Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1
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- Herbert Lynch
- 7 years ago
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1 In NC GOP Primary, Tillis Leads 7 Challengers; Brannon and Grant Battle for 2nd Place; Eventual Winner Faces Kay Hagan in November: 6 weeks till votes are counted in the North Carolina Republican Primary for United States Senator, Thom Tillis leads a field of 8 Republican hopefuls, 28% for Tillis to 15% for Greg Brannon to 11% for Heather Grant, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WRAL-TV in Raleigh. Tillis' support is older, wealthier, better educated, and concentrated in greater Greensboro. The top Republican needs to reach 40% in the GOP primary to avoid a 07/15/14 runoff. Today, 23% of likely Republican Primary voters are undecided. If these undecided voters are allocated to each of the 8 candidates, Tillis today ends up at 36% -- short of the 40% threshold. In a runoff: would Tillis face Brannon, whose support is disproportionately lower-income and concentrated in Southern and Coastal Carolina? Or would Tillis face Grant, whose support is disproportionately young, less educated, and concentrated in greater Raleigh? Or, might Brannon face Grant? The next 6 weeks till tell us. Today: * Tillis is viewed favorably by 34% of likely GOP Primary voters, unfavorably by 11% -- a Plus 23. * Brannon is viewed favorably by 27%, unfavorably by 11% -- a Plus 16. * Grant is viewed favorably by 20%, unfavorably by 9% -- a Plus 11. * Ted Alexander is viewed favorably by 17%, unfavorably by 9% -- a Plus 8. Alexander gets 7% in a primary today. * Mark Harris is viewed favorably by 23%, unfavorably by 9% -- a Plus 14. Harris gets 6% of the vote in a primary today. * Alex Lee Bradshaw is viewed favorably by 15%, unfavorably by 8% -- a Plus 7. Bradshaw gets 4% in a primary today. * Jim Snyder is viewed favorably by 16%, unfavorably by 8% -- a Plus 8. Snyder gets 4% today. * Edward Kryn is viewed favorably by 13%, unfavorably by 9% -- a Plus 4. Kryn gets 3% today. Of those North Carolina adults who are familiar with the story of coal ash from Duke Energy spilling into the Dan River, 61% disapprove of the way the state responded to the spill, more than twice the 23% who approve of the state's response. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 North Carolina adults 03/17/14 through 03/19/14. Of the adults, 1,885 were registered to vote in the state. Of the registered, 405 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/06/14 GOP Primary. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of GOP Primary voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of GOP Primary voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. 1 Now I'm going to read you the names of some candidates running in the Republican Primary for United States Senate in North Carolina. For each, please tell me if your opinion of that candidate is favorable, unfavorable, neutral, or if you have no opinion of that candidate. First... (candidate names rotated) Thom Tillis. Is your opinion of Thom Tillis... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of him? Favorable 34% 36% 30% 39% 23% 36% 37% 31% 37% 36% ** 9% 41% 31% 34% ** 27% Unfavorable 11% 12% 9% 13% 12% 9% 10% 12% 9% 11% ** 9% 12% 11% 10% ** 16% Neutral 38% 36% 41% 39% 37% 41% 36% 38% 39% 38% ** 49% 31% 41% 37% ** 48% No Opinion 17% 15% 20% 9% 28% 14% 17% 19% 15% 16% ** 34% 17% 17% 18% ** 8% 100% 0% 100% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1
