NGLs and Pipeline Infrastructure

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1 NGLs and Pipeline Infrastructure Kelly Van Hull BENTEK Energy September 20,

2 Conclusions U.S. Gas Plant NGL Production to Increase by 1.5 MMb/d by Growing NGL production from the Marcellus and Utica will transform market dynamics and flow patterns in the Northeast. Growing production in the Rockies and Mid-Continent will flow south to demand centers and export terminals. An infrastructure boom is occurring in the Eagle Ford to support NGL production in excess of 750 Mb/d by Ethane Demand Exhausted in 2014, Market Will Remain Supply Long Until New Crackers are Developed Exports will be required to balance growing supplies of propane, butane and natural gasoline 2

3 U.S. NGL Production to Increase by 1.5 MMb/d Mb/d Note: Updated as of 9/18/2012 3

4 Between 2012 and 2014, Substantial Infrastructure to Start Up Processing Capacity, MMcf/d Source: BENTEK NGL Facilities Databank Note: Updated as of 9/18/2012 Fractionation Capacity, Mb/d 4

5 Total U.S. Gas Plant NGL Production to Exceed 3.73 MMb/d By Note: Updated as of 9/18/

6 Over 75 % of U.S. NGL Production from Six Regions by Production 2020 Production Other 43% Marcellus 2% Utica 0% Permian 15% Eagle Ford 9% Bakken 8% Other 23% Marcellus 9% Utica 5% Eagle Ford 21% Bakken 0% Rockies 17% Anadarko 14% Rockies 11% Anadarko 12% Permian 11% Total Production 2.18 MMb/d Total Production 3.73 MMb/d 6

7 Marcellus/Utica 7

8 Increasing NGL Production Due to Growing Liquids Rich Gas Production Gross Gas Production Bcf/d Marcellus Utica Processing Capacity 8

9 Changing Outlook for Northeast NGL Production Mb/d Marcellus Utica 9

10 Significant Processing and Fractionation Capacity Announced to Supply Local Demand 453 Mb/d 65 Mb/d 4.36 Bcf/d Source: BENTEK Facilities Databank Expansions expected through 2014, MMcf/d 10

11 Over 265 Mb/d Ethane Recovery Capacity Announced to Support Purity Pipelines 300 Ethane Recovery Capacity Mb/d

12 Eagle Ford 12

13 Wet Gas Production from the Eagle Ford Shale to Exceed 9 Bcf/d by 2020 Bcf/d Gross Gas Production Eagle Ford Shale 13

14 Processing Capacity to Support Wet Gas Production Increasing Rapidly Bcf/d of Shale gas production growth between Bcf/d In-Service 2012 In-Service 2013 In-Service

15 NGL Production From Eagle Ford to Exceed 750 Mb/d by Mb/d

16 Raw Mix Pipeline Announcements and Fractionation Expansions Support Raw Mix Growth 725 Mb/d 450 Mb/d 75 Mb/d 22 Mb/d 16

17 Bakken 17

18 Despite Sufficient Processing Capacity 29% of Gas Production Being Flared as of July Low-Case ND Gross Gas Production vs. ND Processing Capacity Bcf/d Williston - ND Processing Capacity 18

19 Williston Basin Could Yield Higher Future Gas and NGL Volumes Due to a Rising Gas to Oil Ratio According to BENTEK NDPA/NDIC Study 3.5 North Dakota Gross Gas Production 3.0 Bcf/d ND_High Case ND_Base Case ND_Low Case 19

20 Increased Associated Gas and Subsequent NGL production Presents Challenges in the Bakken Mb/d

21 Separate Systems Will Move Raw Mix, Purity Ethane, and Wet Gas Via Pipelines to Demand Centers from the Williston Basin High-BTU Pipeline Capacity Additions 31 Mb/d Ethane Pipeline Capacity Additions NGL Pipeline Capacity Additions Mb/d 21

22 PADD by PADD Production and Flows 22

23 NGL Production and Movements - Sept ,329 Raw Mix Production Raw Mix Movements 23

24 Infrastructure Build Out Essential To Maintaining Growth (Announced Increases Through 2014) 135 Mb/d Y-Grade Pipeline Capacity Additions *As of 7/30/2012 Ethane Pipeline Capacity Additions 24

25 Balancing Purity Product Markets 25

26 U.S. Ethane Market Long Mb/d 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Gas Plant Supply Refinery Supply Petchem Demand Exports to Canada Rejected Volumes 26

27 Propane Extreme Length to be Relieved by Exports Mb/d Gas Plant Supply Refinery Supply Imports Petchem Demand Heating Demand Exports 27

28 LPG Exports from PADD III Required to Maintain U.S. Balance MBPD PADD III LPG Exports vs. Marine Export Capacity 2012 Enterprise s HSC 100 Mb/d Expansion 2013 Targa s Galena Park 25 Mb/d Expansion, ConocoPhillip s 150 Mb/d New Build Total Marine Exports Marine Export Capacity 28

29 BENTEK Energy BENTEK is an energy market analytics company, focused on the natural gas market and related energy sectors. Kelly Van Hull Ph: DISCLAIMER. THIS REPORT IS FURNISHED ON AN AS IS BASIS. BENTEK DOES NOT WARRANT THE ACCURACY OR CORRECTNESS OF THE REPORT OR THE INFORMATION CONTAINED THEREIN. BENTEK MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE USE OF ANY INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS REPORT IN CONNECTION WITH TRADING OF COMMODITIES, EQUITIES, FUTURES, OPTIONS OR ANY OTHER USE. BENTEK MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANT- ABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. RELEASE AND LIMITATION OF LIABILITY: IN NO EVENT SHALL BENTEK BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFIT) ARISING OUT OF OR RELATED TO THE ACCURACY OR CORRECTNESS OF THIS REPORT OR THE INFORMATION CONTAINED THEREIN,WHETHER BASED ON WARRANTY, CONTRACT, TORT OR ANY OTHER LEGAL THEORY. 29

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