Future Technologies in the Energy Market Danish Intelligent Energy Alliance Annual Meeting, Copenhagen Michael Weinhold, CTO Siemens

Transcription

1 Future Technologies in the Energy Market Danish Intelligent Energy Alliance Annual Meeting, Copenhagen Michael Weinhold, CTO Siemens AG siemens.com

2 Agenda 1 Global Trends 2 Technologies 3 Outlook Seite 2

3 The Energy Revolution: Big Picture From centralized power and unidirectional grid Distributed Energy Systems to Decentral and Distributed Energy Systems and bidirectional balancing 1 Transmission Changing generation mix 2 Generation capacity additions Distance from source to load Distribution and Consumption Decentralization (public/private) Refurbishment/ upgrades Seite 3

4 Political Targets and Technological Achievements lead to more Renewables, Distributed Energy Systems and Electrification Major Political Targets e. g. COP21: 1. De-carbonization of the Energy System 2. Sustainable Energy System 3. Increase of Energy Efficiency 4. Resiliency + Major Technological Achievements: 1. Low-cost Wind- and Photovoltaic Power Gen. 2. Cost-out of Energy Storage 3. Complex system management (Digitalization) 1. Large-scale renewable direct integration into the electricity system (Hydro, Wind, PV) 2. Distributed Energy Systems to maximize energy system efficiency, local renewable integration and resiliency (PV, CHP, Storage, Sector Couplings, Microgrids) 3. Increased Electrification of consumption (Heat Pump, E-Car) Seite 4

5 Global on-shore wind potential Seite 5

6 Global solar energy yield Dubai Seite 6

7 Germany: more renewable generation capacity than peak load (ca. 80GW) >65GW of Wind and PV-Power Plants connected to LV- and MV-systems Ongoing trend towards a solid state grid Resulting Challenges for grid operators: Frequency stability Voltage control Short Circuit power Source: Seite 7

8 Record infeed of Renewables in Germany on Sunday, Deep negative prices on wholesale market: at times below -10ct/kWh) 5 ct/kwh 0 ct/kwh -5 ct/kwh -10 ct/kwh Sources: Seite 8 PV generation at 13:15/May 8

9 Generation mix in 2030, example European Union (forecast to be further verified) EU28 generation capacity until 2030 (TW) +1.4% Impact on Grid business % Integration of Renewables % 5.1% Grid extensions 9% 12% 3% 12% 50% 21% 12% 3% 9% 33% 0.5% 2.6% -0.7% -1.3% Stability challenges (less inertia, towards solid state grid ) Power quality and reliability of supply Cyber Security Automated operation and situational awareness New business models, solutions and customers 2015 Retirements Additions 2030 Regulatory uncertainty and public acceptance Solar PV Hydro Nuclear x% CAGR Disruptive potential from cheap storage Wind other Renewables Fossil (incl. Engines, CHP) Source: Siemens Seite 9

11 ULTRANET, Germany, 2021 World s first VSC HVDC with full-bridge converter Customer Project Name Location Power Rating Type of Plant Voltage Levels Semiconductors Amprion / TransnetBW ULTRANET Osterath Philippsburg, Germany 2000 MW, bipolar HVDC PLUS in full-bridge topology, 340 km ± 380 kv DC 400 kv AC, 50 Hz IGBT Seite 11

12 The innovation: Converter using intelligent control software Seite 12

13 Agile and 360 digital: standards-based end-to-end architecture and services from field level to software applications and analytics Central power TSOs DSOs/ Municipalities Distributed generation Oil & Gas, heavy industries Discrete Manufacturing Infrastructure & Data Center Construction/ Buildings Enterprise IT PSS grid planning and simulation: Digital Twin Smart communication + control Substation: Automation & protection Data model Spectrum Power grid operations / control: central Primary equipment: High-voltage substations flexible AC transmission systems (FACTS) high-voltage direct current transmission systems (HVDC) grid access solutions power transmission lines medium-voltage power supply solutions Data model Energy IP applications, analytics: distributed, Internet of Things Field area networks: Sensors, meters, controls, concentrators PaaS option powered by Sinalytics Primary equipment: Distributed energy systems, low-voltage products, building technology, smart home, industrial power supply, OT-IT integration, consulting Managed/cloud services Grid cyber security Electrification Automation Digitalization Information technology Seite 13

