Preparation Activities for the Future EUMETSAT Polar System (Post-EPS)
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1 Preparation Activities for the Future EUMETSAT Polar System (Post-EPS) Topics Background Planning Tentative Missions 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 1
2 Post-EPS Background (I) Approach for Post-EPS preparatory activities approved by EUMETSAT Council Nov Focus on establishment of Mission Requirements Starting point is MTG User Consultation Relevance: based on strategy of EUMETSAT Customers in timeframe user needs/priorities from application, technology-free perspective assessment of observing techniques suitable from GEO/LEO can be updated on demonstration of new capabilities 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 2
3 Post-EPS Background (II) Need of expansion of User Consultation from MTG to Post-EPS Applications: Oceanography (partially addressed in Global NWP only) Atmospheric chemistry & carbon cycle (focus was dt < 1 hour) Land surface analysis at large scale (met. applications only addressed) Climate monitoring (focus was on GEO missions) Observing techniques: Full assessment of LEO capabilities (focus was GEO) 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 3
4 Post-EPS Background (III) Tentative missions identified Atmospheric Sounding Wind Profiling Ocean Imaging (incl. Sea Ice, Winds) Ocean Surface Topography Cloud, Precipitation & Land Surface Imaging Atmospheric Chemistry + Climate Monitoring (to be supported within above missions) 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 4
5 Post-EPS Background (IV) Initial scope of tentative missions given by requirements based on EUMETSAT (MTG) User Consultation - NWC, NWP position papers WMO database of requirements IGOS Themes Ocean - Carbon Cyle Atmospheric Chemistry - Water Cycle GOOS GMES Themes Ocean Land Atmospheric Chemistry 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 5
6 Post-EPS Need date and overall planning '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 MTG Phase 0 POES/NPP/NPOESS NOAA-N (14:30) NOAA-N' (14:30) NPP (10:30) EPS METOP-A (09:30) Post EPS Phase 0 Phase A Phase A Phase B C1 (21:30) C4 (21:30) C2 (13:30) C3 (17:30) METOP-B (09:30) METOP-C (09:30) Phase B Phase C, D Phase CD MTG-1 Need Date C5 (13:30) C6 (17:30) Post-EPS Need Date 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 6
7 Post-EPS Planning for phase 0 (I) Activities Identification of tentative missions and preliminary scope/user requirements User Consultation: review/expansion of user requirements and initial assessment of relevant observation techniques by Application Expert Groups (AEG) supported by Remote Sensing Experts + Atmospheric Sounding and Wind Profiling + Ocean Topography and Imaging + Cloud, Precipitation & Land Surface Imaging + Atmospheric Chemistry Generation of mission requirements Conduct of studies on sensor concepts, system architecture, technical predevelopments up to ESA Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 2 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 7
8 Post-EPS Planning for phase 0 (II) User Consultation - Application Expert Groups Participation: leading scientists remote sensing experts (ESA) support/coordination by EUMETSAT Tasks: Identify the evolution of the application and the contributions of space-based observations Collect and review user requirements establishing a prioritised list of geophysical variables Present and discuss findings in open workshops 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 8
9 Post-EPS Planning for phase 0 (III) User Consultation Work plan: Collection and review of user requirements - meetings of the AEGs Presentation and discussion in application workshops Review and consolidation across missions Presentation and discussion in consolidation workshop Followed by: Generation of mission/observation requirements Study of sensor and system concepts, predevelopments up to TRL-2 Validation of user/mission requirements in a Mission Definition Review 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 9
10 Post-EPS Planning for phase 0 (IV) J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D Initial Scope of Tentative Missions Introduction of Tentative Missions at MTG 2nd UC Workshop Atmospheric Sounding & Wind Profiling AEG Ocean Topography & Imaging AEG Cloud, Precipitation & Land Surface Imaging AEG Atmospheric Chemistry AEG Consolidation of Application Requirements UC Consolidation Workshop User Consultation Mission Requirements Observation Mission Req. Support Mission Req. Assess METOP Commissioning Results Programmatic Requirements Mission Definition Review Architecture Concepts RSE Support to AEGs Obs. Techniques Consolidation Sensor Concepts & System Architecture Sensor Concepts & System Architecture MTR Pre-Developments TRL-2 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 10
11 Atmospheric Sounding and Wind Profiling Missions (I) Main Geophysical Parameters: Wind vector (Horizontal + Vertical Components) profiles Among the critical atmospheric parameters not adequately measured by current or planned satellites (WMO 2004). Temperature Profiles Humidity profiles Surface parameters 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 11
12 Atmospheric Sounding and Wind Profiling Missions (II) Identification of the user needs Sources: WMO publications MTG AEG position papers GCOS Global Climate Observing System IGOS Integrated Global Observing Strategy relevant literature, etc 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 12
