1 THERE ARE 2 ACTIVE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENT ON YOUR BALLOT, FOR WHOM WILL YOU VOTE, OR TOWARD WHOM WOULD YOU LEAN AT THIS TIME?
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- April Walker
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1 TABLE OF CONTENTS CA STATEWIDE (DEM & IND) - BANNER 1 - SUFFOLK UNIVERSITY S1 GENDER S2 HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO VOTE IN THE CALIFORNIA PRIMARY NEXT TUESDAY? S3 ARE YOU CURRENTLY REGISTERED TO VOTE AS A DEMOCRAT, REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT, UNDECLARED, OR SOMETHING ELSE? 1 THERE ARE 2 ACTIVE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENT ON YOUR BALLOT, FOR WHOM WILL YOU VOTE, OR TOWARD WHOM WOULD YOU LEAN AT THIS TIME? 2 HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO CHANGE YOUR MIND ABOUT YOUR CHOICE BEFORE TUESDAY? 3 DID YOU WATCH THE DEMOCRATIC DEBATE THURSDAY NIGHT? 4 WHO IMPRESSED YOU THE MOST IN THE DEBATE? 5 REGARDLESS OF WHO YOU PERSONALLY SUPPORT, WHO DO YOU BELIEVE WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING CANDIDATES FROM BOTH PARTIES? 6 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING ISSUES IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING THE COUNTRY? 7 DOES BARACK OBAMA HAVE ENOUGH EXPERIENCE TO BE PRESIDENT? 8 DOES HILLARY CLINTON REPRESENT CHANGE OR THE SAME OLD POLITICS? 9 WHICH ENDORSEMENT DO YOU CONSIDER THE MOST INFLUENTIAL? 10 HAS BILL CLINTON'S CAMPAIGNING FOR HILLARY MADE YOU MORE OR LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR HER? 11 WHICH BEST DESCRIBES YOUR FAMILY'S SITUATION? 12 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING BEST DESCRIBES YOU? 13 ARE THERE ANY MEMBERS OF YOUR HOUSEHOLD WHO ARE US VETERANS? 14 AGE GROUP 15 ETHNICITY 16 REGION
2 S1 GENDER Male % 100% 47.5% 59.1% 47.8% 45.1% 56.6% 48% 47.7% 48.0% 48% 48.1% 45.8% 48.3% 50.3% 46.0% 48.2% 56.1% 44% G T Female % 100% 52.5% 40.9% 52.2% 54.9% 43.4% 52% 52.3% 52.0% 52% 51.9% 54.2% 51.7% 49.7% 54.0% 51.8% 43.9% 56% H S
3 S2 HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO VOTE IN THE CALIFORNIA PRIMARY NEXT TUESDAY? Very Likely % 75% 76.8% 100.0% 76.6% 74.7% 71% 74.0% 69.5% 86% 79.1% 86.3% 81.5% 79.0% 76.0% 65.6% 70.8% 79% IJK QR R R R S Somewhat Likely % 4.6% 2.9% 100.0% 2.4% 7.5% 3.1% 3.8% 6.6% 1.5% 5.9% 3.9% 3.6% 4.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.7% 2.7% G L t Already Voted % 20% 20.3% 100.0% 21.0% 17.8% 26% 22.2% 23.9% 13% 15.1% 9.8% 14.9% 16.2% 21.7% 30.3% 23.5% 18% Lm L L N NOPq
4 S3 ARE YOU CURRENTLY REGISTERED TO VOTE AS A DEMOCRAT, REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT, UNDECLARED, OR SOMETHING ELSE? Democrat % 71% 79.1% 75.5% 49.6% 77.9% 100% 77% 74.4% 73.6% 78% 60.2% 68.0% 67.5% 76.9% 76.8% 78.5% 71.8% 76% B E E M m m M o o no Independent/ Undeclared % 29% 20.9% 24.5% 50.4% 22.1% 100% 23% 25.6% 26.4% 22% 39.8% 32.0% 32.5% 23.1% 23.2% 21.5% 28.2% 24% C DF IjkL r pqr