2 1 Now I'm going to read you the names of some candidates running in the Republican Primary for United States Senate in North Carolina. For each, please tell me if your opinion of that candidate is favorable, unfavorable, neutral, or if you have no opinion of that candidate. First... (candidate names rotated) Thom Tillis. Is your opinion of Thom Tillis... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of him? Favorable 34% 33% 36% ** 35% 30% 36% 32% 31% 37% 35% 37% 31% 31% Unfavorable 11% 11% 10% ** 14% 7% 13% 6% 14% 13% 10% 8% 12% 14% Neutral 38% 37% 45% ** 34% 36% 43% 45% 31% 41% 35% 39% 45% 33% No Opinion 17% 19% 9% ** 16% 27% 8% 17% 24% 9% 20% 16% 12% 22% 2 Next, Jim Snyder. Is your opinion of Jim Snyder... Favorable 16% 20% 11% 23% 20% 10% 12% 21% 11% 18% ** 1% 15% 17% 16% ** 17% Unfavorable 8% 7% 11% 19% 6% 5% 4% 12% 5% 8% ** 0% 15% 6% 9% ** 4% Neutral 43% 43% 44% 39% 34% 51% 50% 36% 50% 45% ** 30% 41% 44% 42% ** 50% No Opinion 32% 31% 35% 19% 41% 34% 34% 31% 34% 30% ** 70% 28% 34% 33% ** 29% 100% 0% 100% 2 Next, Jim Snyder. Is your opinion of Jim Snyder... Favorable 16% 13% 25% ** 17% 11% 21% 20% 15% 15% 16% 15% 12% 27% Unfavorable 8% 7% 13% ** 17% 7% 6% 12% 5% 9% 4% 5% 11% 17% Neutral 43% 44% 40% ** 42% 46% 41% 41% 44% 45% 43% 49% 44% 35% No Opinion 32% 36% 22% ** 24% 36% 32% 28% 36% 32% 36% 31% 34% 22% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 2
3 3 Next, Edward Kryn. Is your opinion of Edward Kryn... Favorable 13% 17% 8% 31% 12% 4% 7% 21% 5% 14% ** 1% 26% 9% 14% ** 11% Unfavorable 9% 9% 10% 13% 12% 6% 6% 12% 6% 8% ** 11% 13% 8% 9% ** 8% Neutral 46% 47% 46% 44% 34% 54% 53% 39% 54% 47% ** 47% 40% 48% 46% ** 47% No Opinion 31% 28% 36% 11% 42% 36% 34% 28% 35% 31% ** 41% 21% 35% 31% ** 34% 100% 0% 100% 3 Next, Edward Kryn. Is your opinion of Edward Kryn... Favorable 13% 11% 20% ** 18% 13% 12% 16% 15% 8% 13% 14% 10% 18% Unfavorable 9% 9% 10% ** 9% 7% 11% 11% 5% 13% 7% 8% 14% 7% Neutral 46% 48% 43% ** 50% 43% 48% 46% 41% 52% 45% 42% 47% 53% No Opinion 31% 33% 27% ** 24% 38% 28% 26% 39% 27% 35% 36% 29% 22% 4 Next, Mark Harris. Is your opinion of Mark Harris... Favorable 23% 26% 19% 31% 24% 19% 20% 27% 19% 25% ** 3% 36% 18% 24% ** 16% Unfavorable 9% 9% 8% 20% 4% 6% 6% 12% 6% 9% ** 0% 12% 8% 8% ** 12% Neutral 41% 41% 43% 34% 33% 50% 49% 33% 50% 43% ** 27% 29% 46% 41% ** 46% No Opinion 27% 25% 30% 15% 39% 25% 26% 28% 25% 24% ** 70% 24% 28% 27% ** 26% 100% 0% 100% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 3
4 4 Next, Mark Harris. Is your opinion of Mark Harris... Favorable 23% 21% 26% ** 25% 20% 25% 21% 25% 23% 28% 29% 16% 19% Unfavorable 9% 9% 8% ** 1% 11% 10% 9% 6% 12% 7% 4% 13% 11% Neutral 41% 42% 42% ** 54% 37% 41% 47% 38% 40% 34% 43% 43% 55% No Opinion 27% 28% 24% ** 20% 32% 24% 23% 31% 25% 31% 24% 29% 16% 5 Next, Heather Grant. Is your opinion of Heather Grant... Favorable 20% 18% 21% 31% 22% 14% 12% 26% 13% 20% ** 4% 30% 16% 20% ** 15% Unfavorable 9% 10% 9% 19% 4% 7% 10% 11% 8% 9% ** 1% 13% 8% 9% ** 10% Neutral 42% 47% 36% 40% 33% 50% 48% 36% 49% 42% ** 55% 36% 45% 41% ** 51% No Opinion 29% 26% 33% 10% 42% 29% 30% 28% 30% 29% ** 41% 22% 31% 29% ** 23% 100% 0% 100% 5 Next, Heather Grant. Is your opinion of Heather Grant... Favorable 20% 15% 28% ** 22% 19% 19% 27% 13% 19% 18% 15% 22% 24% Unfavorable 9% 9% 11% ** 15% 7% 9% 8% 12% 9% 6% 11% 5% 25% Neutral 42% 45% 39% ** 38% 39% 47% 40% 40% 48% 41% 47% 48% 31% No Opinion 29% 30% 21% ** 25% 35% 24% 25% 35% 23% 35% 27% 26% 20% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 4
