Loras College Statewide Survey Illinois September 2016

Transcription

1 Loras College Statewide Survey Illinois September 0 Field Dates: September, 0 Completed Surveys: 00 Margin of Error: +/.0% Notes on Methodology: The Loras College Poll surveyed 00 likely voters in Illinois. The survey was conducted September, 0. Margin of error for full sample is +/ %. Results calculated at a % confidence interval. Statewide sample balanced for standard demographic variables such as age and gender, as well as by geography (City of Chicago, Chicago MSA, and Downstate). Party composition to approximate 0 presidential electorate in Illinois. Survey included both landlines and cell phones (% and %, respectively) Survey conducted with a random sample of registered voters (voter list purchased through a third party vendor). Screen for likely voter is respondent report of definitely or very likely to vote in the November election. The survey was conducted using live operator interviews through a contracted professional call center. Script development and methodology received input from Republican campaign consultant Brian Dumas and Democratic campaign consultant David Heller.

2 Q. Are you registered to vote in Illinois? Yes % No.0 0 Q. In November there will be an election for President of the United States, as well as for U.S. Senate. How likely would you say you are to vote in this upcoming election? Would you say you will definitely vote, or are you very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, unlikely, or will you definitely not vote in the election? Definitely.. 0.% Very Likely.% Q. And of the following categories, which one does your age fall into? 0.% 0.%.0% +.0.0% Q. Of the following, which best describes your race? White...% Black or AfricanAmerican.% Hispanic or Latino.% Some other race.% (c) Loras College

3 Q. Gender Male.0% Female.0% Q. When it comes to politics, do you generally consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else? Republican.0% Democrat...% Independent..% Something else...% Q. Thinking about the job Barack Obama is doing as President, would you say you approve or disapprove of his job performance? Definitely approve..% Somewhat approve...% TOTAL APPROVE.....% Somewhat disapprove..% Definitely disprove.00.% TOTAL DISAPPROVE.. 0.% Undecided...%.. 0.% (c) Loras College

4 Q. Thinking about the direction of the country, would you say you believe the country is on the right track or headed in the wrong direction? Right track 0.% Wrong direction..0.% Undecided...%...% Q. When thinking of the candidates for the upcoming Presidential election in November, how satisfied are you with the choices available to you? Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied? Very Satisfied..% Somewhat Satisfied.0% TOTAL SATISFIED.% Somewhat Dissatisfied..% Very Dissatisfied..% TOTAL DISSATISFIED..0% No Opinion.0.0%.. 0.% Q0. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton? (c) Loras College

5 Very Favorable 0 0.0% Somewhat Favorable..0% TOTAL FAVORABLE....0% Somewhat Unfavorable.% Very Unfavorable 0.% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE...% No Opinion..% Never Heard of. 0.%.. 0.% Q. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Donald Trump? Very Favorable..0.% Somewhat Favorable.% TOTAL FAVORABLE....0% Somewhat Unfavorable.% Very Unfavorable 0.0% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE.. 0.% No Opinion..% Never Heard of % (c) Loras College

6 Q. If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote? Definitely Hillary Clinton..% Probably Hillary Clinton...% TOTAL CLINTON.....% Definitely Donald Trump..0% Probably Donald Trump..0% TOTAL TRUMP.....0% Someone Else..% Unsure...%...% Q. Would you say you choose Clinton more because you support her or more because you oppose Trump? Support..% Oppose...% Unsure..0.0%.. 0.% (c) Loras College

7 Q. Would you say you choose Trump more because you support him or more because you oppose Clinton? Support.% Oppose.0.% Unsure...%...0% Q. If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, Gary Johnson for the Libertarians and Jill Stein for the Green Party, for whom would you vote? Definitely Hillary Clinton..% Probably Hillary Clinton...% TOTAL CLINTON..0% Definitely Donald Trump..% Probably Donald Trump..% TOTAL TRUMP. 0.% Definitely Gary Johnson...0% Probably Gary Johnson.% TOTAL JOHNSON...% Definitely Jill Stein.% Probably Jill Stein.% TOTAL STEIN.. 0.% Unsure...%..% (c) Loras College

