The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduc7on implica7ons for a beaer weather- induced emergency management. Luca Rossi (UN ISDR)

Transcription

1 The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduc7on implica7ons for a beaer weather- induced emergency management Luca Rossi (UN ISDR)

2 International Workshop on Forecasting Rainfall and lightning induced Hazards at European Scale 25 June 2015 The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction implications for a better weather-induced disaster management Luca Rossi, UNISDR Regional Office for Europe

3 Making development sustainable: the future of disaster risk management

4 Catastrophes triggered by natural events worldwide Droughts Floods Storms Number of events with trend source Munich Re Disaster and extreme weather trends

5 Less progress in managing risks Strong policy, technical and institutional capacities and mechanisms Disaster preparedness and contingency plans, training drills Managing risk in urban environments Assessing disaster risk impacts of major development projects

6 Economic losses in Europe Three consecutive years: annual economic losses have exceeded $100 billion globally due to enormous increase in exposure of industrial assets and private property to extreme disaster events. Europe s 10-year average of disaster losses totaling to US$ 13.4 billion makes it the third most affected region in the world after the Americas and Asia; The Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction released in 2011 indicates that in OECD countries disaster economic losses tend to grow faster than their average GDP growth; Most of the damages are due to climatological and hydrometeorological events;

7 Extensive risk: eroding resilience Most disaster impacts in infrastructure are associated with extensive risk Extensive Risk causes major problems for low and middle income countries that already struggle to maintain and invest in new public infrastructure and services. Losses are expected to increase in the future, unless disaster risk is managed more successfully. Expected global annual losses estimated at US $314 billion in the built environment alone.

8 Multi-dimensional risks In countries with a high ratio of average annual loss to their capital stock and savings, disasters can lead to severe economic disruptions. In those with a high ratio of risk to capital investment, future economic growth can be compromised. And in those with a high ratio of risk to social expenditure, social development may be challenged. A number of countries are characterized by all three scenarios, implying that disaster risk could seriously undermine their capacity to develop across multiple dimensions. This is a challenge not only for low-income countries such as Madagascar and Haiti, but also for middle-income countries like Honduras, Jamaica and the Philippines, and for high-income countries like Greece.

9 Serbia Flood 2014 Summary of estimated damages and losses The private sector sustained higher values of destroyed assets than the public sector, and that production losses were higher in the public sector domain because of the impact on the mining and energy sector Social impact Source: SERBIA FLOODS 2014

10 Sector Serbia Flood 2014 Summary of estimated recovery and reconstruction needs Post- Disaster Needs, million EUR Recovery Reconstruction Total* Agriculture Manufacturing Trade Tourism Mining and energy Housing Education Health Culture Transport Communications Water and sanitation Environment Governance Employment Gender Totals ,346.4 Only 2% of damage and losses covered by insurance and reinsurance (source Ministry of Finance of Serbia) Recession of 0,5% instead of growth 0,5%1% GDP Reduction od exportation and increasing of importations results in 1% of GDP Fiscal position will deteriorate further by about 1% of GDP

11 The topic raising at the top of the international agenda: Attendance to the WCDRR

12 There is a global call for A comprehensive, integrated and participatory approach The Hyogo Framework for Action The new Regulation of the European Civil Protection Mechanism The Conclusions of the Council of Europe on disaster risk management capabilities, in 2014 The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and the post 2015 Development Agenda

13 The Sendai Framework for DRR The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction The outcome document builds on the knowledge and experience of all stakeholders across public and private sectors. It builds on 10 years of work with the Hyogo Framework for Action and nearly three years of consultations. The Sendai Framework is a 15-year, voluntary, non-binding agreement which recognizes that the State has the primary role to reduce disaster risk but that responsibilities are to be shared with other stakeholders including local government and the private sector. It aims for the following outcome: The substantial reduction of disaster risk and losses in lives, livelihoods and health and in the economic, physical, social, cultural and environmental assets of persons, businesses, communities and countries.

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15 Innovations Shift from disaster loss to disaster risk Shift from disaster management to disaster risk management; Shift from what to do? to how to do? Focus on people-centred preventive approach to DRR Primary responsibility of States for DRR Shared responsibility for DRR with stakeholders Scope includes slow-onset, man-made and bio hazards; Promoting Coherence across post-2015 development agenda

16 Four priorities Disaster risk management need to be based on an understanding of disaster risk in all its dimensions of vulnerability, capacity, exposure of persons and assets, hazard characteristics and the environment. Such knowledge can be used for risk assessment, prevention, mitigation, preparedness and response. Implement a proper multi-risk assessment which includes cascade effects and social impact as well as climate change scenarios Share information with decision makers, private sector and citizens (tax payers) on the above

17 Four priorities Disaster risk governance at the national, regional and global levels is very important for prevention, mitigation, preparedness, response, recovery, and rehabilitation. It fosters collaboration and partnership. Strengthening of the National Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction and its link to the Regional Level to ensure a coordinated approach toward DRR and maximize the use of always limited financial resources Inclusive approach to involve and to share tasks and responsibilities with all stakeholders, local governments, academy, private sector, general public

18 Four priorities Public and private investment in disaster risk prevention and reduction through structural (river banks, dams, secure floodable areas) and non-structural measures (monitoring and probabilisticearly warning systems) are essential to enhance the economic, social, health and cultural resilience of persons, communities, countries and their assets, as well as the environment. Design and implement a DRR strategy which is evidence based, scientifically supported and sustainable in the long term from the technical, financial and administrative point of view.. Develop and diffuse an appropriate risk transfer system (insurance and reinsurance mechanism)

19 Four priorities The growth of disaster risk means there is a need to strengthen disaster preparedness for response, take action in anticipation of events, and ensure capacities are in place for effective response and recovery at all levels. The recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction phase is a critical opportunity to build back better, including through integrating disaster risk reduction into development measures. Improve emergency response capacity to better handle the residual risk and unexpected events. Prepare responders and the general public on how to react to early warning messages Build back better ( develop a proper land use planning, do use the proper construction technics and technologies, in flood relief and reconstruction phase)

20 Thank you