5 6 Next, Alex Lee Bradshaw. Is your opinion of Alex Lee Bradshaw... Favorable 15% 19% 9% 33% 10% 6% 16% 20% 10% 13% ** 31% 27% 11% 15% ** 13% Unfavorable 8% 7% 8% 11% 12% 4% 5% 11% 4% 7% ** 1% 6% 9% 8% ** 4% Neutral 45% 43% 47% 39% 37% 55% 47% 38% 52% 47% ** 26% 38% 47% 44% ** 54% No Opinion 32% 30% 36% 18% 41% 36% 32% 30% 34% 33% ** 43% 29% 33% 33% ** 29% 100% 0% 100% 6 Next, Alex Lee Bradshaw. Is your opinion of Alex Lee Bradshaw... Favorable 15% 15% 9% ** 16% 14% 16% 14% 11% 21% 16% 16% 17% 8% Unfavorable 8% 9% 4% ** 7% 6% 10% 9% 6% 9% 4% 5% 8% 21% Neutral 45% 42% 61% ** 53% 40% 46% 45% 46% 44% 42% 50% 44% 47% No Opinion 32% 35% 25% ** 25% 40% 28% 32% 37% 26% 38% 29% 31% 24% 7 Next, Greg Brannon. Is your opinion of Greg Brannon... Favorable 27% 28% 26% 32% 22% 27% 29% 27% 28% 29% ** 11% 27% 27% 28% ** 24% Unfavorable 11% 12% 10% 23% 11% 7% 5% 17% 6% 9% ** 29% 19% 9% 12% ** 8% Neutral 36% 37% 35% 33% 29% 42% 42% 31% 42% 38% ** 17% 35% 37% 36% ** 41% No Opinion 25% 22% 29% 11% 39% 24% 24% 26% 24% 24% ** 43% 19% 27% 25% ** 26% 100% 0% 100% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 5
6 7 Next, Greg Brannon. Is your opinion of Greg Brannon... Favorable 27% 28% 18% ** 23% 29% 27% 30% 24% 27% 29% 28% 21% 32% Unfavorable 11% 10% 19% ** 18% 4% 16% 11% 8% 16% 5% 6% 18% 22% Neutral 36% 36% 40% ** 38% 37% 34% 37% 39% 33% 37% 37% 37% 32% No Opinion 25% 26% 23% ** 21% 30% 23% 22% 29% 24% 29% 30% 24% 14% 8 Next, Ted Alexander. Is your opinion of Ted Alexander... Favorable 17% 23% 9% 32% 16% 10% 13% 23% 11% 16% ** 30% 30% 13% 18% ** 14% Unfavorable 9% 10% 7% 18% 10% 4% 3% 13% 4% 8% ** 9% 15% 6% 9% ** 4% Neutral 44% 41% 49% 40% 28% 57% 53% 34% 55% 47% ** 20% 35% 48% 44% ** 49% No Opinion 30% 27% 34% 10% 46% 29% 31% 30% 30% 29% ** 41% 20% 33% 29% ** 33% 100% 0% 100% 8 Next, Ted Alexander. Is your opinion of Ted Alexander... Favorable 17% 16% 20% ** 19% 12% 22% 16% 17% 20% 17% 21% 17% 13% Unfavorable 9% 6% 16% ** 13% 7% 8% 10% 5% 11% 3% 5% 10% 21% Neutral 44% 45% 42% ** 50% 45% 41% 42% 46% 45% 43% 47% 47% 39% No Opinion 30% 32% 22% ** 19% 36% 28% 32% 32% 24% 36% 27% 25% 27% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 6
7 9 If the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Thom Tillis? Jim Snyder? Edward Kryn? Mark Harris? Heather Grant? Alex Lee Bradshaw? Greg Brannon? Ted Alexander? Thom Tillis 28% 30% 25% 12% 19% 40% 41% 16% 40% 30% ** 15% 16% 32% 29% ** 17% Jim Snyder 4% 4% 3% 13% 1% 1% 2% 7% 1% 4% ** 1% 11% 1% 4% ** 0% Edward Kryn 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% ** 9% 2% 3% 2% ** 11% Mark Harris 6% 5% 7% 3% 8% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% ** 0% 4% 6% 6% ** 6% Heather Grant 11% 12% 11% 17% 11% 10% 7% 14% 9% 10% ** 3% 16% 10% 11% ** 12% Alex Lee Bradshaw 4% 3% 5% 9% 3% 1% 3% 6% 2% 4% ** 1% 9% 2% 4% ** 0% Greg Brannon 15% 15% 15% 11% 15% 16% 17% 13% 16% 17% ** 0% 6% 18% 14% ** 24% Ted Alexander 7% 9% 3% 11% 5% 6% 5% 8% 5% 4% ** 38% 14% 4% 6% ** 11% Undecided 23% 20% 28% 19% 35% 18% 18% 28% 18% 23% ** 34% 23% 23% 24% ** 19% 100% 0% 100% 9 If the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Thom Tillis? Jim Snyder? Edward Kryn? Mark Harris? Heather Grant? Alex Lee Bradshaw? Greg Brannon? Ted Alexander? Thom Tillis 28% 29% 31% ** 21% 27% 32% 22% 28% 35% 26% 38% 32% 16% Jim Snyder 4% 2% 9% ** 9% 3% 2% 8% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 14% Edward Kryn 3% 3% 2% ** 0% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% Mark Harris 6% 5% 4% ** 9% 6% 4% 8% 5% 4% 7% 6% 4% 6% Heather Grant 11% 10% 11% ** 15% 10% 11% 11% 8% 16% 11% 6% 16% 9% Alex Lee Bradshaw 4% 4% 6% ** 6% 3% 4% 4% 6% 2% 2% 8% 5% 2% Greg Brannon 15% 16% 9% ** 10% 16% 15% 16% 15% 13% 15% 13% 12% 23% Ted Alexander 7% 8% 3% ** 6% 5% 8% 5% 4% 11% 5% 3% 12% 4% Undecided 23% 23% 26% ** 24% 24% 22% 25% 30% 12% 30% 23% 16% 21% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 7
