REGIONAL ECONOMY PROFILE

Transcription

1 REGIONAL ECONOMY PROFILE Knox County Knox County, Illinois JUNE 2015

2 Knox County, IL Table of Contents Topic Page Purpose 3 Economic Summary 4 Population Change 2004 to Unemployment Rate, Historical 5 Employment Change During Recessions 5 Housing Values 5 H+T Affordability Index 6 Retail Profile 6 Commuting Characteristics 6 Household Income 7 County Rankings 7 Gross Regional Product (GRP) 8 Exports 9 Imports 10 Job Trends and Projections 11 Largest Industry Sectors 11 Growing & Declining Industries 12 Employment by Traded Cluster 12 Job Creation by Traded Cluster 13 Largest Manufacturing Industries 14 Appendix Sources 15 2

3 Purpose Ameren is an investor-owned electric and natural gas utility serving central and southern Illinois, mid-missouri and the St. Louis metropolitan area. As a critical energy and infrastructure partner, Ameren is committed to the economic well-being of its service area communities. Ameren's economic development team supports community-based development organizations as they assist new and existing business customers grow and expand. Ameren s Regional Economy Profile provides an industrial and demographic overview for a defined geographic area. This comprehensive assessment is intended to provide pertinent information about the region's economic base, competitive attributes and population trends in order to help guide local and regional development. By referencing historical, current and projected data, local development officials and prospective business investors can quantify the state of the region s economy. The Regional Economy Profile is the product of Ameren s collaboration with The Smart Solutions Group, a nationally recognized economic development consultant with access to federal and state economic, industry, occupation and demographic data sources. 3

4 Summary Knox County, IL Economic Summary Population (2014) 51,844 Jobs (2014) 22,692 Average Earnings (2014) $41,687 Unemployed (2/2015) 1,481 Completions (2013)* 835 GRP (2013)** $1,656,830,671 Exports (2013) $2,619,781,394 Imports (2013) $2,981,193,175 * Number of degrees, certificates, and diplomas awarded by postsecondary institutions in the Region ** Gross Regional Product (GRP) is the measure of the goods and services produced by businesses and organizations located in the Region Population Change 2004 to 2014 County State Population by Age 2014 Change Change Under 20 years 11,829 (11%) 3,399,096 (5%) years 12,552 (4%) 3,528,079 (1%) - 40 to 59 years 13,562 (11%) 3,503,020 2% - 60 to 79 years 10,904 17% 2,043,436 28% - 80 years & over 2,998 2% 472,850 8% - Total 51,844 (4%) 12,946,481 6% 4

5 Knox County, IL -- Unemployment Rate ( ) Knox County, IL -- Employment Change During National Recessions 5

6 Knox County, IL -- Housing & Transportation Costs as a Percent of Income (H+T Affordability Index) The Housing and Transportation (H+T ) Affordability Index provides a comprehensive view of affordability, one that includes the cost of housing and transportation at the neighborhood level. VMT=Vehicle Miles Traveled Knox County, IL -- Retail Profile Industry Summary Total Retail Trade & Food & Drink Total Retail Trade Total food & Drink NAICS Demand (Retail Potential) Supply (Retail Sales) Retail Gap Leakage/Surplus Factor # of Businesses $466,265,181 $579,766,799 ($113,301,618) (10.9) $421,658,001 $510,321,084 ($88,633,083) (9.5) $44,607,180 $69,445,715 ($24,838,535) (21.8) 99 Data Note: Supply (retail sales) estimates sales to consumers by establishments. Sales to businesses are excluded. A positive value represents leakage: of retail opportunity outside the trade area. A negative value represents a surplus of retail sales, a market where customers are drawn in from outside the trade area. Source: ESRI and Dun & Bradstreet Knox County, IL -- Commuting Characteristics 2012 Place of Work Number Percentage - Worked in county of residence 16, % - Worked outside county of residence 4, % - Commutes into County 4,224 6

7 Knox County, IL 2015 Households by Average Income & Age of Householder Age < Average HH Income $31,785 $48,773 $59,513 $63,915 $57,776 $50,494 $37,251 Knox County, IL County Ranking in Key Economic Indicators (2013) People & Income Overview (By Place of Residence) Value Rank in State Industry Overview (2013) (By Place of Work) Value Population 52, Covered Employment 19, Growth (%) Since 2010 (1.6%) 62 Average wage per job $31, Census Households (2013) 21, Manufacturing-% all jobs 6.2% 75 in County Labor Force (persons) 24, Average wage per job $40, (2013) Unemployment Rate (2013) 8.9% 49 Transportation & Warehousing % all jobs in 0.6% 92 County Per Capita Personal $38, Average wage per job $50, Income (2013) Median Household $39, Health Care Social assist. 0.1% 66 Income (2013) -% all jobs in County Poverty Rate (2013) Average wage per job $63,047 2 H.S. Diploma or More -% Finance & Insurance -% 2.4% 73 of Adults 25+ (2013 ACS all jobs in County 5yr) Bachelor s Deg. Or More- % of Adults 25+ (2013 ACS 5yr) Rank in State Average wage per job $45,

