Total Likely Voters Sanders Holdouts Yes... 65% 100% 66% No Not sure

Transcription

1 Copyright 2016 June 29 - July 11, Total Interviews; 1664 Base Interviews Battleground Millennial Survey AA in OH; 130 AA in PA; 130 Hisp in NV S2. Many people your age are not registered to vote, but what about you? Are you registered to vote? Yes... 65% 100% 66% No Not sure S3. As you may know, there will be an election for President in November How likely are you to vote in the November 2016 election? Definitely... 48% 81% 42% Probably Chances Probably not Definitely not P1. Regardless of how you plan to vote... When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, or an Independent? [IF PARTY] Would you say you are a strong [DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN] or not that strong of a [DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN]? [IF INDEPENDENT/OTHER] Do you lean more toward the Democratic Party or the Republican Party? Strong Democrat... 18% 23% 15% Weak Democrat Independent / Closer to the Democrats Independent Independent / Closer to the Republicans Weak Republican Strong Republican DEMOCRAT (NET)... 33% INDEPENDENT (NET) REPUBLICAN (NET) DEMOCRAT W/ LEANERS (NET)... 48% REPUBLICAN W/ LEANERS (NET)

2 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 2/11 The following is a list of people and groups [not all of whom are real]. For each, please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person or group. If you haven't heard of them or don't know enough about them to give a rating, please indicate that option. FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE Very Some Some Very DK NH FAV UNFAV FAM [FORM B] Police officers... 29% Likely Voters 33% * Sanders 23% Bernie Sanders... 31% Likely Voters 36% * Sanders 62% Barack Obama... 29% * Likely Voters 31% * Sanders 24% * [FORM A] Beyoncé... 24% Likely Voters 23% Sanders 23% * [FORM A] The Environmental Protection Agency, or EPA... 20% Likely Voters 20% Sanders 21% [FORM A] LeBron James... 19% Likely Voters 21% Sanders 10% [FORM A] Black Lives Matter... 27% Likely Voters 26% Sanders 22% The Democratic Party... 15% Likely Voters 18% Sanders 9% [FORM B] The National Rifle Association, or NRA... 20% Likely Voters 19% Sanders 13% [FORM B] Drake... 16% Likely Voters 16% Sanders 15% [FORM B] Steph Curry... 18% Likely Voters 20% Sanders 20% Hillary Clinton... 11% Likely Voters 14% * Sanders 1% NET

3 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 3/11 The following is a list of people and groups [not all of whom are real]. For each, please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person or group. If you haven't heard of them or don't know enough about them to give a rating, please indicate that option. FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE Very Some Some Very DK NH FAV UNFAV FAM The Republican Party... 9% Likely Voters 12% Sanders 3% [FORM A] Exxon Mobil... 5% Likely Voters 5% Sanders 3% Donald Trump... 9% Likely Voters 11% * Sanders 1% [FORM A] Lord Voldemort... 11% Likely Voters 8% Sanders 17% Elizabeth Warren... 7% Likely Voters 10% Sanders 5% [FORM B] The Koch Brothers... 2% Likely Voters 3% Sanders 3% [FORM B] Ramsay Bolton... 2% Likely Voters 3% Sanders 1% NET Q40X. And thinking about the general election for U.S. President in November... If the election were today and these were the candidates, for which candidate would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] If you had to decide today, which candidate would you lean towards supporting? Democrat Hillary Clinton... 31% 40% - Lean Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Lean Republican Donald Trump Libertarian Gary Johnson Lean Libertarian Gary Johnson Green Party candidate Jill Stein Lean Green Party candidate Jill Stein Undecided I probably wouldn't vote for President CLINTON (NET)... 35% 43 - TRUMP (NET) JOHNSON (NET) STEIN (NET)

4 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 4/11 Q46X. And if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump were the only candidates for U.S. President, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] If you had to decide today, which candidate would you lean towards supporting? Democrat Hillary Clinton... 36% 46% 13% Lean Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Lean Republican Donald Trump Undecided I probably wouldn't vote for President CLINTON (NET)... 40% TRUMP (NET) Q49X. And thinking about the general election for U.S. President in November... If the election were today and these were the candidates, for which candidate would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] If you had to decide today, which candidate would you lean towards supporting? Democrat Bernie Sanders... 47% 55% 93% Lean Democrat Bernie Sanders Republican Donald Trump Lean Republican Donald Trump Libertarian Gary Johnson Lean Libertarian Gary Johnson... * * - Green Party candidate Jill Stein Lean Green Party candidate Jill Stein... * 1 - Undecided I probably wouldn't vote for President SANDERS (NET)... 50% TRUMP (NET) JOHNSON (NET) STEIN (NET) Below are a few things Hillary Clinton could do. For each, please indicate how much of an impact that action would have on your likelihood of voting for Clinton. MORE LIKELY Much Some No more likely Supporting more aggressive policies to reduce student debt and the cost of education... 35% Likely Voters 39% Sanders 25% Releasing a plan that would get the economy working for all, not just the wealthy... 35% Likely Voters 38% Sanders 22% Prioritizing the transition to clean energy to protect our air, water, and climate... 29% Likely Voters 33% Sanders 17% Committing to breaking up the biggest Wall Street banks... 19% Likely Voters 24% Sanders 10% NET MORE LIKELY Q59. Which party would you prefer to have as the majority in the U.S. Congress? Democratic Party... 44% 50% 54% Republican Party No preference