5 1 THERE ARE 2 ACTIVE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENT ON YOUR BALLOT, FOR WHOM WILL YOU VOTE, OR TOWARD WHOM WOULD YOU LEAN AT THIS TIME? Barack Obama % 45% 34.7% 40.2% 27.8% 40.8% 40.0% 39.2% 45% 38.7% 30.7% 45% 29.7% 51.2% 48.2% 44.9% 35.5% 27.6% 38.0% 40% C KM KM QR QR qr Hillary Clinton % 30% 47.0% 38.6% 30.0% 40.1% 41.3% 30.4% 39% 35.7% 41.5% 36% 43.5% 31.1% 32.0% 37.2% 42.1% 45.2% 35.6% 40% B H no NO Don't Know/ Undecided % 21% 17.1% 20.1% 38.5% 10.5% 15.7% 28.1% 13% 19.7% 23.2% 18% 25.1% 14.7% 18.8% 15.7% 20.6% 22.1% 23.4% 17% F df G I i T Refused % 4.3% 1.3% 1.1% 3.7% 8.6% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7% 5.9% 4.5% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 5.1% 3.0% 2.6% C D il L Oq
6 2 HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO CHANGE YOUR MIND ABOUT YOUR CHOICE BEFORE TUESDAY? TOTAL ANSWERING Very Likely % 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 3.2% 1.3% 4.8% 2.3% 1.9% 3.4% 1.4% 2.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% Somewhat Likely % 11% 8.3% 12.0% 13.1% 8.7% 12.5% 11% 7.7% 8.2% 11% 8.0% 11.9% 13.1% 13.3% 6.4% 5.7% 9.3% 9.7% r qr Unlikely % 85% 88.3% 83.1% 86.9% 100.0% 88.4% 80.9% 85% 91.2% 85.1% 86% 89.1% 84.7% 81.0% 85.3% 88.9% 91.8% 87.1% 87% D h Op Don't Know/ Undecided % 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 1.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 1.9% 0.7% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% Refused % 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7%
7 3 DID YOU WATCH THE DEMOCRATIC DEBATE THURSDAY NIGHT? Yes % 47% 44.5% 45.4% 49.7% 46.2% 46.1% 44.8% 39% 37.6% 48.5% 54% 46.4% 34.3% 28.9% 45.9% 49.5% 57.6% 49.0% 44% ij IJ no NO NOP No % 53% 55.2% 54.4% 50.3% 53.8% 53.8% 55.2% 60% 62.4% 51.5% 46% 53.6% 65.7% 71.1% 53.5% 50.5% 42.4% 51.0% 56% L kl pqr PQR R Don't Know % 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
8 4 WHO IMPRESSED YOU THE MOST IN THE DEBATE? TOTAL ANSWERING Barack Obama % 38% 27.4% 34.7% 14.8% 27.7% 30.6% 38.4% 28% 27.5% 25.9% 43% 27.9% 48.4% 44.2% 36.8% 20.8% 30.3% 35.3% 31% C e IjK Q Q Q Hillary Clinton % 20% 38.1% 30.5% 28.8% 23.9% 32.2% 19.5% 36% 28.1% 26.1% 27% 26.1% 27.9% 25.6% 19.6% 36.7% 31.7% 22.4% 32% B H P p S Don't Know/ Undecided % 39% 34.0% 33.5% 49.0% 45.6% 35.2% 40.9% 33% 42.1% 45.4% 29% 46.0% 23.7% 26.7% 40.9% 41.4% 36.1% 40.7% 35% d L n n Refused % 3.2% 0.6% 1.3% 7.4% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 3.0% 2.2% 2.6% 0.9% 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% c
9 5 REGARDLESS OF WHO YOU PERSONALLY SUPPORT, WHO DO YOU BELIEVE WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING CANDIDATES FROM BOTH PARTIES? Hillary Clinton % 34% 35.6% 34.5% 30.2% 36.8% 37.2% 27.6% 32% 29.6% 38.6% 36% 40.6% 32.4% 30.8% 33.9% 38.1% 37.4% 31.3% 37% H Barack Obama % 24% 20.7% 22.4% 14.4% 23.4% 24.5% 15.6% 28% 18.2% 18.0% 24% 15.1% 30.1% 24.2% 28.1% 17.0% 16.3% 20.2% 23% H JKM QR QR John McCain % 15% 11.7% 12.7% 23.9% 13.6% 11.6% 18.4% 13% 16.7% 14.8% 10% 14.6% 9.9% 16.6% 16.4% 8.5% 14.5% 17.3% 11% G q Q q T Mitt Romney % 1.6% 0.