8 Q. On a scale of to 0, with being very open to changing your mind about which candidate you will vote for and 0 being not at all open to changing, how would you rate your openness to changing your mind?..% 0.%.%.%..%..%..%..%..% 0..% Q. Regardless of which Presidential candidate you plan to vote for, who do you expect will become President of the United States? Hillary Clinton.% Donald Trump..0% Unsure 0 0.0%...% (c) Loras College

9 QQ Embargoed until /0/ (c) Loras College

10 (c) Loras College

11 Q. How would you describe yourself politically? Would you say you are very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal, very liberal or are you unsure? Very conservative....% Conservative.0% Moderate..0.0% Liberal...% Very Liberal..% Unsure...% No Response/.% Q. Did I reach you today on a landline or cell phone? Landline.0 0.% Cell Phone..% Q. Do you also have a landline phone in your household? Yes..% No.%...% (c) Loras College

12 Q. And of the following categories, which one does your total family income fall into? Under $0, % $0,000 to $,.% $0,000 to $,..0% $00,000 to $00,000.0% Over $00, %.0% Q. What is the highest level of education you completed? Some high school, high school, some college, college degree or some graduate education? Some high school.0% High school degree.0.% Some college..% College degree.% Graduate degree. 0.%.0% (c) Loras College

13 Q. Which of the following is closest to your religious affiliation? Catholic, Protestant, Evangelical, Fundamentalist, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, No Religion or something else? Catholic.0.% Protestant..% Evangelical...% Fundamentalist.0% Mormon. 0.% Jewish.% Muslim 0.% Something else...% No Religion..%.% Q. And thinking about your personal church attendance, would you say you attend weekly, a couple times per month, a few times per year or would you say you almost never or never attend church? Weekly.% Couple times a month..% A few times a year.0.% Almost never/never attend..%.% (c) Loras College

14 Q. And would you describe your personal status as married or single? Married...% Single..%.% Q0. Geography Chicago (city)...% Chicago MSA 0 0.% Downstate. 0.% (c) Loras College

15 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Total Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age 0 + Q. Race White Black or Af rican American Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Male Female Q. Party Republican Democrat Independent Something else Q. Obama job performance Definitely approv e Somewhat approv e Somewhat disapprov e Definitely disprov e Undecided Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age 0 + Q. Race White Black or AfricanAmerican Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Male Female Q. Party Republican Democrat Independent Something else % 00.0%.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.0% 0 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.0% 0.%.0% 0.% % 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.% 0.% 00.0%.% 0.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.0% 0.%.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0% 0.0%.0%.% %.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 00.0% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.% 0.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.0% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 00.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.0%.0%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.0%.%.% 0.%.% 00.0%.%.%.0%.0%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.0%.0%

16 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Total Right track direction Undecided Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisfied Dissatisf ied No Opinion Favorable Favorable Unf av orable Unf av orable No Opinion Heard of %.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.0%.0%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 00.0% Q. Age 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 00.0% + 0.0% 0.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% Q. Race White.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% Black or Af ricanamerican.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Some other race.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male.0% 0.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 0 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% Female.0% 00.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.%.% 0.% 00.0% 0 0.0%.%.%.% 0.% 00.0%.% Q. Party Republican.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% Democrat.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0% Independent.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% Something else.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%

17 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Somewhat Somewhat Very Definitely Hillary Probably Hillary Definitely Probably Donald Total Very Fav orable Fav orable Unf av orable Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Clinton Clinton Donald Trump Trump Someone Else Unsure %.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Q. Age 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.0% 0.% 0.0%.% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% + 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Q. Race White.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0% Black or Af ricanamerican.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Some other race.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male.0%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.0% Female.0%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% Q. Party Republican.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Democrat.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0% Independent.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.0% Something else.%.%.%.%.0% 0.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%

