Meat Business - today and tomorrow

Transcription

1 Meat Business - today and tomorrow Souèasnost a budoucnost obchodu s vepøovým masem Dr. Vinzenz Bauer Chamber of Agriculture Lower Saxony November 12th 2014 Pig Breeders Association of the Czech Republic Nr.: 1

2 The Chamber of Agriculture in Lower Saxony is an country-wide extension organisation close to its members. is professional, competent, neutral and independent. puts the concept of self-governance into daily practice in the relationship between central administration and regional offices. administers European regulations and related funds. Nr.: 2

3 Germany: current situation of agriculture General: economically strong - Balance: (1) agriculture, (2) environmelntal prot., & (3) recreational/ecological landscape value - Stable/strong agricultural, horticultural and food-industrial companies - EU agricultural rules fixed till Rules still getting stricter for farmers - Relatively high land prices Nr.: 3

4 Overview 1. Introduction/background (finished) 2. Slaughterpig and pork market - present situation - Market facts - Impact of Russian ban - Other export possibilities - Cereal prices 3. Soft facts / current developments - General economics - Importance of animal welfare - Piglet castration - Antibiotics usage Nr.: 4

5 EU: pig census 2013 in Heads Nr.: 5

6 Slaugterpigs numbers slaughtered in Germany + 20 Mio. pigs in 15 years Nr.: 6

7 tisíc tun thousand tonnes Kč/kg CZK per kg Czech pig production facts Vepřové maso - výroba a průměrné ceny zemědělských výrobců Pigmeat - production and average agricultural producer prices 71 48, , , ,0 55 III IV I 2013 II III IV I 2014 II III 32,0 výroba Production cena (prasata, JUT) Price (pigs, carcass) Nr.: 7

8 Development of the German slaughterindustry Nr.: 8

9 Weekly slaughterpig prices internationally EU, USA, Brazil, Canada Nr.: 9

10 Margin for pork in Germany Class S (E) - P Germany total Nr.: 10

11 Germany: average consumer price for pork chops Nr.: 11

12 Outlook pork production 2015 De, Dk, Nl largest piglet producers in Europe Germany largest piglet importer (approx Mio.) Structural changes still in progress in the entire EU (EU-fines due to delayed application of new sow housing regulations FR,B,GB, ZY) ; DE 99,2% Germany largest consumer & producer in EU-28 Important: Only operations with good productivity have proper chances, to make money in the pig sector! Nr.: 12

13 World pork production Nr.: 13

14 Less hunger, but not good enough FAO Director General José Graziano da Silva October 2nd 2014 FAO: partial success in the fight against chronic hunger Decrease by 17% since still, one in eight people suffers from hunger (also in Europe!) Nr.: 14

15 Global development of meat consumption Nr.: 15

16 Disease threats - ASF Nr.: 16

17 Costly trouble Россельхознадзор, and then Ukraine - Russian import stop for EU food products - Estimated decrease in German slaughterpig price 5 to 8 cts - Especially fatty pork articles decreased in price - No EU interventions planned Nr.: 17

18 World pork production Nr.: 18

19 Who are the main exporters? Nr.: 19

20 World markets pork production 2014* - production + imports Nr.: 20

21 World trade with pork with import and export numbers Nr.: 21

22 Feed grains Nr.: 22

23 Producer prices for corn Weser-Ems region Nr.: 23

24 Soy- and rapeseed meal 2013 / 14 Sales prices to agriculture Nr.: 24

25 Piglet feed pressed, 13,0 MJ/kg Sales prices of traders Nr.: 25

26 Sow feed, 13,0 MJ/kg Traders sales prices Nr.: 26

27 Feed for slaughterpigs Nr.: 27

28 Current developments Nr.: 28

29 Macroeconomic factors Nr.: 29

30 Nr.: 30

31 Nr.: 31

32 Market strategy 4 x D (CZ) pork EU marks origin of fresh meat from Birth Raising Slaughtering Processing (Feed??) Wanted by countries like Korea and China, but also inner-european retailers! Nr.: 32

33 Antibiotics database(s) for animal keepers in Germany Goal of activities: Reduction of antibioticis usage - New legislation regarding pharmaceuticals - Animal keepers obliged to document antibiotics usage - Huge discussions on administration and data management Nr.: 33

34 Piglet castration Goal of activities: stop of piglet castration Boars are being fattened - Preparation in progress - Current boar supply ample - Some scepticism Nr.: 34

35 Surface consumption still not stopped Nr.: 35

36 European funding secure till 2020 Fundings crucial for the existance of many family farms (more support for smaller farms <95ha) Direct payments not dependant on produced quantities (Ø 281 /ha) Cross-compliance - compensation for procurement of public goods (beautiful landscape, biodiversity, etc.) Greening: conservation of grasslands, crop rotations/diversifications and surface usage in accordance with environmental protection Nr.: 36

37 Finally World is hungry for meat, Production in EU stable EU reputation for food products is good Tierwohl is a trend on the important home market Farmers need to mind own productivity first Source: Dr. Clar Nr.: 37