13 Atmospheric Sounding and Wind Profiling Missions (III) Identification of the future user needs 3D wind vector : observations over ocean, poles and scarcely inhabited areas. Expected high impact for NWP in the Tropics and Southern Hemisphere. Temperature profiles: increase of vertical resolution, observations in cloudy areas and over land. Humidity profiles: Increase of vertical resolution. 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 13
14 Cloud, Precipitation and Land Imaging Mission Observations are essential for the following applications: NWP NWC Seasonal & Interannual Forecasting Hydrology Climate Preliminary user requirements targeting the needs of these users, have been extracted from the following sources: EUMETSAT (MTG) User Consultation - NWC, NWP position papers WMO database of satellite requirements IGOS Themes - Water Cycle - Carbon Cycle - Atmospheric Chemistry 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 14
15 Cloud Imaging The following observations are anticipated for clouds: Cloud coverage Cloud top/base height Cloud water/ice profiles + total column Cloud drop size profile Fog and low cloud Aerosols 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 15
16 Precipitation The following observations are anticipated for precipitation: Precipitation profile (liquid, snow, graupel, hail) Surface precipitation (liquid, snow, graupel,hail) 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 16
17 Land Imaging Anticipated land imaging observations: Soil Moisture Snow cover and snow water equivalent Glacier coverage and permafrost Vegetation (LAI, NDVI, FPAR) Fire Observations Surface water Radiation budget observations (incoming/outgoing radiation levels at the Earth s surface and TOA) 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 17
18 Cloud, Precipitation and Land Imaging Mission Benefits for: NWC - precipitation nowcasting, severe weather warnings, visibility, flood prediction, mud slide models, heavy snow and avalanche warnings, UV radiation warnings, fire models NWP - precipitation forecasts, improved forcing for atmospheric circulation models, boundary conditions, model verification Seasonal & Inter-Annual forecasting Hydrology - soil moisture prediction, floods, river flow, agriculture, ocean salinity, agriculture, water cycle monitoring and prediction Climate models - monitoring and prediction Carbon Cycle - monitoring and prediction Atmospheric Chemistry Earth s Radiation Budget monitoring 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 18
19 Atmospheric Chemistry Mission Three primary themes identified Ozone & Surface UV Air Quality Climate monitoring and processes Tentative mission scope based on Integrated Global Atmospheric Chemistry Observations (IGACO) Report from the IGOS Atmospheric Chemistry Theme ESA CAPACITY Study Main drivers Protocol Monitoring; Near-Real Time Applications; Assessment 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 19
20 Atmospheric Chemistry Mission Other Relevant Activities ESA GMES Service Element (GSE) PROMOTE PROtocol MOniToring for the GMES Service Element EU Framework 6 Projects in support of GMES (Global Monitoring for Environment and Security) GEMS Global and regional Earth-system (Atmosphere) Monitoring using Satellite and in-situ data 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 20
21 Atmospheric Chemistry Mission Other Relevant Activities continued... GMES Thematic Projects GMES-GATO "Global Monitoring for Environment and Security - Global Atmospheric Observations DAEDALUS - CREATE "Construction and Delivery of European AErosol Data Bases and products for Assimilation and environmental Use APMOSPHERE "Air Pollution MOdelling for Support to Policy on Health, Environment and Risk management in Europe METH-MONITEUR "Creating a pan-european methane monitoring program 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 21
22 Ocean Topography and Ocean Imaging Including Sea Ice and Surface Wind Requirements Origin EUMETSAT AEG for Numerical Weather Prediction global regional EUMETSAT AEG for Nowcasting Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS) Ocean Theme Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS) Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES) 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 22
23 Ocean Topography and Ocean Imaging Including Sea Ice and Surface Wind Operational Applications Weather forecast Ocean circulation models Wave and surge models Offshore industry, marine transport Ocean biology Ecosystem processes Ocean chemistry Seasonal forecasts Sea level changes Tide predictions Sea state prediction Climate monitoring and processes 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 23
24 Ocean Imaging Mission User Needs Surface vector wind Sea surface temperature Sea ice surface temperature Surface stability Sea state (spectra of energy, direction, period) Sea surface salinity Sea ice (extent/fractional coverage, type, thickness, drift) Ocean colour (chlorophyll, suspended sediment, yellow substance) Surface pressure 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 24
25 Ocean Topography Mission User Needs Ocean topography Surface elevation (surge height, ocean currents, sea level anomalies, river/lake levels) Significant wave height Surface wind speed Sea ice (extent/fractional coverage, type, thickness, drift, ice bergs) Surface wave energy spectrum Surface precipitation 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 25
26 User Requirements Initial formulation of potential user requirements in terms of List of objective and threshold requirements, Objective: Observation goal Threshold: Minimum level for usefulness Accuracy Spatial sampling Temporal sampling Reporting delay Breakthrough level Priority Basis for AEG discussion and subsequent user consultation 2nd MTG User Consultation Workshop - Locarno 14, 15 April 2005 Page 26
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