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 2.9% 0.6% 1.9% 1.5% 3.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.1% g Mike Huckabee % 1.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 2.2% 0.4% 1.3% Ron Paul % 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% Don't Know/ Undecided % 23% 30.1% 27.3% 31.5% 23.2% 24.6% 32.6% 24% 30.7% 28.1% 27% 24.3% 27.6% 24.6% 19.0% 34.7% 26.6% 28.9% 25% B G op p Refused % 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5%
10 6 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING ISSUES IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING THE COUNTRY? The Economy % 41% 40.3% 41.9% 23.6% 38.1% 41.4% 37.7% 35% 45.4% 40.7% 43% 42.7% 41.0% 36.7% 46.6% 39.8% 36.2% 36.8% 42% E i r The War in Iraq % 29% 29.8% 29.9% 18.9% 30.5% 31.9% 22.9% 33% 25.0% 23.9% 32% 33.5% 33.8% 26.3% 27.8% 28.4% 33.6% 34.3% 27% H k k t Healthcare % 11% 12.1% 11.4% 16.1% 11.6% 10.5% 15.0% 12% 11.8% 14.7% 8.6% 13.0% 12.5% 17.3% 7.9% 13.7% 8.9% 9.0% 13% l PR p Illegal Immigration % 4.8% 6.4% 5.3% 15.2% 4.8% 3.8% 11.0% 3.1% 4.0% 10.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 4.0% 9.2% 5.6% 5.0% 7.2% 4.8% G IJlM No n Environment % 5.3% 4.8% 5.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 3.7% 7.8% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 3.3% 5.9% 9.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 5.4% qr Terrorism % 4.6% 1.8% 2.5% 14.4% 3.7% 2.7% 4.6% 4.4% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 1.3% 3.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 2.8% C d Other % 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 4.0% 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% Don't Know/ Undecided % 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 3.5% 2.8% 4.6% 3.6% 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 3.3% 6.5% 2.6% 3.8% OP Refused % 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
11 7 DOES BARACK OBAMA HAVE ENOUGH EXPERIENCE TO BE PRESIDENT? Yes % 57% 47.9% 52.6% 26.7% 54.7% 53.8% 47.0% 51% 50.6% 51.3% 58% 39.8% 60.2% 58.3% 52.6% 48.3% 48.5% 47.7% 55% C E E M qr s No % 31% 39.0% 35.9% 35.0% 31.8% 34.6% 36.3% 34% 34.6% 35.4% 32% 48.5% 27.5% 28.5% 36.8% 37.4% 38.4% 37.0% 34% B ijkl no Don't Know/ Undecided % 12% 13.1% 11.3% 34.6% 13.5% 11.4% 16.1% 15% 14.8% 12.7% 9.5% 11.7% 12.3% 13.2% 10.0% 14.3% 13.1% 14.9% 12% DF Refused % 0.6% 0.2% 3.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
12 8 DOES HILLARY CLINTON REPRESENT CHANGE OR THE SAME OLD POLITICS? Change % 43% 58.8% 49.8% 53.3% 56.9% 54.4% 42.0% 57% 46.5% 55.6% 45% 52.3% 53.4% 46.3% 51.7% 53.5% 53.0% 47.3% 54% B H jl L Same Old Politics % 42% 31.8% 38.5% 28.0% 31.7% 32.5% 49.6% 33% 42.9% 32.5% 40% 37.7% 38.6% 45.4% 34.6% 33.1% 35.1% 40.2% 35% C G k pqr Don't Know/ Undecided % 13% 9.4% 10.8% 15.1% 11.4% 12.3% 7.3% 8.7% 10.6% 10.0% 15% 10.0% 8.0% 7.2% 13.1% 12.9% 11.3% 11.6% 11% H i Refused % 1.7% 0.9% 3.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
