mm 2 15 km 2017 GH Tanjung 7P A 6 4 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 12 km ACSR 1x240 mm 2 15 km G 0 GI Ampenan GI Rembiga Kabel Tanah 3 km D ACSR 1x240 mm 2 30 km GI Pringgabaya GI Mantang 1 GI Jeranjang 2 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 15 km ACSR 1x240 mm 2 38 km GI Selong GI Sekotong ,5 km GI Sengkol ACSR 1x240 mm 2 GI Kuta PLT Lombok PLT Lease PLTG Lombok PLT Lombok 2 PLT Lombok Timur PLT Lombok (FTP2) PLTP Sembalun / / / y 18

19 Electricity System Development in Sumbawa G1 G3 2 4 G 5 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 GI Alas/Tano 2cct 1xOstrich 60 km km (2016) GI Labuhan GI Dompu GI Woha GI Bima 2cct 1xOstrich 35 km cct 1xOstrich 15 km ACSR 1x240 mm 2 30 km ACSR 1x240 mm km (2016) ACSR 1x240 mm km (2016) 6 7A 8P 2 ACSR 1x240 mm 30 km (2017) GI Sape GI Empang GI Taliwang 2 cct, ACSR 1x240 mm 2 20 km GI Maluk PLT Bima PLT Bima 2 PLTMG Bima PLTMG Sumbawa PLT Sumbawa PLT Sumbawa Barat PLTA Brang Beh PLTP Hu u / / / /

20 Electricity System Development in Timor 6 Atapupu ACSR 1x240 mm 2 18 km Atambua TIMOR LESTE TIMOR LESTE ACSR 1x240 mm 2 75 km Kefamenanu ACSR 1x240 mm 2 51 km Soe/ Nonohonis G5 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 20 km ACSR 1x240 mm 2 51 km Naibonat Bolok Maulafa ACSR 1x240 mm 2 15 km ACSR 1x240 mm 2 31 km PLT Kupang PLT Timor 1 PLT Kupang IPP PLT Timor 2 PLTMG Kupang PLT Atambua / / /18/

21 Electricity System Development in Flores Labuan Bajo ACSR 1x240 mm 2 85 km Ruteng 8A ACSR 1x240 mm 2 33 km Ropa 1 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 60 km G3 2 ACSR 1x240 mm 2 ACSR 1x240 mm 95 km km Maumere 2 7P ACSR 1x240 mm ACSR 1x240 mm Bajawa 2 44 km km P ACSR 1x240 mm 2 6 P Ende 15 km ACSR 1x240 mm 100 km P Larantuka 1. PLT Ropa PLT Maumere PLTMG Maumere PLTP Oka ile Ange Waingapu 5. PLTP Sokoria /19/20 6. PLTP Mataloko PLTP lumbu /19/21 8. PLTA Wae Rancang /18 21

22 Most of PLN Investments are Funded with Loans PLN s own capital did not increase throughout the years , while Loans increased more than 8x, making Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) at 187%. DER of business as usual will continue to worsen, reaching 252% in

23 Projected PLN Debt Equity Ratio is higher if investment funding continues at business as usual DER (%) 300 Debt Equity Ratio Debt Equity Ratio ASEAN Average 100% Rata-rata ASEAN 100 % Scenario Scenario In investment condition according to electricity need, DER will worsen and may reach up to 251 %. Debt Equity Ratio will improve if investments are made according to PLN capacity (Scenario 2), wherein DER for 2022 may be less than 150%. 23

24 PLN Investment Capacity is Less than Investment Needs PLN investment needs according to electricity need (Scenario 1) reaches Rp 884 T, while PLN capacity (Scenario 2) is only Rp 602 T or about Rp 60 T per annum. 24

25 Reserve Margin of Java-Bali and Sumatra Systems for Additional Capacity According to Need and to PLN Capacity Sumatra S1 (Need) Java-Bali S1 (Need) Sumatra S2 (Capacity) Java-Bali S2 (Capacity) Reserve margin of the Java-Bali and Sumatra systems for additional generator capacity according to need (Scenario 1) in comparison with additional generator capacity for maintaining PLN covenant (Scenario 2). 25

