Stock - Recruitment. Overview of recruitment. Recruitment processes. Predicting recruitment. Conclusions

Transcription

1 Stock - Recruitment Overview of recruitment Definitions Importance to fisheries management Recruitment processes Ages of recruitment Types of recruitment Predicting recruitment stock recruitment models difficulties Conclusions

2 Recruitment = reproduction = fecundity = natality Fecundity = the # of ripening eggs per female prior to the next spawning season Natality = the rate of addition of new individuals to a population through reproduction Recruitment = the number of individuals still alive at any specified time stage after the egg stage larvae, fry, juveniles

3 Why is the relationships between stock and recruitment important to fisheries management? Yield - depends on number of recruits Spawning stock can be controlled through management

4 Why is the relationships between stock and recruitment important to fisheries management? Recruits Spawning Stock

5 Three ages of recruitment Recruitment to the stock - at age t r age at which fish are recruited to the fishery; moment or interval during which it becomes in some degree vulnerable to capture by the fishing gear in use can be determined by size, habitat, characteristics of gear Recruitment to exploited stock - at age t c age at first capture. controlled through regulations; legally exploitable t r t c Recruitment to spawning stock - at age t s

6 Types of recruitment Knife edge - instantaneous - all fish of a given age become recruited at the same time Platoon - in a give year only a fraction of the youngest age are fully catchable year class is divided into two platoons - recruited and non-recruited Continuous - there is a gradual increase in vulnerability of members of a year-class most common

7 Stock - recruitment models Normally consists of looking at the empirical relationship between the spawning stock size, and the subsequent recruitment of the year class 4000 Recruits 0 0 Spawning Pop. Size 1600

8 General modeling approach Eggs Fish must pass through 3 or more distinct life history stages before recruiting Larvae Juveniles Recruits At each stage, survival is dependent on competition, predation, and environmental influences

9 Theory Behind Stock- Recruitment Models Population sizes are stabilized by negative feedbacks between stock size and recruitment Biological processes that will affect stock and recruitment density independence density dependence - mortality is compensatory higher mortality occurs at higher densities want to harvest some fish to cause better survival in some individuals

10 Recruits Spawning Stock

11 Common Stock - Recruitment Models 1) Ricker Model ) Beverton - Holt Model

12 Ricker stock - recruitment curve R = α P e βp Recruits Spawning Stock

13 Assumptions for the Ricker Model 1) mortality rate of the eggs and juveniles is proportional to the initial cohort size Mechanism leading to a Ricker shaped recruitment curve 1) cannibalism of the juveniles by the adults 2) disease transmission 3) damage by adults of one anothers spawning sites 4) density dependent growth coupled with size dependent predation

14 Use of the Ricker curve 1) Set quotas for catch of fixed escapement policy 2) Predict future population abundance cycles inherent in curve - For single age spawners - slope of descending limb determines cycles 1) slope = -1 permanent oscillations of equal magnitude 2) Slope between 0 and -1 - dampened oscillations 3) Slope < -1 = permanent cycles

15 Beverton - Holt Model Recruits R = α + β P Spawning Stock

16 Assumptions of the Beverton - Holt Model 1) juvenile competition results in a mortality rate that is linearly dependent upon the number of fish alive in the cohort at any time

17 Ecological difference between Ricker and Beverton-Holt model Ricker assumed that density-dependence was based on mobile, aggregating predators Beverton-Holt assumed that predators were always present Which to use? Which makes more sense based on principles?

18 Problems with both models Do not account for numbers of spawners becoming so low that compensatory mechanisms can no longer occur Allee effect - inability to find mates (or low fertilization success) with low broodstock numbers Predation occurs where the number of prey eaten by predators is relatively constant. If spawning stock becomes very small. They may not be able to produce enough recruits to recover to previous levels

19 Important considerations Process and patterns of recruitment When a model is wrong, it usually leads you to believe that recruitment will not decline. This leads to overexploitation. It is difficult to detect underlying stockrecruitment relations in a variable environment Need a broad range of spawning stock sizes to see density dependence

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21 Conclusions Recruitment is highly variable Two common density dependent models ( Ricker and Beverton - Holt) are inadequate for prediction and management alone Forecasting of recruitment is improved by developing pre-recruit monitoring programs