Cochrane Transit Feasibility Study. Council Presentation April 12, 2010
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1 Cochrane Transit Feasibility Study Council Presentation April 12, 2010
2 Presentation Overview Scope of Study Feasibility and Market Analysis Proposed Routing for Local and Regional Transit Service Capital and Operating Costs Next Steps
3 Scope of Study Phase 1: Transit Feasibility Urban form and demographics Market analysis Alternatives assessment Public stakeholder consultation Phase 2: Implementation Plan Service standards, operation/contract alternatives, and more
4 Local issues we are trying to solve? Transit - Traffic congestion, delay road investment, social concerns, environmental issues Is there public support for a transit system? Are there markets requesting service, with defined places to take them? - seniors, students, workers Is there political support for a transit system? Does the community structure support a transit system? - Scattered vs linear vs town centre Can you afford to operate a transit system? Feasibility from Transit Implementation Guidelines for Small Canadian Municipalities (D.A. Watt Consulting) 2006
5 Regional Travel AM Peak Period (2-hour) Travel from Cochrane to Calgary Cochrane Downtown Calgary 430 Other Major Destinations Northeast Industrial 100 Manchester Industrial 60 Strathcona 60 Rosedale 60 Crowchild 55 University 50 Subtotal 385 Total trips to Calgary 1,500 AM Peak Period (2-hour) Travel from Calgary to Cochrane 2,100 Future considerations: Rocky View County (Bearspaw, Harmony), Canmore, others Source: Calgary Regional Transportation Model, 2005
6 Short Term Transit Strategy 2 Way Express Service to/from Calgary Phase 1: Airdrie, Cochrane, Chestermere, Strathmore, Okotoks and High River Airdrie service is anticipated to start in Fall 2010
7 Future Regional Transit Concept LEGEND LRT Intercity Express Routes Commuter Rail High Speed Rail
8 Local Travel Downtown L Commercial Centres L L L L L L L Large Employers Low Density Residential L L
9 Benchmarks Canadian Avg. Cobourg ON Cranbrook BC Airdrie AB St. Albert AB Pop: K Population 28,400 (median) 18,200 19,600 34,116 58,584 Service hours/capita Ridership/ capita Ridership/ operating hour Cost/trip $4.71 $8.89 $4.03 $17.45 $6.30
10 Assessment of Alternatives Specialized transportation Accessible public transit Recommended Specialized transportation Limited accessibility commuter service
11 Local Transit Service Overview Two local routes served with Community Shuttles in the first phase. Three routes in the second phase. Old Town Hall site would be used as the on-street transit terminal site (Interim) 30 minute service frequency Peak period service introduced at the launch of service, as demand grows service could be expanded into other operating periods (midday, early evening, Saturdays, Sunday and Holidays) 4 Community Shuttles required for phase 1. (2 additional Community Shuttles required for phase 2)
12 Local Transit Service Service Coverage Considerations Connectivity to commercial areas, major employers, schools, Downtown, civic / recreation facilities and connection to the regional transit service (Intercity Express) Travel Time and Service Frequency Feedback from the Transit Steering Committee
13 Regional Transit Service (Intercity Express) Two-way service between Downtown Cochrane and Crowfoot LRT Station Provides service to Cochrane s largest employers, Cochrane Town Square and Gleneagles AM/PM Peak service (introductory) 30 minute service frequency Requires 4 articulated buses (includes 1 spare) Transferability to Calgary Transit services Travel Time from Railway Avenue Terminal: Downtown (City Hall Station): 60 minutes U of C: 42 minutes SAIT: 47 minutes
14 Commuter Service Comparison Existing Cochrane Commuter 3 Departures in both AM and PM Peak Periods Comparable circulation time within Cochrane One way service Express to Downtown via Crowchild Trail No transferability to Calgary Transit Focus: Cochrane residents who are employed in Downtown Calgary Proposed Intercity Express 30 minute base frequency in both AM and PM Peak Periods Comparable circulation time within Cochrane Two way service Limited Stop Express between Downtown Cochrane and Crowfoot LRT Station Transferability to Calgary Transit Focus: Cochrane residents to multiple destinations and Calgary residents to Cochrane employment
15 Phase 1 - Proposed
16 Phase 2 - Proposed
17 Operating Costs Considerations Operating Cost Inputs: Articulated Bus: $98/hour Community Shuttle: $56/hour Bus operating costs include operator wages, fuel, maintenance and business overhead and reflect projected 2009/2010 rate adjustments Operating Assumptions: Bus storage and maintenance in Cochrane 10% annual deadhead cost
18 Operating Costs Considerations PRELIMINARY FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY Fare Revenue $2.50 or $3 per trip (local service) Cost Recovery for Intercity Express (estimated fare $6.50 per trip) Ridership Assumptions Local Service: 5 boarding passengers per operating hour (low), 10 boarding passengers per operating hour (high) Intercity Express: 48 boarding passengers per trip (40 in the peak direction and 8 in the reverse flow)