26 PLN Capital Structure Improvement Company capital needs to be strengthened in order to improve PLN capacity for providing electric power. This is possible among others by: Increasing PLN s internal earning by increasing fees and/or subsidies. This will also improve investment capacity. Government support in providing investment funds in the State Capital Inclusion (Penyertaan Modal Negara PMN) to reduce loan loads. Restructuring PLN loans, among others by making Sub-Loan Agreement (SLA) swap into PMN, and restructuring direct loans of the Company. 26

27 Electricity Consumption Control Program Aside from capital strengthening, electricity consumption control program can also be implemented, which can be done by: - Energy Conservation Program, such as by demand side manage-ment, tariff patterns on time of use, campaigning for energy-saving equipments, etc. - Limiting load growth, such as by limiting electricity connections. 27

28 New Business Model for Electricity Sector Bapepam requires all companies in Indonesia to implement PSAK (Prinsip Standar Akuntansi Keuangan Standard Financial Accounting Principles) 30. This implementation causes IPP assets and obligations to be included in PLN s Financial Position report, causing PLN financial condition to look bad (including DSCR, CICR and other financial ratios). In order to improve PLN s financial condition, these steps must be taken in order to provide opportunity to non-ipp third parties to participate in the construction of generators and in supporting the industry to keep PLN from being the sole off-taker, such as by power wheeling, determining individual business areas, etc. With this business model, the investments made by non-ipp third parties will not burden PLN finances in the long term. 28

29 Risk of Project Delay Causing Reduction of Capacity Increase Planned capacity increase according to need is 60 GW (Scenario 1). However, with possible delays, only 55 GW will operate. The delayed 5 GW of the Project will operate after year

30 Risk of Delayed Completion of Generator and Transmission Projects Oil Fuel consumption remains high if Project completion is delayed thousand kl sage of oil fuel for Scenario 3 (an average of 6.8 million kl/year) is higher than that for Scenario 1 (an average of 4.0 million kl/year) because of Project delays and limited supply of gas/liquefied natural gas. 30

31 Thank You 31

32 Power Balance of Java-Bali System PLTA PLTG Installed Capacity Peak Load New PLT PLT PLN PLT IPP PLTP Installed Capacity 32

33 Power Balance of Java-Bali System [1/3] Project Need Growth Production Load Factor Gross Top Load GWh % GWh % 144, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,919 Capacity Net Capacity 29,053 29,028 29,028 29,028 29,028 29,028 27,997 27,997 27,997 27,997 Installed Capacity 30,285 30,261 30,261 30,261 30,261 30,261 29,229 29,229 29,229 29,229 PLN 24,625 24,601 24,601 24,601 24,601 24,601 23,569 23,569 23,569 23,569 Retired/Mothballed IPP 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 PLN On-going and Committed Pelabuhan Ratu PLT Pacitan PLT 630 Tj. Awar-awar PLT Adipala PLT 660 Indramayu #4 (FTP2) PLT 1,000 pper Cisokan PS (FTP2) PLTA 1,040 IPP On-going and Committed Celukan Bawang PLT Banten PLT 625 Sumsel-8 MT PLT 1,200 Sumsel-9 MT (PPP) PLT Sumsel-10 MT (PPP) PLT 600 Cilacap exp PLT 614 Madura 2x200 (FTP2) PLT 400 Central Java (PPP) PLT

