Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella? Foresight at VTT

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1 Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella? Foresight at VTT Dr. Johanna Kohl, Senior Scientist, Team Leader Foresight and Socio-Technical Change Team VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

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4 4 Foresight what? Foresight is not forecasting or science Foresight is holistic Foresight is a systematic, participatory, future intelligence gathering and medium-to-long-term vision building process

5 5 Foresight- why and how? Anticipation is an unavoidable human trait and an essential feature of planning future activities Anticipation enables the creation of visions of the future Combining societal, environmental, technological and economic implications A dynamic shared knowledge creation processes that go repeatedly through externalisation, combination, internalisation and socialisation phases in a spiral way.

6 6 Taking into account various stakeholders

7 7 Strategic policy intelligence for managing innovation systems Socio-economic Development Innovation System economic and industrial development R&D and innovation outputs employment skills and education welfare & environment governance of innovation system Foresight anticipating technological development foreseeing changes in society regulatory development changes in market demand Past Strategic Decision-making Future Evaluation impacts additionality efficiency quality sustainability Innovation Strategies assessment of strategic options prior assessment of impacts technology assessment Innovation Policy

8 8 Societal Embedding of Innovations Developers Transferability Best practice Development cost Adaptability to other health organisations requirements Producers Progressiveness of service Wellbeing of personnel, Production & distribution cost Adaptability to production system Societal Quality Users Health value Usability Cost of purchase and use Adaptability to context of use Societal actors Societal relevance Conformity to norms Externalities Adaptability to societal structure

9 11/10/ Foresight methodologies Various applications of methods at VTT in external and internal projects The shape inside the circle shows how often each method has been used within a set of exercises collected and analyzed by the European Foresight Monitoring Network.

10 10 VTT roadmap brings together the future of markets, products and technologies Drivers Markets VISION Products, solutions Technologies Present Short term Medium to long term

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12 12 Foresight at VTT Foresights since late 1990s -- the importance increasingly recognized in 2000s Trend from technology roadmaps to broader socio-economic and ecological contexts, creating vision and identifying future drivers, markets and products ( demand pull ), required response from S&T ( science push ) Recent strategy: searching for R&D driven solutions to grand challenges like linking challenges of healthy ageing, climate change and carsity of raw materials.(european Comission, JPIs, etc.) How? Foresight experts as methodological & process consultants organize internal & external procedures, which are multidisciplinary, scientific, business and other required competences to exercises Foresights for internal purposes and as foresight services for clients

13 13 VTT Group s operational model roles in foresight Research and development Research personnel, resources Project implementation Competence management Foresight project execution Foresight experts, coordination Group services Top management Support functions Planning and implementation of corporate strategy utilising results of foresight studies Knowledge solutions & BI V T T Strategic research Internally financed research Jointly funded research Foresight supporting strategic research portfolio IP Business IPR sales and licensing IPR portfolio management Business solutions Customer account management Commercial projects Technology licensing as part of commercial projects Contract projects in foresight (Separation of economic activities) VTT Expert Services Oy Expert studies and assessments Certification and approval services Testing, inspection and calibration VTT Ventures Oy Ownership and development of spin offs VTT International Oy Administration and development of international service points

14 14 VTT research on Organisations, Networks and Innovation Systems Six research teams Enterprise Network Management Renewal and Development of Organisations Organisational Psychology Innovation and knowledge economy Innovation policy research Foresight and socio-technical change

15 15 VTT Foresight and Socio-Technical Change team Team members: Toni Ahlqvist, Senior Scientist Annele Eerola, Principal Scientist Minna Halonen, Research Scientist (on maternity leave Aug 2011 =>) Sirkku Kivisaari, Senior Scientist Johanna Kohl, Senior Scientist, Team Leader Raija Koivisto, Research Professor Anna Leinonen, Research Scientist (on maternity leave 2011) Jouko Myllyoja, Research Scientist Nina Wessberg, Senior Scientist Mikko Dufva, PhD student (starting Jan 2012) Contact also: Torsti Loikkanen, Research Co-ordinator and Ville Valovirta, Key Account Manager

16 16 National-level cooperation (examples) Finnsight 2015, incl. VTT panel members. Tekes and the Academy of Finland, SITRA's foresight network, incl. VTT reseachers TrendWiki working group of the Ministry of Economy and Employment, 2010=> Open Wave, Tekes/Finnish Boat Industry ( ), Strategy support for EIT ICT Labs Finnish node, Tekes 2011 Nordic-level cooperation (examples) Nordic Hydrogen Energy Foresight, VTT as a core partner. NICe & NER, Nordic ICT Foresight, VTT as coordinator. NICe, Nordic Biomedical Sensor Foresight, VTT as partner. NICe, GoReNEST ( ), TOP-NEST (2011 =>), SHHP Innovation Networks ( ), EU-level cooperation (examples) Nanotechnology roadmapping. EU FP6, Emerging S&T priorities in public research policies in Europe, US and Japan. EU Platform Foresight, ETEPS - BIO4EU. IPTS/European Parliament, 2006 ForSociety ERA-Net, VTT involved in Future Dialogues, TESTNET WT & CP future outlooks for European ETV system, ATEsT. EU FP7, assesment of energy system modelling and transition management tools, Research and Innovation Strategies and Investment in Grand Challenges, ERAB, 2011

17 11/10/ VTT carries out various foresights and future oriented exercises

18 11/10/2011 for private & public clients, with different methodological approaches 18

19 19 VTT s mission and foresight VTT produces research and innovation services that enhance the international competitiveness of companies, society and other customers. Foresight is embedded and a promotor for a sociotechnical change VTT creates the prerequisites for society s sustainable development, employment and wellbeing.

20 20 Foresight + technological competencies Advantage that others do not have! Customer sectors - Biotechnology, pharmaceutical and food industries - Electronics - Energy -ICT - Real estate and construction - Machines and vehicles - Services and logistics - Forest industry - Process industry and environment Focus areas of research - Applied materials - Bio- and chemical processes - Energy - Information and communication technologies - Industrial systems management - Microtechnologies and electronics - Services and the built environment - Business research VTT s operations - Research and Development - Strategic Research - Business Solutions - IP Business - Group Services VTT s companies - VTT Expert Services Ltd (incl. Labtium Ltd, Enas Ltd) - VTT Ventures Ltd - VTT International Ltd - VTT Memsfab Ltd

21 11/10/2011 VTT creates business from technology 21