North American NGL Production: Current Volumes and Outlook

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1 North American NGL Production: Current Volumes and Outlook 23rd September, 2013 This presentation contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of These projections and statements reflect the company s current views with respect to future events. No assurance can be given, however, that these events will occur or that these projections will be achieved, and actual results could differ materially from those projected. Any information and projections contained herein are not intended to be relied upon as advice, financial or otherwise. This presentation contains general information about the topic being presented and has been prepared based on information available to the company, including information derived from public sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is provided in relation to the fairness, accuracy, correctness, completeness or reliability of the information, opinions, projections or conclusions expressed herein.

2 US Natural Gas Production 2

3 US Natural Gas Reserves 3

4 U.S. Shale Plays Philadelphia Source: EIA 4

5 US Light Crude Oil production forecast 5

6 US NGL production grows by ~2 MMB/D Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Jan 2013, Aug

7 1 MMBPD production increase in 3 years Source: Bentek - Market Call: North American NGLs, August

8 North American NGL pipelines & tariffs Edmonton Ferndale Bakken Philadelphia Sarnia Magnum Conway Utica & Marcellus Adamana Bumstead Mont Belvieu Eagle Ford Source: EIA 8 Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Aug 2013

9 Regional NGL production and demand (MMBD) Legend From Nat. Gas From Refineries Demand Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Jan 2013 Source: Bentek - Market Call: North American NGLs, August

10 Ethane production growth drives investment Steam Cracker Projects Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, August 2013 Increased Capacity (MMlbs./y) Increased Ethane Owner Plant Name Location Demand (Mb/d) Dow Chemical Company St. Charles Olefins 2 Hahnville, LA Eastman Longview #4 Longview, TX Westlake Lake Charles #2, LA (Petr Lake Charles, LA BASF Total Petrochemicals Port Arthur Ethylene Baytown, TX Ineos Chocolate Bayou #2 Alvin, TX Williams Geismar, LA Geismar, LA BASF Total Petrochemicals Port Arthur Baytown, TX Start-up Date (ISD) Chevron Phillips Sweeny #33 Old Ocean, TX LyondellBasell LaPorte, TX LaPorte, TX Westlake Calvert City, KY Calvert City, KY Westlake Calvert City, KY Calvert City, KY Dow Chemical Company Plaquemine Plaquemine, LA LyondellBasell Channelview OP2 Channelview, TX LyondellBasell Corpus Christi, TX Corpus Christi, TX Westlake Lake Charles #1, LA Lake Charles, LA *Appalachia Resins Wheeling, WV Wheeling, WV Brownfield Debottleneck Greenfield Re-start 10

11 Regional Ethane production and demand (MMBD) Legend From Nat. Gas From Refineries Demand Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Aug

12 Propane production growth drives 500 mbd export LPG Export Facilities Company Status Region Capacity (MB/d) Targa Midstream Services Current Gulf Coast 40 N/A Enterprise Products Current Gulf Coast 225 N/A Targa: Galena Park II Expansion Gulf Coast 60 3Q 2013 Targa: Galena Park II Expansion Gulf Coast 67 3Q 2014 Sunoco Logistics (Mariner East) New Northeast 70 3Q 2014 Vitol/CCI New Gulf Coast 90 1Q 2015 Sunoco Logistics (Mariner SouthNew Gulf Coast 200 1Q 2015 Enterprise Products Expansion Gulf Coast unknown 1Q 2015 (w/oiltanking Partners) Occidental New Gulf Coast 150 2Q 2015 Crosstex New Gulf Coast 40 3Q 2015 ISD Propane Dehydrogenation Units Company Capacity (MMlbs/yr) Demand (MB/d) Dow Chemical 1, Jun-15 Enterprise Products 1, Sep-15 Formosa Plastics 1, Jun-16 C3 Petrochemicals 2, Jun-16 Williams (Canada) 1, Dec-15 Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, August 2013 ISD 12

13 Regional Propane production and demand (MMBD) Legend From Nat. Gas From Refineries Demand Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Aug

14 Butane production growth drives 300 mbd export Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Aug

15 Natural Gasoline production growth drives export Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Aug

16 LPG pricing trends Source: Bentek - Market Call: North American NGLs, January

17 US propane pricing diverging from international prices Source: Bentek Energy, LLC - Market Call: North American NGLs, Jan

18 International propane pricing trends Prices (cents/gal) 200 Houston - Rotterdam Rotterdam Landed N. Sea (Spot) Prices (cents/gal) Houston - Japan (Panama) Japan Landed Japan (Spot) Prices (cents/gal) 200 Houston - Brazil Arg/BRZ Landed Mt. Belvieu Prices (cents/gal) Yanbu vs. Mt. Belvieu Yanbu (FOB) Mt. Belvieu Source: IHS, LPG Market Outlook, Jan

19 US NGL plays versus markets Ferndale Edmonton Bakken Magnum Conway Sarnia Utica & Marcellus Philadelphia Adamana Bumstead Eagle Ford Mont Belvieu Market factors: Distance Y-grade or purity Liquidity Demand (product specific) Export Source: EIA (amended) 19

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