34 Power Balance of Java-Bali System [2/3] Project Rajamandala PLTA 47 Patuha PLTP Kamojang-5 PLTP 30 Karaha Bodas PLTP Tangkuban Perahu 1 PLTP 110 Ijen PLTP 110 Iyang Argopuro PLTP 55 Wilis/Ngebel PLTP Cibuni PLTP 10 Tangkuban Perahu 2 PLTP 60 Cisolok - Cisukarame PLTP 50 ngaran PLTP 55 Wayang Windu PLTP 220 Dieng PLTP 115 Tampomas PLTP 45 Baturaden PLTP 220 Guci PLTP 55 Rawa Dano PLTP 110 mbul Telomoyo PLTP 55 Gn. Ciremai PLTP 110 Gn. Endut PLTP 55 Planned Additional Capacity Jawa-1 (Load Follower) PLTG 800 Jawa-2 (Load Follower) PLTG 800 Muara Tawar Add-on Blok 2,3,4 PLTG 650 Peaker Muara Karang PLTG 450 Peaker Grati PLTG Peaker Pesanggaran PLTMG

35 Power Balance of Java-Bali System [3/3] Project Karangkates #4-5 (Jatim) PLTA 100 Kesamben (Jatim) PLTA 37 Kalikonto-2 (Jatim) PLTA 62 Jatigede (FTP2) PLTA 110 Matenggeng PS PLTA Indramayu #5 PLT 1,000 Lontar Exp #4 PLT 315 Jawa-1 (FTP2) PLT 1,000 Jawa-3 (FTP2) PLT Jawa-4 (FTP2) PLT 1,000 1,000 Jawa-5 (FTP2) PLT 1,000 1,000 Jawa-6 (FTP2) PLT 2,000 Jawa-7 PLT 1,000 1,000 Iyang Argopuro PLTP 220 Cisolok - Cisukarame PLTP 110 ngaran PLTP 140 Dieng PLTP 110 Bedugul PLTP 10 Gn. Lawu PLTP 165 Arjuno Welirang Tota l Additional Capacity Total System Capacity Total Net Capacity PLTP 1,680 31,965 30,733 1,595 33,536 32, ,266 33,033 RESERVE MARGIN % NET RESERVE MARGIN % ,869 36,135 34,902 2,537 38,672 37,439 5,800 44,472 43,239 6,684 50,124 48,892 4,220 54,344 53,112 2,670 57,014 55, ,255 60,269 59,037 35

36 Sumatra Power Balance Reserve Margin PLTA PLTA PLN PLTP PLT IPP PLTG/MG PLTA IPP PLTG PLT PLT PLN 64% 63% 65% PLT & PLTG Lease Lease Generator IPP Generator PLN existing generator Top Load 56% 58% % 42% % 39% % Year 36

37 Power Balance System of Sumatra [1/3] No. Supply and Need Satuan Need Production Load Factor Gross Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Capacity PLN Lease IPP Retired & Mothballed (PLN) Additional Capacity PLN ON-GOING & COMMITTED GWh % Tarahan (FTP1) PLT 200 Meulaboh (Nagan Raya) #1,2 (FTP1) PLT Teluk Sirih #1,2 (FTP1) PLT Pangkalan Susu #1,2 (FTP1) PLT Riau (amendment to FTP1) PLT 220 Pangkalan Susu #3,4 (FTP2) PLT Sungai Gelam (CNG/Peaker) PLTMG 92 Duri PLTMG 112 Arun (Peaker) PLTG/MG 200 Batanghari PLTG 30 Keramasan PLTG Hululais (FTP2) PLTP Sungai Penuh (FTP2) PLTP Peusangan 1-2 PLTA 88 Asahan III (FTP2) PLTA 174 Masang-2 (FTP2) PLTA 55 Lease Dumai PLT 240 Lampung (Sribawono + Sutami) PLTG/MG Payo Selincah PLTG/MG Tanjung Jabung Timur PLTG/MG