18 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Choose Clinton Total Support Oppose Unsure 0.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0% 0.0% 00.0% Q. Age.%.% 0.%.0% 0.%.%.%.0% 00.0% 0.%.0%.%.0% +.%.%.%.0% Q. Race White.%.% 0.%.0% Black or Af ricanamerican.0% 0.%.% 0.0% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.% 0.0% Some other race.%.%.%.0% 00.0% Q. Gender Male.%.%.%.0% Female 0.%.%.%.0% 00.0% Q. Party Republican 0.%.%.%.0% Democrat.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0% Independent.%.%.%.0% Something else.%.%.% 0.0%

19 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Choose Trump Total Support Oppose Unsure 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Q. Age 0 0.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% +.%.%.%.% 0.0% Q. Race White.%.%.%.% 0.0% Black or Af ricanamerican.0%.%.% Hispanic or Latino.0%.%.% Some other race.0%.%.% 0.0% Q. Gender Male 0.% 0.0%.%.% 0.0% Female.% 0.0%.%.% 0.0% Q. Party Republican.%.%.%.% 0.0% Democrat.%.%.%.% 0.0% Independent.%.% 0.0%.% Something else 0.%.%.%.%

20 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Probably Hillary Def initely Donald Definitely Gary Probably Gary Total Clinton Clinton Trump Probably Donald Trump Johnson Johnson Definitely Jill Stein Probably Jill Stein Unsure 00 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% Q. Age 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% + 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Race White.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Black or AfricanAmerican.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% Hispanic or Latino.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% Some other race.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Female.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0 0.%.% Q. Party Republican.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Democrat.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Independent.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% Something else.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%

21 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Openness to changing your mind Total 0 0.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0% Q. Age.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% +.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Race White.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% Black or AfricanAmerican.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.% Some other race.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.% 0.% 0.% 0.0% Female 0.%.% 00.0%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0% Q. Party Republican 0.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% Democrat.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% Independent.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% Something else 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%

22 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Direction of Illinois Q. Political views Q. Phone Very No Response/ Total Right track Wrong direction Undecided conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very Liberal Unsure Ref used Landline Cell Phone %.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0% Q. Age 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.0%.%.0% 0.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.0%.0%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0% 0.% + 0.0%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% Q. Race White.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Black or Af ricanamerican.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.% Some other race.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0 0.% Female.0%.%.%.% 00.0%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% Q. Party Republican.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.% Democrat.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0 0.% Independent.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0% Something else.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%

23 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age Total Q. Home phone Yes No 0.0%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% +.% 0 0.%.%.% Q. Race White.% 0.%.%.% Black or Af ricanamerican.%.% 0.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.% Some other race.%.%.%.% Q. Gender Male 0 0.%.% 0.%.% Female.% 0.% 0.%.% Q. Party Republican.% 0.%.%.% Democrat 0 0.% 0.% 0.%.% Independent.0% 0.% 0 0.%.% Something else.%.% 0.%.%

24 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Total Q. Income Under $0,000 $0,000 to $, $0,000 to $, $00,000 to $00,000 Ov er $00,000 Q. Education Some high school High school degree Some college College degree Graduate degree Q. Religious affiliation Catholic Protestant Ev angelical Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else No Religion Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age 0 + Q. Race White Black or AfricanAmerican Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Male Female Q. Party Republican Democrat Independent Something else %.%.%.% 0.%.0%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.0%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.0% 0 0.% 0.%.0% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0 0.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 00.0%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.0%.%.% 0 0.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.0% 0.0%.%.%.0% 0.0% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.0% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0% 0.0%.0%.0%.% 0.%.0% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 00.0% 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%

