Key populations: Demographics, Epidemiology, Epidemic Drivers. Gottfried Hirnschall. Director, HIV Department, WHO
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1 Key populations: Demographics, Epidemiology, Epidemic Drivers Gottfried Hirnschall Director, HIV Department, WHO
2 Five key populations Adults and adolescents 1. Men who have sex with men 2. Sex workers 3. People who inject drugs 4. Transgender people, with a focus on transgender women 5. People in prisons and closed settings Other vulnerable populations can be identified in different settings such as girls and young women in southern Africa, migrant workers
3 Why these five KP? Large disease burden / high transmission Poor access to health and other services Difficult/hostile environment Face stigma and discrimination, incl. in the health sector Often subject to punitive laws and hostile legal environment Ending the AIDS epidemic' not possible without addressing needs of KP
4 High HIV incidence among KP in both concentrated and generalised epidemics New HIV infections attributable to key populations worldwide,
5 Estimating population sizes is challenging Population Size estimate MSM 3 20% (data from Asia, Eastern Europe, Latin America) (1) PWID 12.7 million (range: 8.9 million-22.4 million) (2) Prison 10 million are incarcerated at any given point in time (approx. 30 million people are incarcerated per year) (3) Sex workers 29 million (range: 8.5 million-50 million) (4) Transgender people between 0.1% and 1.1% of reproductive age (5) Sources: 1. Caceres, 2006; 2. UNODC World Drug report, 2014; 3. UNODC. 30 million at risk for HIV in prisons. UNODC website. 4. unpublished UNAIDS data; 5. UNAIDS GAP report 2014, ref 2 9 5
6 HIV prevalence among key populations is much higher compared to the general pop Average HIV prevalence among key populations and the general population 25.00% 23% 23% 20.00% 15.00% 16% 19% 10.00% General population prevalence Key population prevalence 5.00% 0.00% 1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% Sex worker Men who have sex with men Transgender people People who inject drugs SW MSM TG PWID Source: Unpublished literature review based on 88 country studies,
7 HIV prevalence in PWID compared with general population in selected countries Based on data from 49 countries, the average risk of HIV infection was 22 times greater among PWID than among the general population; 50 times greater in 11 of these. 60% 50% 52% PWID GP 40% 36% 30% 20% 16% 22% 24% 22% 18% 10% 10% 6.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0% Azerbaijan Tajikistan Ukraine Cambodia Indonesia Myanmar Kenya Mauritius Source: UNAIDS Global AIDS Report, based on data from Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2011 Data from multiple sources
8 A similar pattern is observed among men who have sex with men HIV prevalence among MSM in Latin America, % Estimated HIV prevalence among adults (15-49) in the region in 2013 Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2014
9 including in high-income countries HIV prevalence among MSM across Western and Central Europe and North America, % Estimated HIV prevalence among adults (15-49) in the region in 2013 Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2014
10 HIV prevalence among sex workers in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, % Estimated HIV prevalence among adults (15-49) in the region in 2013 Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2014
11 Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2014; UNAIDS 2013 estimates Gender differences in HIV prevalence among sex workers in Latin America,
12 HIV prevalence among transgender women versus general population 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% TG Women GP 15% 10% 5% 0% Source: Baral et al. Worldwide burden of HIV in transgender women: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infectious Dis 2013 Mar;13(3):
13 HIV prevalence among prisoners compared to general adult population in select countries Sources: 1. UNAIDS, Noeske et al, Adjei et al, Adoga et al, Henostroza et al, 2013
14 Increasing urbanization of KP epidemics Countries and select cities with rising HIV prevalence trend among MSM, % China China (Chengdu) Indonesia Indonesia (Jakarta) Philippines Philippines (Cebu) Source: Prepared by based on HIV Sentinel Surveillance Reports; Integrated Biological and Behavioral Surveillance Reports; China Global AIDS Response Progress Reports and Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention. (2014). Intensifying HIV response among MSMs with city-approach in Chengdu city, China
15 Young Key Populations: high HIV prevalence sometimes above adult KP levels HIV prevalence among sex workers in India HIV prevalence among MSM in Russia % % Gen pop female sex workers ( >20 yrs old) female sex workers (ages 16-20) Gen pop adult MSM young MSM Sources: HIV prevalence in the general population: UNAIDS/WHO 2013 estimates; India: Sarkar et al, Russia: Securing the Future Today. Synthesis of Strategic Information on HIV and Young People, 2011, with data from UNGASS Country progress reports, 2010
