US Forest Service - Interagency Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Program. Fuel Management Workshop, Hinton, AB January, 2014
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1 US Forest Service - Interagency Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Program Fuel Management Workshop, Hinton, AB January, 2014
2 Outline Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring USA Federal Land Management - Orientation Why FTEM? FTEM Program Overview Example of Outputs/Results Lessons Learned Outlook for the Future
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4 Hazard Fuel Reduction Defined From - Glossary Hazard Fuel Reduction Removal of excessive live or dead wildland fuel accumulations for the strict objective: of reducing the potential for the occurrence of uncharacteristically intense wildland fire and increasing capabilities to protect life and property, including communities at risk and sensitive municipal watersheds; sensitive natural resources, including critical native plant communities and threatened and endangered species; and other socially important cultural resources.
5 Millions of Acres Treated Federal Agency Total Hazardous Fuels Treatments WUI Non-WUI Year Source - NFPORS Dashboard Appendix K Report Excludes Fire use and Preparation for Treatment.
6 History of HFR Monitoring National Fire Plan 2000 Question: What Benefit is There To Doing Hazard Fuel Reduction? Answer: Loss/Cost from Wildfire Reduced, Safety Improved Assumptions: Is it Effective? Of Course it is!! Program Monitored Using: Annual Accomplishment Reporting Collection of Success Stories
7 Assumptions Questioned Post Fire Plan - New Questions Emerge: How Often Do These Projects Actually Encounter Wildfire? When They Do Get Tested By Wildfire, Do They Work?
8 Why Did We Create a National Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Program? Because Various Entities Required Verification that the Fuels Management Program was of Value Departments of Interior and Agriculture Congress, OMB, GAO Agency Heads/Program Managers Interest Groups General Public
9 The Objectives of Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring To Demonstrate the Utility of the Hazardous Fuel Program by Verifying that Hazardous Fuel Treatments: Are Encountered By Wildfire On a Regular Basis Actually Work When Encountered by Wildfire Establish baseline data to assist with making future Hazardous Fuels Program decisions Don t Overwhelm Field Personnel Minimum Amount of Information Necessary To Achieve Goal Ability to record additional information (optional) Document Lessons Learned to adjust future Treatment Design & Prescriptions Archive for photo s, maps, narratives, detailed reports, etc.
10 FTEM Program Initial Design Hazard Fuel Reduction Removal of excessive live or dead wildland fuel accumulations for the strict objective: of reducing the potential for the occurrence of uncharacteristically intense wildland fire Evaluate changes in fire behavior
11 FTEM Program Initial Design Hazard Fuel Reduction Removal of excessive live or dead wildland fuel accumulations for the strict objective: of reducing the potential for the occurrence of uncharacteristically intense wildland fire and increasing capabilities to protect life and property, Evaluate if the treatment helped with fire response actions
12 FTEM Program Design Keys to Effectiveness of the HFR Program 1. Did the Fire Behavior Change as a Result of the Treatment? Y/N 2. Did the Treatment contribute to the Control of the Wildfire? Y/N
13 Overview What is the FTEM Program? Online Database Each Record = an Evaluation of an Interaction Between Wildfire and Hazard Fuel Project(s) National and Interagency in Scope - Coarse Scale Simple Summary Reports Collection Point for Optional Reports, Photos, etc. (Archive-Data Warehouse) Templates Useful for More Detailed Monitoring (optional)
14 What the FTEM Program Is Not Not Designed to Evaluate Fuel Treatments That Have Not Encountered Wildfire Not Designed for Detailed Reporting of Fuels/Fire Behavior Interactions Not a Fire Effects Monitoring System Not Monitoring Natural Resource Outcomes Does Not Evaluate Return on Investment No Economics Involved
15 Program History Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Database Created and Made Available for USFS Only Voluntary Reporting WO/Regions Instigated and Led Several Reporting Efforts 2011 USFS Issues Interim Directive Mandatory Reporting Local Units Assume More Reporting Duties; WO/Regions Support Large Efforts 2012 Department of Interior Bureaus Added Mandatory Reporting Starting 2012
16 Requirement Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Reporting Local unit will fill out an online form for each wildfire that intersects with a Hazardous Fuel Treatment: Forest Service Interim Directive Fuel treatment area that has been completed: Within the last 10 years Or within last 3 years in the Southern Region And other areas designated by regional foresters DOI (NPS, FWS, BIA, BLM) Fuel treatment area that has been completed: And reported accomplishment acres in NFPORS From fiscal year (FY) 2003 to present Reports must be submitted within 90 days of control of the fire. Reports must be submitted within 90 days of the wildfire burning into the treatment area.