25 Q. Likely to vote Q. Party Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Couple times a Almost Total Weekly month A f ew times a y ear nev er/nev er attend Married Single Chicago (city ) Chicago MSA Downstate %.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Q. Age 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.0%.% + 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.% Q. Race White.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.% Black or Af ricanamerican.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Hispanic or Latino.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% Some other race.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0% Q. Gender Male.0% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0% Female.0%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.% 00 0.%.%.0% 0.%.%.0% Q. Party Republican.0%.%.0%.0%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% Democrat.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Independent.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Something else.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%

26 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Total Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age 0 + Q. Race White Black or Af rican American Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Male Female Q. Party Republican Democrat Independent Something else Q. Obama job performance Definitely approv e Somewhat approv e Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprov e Undecided Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Direction of country Right track Wrong direction Undecided Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisf ied No Opinion % 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 00.%.0% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% %.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.0% 0.%.% 00.0% 0.%.%.0% 0.%.0% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% 00.% 0.%.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.0%.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0% 0.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.0%.%.0% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.0%

27 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Nev er Total Right track direction Undecided Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisf ied Dissatisf ied No Opinion Fav orable Fav orable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion Heard of %.%.% 00.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.0%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.% 00.0%.%.% Q. Direction of country Right track 0.% % 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.%.%.% Wrong direction 0.% % 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.% Undecided.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 00.0%.% 00.0%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied.% 0.% 0.%.% 00.0%.%.%.0%.% Somewhat Satisfied.0%.% 0.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Dissatisfied.% 0.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Dissatisfied.%.%.0%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% No Opinion 0.0%.%.%.% %.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 00.0%.%

28 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprov e Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Heard Definitely Probably Definitely Probably Total Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion of Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Donald Trump Someone Else Unsure %.%.% 00.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.0%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.% Q. Direction of country Right track 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Wrong direction 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.0% Undecided.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.% Somewhat Satisfied.0%.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% Somewhat Dissatisf ied.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.% Very Dissatisf ied.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% No Opinion 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.% 0.% 0.0%.%

29 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approv e Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Choose Clinton Total Support Oppose Unsure 0 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0% 00.0% Q. Direction of country Right track.%.%.%.0% Wrong direction 0.% 0.%.%.0% Undecided.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied.%.0%.% 0.0% Somewhat Satisf ied.%.%.% 0.0% Somewhat Dissatisfied.%.% 0.0%.0% 00.0% Very Dissatisfied.% 0.%.% 0.0% No Opinion.%.%.%.0%

30 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Def initely disprov e Undecided Q. Choose Trump Total Support Oppose Unsure 0 0.%.0% 0 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Q. Direction of country Right track.%.%.% Wrong direction.%.%.%.% 00.0% Undecided.%.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied.%.%.%.% Somewhat Satisf ied.%.%.%.% 00.0% Somewhat Dissatisfied.%.0%.%.% Very Dissatisfied 0 0.%.% 0.0%.% No Opinion.0%.%.%.%

31 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Direction of country Right track Wrong direction Undecided Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied No Opinion Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Probably Hillary Definitely Donald Probably Donald Definitely Gary Probably Gary Total Clinton Clinton Trump Trump Johnson Johnson Definitely Jill Stein Probably Jill Stein Unsure 00.%.%.% 00.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.% 0.0% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%

32 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Def initely disprov e Undecided Q. Openness to changing your mind Total %.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% Q. Direction of country Right track Wrong direction Undecided Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisf ied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied No Opinion.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%

33 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Def initely disprov e Undecided Q. Home phone Total Yes No 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Direction of country Right track 0.%.%.%.% Wrong direction.%.%.%.% Undecided.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisf ied.%.%.% Somewhat Satisfied.%.% 0 0.%.% Somewhat Dissatisfied.%.%.% Very Dissatisfied.%.%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.% 0.%.%

34 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Total Q. Income Under $0,000 $0,000 to $, $0,000 to $, $00,000 to $00,000 Ov er $00,000 Q. Education Some high school High school degree Some college College degree Graduate degree Q. Religious affiliation Catholic Protestant Ev angelical Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else No Religion Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Direction of country Right track Wrong direction Undecided Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied No Opinion %.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.% 00.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0 0.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 0 0.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.0% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% 0 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.0%.%.%.0%.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%