8 10 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 39% 38% 39% 40% 38% 39% 37% 39% 38% 26% 81% 45% 37% 39% 7% 68% 28% Disapprove 54% 57% 51% 49% 51% 56% 60% 50% 58% 67% 9% 54% 49% 55% 89% 24% 59% Not Sure 8% 5% 10% 11% 10% 5% 3% 11% 4% 7% 9% 2% 13% 6% 4% 7% 13% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 28% 27% 18% 55% 45% 69% 20% 6% 25% 75% 32% 44% 19% 10 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Approve 39% 16% 43% 66% 38% 35% 42% 39% 38% 39% 37% 38% 42% 35% Disapprove 54% 81% 45% 25% 57% 55% 50% 52% 55% 54% 55% 54% 51% 55% Not Sure 8% 3% 12% 8% 5% 10% 7% 9% 8% 6% 8% 8% 7% 10% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 39% 17% 21% 39% 40% 39% 36% 25% 35% 17% 31% 17% 11 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 34% 37% 31% 29% 31% 35% 42% 30% 38% 37% 24% 28% 32% 34% 51% 22% 31% Disapprove 51% 50% 53% 49% 53% 55% 47% 51% 52% 47% 64% 59% 44% 54% 29% 70% 47% Not Sure 15% 13% 17% 22% 16% 10% 11% 19% 11% 16% 12% 13% 24% 12% 20% 8% 21% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 28% 27% 18% 55% 45% 69% 20% 6% 25% 75% 32% 44% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 8
9 11 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Approve 34% 53% 24% 17% 35% 33% 34% 30% 37% 34% 38% 35% 29% 33% Disapprove 51% 31% 58% 75% 47% 49% 55% 52% 48% 54% 48% 50% 55% 53% Not Sure 15% 17% 17% 8% 18% 18% 11% 17% 15% 11% 14% 16% 16% 15% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 39% 17% 21% 39% 40% 39% 36% 25% 35% 17% 31% 17% 12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Richard Burr is doing as United States Senator? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 34% 36% 32% 31% 33% 33% 40% 32% 36% 35% 36% 20% 27% 36% 44% 29% 29% Disapprove 41% 42% 40% 38% 42% 44% 39% 40% 42% 39% 42% 62% 36% 43% 30% 51% 37% Not Sure 25% 23% 28% 31% 25% 22% 21% 28% 22% 26% 22% 18% 36% 21% 27% 20% 34% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 28% 27% 18% 55% 45% 69% 20% 6% 25% 75% 32% 44% 19% 12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Richard Burr is doing as United States Senator? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Approve 34% 47% 29% 19% 35% 36% 31% 34% 34% 32% 29% 47% 34% 31% Disapprove 41% 28% 44% 59% 40% 36% 46% 39% 41% 44% 42% 33% 42% 46% Not Sure 25% 25% 26% 22% 25% 28% 23% 26% 25% 23% 29% 20% 25% 23% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 39% 17% 21% 39% 40% 39% 36% 25% 35% 17% 31% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 9