38 Power Balance of Sumatra [2/3] No. Supply and Need Satuan Additional Lease (/PLTG/MG) Sumbagut Sumbagselteng IPP ON-GOING & COMMITTED Banjarsari PLT 230 Keban Agung PLT 225 Sumsel - 5 PLT Sumsel - 7 PLT Riau Kemitraan (PLN-TNB-PTBA) PLT Jambi PLT Gunung Megang, ST Cycle PLTG 30 Lumut Balai (FTP2) PLTP lubelu #3,4 (FTP2) PLTP Sarulla I (FTP2) PLTP Muara Laboh (FTP2) PLTP Rantau Dadap (FTP2) PLTP Sorik Marapi (FTP2) PLTP Seulawah Agam (FTP2) PLTP Rajabasa (FTP2) PLTP Suoh Sekincau (FTP2) PLTP Sipoholon Ria-Ria (FTP2) PLTP 55 Wai Ratai (FTP2) PLTP 55 Sarulla II (FTP2) PLTP 110 Simbolon Samosir (FTP2) PLTP 110 Danau Ranau (FTP2) PLTP 110 Bonjol (FTP2) PLTP 165 PLTM Tersebar Sumut PLTM Wampu (FTP2) PLTA 45 Semangka (FTP2) PLTA 56 Hasang (FTP2) PLTA 40 Merangin PLTA 350 Peusangan-4 (FTP2) PLTA 83 Batang Toru (Tapsel) PLTA

39 Power Balance of Sumatra [3/3] No. Supply and Need Satuan Planned Additional Capacity Meulaboh (Nagan Raya) #3,4 PLT Sumut-1 PLT 300 Sumut-2 PLT Sumsel-1 MT PLT 600 Sumsel-6 MT PLT Sumbagsel-1 MT PLT Bengkulu PLT 200 Banyuasin PLT 230 Aceh PLTG 25 Riau PLTG 50 Lampung Peaker PLTG/MG 200 Jambi Peaker PLTG/MG 100 Riau Peaker PLTG/MG 200 Sumbagut-1 Peaker PLTG/MG 250 Sumbagut-2 Peaker (Arun) PLTG/MG 250 Sumbagut-3 Peaker (Medan) PLTG/MG 250 Sumbagut-4 Peaker (Medan) PLTG/MG 250 G. Talang PLTP 20 Kepahiyang PLTP 220 Simonggo-2 PLTA 90 Meureubo-2 PLTA 59 Ketahun-3 PLTA 61 Kumbih-3 PLTA 42 Sibundong-4 PLTA 32 Sumut (Pump Storage) PLTA 0 Sumbagsel (Pump Storage) PLTA Pembangkit Baseload Pembangkit Medium Pembangkit Peaking 4 Total Additional Total System Capacity Total Net Capacity

40 Neraca Daya Kalimantan Barat 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, PLN existing generator Lease Generator PLT PLN 62% PLT IPP PLT 62% PLTG/MG PLTA Power Purchase (Sesco) PLTG/MG 51% Reserve Margin Top Load 58% 43% 59% Import f from Sesco Hydro % 28% 59% 35% CFPP 200 Rental P LN CFPP - Existing Capacity Tahun 40

41 Neraca Daya Kalimantan Barat Need and Supply Satuan Need Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Daya Mampu PLN PLTG-HSD PLN (Siantan) -MFO PLN (Sei Raya & Siantan) -MFO PLN (Sei Wie & Sudirman) Interconnection of sistem-sistem isolated Lease Retired & Mothballed (PLN) Additional Capacity PLN ON-GOING and COMMITTED GWh % 1,371 1,632 1,855 2,373 2,907 3,302 3,675 4,088 4,544 5, Pantai Kura-Kura (FTP1) PLT 55 Parit Baru (FTP1) PLT 100 Parit Baru (FTP2) PLT 100 IPP ON-GOING and COMMITTED Planned Additional Capacity Kalbar - 1 PLT Kalbar - 2 (usulan baru) PLT Peaker PLTG/MG 100 Nanga Pinoh*) PLTA 98 Pade Kembayung PLTA 30 Power Purchase dgn SESCo (Peaking) 275 KV 180 Power Purchase dgn SESCo (Baseload) 275 KV Total Additional Capacity Total Supply (DMN) Reserve Margin (DMN) %