35 Q. Obama job performance Q. Presidential candidate choices Q. Obama job performance Definitely approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Definitely disprove Undecided Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Couple times a A few times a Almost never/nev Total Weekly month year er attend Married Single Chicago (city) Chicago MSA Downstate %.%.% 00.%.% 0.%.%.%.0% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Q. Direction of country Right track 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% Wrong direction 0.%.%.0% 0.0%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0% Undecided.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% Q. Presidential candidate choice Very Satisfied.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Somewhat Satisfied.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.% Somewhat Dissatisfied.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Very Dissatisfied.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% No Opinion 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.0% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%

36 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Total Q. Likely to vote Definitely Very Likely Q. Age 0 + Q. Race White Black or A f ricana... Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Male Female Q. Party Republican Democrat Independent Something else Q. Obama job performance Definitely approv e Somewhat approv e Somewhat disapprov e Definitely disprov e Undecided Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Fav orable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Fav orable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Def initely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Someone Else Unsure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

37 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Heard Total Right track direction Undecided Very Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisfied Dissatisfied No Opinion Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion of Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Favorable %.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Somewhat Favorable 0 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Very Unfavorable 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 00.0% No Opinion.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Never Heard of 0.%.% 0.% 00.0% 0.%.0%.% 0.% 0.% 00.0% 00.0% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Favorable 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% Somewhat Favorable 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable %.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unfavorable 0.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.% No Opinion %.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Never Heard of 0.% 0.%.% 0.% 00.0%.% Q. Candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 00.0% Probably Hillary Clinton 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump 0.0%.% 0.%.%.0%.0%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Someone Else 0 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%

38 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Total Very Favorable Somewhat Fav orable Somewhat Unf av orable Very Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Def initely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Definitely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Someone Else Unsure Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Fav orable 0 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable % 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0% Nev er Heard of 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 00.0%.%.0% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Fav orable 0 0.% 00.0% 0.% 0.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.% 00.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable.% 00.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable 0 0.0% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% No Opinion.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% Nev er Heard of 0.% 00.0%.0% Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.0% 0.%.% 00.0% Def initely Donald Trump.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% 00.0% Probably Donald Trump.0%.%.0%.%.%.% 00.0% Someone Else.%.% 0.0% 0.0% 00.0% Unsure.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% 00.0% 00.0%

39 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Total Q. Choose Clinton Support Oppose Unsure 0 Very Favorable 0 0.%.%.0% 0.0% Somewhat Favorable 0.%.%.%.0% 00.0% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.0% Very Unfavorable.%.% No Opinion.%.%.% 0.0% Never Heard of 0.% 0.% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Favorable 0.% 0.% Somewhat Favorable.%.% 0.%.0% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.0% 00.0% Very Unfavorable 0.%.%.% 0.0% No Opinion.%.% 0.% Never Heard of Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton 0.%.%.% 0.0% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0% Definitely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Someone Else Unsure

40 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Total Q. Choose Trump Support Oppose Unsure 0 Very Favorable.0%.% Somewhat Favorable.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0.%.%.% Very Unfavorable 0.%.0%.% 00.0% 00.0% No Opinion.0%.%.% Never Heard of Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Favorable 0.%.0%.%.% Somewhat Favorable 0.%.%.%.% 00.0% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.% Very Unfavorable.0%.%.%.% No Opinion.0%.%.% Never Heard of Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Definitely Donald Trump.%.%.% 00.0% 00.0% Probably Donald Trump 0.%.%.% Someone Else Unsure

41 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Total Definitely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Def initely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Definitely Gary Johnson Probably Gary Johnson Definitely Jill Stein Probably Jill Stein Unsure 00 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Fav orable 0 0.0%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0% 0.% No Opinion.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.% Nev er Heard of 0.%.% 0.%.%.% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Fav orable 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable 0.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% No Opinion.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Nev er Heard of 0.%.% Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Someone Else 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% Unsure.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%

