Transportation Resiliency and Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather: FHWA Activities
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1 Office of Planning, Environment and Realty Sustainable Transport & Climate Change Team Transportation Resiliency and Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather: FHWA Activities AASHTO Standing Committee on Environment Annual Meeting Mike Culp FHWA June 24, 2014 Photo: Flooding of the Hugh L. Carey Tunnel in NYC due to Hurricane Sandy. Source: MTA 1
2 Climate Change Adaptation at FHWA Goal: Regular/Systematic consideration of climate change vulnerability and risk in transportation decision making, at: 1) Systems Level: Transportation Planning, Asset Management 2) Project Level: Environmental process, Preliminary Engineering, Design, Construction, Operations, Maintenance
3 Systems Level Goal: Consideration in Transportation Planning, Asset Management Key Product: Updated Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability Assessment Framework (2015) Activities: Climate Resilience Pilots round 2 Gulf Coast 2 (Mobile) Hurricane Sandy Follow-up and Vulnerability Assessment & Adaptation Analysis Central NM Climate Change Scenario Planning Project 3
4 Project Level Goal: Consideration in Environmental Process, Preliminary Engineering, Design, Construction, Operations, Maintenance Key Products: Updated engineering manuals, methods and processes Activities: Engineering Assessments Gulf Coast 2 (Mobile) Hurricane Sandy Follow-up and Vulnerability Assessment & Adaptation Analysis Transportation Engineering Approaches to Climate Resiliency Climate Resilience Pilots HEC 25 - Vol 2: Highways in the Coastal Environment: Extreme Events Hydrology, hydraulic engineering research efforts, etc. 4
5 Climate Resilience Pilot & Other Project Locations 5
6 FHWA s Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability Assessment Framework (2012) Define Project Scope Objectives Relevant Assets Climate Variables Assess Vulnerability Climate Inputs Asset data, criticality, sensitivity Vulnerabilities, risk Integrate Vulnerability Into Decision Making 6
7 Climate Resilience Pilot Program Pilots using and building on FHWA s Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability Assessment Framework 19 Pilots Tennessee Maine Michigan Arizona Alaska Oregon Connecticut New York Maryland Massachusetts Iowa Minnesota California Washington NCTCOG CAMPO (Austin) Hillsboro MPO South Florida MPOs MTC (San Francisco) Vulnerability and/or adaptation Asset management Hydraulics, hydrology Broad geographic coverage and range of impacts Furthering the state of practice in resilience to climate change FHWA plans to update the framework in 2015 based on lessons from the pilots
8 Example Pilots Arizona DOT Extreme surface temps Floods Dust storms Species Migration Michigan DOT Lake effect and climate change Improve statewide, systematic approach to addressing risk MnDOT Flash Flooding Asset Management Oregon DOT North coast Landslides Adaptation options Coastal Hazards Adaptation Implementation Plan 8
9 Example Pilots South Florida SLR, flood, storm surge maps Method for prioritizing impacted infrastructure Incorporate into decisions CAMPO (Austin) Extreme heat, flooding, drought, wildfire Regional symposium Incorporate into 2040 RTP TDOT Statewide with MPOs Multimodal Quantitative loss and damage estimation 9
10 Technical guidance: HEC-25 Volume 2 Highways in the Coastal Environment: Assessing Extreme Events Technical guidance, methods for incorporating extreme events and climate change into coastal highway designs Focus on sea level rise, storm surge, wave action Summer
11 Gulf Coast 2 Project: Mobile, Alabama Phase 1 Study Area Primary Tasks 1. Identify critical transportation assets in Mobile (complete) Phase 2 Study Area 2. Identify climate effects, assess infrastructure sensitivity (complete) 3. Assess vulnerability of critical assets (Summer 2014) 4. Develop transferable risk management tools (Summer 2014) 11
12 Gulf Coast 2 Project (cont.) Vulnerability Screen High-level analysis to find assets most likely to be vulnerable to future changes (systems level) Engineering Assessments Detailed assessments of specific assets in Mobile (project level) Eleven case studies 12
13 Post-Hurricane Sandy Project Builds on a FHWA 2011 NJ pilot Learn from experience of Sandy and identify strategies to improve resiliency SLR 1 Meter, 2100, Coastal Study Area (Roadways). Source NJTPA 13
14 Post-Hurricane Sandy Project (cont.) Project Partners: FHWA FTA NY, NJ, and CT DOTs Metro area MPOs: NYMTC, NJTPA, SWRPA, and GBRC MTA Port Authority Sandy Project Study Area Project Consultants: Cambridge Systematics (prime) AECOM Stratus Consulting Office of Radley Horton 14
15 Post-Hurricane Sandy Project (cont.) Primary tasks: Assessment of damages, lessons learned, gaps in climate analysis Analysis of adaptation options for 10 transportation assets (project level) Region-wide multimodal vulnerability assessment (systems level) 15
16 Extreme Weather Impacts Assessment Analyze historical data from recent stormrelated damage and disruption Collect information on existing climate projections Conduct gap analysis to inform our assessment of future scenarios
17 FHWA Relief Projects by Asset Class (DRAFT)
18 FHWA Relief Projects by Climate Stressor (DRAFT)
19 FHWA Relief Projects by Failure Mode (DRAFT)
20 Engineering-Based Adaptation Assessment
21 Engineering-Based Adaptation Assessment Process Divided into 4 modules: Module 1: Define Climate Impacts Module 2: Define Asset and Assess Vulnerability Module 3: Assess Risk Likelihood and Consequence Module 4: Develop and Select Adaptation Strategies
22 Thank you! BRI 22
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