8 Knox County, IL -- Gross Regional Product (GRP) Market value of all goods and services produced in the County $1,024,881,200 $1,656,830,671 Earnings (2013) Total GRP (2013) NAICS Industry GRP (2013) % of Total 11 Crop and Animal Production $54,935, % 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $24,511, % 22 Utilities $59,483, % 23 Construction $45,256, % 31 Manufacturing $94,221, % 42 Wholesale Trade $86,632, % 44 Retail Trade $144,544, % 48 Transportation and Warehousing $165,502, % 51 Information $49,368, % 52 Finance and Insurance $78,081, % 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $53,794, % Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $23,255, % $4,256, % $33,433, % 61 Educational Services $40,460, % 62 Health Care and Social Assistance $228,367, % 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $5,470, % 72 Accommodation and Food Services $40,719, % 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) $33,533, % 90 Government $250,214, % Other Non-Industries $140,786, % 8

9 Knox County, IL -- Exports The value of all goods and services sold outside the County $2,619, Exports (2013) NAICS Industry Exports (2013) 11 Crop and Animal Production $125,765, Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $31,829, Utilities $75,695, Construction $53,694, Manufacturing $328,847, Wholesale Trade $112,098, Retail Trade $175,717, Transportation and Warehousing $326,369, Information $75,669, Finance and Insurance $96,948, Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $45,253, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $21,505, Management of Companies and Enterprises $6,897, Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $35,422, Educational Services $57,089, Health Care and Social Assistance $282,741, Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $5,063, Accommodation and Food Services $54,146, Other Services (except Public Administration) $39,199, Government $669,826,

10 Knox County, IL -- Region s Imports The value of goods and services purchased from outside the County $2,981,193, $697,702, Imports (2013) Locally Produced & Consumed (2013) 19% of Demand NAICS Industry Imports (2013) 11 Crop and Animal Production $84,306, Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $26,572, Utilities $39,830, Construction $105,087, Manufacturing $525,656, Wholesale Trade $143,739, Retail Trade $110,174, Transportation and Warehousing $87,536, Information $114,428, Finance and Insurance $219,818, Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $185,353, Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $139,498, Management of Companies and Enterprises $37,214, Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $56,985, Educational Services $27,377, Health Care and Social Assistance $148,731, Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $28,502, Accommodation and Food Services $67,174, Other Services (except Public Administration) $43,814, Government $789,388,

11 Knox County, IL Total Employment Change Region 2004 Jobs 2014 Jobs % Change County 24,053 22, % Illinois 6,296,526 6,296, % United States 146,163, ,804, % Knox County, IL -- Largest Employers (based on number of Jobs in 2- digit NAICS industries in 2014) NAICS Code Industry 2004 Jobs 2014 Jobs Change in Jobs ( ) % Change # Establishment (2014) 62 Health Care 4,236 4, % Government 4,149 3,976 (173) (4%) Retail Trade 3,455 3,217 (238) (7%) Accommodations & Food 1,764 1, % Transportation & Warehousing 1,237 1, % Manufacturing 2,532 1,234 (1,298) (51%) Educational Services % 9 81 Other Services (except Public Admin) 1, (228) (19%) Administrative & Support & Waste Mgmt. & Remediation Services 1, (402) (35%) Construction %

12 Knox County, IL -- Growing & Declining Industries Industry Change in Jobs ( ) Growing Industries Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly 916 Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools 487 Crop Production 247 Declining Industries Prefabricated Metal Building and Component Manufacturing -457 Temporary Help Services -554 Household Refrigerator and Home Freezer Manufacturing -747 Rank numbers are out of 3221 for counties. Highlighting indicates a Strong Traded Cluster in the region. A strong cluster is a cluster that has high employment specialization in a region. See Appendix page for description of Traded Clusters 12

13 Knox County, IL -- Largest Manufacturing Industries (based on number of Jobs in 3-digit NAICS industries in 2014) NAICS Code Industry 2004 Jobs 2014 Jobs Change in Jobs ( ) % Change Location Quotient 326 Plastics & Rubber Products Mfg (34) (11%) Fabricated Metal Product Mfg (345) (65%) Paper Manufacturing (34) (21%) Wood Product Manufacturing % Machinery Manufacturing (5) (5%) Primary Metal Manufacturing % 1.47 * Industry Location Quotient (LQ) is a measure of industry concentration and therefore, it is a measure of the industry s strength in the County. LQ is calculated by dividing the percentage of an industry s employment in the County by that industry s employment nationwide as a percentage of the national employment. An LQ equal to 1.00 indicates that the industry in the County has the same concentration as the national percentage for the industry. An industry with an LQ greater than 1.00 indicates the County has an above average industry concentration and an LQ of less than 1.00 indicates that the industry has a concentration below the nation. 13

14 Appendix - Sources ECONOMIC MODELING SPECIALISTS INTL. (EMSI) EMSI is an aggregator of over 90 different federal and state data sources of economic, industry, occupation, education completion, and demographic data. They provide national, state, metropolitan statistical area (MSA), and county data for the 1,100 NAICS industries, the nearly 800 occupations in the Bureau of Labor Statistic s Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System, and education completion data in the IPEDS database that are published by the U.S. Department of Education s National Center for Education Statistics. The majority of the data used in this report is from EMSI s first quarter 2015 data release. US Cluster Mapping Project Cluster data is pulled from US Census Bureau data. Traded clusters are groups of related industries that serve markets beyond the region in which they are located. They are free to choose their location of operation (unless the location of natural resources drives where they can be) and are highly concentrated in a few regions, tending to only appear in regions that afford specific competitive advantages. SMART SOLUTIONS GROUP Founded in 2001, Smart Solutions Group s three partners have over 75 years of economic development experience and they have managed community, regional, and state economic development organizations. Smart Solutions Group provides a wide variety of economic and workforce development services. 14