42 Power Balance of Kalseltengtimra 4,000 3,500 Reserve Margin A d d I t I o na l PLTA A dditional PLTG/MG/G PLTG PLN PLTG IPP PLTG/MG PLN PLT PLN PLTM (PLN+IPP) Lease generator Additional PLT IPP generator and Excess Power PLN generator 50% 3,000 53% 59% Additional Ta PLTG/MG/G PLTG PLN 2,500 41% 2,000 30% 24% PLT IPP 1,500 35% 33% 1,000 Lease Pe Generator 500 IPP Pe Generator & Excess Power 47% 52% PLTG/M G PLN PLT PL N Additional PLT PLN Pe Generator

43 Power Balance system of Kalseltengtimra Project Interconnection of Kalselteng - Kaltim (2016) Need Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Capacity PLN Private Owner Retired & Mothballed Additional Capacity GWh % 5, , , , , , , , , Interconnection of Kalselteng-Kaltim-Kaltara (2018) 10, , , , , , , , , , PLN Ongoing & Committed Pulang Pisau (FTP1) PLT Asam Asam (FTP1) PLT Bangkanai (FTP2) PLTG/MG/G Kaltim Peaking (APBN) PLTG Muara Jawa/Teluk Balikpapan (FTP1) PLT Sampit PLT IPP Ongoing & Committed Senipah PLTG Embalut (Ekspansi) PLT Senipah (ST) PLTG Planned Additional Capacity Kalsel Peaker 1 PLTG/MG/G Kalsel Peaker 2 PLTG/MG/G Kaltim Peaker 2 PLTG/MG/G Kaltim Peaker 3 PLTG/MG/G Kelai PLTA Kusan PLTA Kalsel (FTP2) PLT Kalselteng 1 PLT Kalselteng 2 PLT Kalselteng 3 PLT Kaltim (FTP2) PLT Kaltim (MT) PLT Kaltim 3 PLT Kaltim 4 PLT Total Additional Capacity TOTAL System Capacity 1,282 1,551 1,719 1,959 2,167 2,727 2,827 2,977 3,227 3,347 TOTAL Net Capacity 1,127 1,396 1,565 1,804 2,131 2,691 2,791 2,941 3,191 3,311 RESERVE MARGIN % NET RESERVE MARGIN %

44 Power Balance System of Sulbagut 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, % Reserve Margin Additional PLTG/MG/G Additional PLTP 2% 7% IPP and Lease Capacity PLN Installed Capacity Additional PLTA/M PLTP PLN PLT Lease Additional PLT PLT IPP 62% PLT PLN Capacity Lease Capacity IPP Installed Capacity PLN PEAK DEMAND FORECAST 52% 22% 58% 51% 56% Additional PLTG/MG/G PLT Lease 34% PLTP IPP Additional PLT P LT PLN PLTA

45 Power Balance System of Sulbagut Project Need Interconnection of Sulut-Gorontalo-Tolitoli (2016) Energy Production GWh 1,777 2,000 2,182 2,536 2,787 3,075 3,391 3,740 4,119 4,539 Supply Load Factor % Top Load Installed Capacity Net Capacity PLN Private Owner IPP Lease Retired & Mothballed Additional Capacity Lease PLT Lease Amurang (2x25) PLT 50 PLN ON GOING & COMMITTED Gorontalo (FTP1) PLT 50 Sulut I (FTP1) PLT IPP ON GOING & COMMITTED Molotabu PLT 20 - Gorontalo (obstructed) PLT 12*) Planned Additional Capacity Tolitoli PLT Sulut 3 PLT 100 Sulbagut 1 PLT Sulbagut 2 PLT Sulbagut 3 PLT 60 Poigar 2 PLTA 30 Sawangan PLTA 12 Minahasa Peaker PLTG/MG/G Gorontalo Peaker PLTG/MG/G 100 Kotamobagu 1, 2 (FTP2) PLTP 40 Kotamobagu 3, 4 (FTP2) PLTP 40 Lahendong 5 (FTP2) PLTP - 20 Lahendong 6 (FTP2) PLTP - 20 Total Additional Capacity TOTAL System Capacity TOTAL Net Capacity RESERVE MARGIN % NET RESERVE MARGIN %

