How Immigration and Concerns about Cultural Changes are Shaping the 2016 Election

Transcription

1 How Immigration and Concerns about Cultural Changes are Shaping the 16 Election Findings from the 16 PRRI/Brookings Immigration Survey Robert P. Jones, #ImmSurvey

2 PERCEPTIONS OF PERSONAL VULNERABILITY

3 How worried are you that you or someone in your family will be a victim of terrorism? Very/somewhat worried Not too/not at all worried * Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 * Note: Figures may not add up to 0% due to rounding. Sources: PRRI 14 Post-election American Values Survey; PRRI/RNS December 15 Survey; PRRI/The Atlantic April 16 Survey; PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 3

4 How worried are you that you or someone in your family will be a victim of terrorism? By party affiliation Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried Not at all worried Don't know/refused All Americans Trump supporter Republican Democrat Independent Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 4

5 Do you think the country s economic recession is over, or do you think the economy is still in a recession? Recession is over Still in a recession Sources: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, April 12; PRRI 14 American Values Survey; PRRI 15 American Values Survey; PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 5

6 CULTURAL PROTECTIONISM

7 The American way of life needs to be protected against foreign influence By party affiliation Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree Don't know/refused All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 7

8 It bothers me when I come in contact with immigrants who speak little or no English By party affiliation Agree Disagree All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 8

9 Today discrimination against whites has become as big a problem as discrimination against blacks and other minorities By party affiliation Agree Disagree Don't know/refused All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent 48 Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 9

10 Which of the following statements comes closest to your view? By age America has always been and is currently a Christian nation America was a Christian nation in the past but not now America has never been a Christian nation Don't know/refused All Americans Ages Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey.

11 Growing Feeling Among White Evangelical Protestants that America Is No Longer a Christian Nation Which of the following statements comes closest to your view? Don't know/refused America has never been a Christian nation America was a Christian nation in the past but not now America has always been and is currently a Christian nation Sources: PRRI/Brookings 12 Race, Class, and Culture Survey; PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 11

12 Perception Gap: How Much Are Immigrants Changing Your Own Community vs. American Society? Percent who say immigrants are changing their community/american society "a lot," by party affiliation Community American society All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 12

13 IMMIGRATION POLICY

14 Cultural Protectionist Policies Percent who favor each policy, by party affiliation All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Passing a law to prevent Syrian refugees from entering the U.S. Building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico Temporarily banning Muslims from other countries from entering the U.S. Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 14

15 How should the immigration system deal with immigrants who are currently living in the U.S. illegally? By party affiliation Allow them a way to become citizens provided they meet certain requirements Allow them to become permanent legal residents, but not citizens Identify and deport them Don't know/refused All Americans Democrat Independent Republican Trump supporter Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 15

16 Allowing Immigrants Living in Country Illegally to Become Citizens, Percent who favor, by party affiliation All Americans Republican Democrat Sources: PRRI Surveys,

17 ECONOMIC PROTECTIONISM

18 Are Free Trade Agreements Mostly Helpful or Harmful? By party affiliation Mostly helpful because they open markets for U.S. companies and allow Americans to buy goods more cheaply Mostly harmful because they send jobs overseas and drive down wages All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 18

19 Growing Support for Increasing the Tax Rate on Americans Earning More Than $2,000 a Year Percent who favor, by party affiliation All Americans Republican Independent Democrat Sources: PRRI 12 American Values Survey; PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 19

20 LEADERSHIP AND THE 16 ELECTION

21 Is your overall opinion of Donald Trump favorable or unfavorable? By race/ethnicity Favorable Unfavorable All Americans White, non-hispanic Hispanic Black, non-hispanic Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 21

22 60 Favorability Gap Between Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton Percent with a favorable opinion, by gender Bill Clinton Hillary Clinton Men Women Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 22

23 Because things have gotten so far off track in this country, we need a leader who is willing to break some rules if that s what it takes to set things right By party affiliation Agree Disagree All Americans Trump supporter Republican Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings 16 Immigration Survey. 23

24 Thank You How Immigration and Concerns about Cultural Changes are Shaping the 16 Election can be accessed online at