17 Required vs Optional Functions Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Required - Database Entry 9 Required Elements (11 for DOI) Optional Information Fuels, Wx, Fire Behavior, etc. Optional Attachments- Archive for Related Materials Maps, Photos Field & Regional Level Reports National Level & Science Reports Briefing Papers Multi-Media ch?v=xewiazjltbk&feature=y outu.be
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19 Optional Functions and Products Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Standard Template For FTEM Reports
20 National Level & Science Reports Comprehensive
21 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Results
22 USFS Treatment Effectiveness Count FTEM Database Year* Summary of FS Fuel Treatments Effectiveness On Wildfires (As of 12/31/13) Did Treatment Change Fire Behavior? Number of Treatments Tested By Wildfire Did Treatment Help Control Wildfire? No Yes No Yes Number % Number % Number % Number % Total Records % % - 0% % % % 2 1% % % % 1 1% % % 91 86% 9 8% 97 92% % % 6 4% % % % 66 15% % % % % % % % % % 264 Total % 1,458 89% % 1,366 86% 1,686 *Reporting was optional until Dec 2010; then manditory starting 2011; 2013 is under-reported as managers have 90 days from control of fire to report Summary: Over 1,600 Interactions Recorded on USFS Lands Since 2006 Roughly 80-90% Effectiveness Approximately 60% of All Records are for Fires < 20 acres in size
23 Interagency Treatment Effectiveness Count FTEM Database Agency Summary of Interagency Fuel Treatments Effectiveness On Wildfires (As of 12/31/13) Did Treatment Change Fire Behavior? Number of Treatments Tested By Wildfire in 2012 Did Treatment Help Control Wildfire? No Yes No Yes Number % Number % Number % Number % Total Records BIA 2 1% % 4 2% % 172 BLM 11 6% % 33 18% % 186 NPS 1 2% 57 98% 2 3% 56 97% 58 FS 45 15% % % % 310 FWS 1 1% 92 99% 1 1% 92 99% 93 Total 60 5% % % % 819 *Reporting was mandatory for all agencies for 2012 Summary: Over 800 Interactions in 2012 Alone * Between All Agencies, Close to 3,000 Interactions Reported Since 2006 Roughly 90% Effectiveness
24 Assessments FS Report Template FTEM Database
25 Carpenter 1 Fire 2013 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Success Stories Kyle Canyon Trout Canyon
26 Carpenter 1 Fire 2013 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Success Stories Trout Canyon; 35 Homes Kyle Canyon; 335 Homes
27 Regularly Observed Outcomes Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Fuel Treatments Are Tested By Wildfire Regularly Treatments Work As Intended 80-90% of the Time Improve initial attack success; Improve success in protecting homes and communities from wildfire; Reduce wildfire damage and improve forest resilience after wildfire; and Provide wildfire managers more options for minimizing risk, reducing costs, and enhancing fire-adapted ecosystems.
28 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Lessons Learned
29 Common Themes in Success Stories Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Project Areas In Places Where There Was High Probability of Experiencing Wildfire Values are at Risk from Wildfire Treatments Were Well Designed Prescription designed to mitigate the Problem fire Units Strategically Placed Analysis of Treatment Locations & Prescriptions In Vegetation Types with High Likelihood of Success Surface Fuels Were Treated with Prescribed Fire Collaboration with Partners All-Lands Approach: Combination of Actions To Deal with Fuels, Wildfire Response, and Development Taken on Federal Estate, Adjacent State, County and Private
30 Lessons Learned Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Fuel Treatments that Did Not Work Some Thoughts on Why Treatment In-Progress Multi-Stage Treatment Incomplete; Residual Fuels Treatment Design Treatment Not Designed for the Problem Fire Treatments Not Strategically Placed Limitations of Methods Not Understood/Recognized Mastication No Rx Fire Changed Condition Design for Historic, not Current/Expected Conditions
31 ERC Values Source: Bill Aney ERC Values Lessons Learned Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Monitoring Never Saw Fire Behavior Like That Before What Fire Conditions are We Treating for? What if Todays 97 th Percentile Becomes Tomorrows 80 th percentile? Will Treatment Still Work? Quail Mountain (SW OR) ERC Cabin Lake (SE OR) ERC
32 What s Next Near Term FTEM Database Modify Existing Elements Assist in Control and/or Management Consider Adding a New Element Did the Treatment Assist with Achieving the Desired Land Management Outcome in the Presence of Wildfire? Modify Functionality for Long-Term, Large Fire Scenarios Currently Designed for One-day Wildfire Events Impacting a Handful of Treatment Units FTEM Guidance Improvements to User s Guide, FAQ s Sheets Reports & Communications Fire Management Today Article In Print Continue Utilizing FTEM to Inform Internal Briefing Papers & Reports
33 What s Next Long Term FTEM System Explore Opportunities for Automation (AFTEERS) Satellite Heat Detection + FACTS Database = Automatic Trigger When Wildfire Intersects Existing Fuel Treatment Potential to Auto-Populate Some Elements such as Weather, flame length/intensity, Time/Date of Interaction, etc; Firefighter/Manager Fuel Treatment Awareness Increasing Availability of Fuel Treatment Information (WFDSS) Websites, Reports, Research Create a Public Website or Incorporate FTEM Reports into Existing Website(s) Synthesis Reports Opportunities for Learning Informing Discussions on Investment Strategies The Next Big Question How Much and Where to Invest?
34 Thank You Questions? h?v=xewiazjltbk&feature= youtu.be
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