42 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Total Q. Openness to changing your mind 0 0 Very Favorable 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0% Somewhat Favorable.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% Somewhat Unfavorable.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% Very Unfavorable %.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.%.%.% Never Heard of 0.%.% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Favorable.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Very Unfavorable.0%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Never Heard of Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton 0.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton 0 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% Definitely Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Someone Else.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%

43 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Total Q. Home phone Yes No Very Favorable.% 0.%.% Somewhat Favorable 0 0.% 0.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable.%.%.%.% Very Unfavorable.0% 0.%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.% Never Heard of 0.% 0.%.0%.% 0.% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Favorable.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0.%.%.% Very Unfavorable 0.%.%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.% Never Heard of 0.%.% Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton 0.%.0%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.% Definitely Donald Trump 0 0.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.%.% Someone Else 0.%.%.%.% Unsure 0 0.%.0% 0.%.%.0%.% 0.%

44 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Total Q. Income Under $0,000 $0,000 to $, $0,000 to $, $00,000 to $00... Ov er $00,000 Q. Education Some high school High school degree Some college College degree Graduate degree Q. Religious affiliation Catholic Protestant Ev angelical Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else No Religion Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Fav orable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Fav orable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unf av orable No Opinion Nev er Heard of Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Def initely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Someone Else Unsure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

45 Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Total Weekly Couple times a month Almost A f ew times a y ear nev er/nev er attend Married Single Chicago (city ) Chicago MSA Downstate Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Very Fav orable %.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Favorable.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% No Opinion 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% Nev er Heard of 0.%.0% 0.% 0.% 0.%.0% 0.%.%.%.%.0% Q. Donald Trump name ID Very Fav orable %.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% Somewhat Favorable 0.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Somewhat Unfavorable 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Very Unf av orable 0 0.0%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% No Opinion.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Nev er Heard of 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.% Q. Candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.% Probably Hillary Clinton 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump 0 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.%.% Someone Else 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% Unsure.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%

46 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Q. Likely to vote Q. Age Q. Race Black or Af rican American Hispanic or Latino Some other race Q. Gender Definitely Very Republ Democ Indepe Undeci Total Likely 0 + White Male Female ican rat ndent ded Q. Party Something else Definitely approv e Q. Obama job performance Somewhat approv e Somewhat disapprov e Definitely disprov e Support.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.%.0% 0.0% 0.0% Oppose.%.%.0%.0%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0% 0.0% 0.0% 00.0% Unsure 0.0%.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%

47 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Support Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Total Right track direction Undecided Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisfied Dissatisf ied No Opinion Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion Heard of 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Oppose.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.0% 00.0%.% 00.0% Unsure 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%

48 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Heard Definitely Hillary Clinton ary Clinton onald Trump nald Trump Else Unsure Probably Hill Definitely D Probably Do Someone Total Fav orable Fav orable Unf av orable Unf av orable No Opinion of Support.% 00.0% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.% Oppose.%.0% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.0% Unsure 0.0%.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%

49 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Q. candidate ballot test Definitely Probably Definitely Probably Definitely Probably Def initely Jill Probably Jill Total Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Donald Trump Gary Johnson Gary Johnson Stein Stein Unsure Support.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0%.% Oppose.%.0%.0%.0%.% 0.0% 00.0%.% Unsure 0.0%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.%

50 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Q. Openness to changing your mind Total 0 0 Support.0%.%.0%.0%.% 0.0%.% 0.% 0.0%.% Oppose 0.%.% 00.0% 0.0%.0%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.0%.% Unsure.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.0%

51 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Q. Home phone Total Yes No Support.%.0% 0.%.% Oppose.%.%.%.% Unsure.%.%.%