16 The intersection of Hepatitis and HIV 34 million persons worldwide have HIV HIV HEP 240 million persons worldwide have chronic HBV infection Est. 2.6 million with HIV co-infected with HBV million persons worldwide have chronic HCV infection Est 2.8 million with HIV co-infected with HCV 72-95% of PWID with HIV co-infected with HCV ~10 million PWID have HCV (77 countries) Sources: UNAIDS (2011), WHO (2011), Ott JJ (2012), Alter MJ 2006, Hoffman CJ (2007), Uneke CJ (2005)
17 Challenging environment laws, policies, stigma, discrimination MSM >80 countries have laws criminalizing private, consensual sexual conduct between adults of the same sex New punitive laws introduced in 2014 in Uganda, Nigeria and Russia Sex workers >100 countries criminalize some aspects of sex work People who inject drugs Drug use continues to be criminalized in most countries: in Saint Petersburg (RF), nearly half the prison population is imprisoned for drug-related offences Transgender In the United States, among transgender people surveyed, 55% lost a job due to bias, 61% were the victim of physical assault and 64% were the victim of sexual assault
18 Source: The GAP Report, UNAIDS, 2014 Example: female sex workers reporting work-related violence (%)
19 Access to Testing In Ukraine, pregnant women who inject drugs are twice as likely to be diagnosed late compared to other women Access to prevention supplies Only eight countries have needle and syringe programmes in prisons Access to ART Inadequate and inequitable access to services some examples In Swaziland, only 33% of MSM living with HIV receive ART, compared to 87% among the general population
20 2 0 Essential health sector interventions We know what works: the comprehensive package comprehensive condom and lubricant programming harm reduction interventions (incl. NSP &OST and naloxone) behavioural interventions HIV testing and counselling HIV treatment and care (incl. ART & PrEP for MSM) sexual and reproductive health interventions prevention and management of co-morbidities, incl. viral hepatitis, tuberculosis mental health conditions Essential strategies for an enabling environment supportive legislation, policy and financial commitment, including decriminalisation of behaviours of KP addressing stigma and discrimination, incl. in the health sector community empowerment addressing violence against people from key populations
21 Country Bangladesh CIV DRC Ethiopia Ghana India Indonesia Kenya Myanmar Mozambique Nigeria Pakistan Philippines Uganda South Africa Sudan Tanzania Thailand Viet Nam Zambia Zimbabwe Availability of data on key populations remains limited in many LMIC Prevalence & behavior Population size estimates Definition of service package Mechanism avoid double counting Nationally adequate Available in certain areas Poor Source: unpublished WHO/UNAIDS/Global Fund provisional analysis
22
23 PWID first edition in 2009, revision in 2012 Update to be released in 2015 as Supplement to the KP guidelines, including: Target setting tools to facilitate planning of national HIV responses Evidence-based package of interventions DRAFT Set of harmonised indicators and guidance on their application Guidance on setting targets for these indicators
24 Take-home messages FOR INSPIRATION?? "Ending the AIDS epidemic" will only be achieved with a renewed focus on Key Populations Guidelines as a trigger of change at global and national level Comprehensive Package includes health and structural interventions Partnerships between all stakeholders are essential for programme success at all stages planning, NSP, country dialogue, concept notes implementation
25 Take-home messages FOR INSPIRATION?? A comprehensive package of interventions Need to address structural barriers HIV services for KP only successful with political support and a partnership approach of KP led community organisations, international donors, Ministries of Health Implementation must involve all necessary stakeholders at various levels, from planning to policy execution "Ending the AIDS epidemic" requires a renewed focus on KP- increased access to and uptake off effective and acceptable services: !
26 Internal structure of the presentation: 1. Which pops? Why? 2. Population size estimates 3. Incidence 4. Prevalence 1. PWID 2. MSM 3. Sex workers 4. TG 5. Something on YKP? 5. Drivers 6. Conclusions 1. Lack of data 2. Comprehensive package 3. Target setting guide
27 Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Report, 2014 HIV prevalence among transgender women who engage in sex work in Latin America, 2013
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