46 Power Balance System of Sulbagsel 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 Additional PLTMG PLTG IPP Additional T PLTA/M PLTG/MG/G PLN 2,500 PLTP 2,000 PLT PLN PLT IPP PLTMG IPP I 1,500 PLTG IPP Additional PLT Lease Generator 1, Reserve Margin PLTA IPP Additional PLTA Additional PLTG/MG/G PLT PLN PLT IPP 58% Additional PLT Lease Generator IPP Generator PLN Generator 19% 51% 27% 11% PLTMG I IPP Generator 23% 39% 41% 46% 59%

47 Neraca Daya Sulbagsel Project Need Sistem Sulsel Interconnection of dengan Palu (2014) and Sultra (2016) Production GWh 5,776 6,892 8,066 9,491 10,431 11,452 12,457 13,822 14,984 16,158 Load Factor Gross Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Capacity PLN IPP Lease Retired & Mothballed Additional Capacity Planned % 63 1,042 1,533 1, ,241 1,495 1, ,451 1,490 1, ,690 1,270 1, ,842 1,140 1, , , , , , PLN Ongoing & Comitted Sulsel Barru #2 (FTP1) PLT Nii Tanasa/Kendari #2 (FTP1) PLT Nii Tanasa/Kendari (Ekspansi) PLT PLTM Tersebar PLTM IPP Ongoing & Committed Sengkang (GT 22) PLTG Sengkang (ST 28) PLTG Mamuju PLT Tawaeli Ekspansi PLT Planned Additional Capacity Makassar Peaker PLTG/MG/G Punagaya (FTP2) PLT Jeneponto 2 PLT Kendari 3 PLT Sulsel Barru 2 PLT Sulsel 2 PLT Palu 3 PLT Sulsel 3/Takalar PLT Wajo PLTMG Poso 2 2x66 PLTA Poko PLTA Konawe PLTA Watunohu PLTA Bakaru 2 PLTA Karama Baseload (nsolicited) PLTA Karama Peaking (nsolicited) PLTA Bonto Batu (FTP2) PLTA Malea (FTP2) PLTA Bora Pulu (FTP2) PLTP Marana/Masaingi (FTP2) PLTP Lainea PLTP PLTM Tersebar PLTM Kendari 4 PLT Total Additional Capacity TOTAL System Capacity 1,713 1,703 1,744 2,143 2,401 2,846 3,156 3,615 4,213 4,574 TOTAL Net Capacity 1,576 1,575 1,615 2,015 2,274 2,771 3,081 3,540 4,138 4,499 RESERVE MARGIN % NET RESERVE MARGIN %

48 Power Balance System of Lombok Reserve Margin PLTM (PLN+IPP) Additional PLTG/MG/G PLTBio 52% PLT IPP PLT PLN Additional PLT PLTP IPP 49% Lease Generator IPP Generator PLN Generator Top Load 41% % 33% Additional PLTG/MG/G 44% 400 PLT IPP PLT 25% PLN % 16% 26% Additional PLT 200 Lease 100 Capacity IPP Additional PLTP 0 Installed Capacity PLN

49 Power Balance System of Lombok Project Need Energy Production Top Load Load Factor Supply Installed Capacity Net Capacity PLN Siz e GWh % , Private Owner Retired & Mothballed Additional Capacity PLN Santong PLTM 0.85 Lombok (FTP1) PLT 50 IPP 1, , Lombok Timur (Lombok Energi PLT 50 Dinamik PLTM Tersebar PLTM , , , , , , Planned Additional Capacity Lombok Peaker 1, 2 PLTG/MG/G Lombok (FTP2) PLT Sembalun (FTP2) PLTP 20 Lombok 2 PLT Lombok Peaker 3 PLTG/MG/G 60 Sembalun 2 PLTP 20 Total Additional Capacity TOTAL System Capacity TOTAL Net Capacity RESERVE MARGIN % NET RESERVE MARGIN %