52 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton $0,000 to $, Q. Income $0,000 to $, $00,0 00 to $ 00,000 Some high school High school degree Q. Education Under Ov er $ Some College Refuse Protest Ev ang No Refuse Total $0,000 00,000 college degree d Catholic ant elical Religion d 0 Graduate degree Q. Religious affiliation Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else Support.%.%.%.%.0% 0.0%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.% 0.% Oppose.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%.% Unsure 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%

53 Q. Choose Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Support Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Couple times a Almost Total Weekly month A f ew times a y ear nev er/never attend Married Single Chicago (city ) Chicago MSA Downstate 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Oppose.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% Unsure 0.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%

54 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Support Q. Likely to vote Q. Age Black or Af rican American Q. Race Q. Gender Very Hispanic Some Republican Independ Somethin Definitely Somewhat Definitely Undecide Total Definitely Likely 0 + White or Latino other race Male Female Democrat ent g else approv e approv e disprov e d %.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%.% Q. Party.%.% 0.0% Q. Obama job performance.% Somewhat disapprove.0%.% 0.0% Oppose 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.0% 0.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.% 0.0%.% 0.0% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0% 0.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.0%.% 0.%.%.%

55 Q. Choose Trump unts Q. Choose Trump Support Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Total Right track direction Undecided Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisfied Dissatisf ied No Opinion Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion Heard of 0 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0% 0.0% 00.0% 0.0%.% 0.0% Oppose 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.0%.% 00.0% 0.0%.% 0.0% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%

56 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Support Oppose Unsure Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Somewhat Somewhat Very Def initely Hillary Probably Hillary Definitely Probably Donald Total Very Favorable Fav orable Unfavorable Unf av orable No Opinion Never Heard of Clinton Clinton Donald Trump Trump Someone Else Unsure.% 0.%.%.0%.0% 0.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%

57 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Q. candidate ballot test Definitely Probably Definitely Probably Definitely Probably Def initely Jill Probably Jill Total Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Donald Trump Gary Johnson Gary Johnson Stein Stein Unsure Support.% 00.0% 0.%.% 0.0%.% 00.0%.% Oppose 0.%.%.% 0.0%.% 00.0%.% Unsure.%.0% 0.0%.%.0% 0.% 0.0%

58 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Q. Openness to changing your mind Total 0 Support.0%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% Oppose.0%.% 00.0% 00.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%

59 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Q. Home phone Total Yes No Support.%.%.% Oppose.%.% 0.% 00.0% Unsure.%.%.%

60 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump $0,000 to $, Q. Income $0,000 to $, $00,0 00 to $ Ov er $ 00,000 00,000 Some high school High school degree Q. Education Under Some College Refus Catholi Protest Ev ang No Total $0,000 college degree ed c ant elical Religion 0 Graduate degree Q. Religious affiliation Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else Support.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.0% 0.0%.0% 0.0% Oppose 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 00.0% 0.% 0.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.% 0.0% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%

61 Q. Choose Trump Q. Choose Trump Support Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Couple times a Almost Total Weekly month A f ew times a y ear nev er/never attend Married Single Chicago (city ) Chicago MSA Downstate 0.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Oppose 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% Unsure.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%

62 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Likely to vote Q. Age Black or Af rican American Q. Race Some other race Q. Gender Very Hispanic Republican Independ Somethi Definitely Undecid Total Definitely Likely 0 + White or Latino Male Female Democrat ent ng else approv e ed % 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.% Q. Party.%.%.%.% Somewhat approv e Q. Obama job performance.% Somewhat disapprov e disprov Definitely e.%.0%.%.0% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.%.0%.%.%.%.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0 0.0%.% Def initely Gary Johnson.0%.% 0.%.0% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0% Probably Gary Johnson.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Jill Stein.% 0.% 0.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% Probably Jill Stein.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.0% Unsure.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0 0.0% 0.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.0%.0%