10 13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as United States Senator? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 34% 33% 36% 32% 33% 37% 38% 32% 37% 26% 59% 43% 32% 35% 12% 55% 28% Disapprove 54% 57% 51% 48% 56% 55% 55% 52% 55% 62% 27% 51% 49% 55% 77% 36% 53% Not Sure 12% 10% 14% 20% 11% 8% 7% 15% 8% 12% 13% 6% 20% 9% 11% 9% 20% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 28% 27% 18% 55% 45% 69% 20% 6% 25% 75% 32% 44% 19% 13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as United States Senator? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Approve 34% 16% 38% 62% 32% 30% 40% 31% 37% 37% 34% 36% 37% 29% Disapprove 54% 76% 46% 30% 56% 55% 51% 56% 52% 53% 53% 55% 50% 60% Not Sure 12% 8% 15% 9% 12% 15% 9% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 14% 11% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 39% 17% 21% 39% 40% 39% 36% 25% 35% 17% 31% 17% 14 Do you approve? Or disapprove? of the job the North Carolina State Legislature is doing? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 26% 30% 21% 32% 22% 23% 26% 27% 24% 24% 31% 19% 31% 24% 31% 21% 25% Disapprove 57% 56% 58% 49% 62% 61% 54% 56% 58% 58% 53% 58% 45% 61% 43% 66% 60% Not Sure 18% 14% 21% 20% 15% 17% 19% 17% 18% 18% 16% 23% 24% 15% 26% 13% 15% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 28% 27% 18% 55% 45% 69% 20% 6% 25% 75% 32% 44% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 10
11 14 Do you approve? Or disapprove? of the job the North Carolina State Legislature is doing? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.3% Approve 26% 34% 23% 12% 23% 28% 24% 26% 27% 26% 29% 29% 23% 20% Disapprove 57% 43% 62% 78% 52% 54% 62% 56% 55% 61% 54% 52% 59% 63% Not Sure 18% 23% 15% 10% 25% 17% 14% 19% 18% 13% 17% 19% 18% 16% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 39% 17% 21% 39% 40% 39% 36% 25% 35% 17% 31% 17% 15 One year from now, will North Carolina's economy be... stronger than it is today? Weaker than it is today? Or about the same as it is today? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Stronger 23% 29% 18% 23% 23% 23% 22% 23% 23% 20% 30% 24% 28% 21% 27% 23% 17% Weaker 32% 28% 35% 35% 33% 30% 25% 34% 28% 32% 23% 53% 30% 32% 29% 31% 34% Same 40% 40% 40% 38% 39% 42% 44% 38% 43% 43% 40% 17% 39% 41% 39% 40% 43% Not Sure 5% 4% 7% 4% 5% 5% 8% 4% 6% 5% 7% 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 27% 26% 17% 57% 43% 68% 20% 7% 26% 74% 32% 44% 19% 15 One year from now, will North Carolina's economy be... stronger than it is today? Weaker than it is today? Or about the same as it is today? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Stronger 23% 26% 21% 21% 19% 21% 27% 19% 24% 29% 26% 20% 25% 16% Weaker 32% 29% 29% 41% 35% 34% 27% 36% 31% 25% 28% 29% 33% 40% Same 40% 41% 45% 32% 40% 40% 40% 38% 41% 42% 41% 44% 38% 38% Not Sure 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% 4% 6% Composition of Adults 100% 35% 39% 17% 24% 38% 38% 41% 35% 24% 35% 17% 31% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 11
12 16 State leaders have proposed various plans for raising what the state pays teachers. Which of these plans, if any, do you most prefer? Raising pay for all teachers? Focusing pay raises on those in their first 9 years of teaching? Raising pay based on performance? Or not raising teacher pay at this time? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Raising Pay For Teachers 52% 48% 55% 51% 52% 51% 54% 51% 52% 46% 69% 50% 51% 52% 36% 68% 51% Raises On Those In Their First 9 Yea 5% 6% 4% 7% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 5% 3% 3% 7% 3% 6% 3% 6% Based On Performance 36% 39% 32% 32% 38% 38% 35% 35% 37% 40% 19% 37% 35% 36% 51% 23% 34% Not Raising At This Time 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 9% 4% 6% 6% 4% 6% Not Sure 3% 2% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 27% 26% 17% 57% 43% 68% 20% 7% 26% 74% 32% 44% 19% 16 State leaders have proposed various plans for raising what the state pays teachers. Which of these plans, if any, do you most prefer? Raising pay for all teachers? Focusing pay raises on those in their first 9 years of teaching? Raising pay based on performance? Or not raising teacher pay at this time? