HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 1

Transcription

1 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 803 adults Washington, DC Dates: February 22-24, 2008 (202) FINAL Study #8570a 48 Male 52 Female [109] Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. 1a. To begin with, for statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF "REFUSED," ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? [ ] and over... 6 Refused b. And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic [139] No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused c. And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race white, black, Asian, or something else? White [140] Black Asian... 2 Other... 3 Hispanic (VOL)... 8 Not sure/refused a. How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor? 2/08 12/07 10/05 1 3/05 1 8/04 1 3/04 1 1/03 1 1/02 1 Excellent [141] Good Only fair Poor Not sure Trend data come from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry, Mermin Associates.

2 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 2 2b. And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the same, or get worse? Will get better [142] Will stay about the same Will get worse Not sure... 8 CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY Optimistic now/optimistic for the future Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future... 2 Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future Not sure for now or the future When it comes to (READ ITEM) which political party do you think would do a better job--the Democratic, the Republican, or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good job, please just say so. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DEMOCRATIC PARTY Advantage Democratic Republican Both About The Same Neither Dealing with health care... D January D July D March D November D December D January D December D June D June D December D March D September D June D May D December D October D July D May D October D March D October D Not Sure [145] 1 Comparative data for this item comes from NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls.

3 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 3 Q.3 (cont d) Advantage Democratic Republican Both About The Same Neither Dealing with the economy [144]... D January D July D March D November D December D December R June D June D December D March D September September R October D December R June R October R July R June R October R March D May D Improving your personal financial situation [143]... D October D Improving the real estate market [147]... D Improving the stock market [146]... R Comparative data for this item comes from NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Not Sure

4 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 4 4. As you may know, the government is sending tax rebates to individuals with an annual income below seventy-five thousand dollars and to married couples with a combined annual income below one hundred and fifty thousand dollars. Do you think that taxpayers who make MORE than these amounts should or should not receive tax rebates as well? Yes, should receive rebates [148] No, should not receive rebates Depends (VOL)... 5 Not sure When it comes to non-essential items such as going to the movies, buying concert tickets, dining out, and vacations, do you expect to spend more this year than last year, less this year than last year, or about the same amount this year as last year? Expect to spend more this year than last year [149] Expect to spend less this year than last year Expect to spend about this same amount this year as last year.. 50 Not sure Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional/ manager [150] White-collar worker CONTINUE Blue-collar worker Farmer, rancher... - Not Currently Employed Student... 3 Homemaker... 8 Skip to Q.8a Retired Unemployed, looking for work... 5 Other... - CONTINUE Not sure... 1 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY THEY ARE EMPLOYED IN Q.6.) 7a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that your wages will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [158] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY INCREASE IN Q.6) 7b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY DECREASE IN Q.6) 7c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 3/07 Decrease Stay the same Increase 1% to 3% Increase 4% to 10% Increase 11% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median

5 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 5 8a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that the cost of living--that is, what you pay for everyday goods and services--will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [165] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY INCREASE IN Q.8a.) 8b. If you had to give your best estimate, what percentage do you think the total increase in the price of everyday goods and services in the next twelve months will be? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY DECREASE IN Q.8a.) 8c. If you had to give your best estimate, what percentage do you think the total decrease in the price of everyday goods and services in the next twelve months will be? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 3/07 Decrease Stay the same Increase 1% to 3% Increase 4% to 5% Increase 6% to 10% Increase 11% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median Changing subjects... 9a. Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. [172] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY INCREASE IN Q.9a.) 9b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY DECREASE IN Q.9a.) 9c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] 2/08 12/07 10/07 3/07 Do Not Own Home Own Home Decrease Stay the same Increase 1% to 4% Increase 5% to 9% Increase 10% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median

6 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 6 10a. Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including I-R-As and four-oh-one-ks? (IF YES, ASK:) Which of the following would you say is the value of these investments? Please just stop me when I get to the correct category. (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, please just give me your best guess. Less than $10, [ ] At least $10,000 but less than $50, At least $50,000 but less than $100, At least $100,000 but less than $200, CONTINUE At least $200,000 but less than $300, At least $300,000 but less than $500, At least $500,000 but less than $1,000, $1,000,000 or more... 1 No, no money invested in the stock market Skip to Q.11a Not sure/refused... 8 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO HAVE MONEY INVESTED IN THE STOCK MARKET IN Q.10a.) 10b. Do you expect the value of your stock portfolio to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve months? (IF "INCREASE" OR "DECREASE," ASK:) And do you expect to (increase/decrease) a lot or just somewhat? 2/08 3/07 Increase a lot [208] Increase just somewhat Decrease just somewhat Decrease a lot Stay about the same Not sure (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY THEY HAVE MONEY INVESTED IN THE STOCK MARKET IN Q.10a.) 10c. Compared with two or three months ago, would you say that you are investing more aggressively than before, investing more conservatively than before, or have you not changed your investing strategy either way? 2/08 10/07 Investing more aggressively than before [209] Investing more conservatively than before Not changed investing strategy either way Not sure a. When it comes to the amount of personal debt that you have such as credit cards, car loans, student loans, doctors and hospital bills, and home mortgages would you say that you have a lot of debt, some debt, not much debt, or no debt at all? A lot of debt [210] Some debt CONTINUE Not much debt No debt at all Skip to Q.12 Not sure... 2 CONTINUE

7 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 7 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO HAVE DEBT OR SAY "NOT SURE" IN Q.11a.) 11b. Generally speaking, has your level of debt gone up, gone down, or stayed about the same over the last year? Gone up [211] Gone down Stayed about the same Not sure Many banks and other lenders have recently become more restrictive of the types of loans they are making and of the people they are making the loans to. Has this had any effect on your personal ability to get a loan? 2/08 10/07 Yes, has had an effect [212] No, has not had an effect Have not tried to get a loan (VOL) Not sure Do you ever drink premium coffee drinks, such as Starbucks lattes? (IF YES, ASK:) Are you drinking more of these drinks than you were a year ago, about the same amount as you were a year ago, or fewer than you were a year ago? 2/08 12/07 Yes, more than a year ago [213] Yes, same amount as a year ago Yes, fewer than a year ago No, do not drink premium coffee drinks Not sure FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. F1. What is the last grade that you completed in school? Grade school... 2 [ ] Some high school... 5 High school graduate Some college, no degree Vocational training/2-year college year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 2 Not sure/refused... 2

8 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 8 F2. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF NOT SURE, CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican, closer to the Democratic, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? Strong Democrat [216] Not very strong Democrat... 9 Independent/lean Democrat... 9 Strictly independent Independent/lean Republican... 9 Not very strong Republican... 9 Strong Republican Other... 5 Not sure/nothing... 5 F3. Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? Liberal [217] Moderate Conservative Not sure... 6 F4. Are you currently single and never married, unmarried and living with a partner, married, separated, widowed, or divorced? Single [218] Unmarried, living with partner... 4 Married Separated... 2 Widowed... 8 Divorced Other (VOL)... - Not sure/refused... 2 F5. Do you have any children under age eighteen of whom you are the parent or primary guardian? Yes, kids under 18 in household [218] No, no kids under 18 in household Not sure... 3 F6a. Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY NO OR NOT SURE IN Q.F6a.) F6b. Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member [ ] Labor union household... 6 Non-union household Not sure... 3

9 HART/MCINTURFF Study #8570a--page 9 F7. If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10, [222] Between $10,000 and $20, Between $20,000 and $30, Between $30,000 and $40, Between $40,000 and $50, Between $50,000 and $75, Between $75,000 and $100, More than $100, Not sure/refused... 19