5 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 5/11 Below is a list of issues that the candidates for President could focus on. For each, please indicate how high of a priority it is for you personally in your decision about who to vote for in the election for President. HIGH PRIORITY LOW PRIORITY NET Top Major Minor Not a priority HIGH PRIORITY [FORM A] Getting the economy to work for the middle class... 42% Likely Voters 46% Sanders 40% [FORM A] Making health care affordable and accessible... 42% Likely Voters 40% Sanders 44% [FORM A] Protecting our families' health with clean air and water... 37% Likely Voters 34% Sanders 33% [FORM A] Supporting equal pay for equal work... 35% Likely Voters 33% Sanders 36% [FORM B] Implementing common sense gun safety rules... 31% Likely Voters 28% Sanders 27% [FORM A] Making college affordable... 30% Likely Voters 31% Sanders 31% [FORM B] Moving the country from fossil fuels to renewable energy to protect our air, water, and climate... 30% Likely Voters 30% Sanders 35% [FORM B] Ensuring women have access to health care and are able to make their own reproductive health care decisions... 29% Likely Voters 30% Sanders 29% [FORM B] Reforming the criminal justice system to reduce the number of Americans in jail for nonviolent crimes... 26% Likely Voters 26% Sanders 27% LOW PRIORITY [FORM B] Creating an earned pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants currently living in the country... 16% Likely Voters 15% Sanders 13%

6 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 6/11 Below is the same list of issues you just saw. For each, please indicate which of the candidates below best represents your views on that issue. [FORM B] Ensuring women have access to health care and are able to make their own reproductive health care decisions... 57% Likely Voters 62% Sanders 51% 4 45 [FORM A] Supporting equal pay for equal work... 48% Likely Voters 56% Sanders 41% 6 53 [FORM B] Creating an earned pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants currently living in the country... 46% Likely Voters 52% Sanders 37% [FORM A] Protecting our families' health with clean air and water... 45% Likely Voters 51% Sanders 30% 4 65 [FORM B] Moving the country from fossil fuels to renewable energy to protect our air, water, and climate. 44% Likely Voters 49% Sanders 29% 8 63 [FORM A] Making college affordable... 43% Likely Voters 50% Sanders 34% 4 62 [FORM A] Making health care affordable and accessible... 41% Likely Voters 49% Sanders 30% 8 62 [FORM A] Getting the economy to work for the middle class... 41% Likely Voters 46% Sanders 31% [FORM B] Implementing common sense gun safety rules... 40% Likely Voters 47% Sanders 32% [FORM B] Reforming the criminal justice system to reduce the number of Americans in jail for nonviolent crimes... 38% Likely Voters 44% Sanders 25% Clinton Trump No difference

7 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 7/11 Below are a few statements about the presidential election and issues facing the country. For each, please indicate how much you agree or disagree with that statement. AGREE DISAGREE NET Strong Some Some Strong AGREE DISAGREE [FORM A] Donald Trump is racist... 51% Likely Voters 51% Sanders 67% [FORM A] Donald Trump is unfit to protect our country from major threats... 50% Likely Voters 50% Sanders 59% [FORM B] I would be ashamed of my country if Donald Trump were to win this election... 50% Likely Voters 53% Sanders 69% [FORM B] The results of the election for President will affect my life... 47% Likely Voters 56% Sanders 50% [FORM A] Climate change is a severe threat that we must start addressing now... 44% Likely Voters 47% Sanders 45% [FORM A] We need a revolution in this country and we don't have time for incremental change... 29% Likely Voters 30% Sanders 33% [FORM B] The next President should continue the work Obama started... 23% Likely Voters 25% Sanders 22% [FORM B] The United States should have had a female president by now... 20% Likely Voters 21% Sanders 17% [FORM B] On the issues important to me, there is no real difference between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump... 18% Likely Voters 16% Sanders 35% [FORM A] The candidates for President are focusing on issues that are important to me... 14% Likely Voters 18% Sanders 5% [FORM A] It will be harder for Hillary Clinton to get elected because she is a woman... 10% Likely Voters 11% Sanders 9% [FORM B] Donald Trump respects women... 8% Likely Voters 9% Sanders 2%