13 9 WHICH ENDORSEMENT DO YOU CONSIDER THE MOST INFLUENTIAL? Ted Kennedy for Obama % 34% 34.6% 35.1% 30.6% 31.9% 35.3% 31.3% 34% 29.2% 35.1% 39% 23.4% 31.6% 37.4% 33.9% 37.0% 31.3% 33.3% 35% m jm Bill Clinton for Hillary % 22% 22.8% 22.0% 19.5% 25.5% 23.7% 19.3% 21% 23.9% 24.5% 21% 24.7% 29.6% 16.9% 20.5% 19.5% 29.5% 22.9% 22% o OpQ Oprah Winfrey for Obama % 18% 20.4% 19.7% 26.2% 16.7% 18.1% 23.1% 21% 29.0% 13.4% 18% 18.0% 25.2% 21.8% 24.5% 17.0% 12.9% 21.0% 19% k KL R r qr Don't Know/ Undecided % 22% 20.0% 20.5% 20.1% 23.0% 20.1% 23.6% 20% 14.4% 25.0% 19% 32.2% 12.3% 19.6% 19.3% 24.8% 23.3% 19.9% 22% J ijl N N Refused % 3.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.3% 4.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1%
14 10 HAS BILL CLINTON'S CAMPAIGNING FOR HILLARY MADE YOU MORE OR LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR HER? More Likely % 18% 20.5% 17.9% 18.1% 25.4% 21.9% 12.1% 21% 15.9% 23.1% 18% 15.9% 27.8% 10.3% 19.1% 21.2% 21.0% 19.3% 19% d H O O O O Less Likely % 32% 28.2% 30.9% 23.3% 29.0% 27.1% 39.6% 26% 28.1% 29.4% 34% 34.3% 28.6% 29.2% 31.9% 31.6% 27.9% 33.2% 29% G i No Difference % 47% 47.9% 48.0% 54.5% 44.2% 48.0% 45.9% 51% 54.1% 44.9% 43% 46.0% 39.4% 57.8% 46.5% 44.3% 49.2% 44.8% 49% l NpQ Don't Know/ Undecided % 1.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.1% 0.7% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.6% F j Refused % 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5%
15 11 WHICH BEST DESCRIBES YOUR FAMILY'S SITUATION? Getting Ahead Financially 17.0% 19% 14.8% 17.5% 16.2% 15.5% 16.0% 20.2% 17% 15.4% 16.6% 19% 15.1% 20.5% 17.8% 22.7% 19.0% 7.7% 15.1% 18% R R R R Holding Steady Financially 57.1% 58% 56.1% 56.5% 56.2% 59.3% 58.0% 54.4% 57% 53.3% 59.4% 55% 65.7% 50.8% 59.1% 54.1% 52.0% 67.5% 59.9% 56% NPQ Falling Behind Financially 21.7% 18% 24.8% 21.4% 27.5% 21.6% 21.7% 21.4% 20% 28.7% 21.3% 21% 15.5% 17.6% 20.2% 21.5% 26.1% 20.7% 21.1% 22% B M Don't Know/ Undecided % 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 2.4% 1.1% 2.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 2.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.8% p Refused % 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 1.4% 2.7% 1.6% 4.3% 2.5% 1.9% 3.8% 11.0% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% OPQR
16 12 WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING BEST DESCRIBES YOU? Born in California % 31% 35.6% 33.3% 37.2% 32.7% 34.2% 30.6% 32% 47.2% 31.4% 31% 25.1% 49.0% 37.7% 38.7% 33.9% 19.1% 31.4% 35% IKLM QR R R R Moved in the Last Four Years 13.2% 14% 12.2% 13.7% 11.2% 11.6% 13.5% 12.2% 13% 10.4% 8.7% 17% 16.7% 23.8% 22.2% 9.1% 9.1% 11.6% 7.4% 16% jk PQR PQR S Moved Five to Ten Years Ago 10.5% 9.9% 11.0% 10.0% 11.4% 12.1% 9.0% 15.1% 9.1% 8.5% 10.7% 12% 11.7% 6.5% 19.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.2% 6.5% 13% G NPQR S Moved More than 10 Years Ago 40.8% 43% 38.9% 40.3% 40.3% 43.0% 40.9% 40.6% 42% 31.5% 49.2% 38% 42.7% 9.6% 19.4% 43.9% 46.7% 59.1% 53.5% 34% j JL n NO NO NOPQ T Refused % 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 0.7% 2.4% 1.6% 3.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.8% 11.0% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% F OPQ