50 Power Balance System of Sumbawa-Bima 50 Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Net Capacity Size PLN Labuhan 12.9 Alas 2.1 Empang 1.7 Taliwang 5.0 Bima 6.7 Ni'u 5.6 Dompu 3.7 Sape 0.9 PLTM PLTM Mamak 0.4 Se w a HSD MFO Additional Capacity Planned PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Sumbawa Barat Bima (FTP1) IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Planned GW h % PLT PLT ISumbawa - Bima System Interconnection Additional Capacity Bima 2 (Merah Putih) Sumbawa (Merah Putih) Sumbawa 2 Brang Beh Hu'u (FTP 2) Hu'u 2 PLT Biomass Bima Peaker Bima Peaker 2 Sumbawa Peaker Sumbawa Peaker 2 Bintang Bano Brang Rea 1 Brang Rea 2 PLT PLT PLT PLTA PLTP PLTP PLTBio PLTMG PLTMG PLTMG PLTMG PLTM PLTM PLTM Jumla h Efe ktif (Ba sis DMN) Reserve: Maintenance Operation Surplus/De fisit (N-2)

51 Power Balance System of Timor Supply/Need nit Kupang - Soe - Kefamenanu Atambua Interconnection System Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Derating Capacity Net Capacity GWh % , PLN Generator Kuanino Tenau Soe Kefamenanu Atambua Generator Lease HSD Lease MFO Lease PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Kupang (FTP 1) Atambua IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Kupang PLT PLT PLT Planned Additional Capacity PLTMG Kupang Peaker PLTMG Kupang Peaker 2 PLT Timor 1 PLT Timor 2 Solar Thermal 10.0 Effective Total Kupang Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit ( N-2 )

52 Power Balance System of Flores Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Derating Capacity Net Capacity PLN Generator PLTM PLTP HSD Lease PLN ON GOING & COMMITTED Ende (FTP 1) Ndungga lumbu ADB IPP ON GOING & COMMITTED Planned Additional Capacity Maumere (Merah Putih) Sokoria (FTP2) - Ende Mataloko (FTP2) Oka ile Ange (FTP2) Mataloko 3, 4 lumbu 3 lumbu 4 Sokoria 4 - Ende Larantuka Adonara Maumere Peaker Wae Rancang - Manggarai Wae Roa - Ngada Lamanabi Wae Lega Sita - Borong GWh % PLT PLTM PLTP PLT PLTP PLTP PLTP PLTP PLTP PLTP PLTP PTMPD PTMPD PLTMG PLTA PLTM PLTM PLTM PLTM Total Efek tif Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit (N-2)

53 Power Balance System of Ambon Supply/Need nit Need Supply Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Installed Capacity Daya Mampu Derating Capacity PLN Generator Manufacture Opr Year Size Hative Kecil 21.5 Poka 33.6 Pembangkit Sew a Lease (HSD) 16.8 Lease (MFO) Artho Ageng (Hative K) 33.7 GWh % PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Ambon/Waai (FTP 1) IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED PLT Planned Additional Capacity PLTMG 50 Ambon Peaker PLTMG 10 Ambon Peaker 2 PLT 30 Ambon 2 (Waai #3,4) PLT 15 Ambon 3 Tulehu (FTP 2) PLTP 20 Effective Total Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit (N-2)