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Raising Pay For Teachers 52% 38% 52% 73% 47% 52% 54% 51% 54% 50% 51% 51% 52% 53% Raises On Those In Their First 9 Yea 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% Based On Performance 36% 50% 34% 16% 33% 37% 36% 34% 36% 39% 34% 38% 37% 35% Not Raising At This Time 5% 6% 6% 4% 8% 6% 3% 7% 4% 4% 7% 6% 3% 5% Not Sure 3% 2% 3% 2% 6% 2% 1% 4% 2% 3% 4% 1% 3% 2% Composition of Adults 100% 35% 39% 17% 24% 38% 38% 41% 35% 24% 35% 17% 31% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 12
13 17 On February 2, a Duke Energy coal ash pond spilled into the Dan River. How familiar are you with this news story? Very familiar? Somewhat familiar? Not very familiar? Or not at all familiar? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Very 39% 44% 35% 34% 38% 44% 41% 36% 43% 38% 38% 48% 31% 42% 37% 44% 35% Somewhat 37% 37% 38% 36% 38% 38% 38% 37% 38% 40% 31% 42% 40% 37% 42% 34% 46% Not Very 13% 11% 15% 15% 13% 10% 15% 14% 12% 13% 16% 3% 17% 12% 13% 12% 11% Not At 9% 7% 12% 14% 10% 7% 5% 12% 6% 8% 14% 7% 12% 9% 8% 9% 8% Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 27% 26% 17% 57% 43% 68% 20% 7% 26% 74% 32% 44% 19% 17 On February 2, a Duke Energy coal ash pond spilled into the Dan River. How familiar are you with this news story? Very familiar? Somewhat familiar? Not very familiar? Or not at all familiar? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Very 39% 39% 40% 43% 33% 35% 47% 34% 39% 50% 39% 42% 43% 29% Somewhat 37% 38% 37% 38% 35% 41% 36% 37% 41% 32% 39% 39% 36% 35% Not Very 13% 14% 11% 12% 18% 13% 10% 16% 12% 10% 14% 11% 12% 17% Not At 9% 8% 11% 6% 13% 10% 6% 12% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 18% Not Sure 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% Composition of Adults 100% 35% 39% 17% 24% 38% 38% 41% 35% 24% 35% 17% 31% 17% 18 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the way the state has responded to the spill? 1606 Familiar With News Story Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.4% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Approve 23% 24% 21% 36% 18% 20% 16% 27% 18% 22% 28% 23% 36% 19% 26% 22% 21% Disapprove 61% 63% 58% 47% 69% 64% 63% 58% 64% 59% 61% 71% 48% 65% 53% 67% 56% Not Sure 16% 12% 21% 17% 13% 16% 21% 15% 18% 19% 12% 6% 16% 17% 21% 11% 23% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Familiar With News S 100% 51% 49% 28% 27% 28% 18% 55% 45% 70% 18% 8% 24% 76% 32% 44% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 13
14 18 Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the way the state has responded to the spill? 1606 Familiar With News Story Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.4% Approve 23% 29% 21% 20% 21% 24% 23% 22% 24% 22% 27% 22% 16% 30% Disapprove 61% 53% 61% 73% 61% 55% 66% 62% 58% 62% 58% 61% 65% 58% Not Sure 16% 18% 18% 6% 18% 21% 12% 15% 18% 15% 16% 17% 18% 12% Composition of Familiar With News S 100% 36% 40% 18% 21% 37% 42% 38% 37% 26% 35% 19% 32% 14% 19 In addition to the Dan River location, Duke Energy has 13 other locations across the state where it stores coal ash in ponds. How should the cleanup of those locations be paid for? The company should pay for it without raising customer rates? The company should be able to raise customer rates to pay for some of the costs? The company should be able to raise customer rates to pay for all of the costs? Or should state taxpayers pay the costs? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-1.4% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Company Should Pay 88% 86% 89% 84% 93% 88% 86% 88% 87% 88% 84% 95% 83% 89% 87% 88% 86% Raise Rates To Pay For Some 8% 11% 5% 10% 5% 6% 9% 8% 7% 8% 9% 4% 11% 6% 8% 8% 9% Raise Rates To Pay For 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% State Taxpayers Should Pay 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Not Sure 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 27% 26% 17% 57% 43% 68% 20% 7% 26% 74% 32% 44% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 14
15 19 In addition to the Dan River location, Duke Energy has 13 other locations across the state where it stores coal ash in ponds. How should the cleanup of those locations be paid for? The company should pay for it without raising customer rates? The company should be able to raise customer rates to pay for some of the costs? The company should be able to raise customer rates to pay for all of the costs? Or should state taxpayers pay the costs? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-1.4% Company Should Pay 88% 88% 86% 91% 89% 89% 86% 90% 87% 85% 87% 86% 89% 90% Raise Rates To Pay For Some 8% 7% 10% 6% 5% 7% 10% 3% 10% 13% 8% 11% 6% 6% Raise Rates To Pay For 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% State Taxpayers Should Pay 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% Not Sure 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% Composition of Adults 100% 35% 39% 17% 24% 38% 38% 41% 35% 24% 35% 17% 31% 17% 20 Should the main focus of North Carolina's Department of Environment and Natural Resources be protecting the environment? Helping businesses navigate environmental regulations? Or an even mix of protecting the environment and helping businesses navigate the regulations? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Male Female White Black Hispani Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Unaffilia Protecting Environment 39% 39% 39% 40% 38% 38% 39% 39% 38% 35% 42% 55% 42% 38% 27% 48% 36% Navigate Environmental Regulations 8% 10% 7% 8% 5% 9% 12% 7% 10% 8% 10% 3% 10% 8% 9% 7% 11% Even Mix Of Both 49% 49% 48% 47% 54% 50% 41% 50% 46% 53% 40% 34% 46% 49% 61% 40% 51% Not Sure 4% 2% 6% 5% 3% 3% 8% 4% 5% 3% 7% 8% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 27% 26% 17% 57% 43% 68% 20% 7% 26% 74% 32% 44% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 15
16 20 Should the main focus of North Carolina's Department of Environment and Natural Resources be protecting the environment? Helping businesses navigate environmental regulations? Or an even mix of protecting the environment and helping businesses navigate the regulations? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.2% Protecting Environment 39% 33% 40% 52% 40% 34% 43% 40% 40% 36% 37% 42% 39% 39% Navigate Environmental Regulations 8% 11% 8% 5% 10% 10% 6% 9% 8% 8% 10% 7% 6% 10% Even Mix Of Both 49% 53% 49% 39% 44% 52% 49% 44% 49% 54% 48% 49% 50% 46% Not Sure 4% 3% 3% 4% 6% 5% 2% 7% 3% 2% 4% 2% 5% 5% Composition of Adults 100% 35% 39% 17% 24% 38% 38% 41% 35% 24% 35% 17% 31% 17% ** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful. Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 16
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