POWER INDUSTRY IN POMORSKIE REGION
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1 POWER INDUSTRY IN POMORSKIE REGION CURRENT STATUS AND DEVELOPMENT TRENDS Tadeusz śurek Office of the Governor of Pomorskie Region 1
2 Strategic and Planning Documents 1. Area Development Plan for Pomorskie Region (draft prepared, five public debates held) 2. Development Strategy for Pomorskie Region 3. Regional Power Strategy taking into account renewable sources in Pomorskie Region for Draft assumptions to the heat, electricity and gas fuel supply plan plans for 122 communes prepared 2
3 Heat 1. Modernisation projects: at heat sources (producers) at heat distribution networks and substations distributors) at customers 2. Thermal Modernisation Act (1998) energy audits (new act in force since 19 March 2009) 3. Reduction of demand for thermal power and heat 3
4 Area Development Plan for Pomorskie Region - Heat and electricity supply system: Thick red highest voltage lines; Medium thick red very high voltage; Thin red high voltage; Red squares main power supply points; Red stars transformer and distribution stations; Purple areas with centralised heat supply 4
5 Heat Annual Heat Demand [TJ]
6 Heat Heat Production by EC WybrzeŜe [TJ/year]
7 Heat Annual Biomass Consumption [TJ]
8 Gaseous Fuels 1. Conversion of low power heat sources (coal-fired boilers) to gas-fired ones 2. Investment in gas networks and pressure reduction stations (middle and low pressure) 3. Stable gas consumption level over the last five years 8
9 Area Development Plan for Pomorskie Region - Gas and liquid fuel supply system: Thick yellow high pressure gas pipelines; Thick black liquid fuel pipelines Paliwa gazowe 9
10 Gaseous Fuels Annual Consumption of Gaseous Fuels [millions of m3/year] 423 (converted to natural gas) Natural gas [millions of m3/year] Total gaseous fuels [millions of m3/year] 10
11 23.77% Struktura paliw - rok 2004 Heat and Gas 43.60% Fuel Structure in 2004 and 2007 Blue solid fuels (coal and coke) Yellow gaseous fuels (natural gas and LPG) Orange heating oils Green RES (biomass, biogas, wind turbines etc.) Red electricity/ coal 5.12% 12.84% 14.68% Paliwa stałe (węgiel, koks) Palwa gazowe (gaz ziemny, LPG) Oleje opałowe OZE (biomasa, biogaz, el. wiatrowe itp.) Energia elektryczna - węgiel 5.98% 26.35% 11.43% Struktura paliw - rok % Paliwa stałe (węgiel, koks) Palwa gazowe (gaz ziemny, LPG) Oleje opałowe OZE (biomasa, biogaz, el. wiatrowe itp.) Energia elektryczna - węgiel 41.23% 11
12 Heat and Gas Energy in Fuels and Carriers [TJ/year]
13 ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR Current Status and Development Possibilities 13
14 Electric Power Installed in Electric Power Plants in Pomorskie Region MWel Industrial power plants (without EC WybrzeŜe) Small hydroelectric plants Biogas electric power plants Installed power Available power 14
15 Electric Power of śarnowiec and Wind Power Plants in Pomorskie Region MWel śarnowiec pumped storage electric power plant" Wind power plants Installed electric power Available electric power 15
16 Electricity Demand in Pomorskie Region MWel Industrial plants and H&P plant Demand in Pomorskie Region Installed electric power Available electric power 16
17 Electricity Consumption and Production [GWh/year] Consumption [GWh/year] Production [GWh/year] 17
18 Electricity Production from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) ,9 285,1 275,7 293, , ,3 80,6 80,8 103,8 91, ,5 16, Wind Hydro Biomass & biogas 18
19 30.0% Electricity Contribution of RES to Production and Consumption of Electricity in Pomorskie Region [%] 26.85% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.39% 17.33% 18.65% 21.62% 10.0% 5.0% 5.25% 5.96% 6.07% 6.86% 8.71% 0.0% Contr. of RES to production of electricity Contr. of RES to consumption of electricity 19
20 Assumptions to Modernisation and Development of Electric Power Systems in Pomorskie Region to 2020 Basic Assumptions according to Regional Power Strategy: energy and environmental safety, energy efficiency, thermal modernisation projects, increased contribution of energy from renewable sources. 20
21 Planned Effects of Energy Efficiency Improvement Programme in Regional Power Strategy 110% Change in Demand for Thermal Power, Heat and Primary Fuels 100% 100,0% 90% 80% 70% 90,7% 90,3% 84,9% 86,4% 85,3% 71,2% 82,3% 81,5% 77,4% 75,7% 60% 61,9% 57,5% 50% 40% Thermal power Heat Primary energy in fuels 21