8 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 8/11 Now you are going to read a list of stances a political candidate might take. Please indicate how a candidate taking that stance would impact your likelihood of voting for that candidate. MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY No Definitely Much Some difference Some Much Never MORE LIKELY [FORM A] Wants to transition the U.S. from dirty fossil fuels to clean energy like wind and solar... 25% Likely Voters 26% Sanders 24% [FORM B] Wants to reduce the number of Americans in prison... 16% Likely Voters 15% Sanders 17% [FORM B] Wants to ban military style assault weapons... 13% Likely Voters 14% Sanders 12% [FORM A] Wants to repeal the Affordable Care Act... 14% Likely Voters 17% Sanders 8% [FORM B] Wants to deport 11 million undocumented immigrants, including children... 13% Likely Voters 13% Sanders 6% [FORM A] Opposes universal background checks on gun sales... 9% Likely Voters 10% Sanders 7% [FORM A] Wants to bar all Muslims from entering the country... 8% Likely Voters 9% Sanders 2% [FORM A] Wants to expand the use of dirty fossil fuels and opposes the transition to clean energy like wind and solar... 4% Likely Voters 5% Sanders 2% [FORM B] Wants to outlaw same-sex marriage... 10% Likely Voters 9% Sanders 7% NET LESS LIKELY

9 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 9/11 Now you are going to read a list of stances a political candidate might take. Please indicate how a candidate taking that stance would impact your likelihood of voting for that candidate. MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY No Definitely Much Some difference Some Much Never MORE LIKELY [FORM B] Wants to take away women's rights to make their own reproductive health care decisions... 6% Likely Voters 7% Sanders 2% [FORM B] Wants to eliminate the Environmental Protection Agency, allowing unlimited air and water pollution... 5% Likely Voters 5% Sanders 5% [FORM A] Would allow businesses to fire employees because of their sexual orientation... 3% Likely Voters 4% Sanders 1% NET LESS LIKELY Q102. Do you support or oppose transitioning America to 100 percent clean energy like wind and solar by 2050? Strongly support... 53% 53% 59% Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose SUPPORT (NET)... 91% OPPOSE (NET) Q122. Where on the internet do you get your news about campaigns and elections? Social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, Snapchat, and Instagram... 62% 64% 72% Online news sites like CNN.com or a newspaper's website Search engines such as Google, Yahoo!, or Bing Video websites like YouTube Candidates' websites News s Campaign s Other

10 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 10/11 Q123. [IF ONLINE NEWS SITES] From which of the following online news sites do you get your news about campaigns and elections? CNN.com... 80% 80% 83% Huffington Post NYTimes.com Buzzfeed Reddit Politico Vice Vox Gawker Other Q124. And do you use of any of the following websites or apps? Facebook... 85% 87% 87% YouTube Instagram Snapchat Twitter Pinterest Tumblr Vine Tinder None of the above Q126. [IF FACEBOOK OR TWITTER USER] Which of the following have you done on social media? Shared a friend's post or status about the 2016 election. 30% 35% 37% Posted your own post or status about the 2016 election Shared a candidate's post or status about the 2016 election None of the above Q127. How much have you talked about the presidential election with your friends and family over the last week? A lot... 18% 26% 22% Some Not that much Not at all SOME OR MORE (NET)... 53% NOT THAT MUCH OR LESS (NET) D100. Which gender do you more closely identify with? Male... 51% 50% 47% Female D101. What is your age? % 36% 53%

11 Global Strategy Group 9913 Battleground Millennial Survey Page 11/11 D400. In what state do you live? AZ... 9% 8% 8% CO FL IA NV NH NC OH PA VA WI D105. Still thinking about politics, do you generally think of yourself as: Very liberal... 15% 18% 18% Somewhat liberal Moderate Somewhat conservative Very conservative LIBERAL (NET)... 34% CONSERVATIVE (NET) D300. And just to make sure we have a representative sample of respondents, what is your race? [IF BLACK/WHITE/OTHER] Do you consider yourself a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking American? Black/African-American... 11% 11% 5% White/Caucasian Hispanic/Latino Asian-American Other Q2. Do you consider yourself multi-racial? Yes... 21% 19% 22% No D102. What is the highest grade of school or level of education you completed? Did not complete high school... 6% 3% 6% Graduated high school Attended technical/vocational school Attended some college but no degree Graduated two-year college with Associate's degree Graduated four-year college with Bachelor's degree Obtained Master's, PhD, or other professional degree (MD, DMD, etc.) Q3. [IF NOT COLLEGE GRAD] Are you currently enrolled in college or university? Yes... 26% 32% 29% No