17 13 ARE THERE ANY MEMBERS OF YOUR HOUSEHOLD WHO ARE US VETERANS? Yes % 39% 28.1% 30.9% 51.1% 38.8% 31.9% 37.5% 27% 39.5% 44.5% 27% 34.7% 15.6% 13.9% 27.5% 39.9% 52.8% 100% C D d IL IL NO NOP NOPQ No % 60% 71.7% 68.5% 48.9% 60.5% 67.4% 62.5% 73% 59.6% 54.9% 72% 65.3% 84.4% 86.1% 72.5% 60.1% 46.6% 100% B ef JK JK PQR PQR QR R Don't Know % 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% Refused % 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9%
18 14 AGE GROUP 18 to % 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 0.8% 2.5% 2.3% 3.8% 3.6% 1.3% 1.0% 3.8% 23.8% 1.3% 3.0% F l 26 to % 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.3% 4.2% 6.8% 10.7% 8.2% 8.2% 3.9% 11% 3.8% 76.2% 3.4% 10% F k KM S 36 to % 16% 15.4% 16.5% 14.9% 11.4% 13.9% 20.1% 17% 12.9% 10.7% 19% 14.2% 100% 6.5% 20% g k K S 46 to % 25% 22.8% 24.7% 31.2% 19.1% 24.4% 22.0% 23% 26.9% 26.7% 22% 20.1% 100% 19.7% 26% s 56 to % 24% 25.9% 24.8% 15.7% 26.8% 25.5% 23.1% 26% 22.4% 30.8% 18% 36.0% 100% 29.8% 23% l L jl T Over % 25% 24.6% 21.3% 27.4% 37.1% 25.9% 21.2% 21% 24.3% 26.6% 28% 22.2% 100% 39.2% 17% D i T Refused % 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8%
19 15 ETHNICITY White % 74% 72.7% 72.3% 61.7% 79.7% 72.4% 76.4% 79% 75.9% 76.0% 60% 90.8% 57.1% 65.3% 69.0% 80.8% 83.3% 73.6% 74% de L L L IJKL n NOP NOP Hispanic/ Latino % 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 22.2% 5.1% 10.1% 5.0% 6.4% 8.2% 6.6% 15% 1.7% 23.8% 8.3% 10.1% 5.1% 5.7% 10.3% 8.1% f F H m M m IjKM OPQR q Black % 5.9% 9.8% 8.4% 7.9% 9.1% 4.6% 5.4% 3.6% 9.4% 14% 6.8% 12.1% 9.4% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% b H j IJ q Asian % 4.7% 3.5% 4.6% 8.1% 1.4% 3.3% 6.6% 5.5% 3.0% 2.0% 4.0% 7.5% 3.1% 6.7% 5.4% 3.6% 2.3% 2.1% 5.1% F k r S Other % 2.6% 2.7% 2.2% 8.1% 3.5% 2.0% 4.6% 1.1% 4.4% 3.3% 3.5% 8.0% 3.7% 4.3% 0.5% 0.6% 3.1% 2.5% QR q QR Refused % 4.0% 2.2% 3.4% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 2.8% 4.9% 2.7% 3.4% 1.3% 4.0% 1.8% 4.2% 1.2% 3.1% 2.7% r
20 16 REGION Bay Area % 27% 26.9% 25.1% 22.7% 34.1% 27.7% 24.5% 100% 31.8% 30.1% 26.2% 27.6% 22.5% 22.1% 29% D S North Central % 15% 15.4% 14.9% 15.7% 16.8% 15.2% 15.6% 100% 17.8% 12.8% 17.2% 13.8% 15.0% 18.2% 14% Southern % 21% 21.4% 19.6% 38.0% 25.4% 21.0% 22.6% 100% 10.9% 14.9% 24.0% 26.5% 23.1% 28.6% 18% d No NO No T Los Angeles % 29% 28.6% 32.4% 11.4% 17.9% 29.9% 25.0% 100% 33.9% 35.1% 26.1% 21.0% 32.4% 23.1% 31% EF Q Q Q S Orange % 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 12.2% 5.8% 6.2% 12.3% 100% 5.7% 7.1% 6.5% 11.2% 6.9% 8.1% 7.6% G
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