22 Optimum Scenario Optimum Scenario: 1. Modernisation and development of electric power infrastructure (high voltage networks, substations including main power supply points), 2. Investment in various types of electricity sources professional electric power plants (gas- and coal-fired and nuclear) gas-fired (1-2) MW coal-fired MW nuclear MW 22
23 Optimum Scenario: Investment in various types of renewable sources of electricity (wind power, biogas and PV power plants): biogas biomass wind power MW MW - up to 2000 MW Pomorskie will become an exporter of electricity the region may produce ca. 350 % more than it consumes. 23
24 Optimum Scenario Contribution of Various Sources to Energy Balance in 2015 and 2020 MW] Renewable sources Gas-fired electric power plants (natural gas) Coal-fired power plants Nuclear power plants 24
25 Minimum Scenario: 1. Investment in renewable sources of electricity small hydro and combined heat and power plants fired with renewable fuels as well as wind power plants will be built. 2. Construction of 1-2 professional gas-fired electric power plants. The Pomorskie region will continue to be an importer of electricity 75 % of demand will be met internally in
26 Minimum Scenario Industrial and Professional Electric Power Electric Power and CHP Plants Meeting the Installed Available Conditions of Stable Operation [MW el] [MW el] II. New projects - RES 1. Biogas plants (as part of agricultural power complex construction project) Biomass plants (proposed construction of CHP interfacing with town heating sys tem) Wind power plants interfacing with power unit in śarnowiec plant W ind power plants interfacing with gas-fired plant (Gdańsk) Total: 1 790,0 665,0 III. New projects - gas-fired plants 1. Professional plant, 400 MW el (Gdańsk) IV. New projects - professional plants 1. Coal-fired plant, 1600 MWel Nuclear plant, 1600 MWel - - Total - all sources of electricity:
27 Minimum Scenario Contribution of Various Sources to Energy Balance in 2015 and MW] Renewable sources Gas-fired electric power plants (natural gas) Coal-fired power plants 0 0 Nuclear power plants 27
28 Stagnation Scenario tagnation Scenario: 1. Very limited investment in the electric power sector - no new large electricity sources will be built in the Pomorskie region. 2. The region will continue to import electricity and only approx % of the demand will be satisfied internally. 3. Small wind parks, electric power and CHP plants fired with renewable fuels (biogas and biomass) will be built). 28
29 Stagnation Scenario Indus trial and Profes s ional Electric Power Electric Power and CHP Plants Meeting the Ins talled Available Conditions of Stable Operation [M W el] [M W el] II. New projects - RES 1. Biogas plants (as part of agricultural power complex cons truction project) Biomas s plants (propos ed cons truction of CHP interfacing with town heating s ys tem) W ind power plants interfacing with power unit in śarnowiec plant W ind power plants - limited interface with gas-fired plant Total: 770,0 245,0 III. New projects - gas-fired plants 1. Professional plant, 200 MW el (location?) IV. New projects - professional plants 1. Coal-fired plant, 1600 MWel Nuclear plant, 1600 MWel - - Total - all s ources of electricity
30 Stagnation Scenario Contribution of Various Sources to Energy Balance in 2015 and MW] Renewable sources Gas-fired electric power plants (natural gas) Coal-fired power plants 0 0 Nuclear power plants 30
31 Scenario Evaluation Scenarios Renewable Sources Gas Power Coal Power Nuclear Total Wind Power Biogas/Biomass Plant Plant Power Plant.. Scenario I Electric power [MWe] Avoided CO2 emission [t CO2/yr] Avoided purchase. of emission rights - 1 ton of CO2 = 50 EUR [PLN m/ yr ] Coal savings (Q=23 GJ/t) [t/yr] Scenario II Electric power [MWe] Avoided CO2 emission [t CO2/yr] Avoided purchase. of emission rights - 1 ton of CO2 = 50 EUR [PLN m/ yr ] Coal savings (Q=23 GJ/t) [t/yr] Scenario III Electric power [MWe] Avoided CO2 emission [t CO2/yr] Avoided purchase. of emission rights - 1 ton of CO2 = 50 EUR [PLN m/ yr ] Coal savings (Q=23 GJ/t) [t/yr]
32 Pomorskie Region 400 MWe 1600 MWe 32
33 Compatibility of Assumptions in Regional Power Strategy with the European Council s 3 x 20 Programme (9 March 2007) Energy efficiency increase by 9% by 2016 (directive 2006/32/WE) increase by 20% by 2020 Increased utilisation of RES 20% of RES in final energy balance in % in some countries Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 20% in
34 The cheapest is energy... which was not produced to cover unnecessary losses. Thank you for your attention Department of Economic Development Office of the Governor of Pomorskie Region 34
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