19 Route Assumptions - Local Fare at $2.50, Intercity Express Cost Recovery, Cochrane Owns the Fleet (AM/PM Peak Only) Phase 1 Rounded for purposes of presentation Operating Hours Operating Costs Ridership (Low) Revenue (Low) Net Operating Cost (Low) Ridership (High) Revenue (High) Net Operating Cost (High) ICE 5,000 $490, ,000 $508,000 +$18, ,000 $508,000 +$18,000 West Terrace Bow Ridge 3,400 $190,000 15,000 $38,000 -$152,000 31,000 $77,000 -$113,000 Cochra ne Heights Spray Lakes 1,700 $95,000 8,000 $19,000 -$76,000 15,000 $38,000 -$57,000 Total 10,100 $775, ,000 $565,000 -$210, ,000 $623,000 -$152,000
20 Route Assumptions - Local Fare at $3.00, Intercity Express Cost Recovery, Cochrane Owns the Fleet (AM/PM Peak Only) Phase 1 Rounded for purposes of presentation Operating Hours Operating Costs Ridership (Low) Revenue (Low) Net Operating Cost (Low) Ridership (High) Revenue (High) Net Operating Cost (High) ICE 5,000 $490, ,000 $508,000 +$18, ,000 $508,000 +$18,000 West Terrace Bow Ridge 3,400 $190,000 15,000 $46,000 -$144,000 31,000 $92,000 -$99,000 Cochra ne Heights Spray Lakes 1,700 $95,000 8,000 $23,000 -$72,000 15,000 $46,000 -$49,000 Total 10,100 $775, ,000 $577,000 -$198, ,000 $645,000 -$130,000
21 Operating Costs Considerations Bus Capitalization Cost Articulated Bus: $31/hour Community Shuttle: $10/hour Bus capitalization costs are amortized over the life of the asset: 12 years for articulated buses; 8 years for community shuttles Borrowing Cost Interest Rate: 3% For planning purposes, Intercity Express fare - $7.50 per trip
22 Assumptions - Local Fare at $2.50, Intercity Express Cost Recovery, Fleet Bus Capitalization, (AM/PM Peak Only) Phase 1 Rounded for purposes of presentation Route Operating Hours Operating Costs Ridership (Low) Revenue (Low) Net Operating Cost (Low) Ridership (High) Revenue (High) Net Operating Cost (High) ICE 5,000 $645, ,000 $653,000 +$7, ,000 $653,000 +$7,000 West Terrace Bow Ridge 3,400 $224,000 15,000 $38,000 -$186,000 31,000 $77,000 -$148,000 Cochra ne Heights Spray Lakes 1,700 $112,000 8,000 $19,000 -$93,000 15,000 $38,000 -$74,000 Total 10,100 $981, ,000 $710,000 -$272, ,000 $768,000 -$215,000
23 Assumptions - Local Fare at $3.00, Intercity Express Cost Recovery, Fleet Bus Capitalization, (AM/PM Peak Only) Phase 1 Rounded for purposes of presentation Route Operating Hours Operating Costs Ridership (Low) Revenue (Low) Net Operating Cost (Low) Ridership (High) Revenue (High) Net Operating Cost (High) ICE 5,000 $645, ,000 $653,000 +$7, ,000 $653,000 +$7,000 West Terrace Bow Ridge 3,400 $224,000 15,000 $46,000 -$179,000 31,000 $92,000 -$133,000 Cochra ne Heights Spray Lakes 1,700 $112,000 8,000 $23,000 -$89,000 15,000 $46,000 -$66,000 Total 10,100 $981, ,000 $722,000 -$261, ,000 $791,000 -$192,000
24 Future Service Areas Introduce service when development progresses Capacity within the operating and capital budgets to expand service occupied dwelling units
25 Capital Costs Considerations Fleet Community Shuttle: $160,000 Articulated Bus: $750,000 Phase 1 Service: 4 Community Shuttles ($640,000) and 4 Articulated Buses ($3 Million) Phase 2 requires an additional 2 Community Shuttles ($320,000) Bus Storage and Maintenance Tooling, Parts, Service Lane, Fuel, Staff
26 Vehicle Specifications Articulated Bus 60 Foot Low Floor Articulated Bus 57 Seated Capacity 2 Wheelchair Positions Used for Intercity Express service between Cochrane and Calgary (recommended) Recommended specs include high back seats and air conditioning
27 Vehicle Specifications Community Shuttle 26 Foot Low Floor Community Shuttle Bus 21 Seated Capacity with a wheelchair location located at the front Used for local service within Cochrane (recommended)
28 Capital Costs Considerations Bus Stops (approximately $10,000 per zone) Concrete Aprons Sidewalk Connections Wheelchair curb cuts at nearest intersections Signage Bus Shelters ($20,000-$60,000 per shelter) opportunity for a shelter contract to assist with cost
29 Capital Costs Considerations Transit Terminal It is envisioned that the Transit Terminal would have the following passenger amenities: Shelters Benches Information / Advertising Panels Garbage Containers Lighting Bicycle Facilities
30 Recommended Transit Terminal Location (Interim) Old Town Hall On-Street Terminal, ample capacity for phase 1 and 2 transit service Ample expansion room Low cost Adjacent to Downtown and easy access to Highway 1A
31
32 Long Term Transit Terminal Site Railway Avenue On-Street bus bays Alternative: Off-street bus bays Park & Ride Permanent Shared Policy to manage demand for stalls, traffic impacts Proximity to future commuter rail station
33
34 Next Steps Open House (late April / early May) Stakeholder Sessions Review plans with existing committees (Chamber of Commerce, Interagency Meetings) Refine Service Plan Report feedback to Council - June Develop Implementation Plan
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