Spatio-temporal Patterns and Multi-decadal Trends in Nutrients in Narragansett Bay

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1 Spatio-temporal Patterns and Multi-decadal Trends in Nutrients in Narragansett Bay David Borkman ( dborkman@gso.uri.edu ) & Ted Smayda ( tsmayda@gso.uri.edu ) Narragansett Bay University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography NY Bight Nutrient Workshop 7&8 July 2010

2 Long-term Station Aerial photo of Narragansett Bay (Courtesy of R. L. Wilke) Narragansett Bay (ca. 328 km 2 ) Mean depth: 8m (~60m maximum) Salinity range: Temperature range: -2 to 25 C ca. 1 m tidal range, 10-28d residence time ca. 1.8 x 10 6 people in 4,000 km 2 watershed

3 Blackstone River Pawtuxet River Taunton River N Hunt / Potowomut Long-term monitoring site (station II) N W

4 Narragansett Bay time series: 1959 to 1997 (+ ongoing) Meteorological Nutrients River flow NO , Precipitation NH Wind speed PO , Irradiance SiO , Temperature Urea Salinity NO3 reductase Secchi depth PO4 reductase Phytoplankton Zooplankton Species composition Species composition Abundance Numerical abundance Chlorophyll , Dry wt. biomass ATP-C biomass C, N biomass Primary production Ctenophore abundance Size fractionation , 87-88

5 Annual Mean Surface Temperature ( o C) lower Narragansett Bay 13 y = 0.029x R 2 = Year

6 Temperature ( o C) and winter diatoms (cells ml -1 ) lower Narragansett Bay 4,000 3,500 3,000 y = x R 2 = , Temperature ( C Smayda et al., 2004

7 µg L Chlorophyll y = -1.49x R 2 = s 70s 80s 90s 00s Decade

8 Chlorophyll, surface s 2000s µg L Month

9 8 7 NH4, surface (umol) Year Lower Bay NH4 relatively stable mid-1990s on

10 8 7 6 Surface NO3 (µm)

11 Annual Mean Secchi Depth & Long-term Trend (m) Clearer water Turbid water Year -Water clarity has increased 1980 to 1992 (Borkman and Smayda, 1998)

12 Monthly TSS Load (10 6 kg) Year (1983 to 1996)

13 Mean Secchi disk depth (m) Annual TSS load (10 6 kg yr -1 ) Y = x , r 2 = 0.43 Borkman and Smayda, 1998

14 Monthly TSS Nitrogen Discharge (kg) 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Nitrogen ,500 Monthly TSS Phosphorus Discharge (kg) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Phosphorus Year

15 Estimated Chlorophyll from TSS Nitrogen (mg m -3 ) Chlorophyll potential from TSS Nitrogen Year

16 100 r 2 = 0.46 (all data); r 2 = 0.75 (w/o 1983, 1996) Mean Annual Chlorophyll (mg m -2 ) Predicted Chl from TSS nitrogen Mean annual Chl (Li & Smayda, '98) Year

17 Also, Need to consider oceanic variability Borkman & Smayda, 2009

18 Nutrient Ratios Skeletonema level declined : 400 cells ml -1 pre cells ml Updated: 111 cells ml deseasonalized Skeletonema costatum (cells ml -1 ) Year Source: Borkman & Smayda (2009)

19

20 6 Mean Annual Diatom : Flagellate Ratio Year

21 0.4 6 Si : N Ratio r 2 = 0.46, p< Diatom : Flagellate Ratio Year

22 Diatom : : Flagellate ratio Ratio Si : P ratio y = 0.228x R 2 = 0.75 (all data) Station II, Narragansett Bay

23 NBAY & TIME SERIES SUMMARY Major changes, trends have occurred in Physical properties (temperature; transparency) Macronutrients (concentrations and ratios) Plankton Phytoplankton biomass, production; bloom cycles, species Copepod abundance Plankton dynamics are regulated by two primary and confluent drivers: Internal forcing (nutrient supply, ratios) External forcing (climate; coastal shelf physics) Strong field evidence that plankton dynamics sensitive to nutrient and thermal conditions, consistent with transect and experimental data NBay a biogeographic transition zone; sensitivity to winter T

24 Surface y = 7E+10x R 2 = Mean Annual S (psu) Transect Study Smayda and Borkman, 2008

25 50 Surface Mean Annual Si(OH) 4 (µm) Mean Annual S (psu) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

26 Surface Mean Annual N:P (atoms) N sensitive Mean Annual S (psu) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

27 Si sensitive Surface Mean Annual N:Si (atoms) N sensitive Mean Annual S (psu) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

28 Mean Annual Chlorophyll (mg m -3 ) Surface y = -0.02x x R 2 = Mean Annual NH4 + NO3 (µm) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

29 300 Surface Annual Carbon Production (g C m -3 ) y = -0.25x x R 2 = Mean Annual NH4 + NO3 (µm) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

30 day N y = Ln(x) R 2 = % residual N used daily days N 2.3 days N 4 4 days N Surface days N NO3 + NH4 (µm) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