63 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Direction of country Q. Presidential candidate choice Q0. Hillary Clinton name ID Wrong Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Never Total Right track direction Undecided Satisf ied Satisf ied Dissatisfied Dissatisf ied No Opinion Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable No Opinion Heard of % 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 0.% 0.% 0.%.% Definitely Gary Johnson.0%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0% Probably Gary Johnson.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0% 0.%.%.% 00.0% Definitely Jill Stein.%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.% Probably Jill Stein.%.0%.0%.%.0%.%.%.% Unsure.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.0% 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.%.%.%

64 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Definitely Hillary Clinton Probably Hillary Clinton Definitely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Definitely Gary Johnson Probably Gary Johnson Definitely Jill Stein Probably Jill Stein Unsure Q. Donald Trump name ID Q. Candidate ballot test Somewhat Somewhat Very Def initely Hillary Probably Hillary Definitely Probably Donald Total Very Favorable Fav orable Unfavorable Unf av orable No Opinion Never Heard of Clinton Clinton Donald Trump Trump Someone Else Unsure %.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 00.0%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%

65 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Choose Clinton Total Support Oppose Unsure 0.% 0.%.%.0% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.% 0.0% Definitely Donald Trump Probably Donald Trump Definitely Gary Johnson.% 0.%.% Probably Gary Johnson.% 0.%.% Def initely Jill Stein.%.%.% Probably Jill Stein 0.%.% Unsure.%.%.% 00.0% 0.%.0%

66 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Choose Trump Total Support Oppose Unsure 0 0.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton Definitely Donald Trump.%.%.%.% 0.0% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.% Definitely Gary Johnson.%.%.%.% 0.0% Probably Gary Johnson.0%.%.% Def initely Jill Stein 0.%.% Probably Jill Stein 0.%.% Unsure.%.%.%.%

67 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Openness to changing your mind Total 0 0.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.% Definitely Gary Johnson.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Gary Johnson.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Jill Stein.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Jill Stein.%.%.%.%.%.% Unsure

68 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Home phone Total Yes No.% 0.%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.% 0.% Definitely Gary Johnson.%.%.% Probably Gary Johnson.%.%.%.% Def initely Jill Stein.%.%.% Probably Jill Stein.%.%.% Unsure.% 0 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%

69 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton $0,000 to $, Q. Income $0,000 to $, $00,000 to $00,000 Some high school High school degree Q. Education Q. Religious affiliation Under Ov er Some College Graduate Protestancaentalist Ev angeli Fundam Somethi No Total $0,000 $00,000 college degree degree Catholic Mormon Jewish Muslim ng else Religion %.%.%.%.%.0%.% 0.0%.%.%.% 0.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.0% 0.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0% 00.0%.%.0%.% 0.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Definitely Gary Johnson.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Gary Johnson.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Definitely Jill Stein.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0% 0.%.0%.%.0%.% Probably Jill Stein.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% 0.%.0%.%.%.% Unsure.%.0%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.0%.%.%

70 Q. candidate ballot test Q. candidate ballot test Def initely Hillary Clinton Q. Church attendance Q. Personal status Q0. Geography Couple times a A f ew times a Almost nev er/ Total Weekly month year nev er attend Ref used Married Single Chicago (city ) Chicago MSA Downstate %.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% Probably Hillary Clinton.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Def initely Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.%.%.% Probably Donald Trump.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Definitely Gary Johnson.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Gary Johnson.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.0%.% Def initely Jill Stein.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% Probably Jill Stein.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.0%.% Unsure.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%

71 Q. Openness to changing your mind Q. Openness to changing your mind Q. Likely to vote Q. Age Q. Race Q. Gender Q. Party Q. Obama job performance Definitely Very Black or Hispanic Some ot Republi Democr Indepen Somethi Definitel Somewh Somewh Definitel Undecid Total Likely 0 + White Af rica... or Latino her race Male Female can at dent ng else y appr... at app... at disa... y disp... ed %.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.%.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.% 0.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.0%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.% 0.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.%.0%.%.%.% 0.% 00.0%