14 Holistic end-to-end energy management example of an industrial facility ecar charging station Medium voltage, low voltage, circuit breakers, etc. Distributed energy systems (DES) Wind turbines Distributed generation Storage solutions Microgrid manager, energy management systems, etc.. Photovoltaic system Electrical equipment and power electronics Energy automation & management, software Seite 14 Battery storage, power to gas Comined heat and power

15 Energy storage applications and sector couplings Application cases by location of storage Central Large Utilities Distributed Small utilities, municipalities, industry prosumer Pumped storage H2/Chemicals Battery Thermal Electricity Electricity H 2 / H 2 Fuel Methane for car Electricity Heat (gas grid) Grid balancing and stability Power to gas Power-to-chemicals Grid stability, self-supply, electro-mobility Power-to-heat Seite 15

16 Selected Battery Storage applications (SIESTORAGE References) SIESTORAGE installation as standard container at the grid of ENEL, Italy for network stabilization with infeed of power from decentralized, renewable sources Commissioning in MVA/500 kwh SIESTORAGE installation in existing modernized substation of VEO* Eisenhüttenstadt, Germany for black start in the steel and rolling mill of Arcelor Mittal GmbH (AMEH) Commissioning in ,8 MVA /720 kwh One-stop-shop: From planning and installation through to commissioning and services Possibility of integration into prefabricated standard container or existing building * (Vulkan Energiewirtschaft Oderbrücke GmbH) Seite 16

17 Energiepark Mainz Project scope and key facts Location: Mainz-Hechtsheim (DE) 3 high performance electrolysis systems, peak power of 2 MW el. each (6 MW peak) Highly dynamic operation over broad load range (ramp speed 10% per sec.) First Electrolyzer delivered mid of march Plant commissioned July 2015 Seite 17

18 Microgrid IREN2 research project in Wildpoldsried, Germany Solution Combining micro grid and VPP to form a topological power plant, which can be operated in island mode Benefits Stable and economically optimized grid operation Black start capability Profitable use of renewable resources Ancillary services from the distribution grid Seite 18

19 Distributed Energy System Green Tower Freiburg (under construction) Building Automation Security Fire protection Building and Room Automation, Energy Monitoring and Controlling (EMC) Energy-/Power Management System Optimization of selfgenerated Energy AC loads e..g. typical household loads 400V 3AC Internal DC loads e. g. for lifts, emergency lighting DC-link CHP or Engine Li-Battery (0,5 MWh) PV-System (400kWp) Source: Power Supply Seite 19

20 Brooklyn Microgrid : A Blockchain-based Platform for locally traded electricity Small-scale, community microgrid local residents buy and sell rooftop solar energy using existing energy infrastructure individual members and businesses engage in direct energy trading Participants do not need own solar panels Usage of Ethereum (public blockchain platform) Platform runs itself to high extent energy is automatically priced based on things consumers care about (e. g. preferences on savings, cheaper energy to lower income customers etc) Source: Seite 20

22 Vision of the future for discussion: The three essential grids in context of an energy cell concept Digital Grid Cell 2 Cell 1 Cell 3 Electricity (transmission) grid Cell 4 Gas grid Energy cells can be Community, Campus Village Factory Power plant Dedicated storage facility Energy cells may contain Power generation Thermal and gas grids Energy storage Sector couplings Power-to-X (-value) Dynamic load control ICT, self-organizing, self-healing intelligence Resiliency, microgridability Peer-to-peer trading Seite 22

23 Summary More Wind- and PV, Electrification, Distributed Energy Systems Sector-couplings and Energy Storage increasingly relevant Digitalization is key key enabler (simulation, operation, market integration) Emerging Sharing Economy concepts for Prosumers New Business Models beyond Energy System Seite 23

24 Thank you! Unrestricted Siemens AG 2015 siemens.com

25 Disclaimer This document contains forward-looking statements and information that is, statements related to future, not past, events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as expects, anticipates, intends, plans, believes, seeks, estimates, will or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes in currency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies, lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide, changes in business strategy and various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these factors is contained in Siemens filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, and on the SEC s website, Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. Trademarks mentioned in this document are the property of Siemens AG, it's affiliates or their respective owners. Seite 25