31 Saturation concentration Mean Annual Chlorophyll (mg m -3 ) Dose-yield region Assimilatory capacity exceeded Surface y = -0.02x x R 2 = Mean Annual NH4 + NO3 (µm) Smayda and Borkman, 2008

32 Smayda & Borkman, 2008

33 2 ENRICHMENT ZONE Si sensitive 3 NAYATT PT GREENWICH BAY DEPURATION ZONE 6 7 ADVECTION ZONE N sensitive NARRAGANSETT BAY

34 Gradients occur in GRADIENT ANALYSIS SUMMARY Salinity, Nutrients, Phytoplankton (biomass, production), Zooplankton & Ctenophore biomass Upper NBay exports nutrients, ctenophores downbay NBay Sanctuary region an important nutrient depuration zone Nutrient gradient pulsates with riverine discharge Uniform bloom behavior characterizes NBay Spatial shift from Si limitation in upper NBay to N limitation downbay Coupling occurs between Nutrients and salinity Chlorophyll and nutrients Primary production and nutrients Zooplankton - Phytoplankton Biomass Zooplankton - Phytoplankton Production Ctenophore - Zooplankton Biomass

35 Buzzards Bay Nutrient Patterns David Borkman University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography ( dborkman@gso.uri.edu ) & Jeff Turner University of Massachusetts - Dartmouth Center for Marine Science and Technology ( jturner@umassd.edu ) NY Bight Nutrient Workshop 7&8 July 2010

36 Buzzards Bay - 45 km by 12 km, 590 km 2 area - ca. 560 km of coastline - 11 m mean depth - ca. 1,100 km2 watershed area - Population = ca. 260,000 people -New Bedford = ca. 100,000 people - 30MGD effluent New Bedford secondary treatment to present monitoring by Jeff Turner (UMass Dartmouth).

37 Source = Turner et al., 2009

38 Source = Turner et al., 2009

39 Source = Turner et al., 2009

40 Source = Turner et al., 2009

41 Source = Turner et al., 2009

42 Source = Turner et al., 2009

43 Source = Turner et al., 2009

44 Regionally coherent changes in: Increasing temperature Declining chlorophyll Buzzards Bay Summary Improved sewage treatment practices evident in: Declining water column N Increased water clarity Reduced shellfish closures 22 year (1987-on) water column nutrient and related plankton data (contact Jeff Turner;

45 Non-linear responses? Boston Harbor: 80-90% decrease in TN loading Linear water column nutrient responses Curvilinear biological responses? Source = Taylor, Oviatt, Borkman. in press. Estuaries & Coasts.

46 Summary Eastern NY Bight Regionally coherent Temperature trends Phytoplankton biomass trends Phytoplankton and zooplankton species Need to manage regionally Consider oceanic variability (Gulf Stream, warm core rings, circulation) Estuarine gradient as a potential management tool Need to incorporate changing phytoplankton patterns into management strategies Management of loadings and nutrient ratios Need to maintain long-term monitoring programs Narragansett Bay data available: : ( ) RI SeaGrant funded data rescue 1999-on: ( ) URI Graduate School of Oceanography

47 References David I. Taylor, Candace A. Oviatt, David G. Borkman Non-linear responses of a coastal aquatic ecosystem to large decreases in nutrient and organic loadings. Estuaries and Coasts. In press, accepted 1 June Borkman, DG and Smayda, TJ Gulf Stream position and winter NAO as drivers of long-term variations in the bloom phenology of the diatom Skeletonema costatum "species-complex" in Narragansett Bay, RI, USA. J. Plankton Res. 31: Borkman, DG and Smayda, TJ Multidecadal ( ) changes in Skeletonema abundance and seasonal bloom patterns in Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, USA. Journal of Sea Research 61: Turner, JT, DG Borkman, JA Lincoln, DA Gauthier, CM. Petitpas Plankton Studies in Buzzards Bay, Massachusetts, USA. VI. Long-term studies of phytoplankton, bacterioplankton and environmental parameters, 1987 to Marine Ecology Progress Series 376: Smayda, T.J. & D. Borkman Nutrient and phytoplankton gradients in Narragansett Bay. Chapter 15 in: Desbonnet, A. and Costa-Pierce, B. (eds.), Science for Ecosystem-Based Management: Narragansett Bay in the 21 st Century. Springer, Berlin. pages Smayda, T.J., D. Borkman, G. Beaugrand & A. Belgrano Ecological effects of climate variation in the North Atlantic: Phytoplankton. pp In Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation -- the North Atlantic. N.C. Stenseth, G. Ottersen, J.W. Hurrell, A. Belgrano, and B. Planque, Eds. Oxford University Press, 266 pp. Borkman, D.G. & T.J. Smayda Long-term trends in water clarity revealed by Secchi disk measurements in lower Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, USA. ICES Journal of Marine Science 55: Borkman, D.G. & J.T. Turner Plankton studies in Buzzards Bay, Massachusetts. II. Nutrients and phytoplankton pigments, Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 100: Turner, J.T. & D.G. Borkman Plankton studies in Buzzards Bay, Massachusetts. I. Hydrography and bacterioplankton, Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 100:

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