54 Power Balance System of Seram Pa soka n/ke butuha n nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Capacity Derating Capacity PLN Generator Manufacture Opr Year Size Masohi 6.7 Liang 0.9 W aipia 0.8 Kairatu 3.9 Piru 3.0 Lease Generator Lease (HSD) Masohi (Comiko) 2.3 Kairatu (Sakabaja) 3.4 Liang (MEP) 1.68 PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED GWh % <=== Iinterconnection of M asohi, Waipia, Liang, Kairatu & Piru (2014) <=== Interconnection of Kairatu & Piru (2017) IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Sapalewa PLTM 8.0 Planned Additional Capacity Seram Peaker PLTMG 10.0 Kairatu Masohi PTMPD PTMPD W ai Tala PLTA Nua (Masohi) W ae Mala Makariki PLTA PLTM PLTM Isal Tene Effective Total PLTM PLTM Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit (N-2)

55 Power Balance System of Ternate-Tidore Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Supply Load Factor Top Load Installed Capacity Capacity Derating Capacity PLN Generator Manufacture Size Kayu Merah 11.5 Soa Siu 3.9 Lease Generator Lease P L T D (HSD) Kayu Merah (Leasetama 1) 5.75 Kayu Merah (Leasetama 2) 6.69 Kayu Merah (Bima Golten) 7.2 Soa Siu (Triagung JA) 2.5 PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Tidore (FTP1) GWh % PLT IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Planned Additional Capacity PLT 14 Tidore 2 (Merah Putih) PLT 14 Tidore 3 Effective Ternate Total Peaker PLTMG Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit (N-2)

56 Power Balance System of Jayapura Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load GWh % Supply Installed Capacity Capacity PLN Generator Manufacture Size nit Yarmoch Waena Sentani Lease Generator Lease (HSD) PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Orya (Genyem) Jayapura (FTP1) - Holtekamp PLTA PLT IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Jayapura - Skouw PLT 30 Planned PENAMBAHAN Capacity Jayapura - Holtekamp 2 (Merah Putih) Jayapura 3 Orya 2 Jayapura Peaker Jayapura Peaker 2 Amai PLT PLT PLTA PLTMG PLTMG PLTM Effective Total Reserve: Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit (N-2)

57 Power Balance System of Timika Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load Supply Installed Capacity Derating capacity GWh % PLN Generator Manufacture Size nit Caterpillar Caterpillar Caterpillar MAN Deutz M Perkins Komatsu Mitsubhisi Additional Supply Sew a PT SEWATAMA I PT SEWATAMA II DAYA MANNGGAL DIESEL Pemda PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Timika (Merah Putih) Peaker (Relokasi dari Bali) PLT IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Planned Additional Capacity Timika Timika Peaker (gas) PTMPD PLTMG Effective Total Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit

58 Power Balance System of Nabire Supply/Need nit Need Energy Production Load Factor Top Load GWh % Supply Installed Capacity Derating capacity PLN Generator Manufacture Size Jlh unit Deutz Komatsu Skoda MT MAN Caterpillar Deutz Lease Generator Lease PT. TAMA PRIMA MANDIRI PT. PAPA RAYA MANDIRI Additional Lease PLN Ongoing & COMMITTED Kalibumi I (APBN) PLTM 2.6 IPP Ongoing & COMMITTED Nabire - Kalibobo PLT 14.0 Planned Additional Capacity Kalibumi II Kalibumi III Cascade Nabire (liquefied Natural Gas) PLTM PLTM PLTMG Effective Total Reserve Maintenance Operation Surplus/Deficit

59 Development of Small-scale New and Renewable Energy (Energi Baru dan Terbarukan) (EBT) Planned Small Scale EBT Generator Development () No EBT Generator Capacity Total 1 PLTMH ,481 2 PLT Surya p PLT Bayu PLT Biomass PLT Kelautan PLT Bio-Fuel Ribu Kilo Liter ,815 Total ,786 Cost for Small Scale EBT Generator Development (Million S$) No EBT Generator Satuan Total 1 PLTMH Juta S$ ,703 2 PLT Surya Juta S$ ,853 3 PLT Bayu Juta S$ PLT Biomass Juta S$ ,089 5 PLT Kelautan Juta S$ PLT Bio-Fuel Juta S$ ,377 Total Juta S$ ,075 1,162 1,335 1,461 1,561 1,511 1,613 1,658 12,610 59