Tropical Forests and Climate Change Adaptation (TroFCCA): The need to develop methodology for vulnerability assessment

Transcription

1 Tropical Forests and Climate Change Adaptation (TroFCCA): The need to develop methodology for vulnerability assessment Heru Santoso Center for International Forestry Research Vulnerability of Carbon Pools of Tropical Peatlands in Asia Pekanbaru, Riau, Indonesia January 2006

2 Outline: Introduction: Background What is TroFCCA, What is the objective, Why & Where Approach and Methodologies Deliverables

3 Introduction - Background Effects of Climate Change on Peatland Ecosystem 1989 (Murdiyarso et al., 2004) 1997

4 Introduction - Background Effects of Climate Change on Biological Ecosystem (Hughes, 2000)

5 Introduction - Background Effects of Climate Change on Water Resources Legend (Unit in %-ages) Changes in annual TRO as a result of an increase in global temperature by 1 C relative to the reference climate condition (average of ), simulated using an average of four GCM patterns JAVA - Indonesia

6 What is TroFCCA? Joint 4 years effort of CIFOR and CATIE, funded by European Commission; To contribute to the limited understanding of the adaptation of tropical forest ecosystem.

7 Main Objective To contribute to national processes of adaptation to climate change, in particular, efforts to streamline adaptation into development. Specific Objectives To identify regional development issues related to CC impacts over forest that can increase the vulnerability of the society; To develop specific methodologies to assess vulnerability; To contribute to current national and regional adaptation processes; To develop criteria and indicators for adaptive forest management; To develop policy-oriented adaptation strategies; Why TroFCCA? To facilitate a science-policy dialogue on adaptation.

8 Why TroFCCA? To explore the potential for innovative mechanisms to finance adaptation activities and compensate eventual trade-offs as a mean for sustainability of adaptation strategies; Promoting and encouraging involvement of government, and stakeholders through policy dialogues, as part of national processes of development and adaptation to climate change.

9 Where? Conducted in 3 regions Asia: Indonesia, Philippines (in partnership with ICRAF) Africa: Burkina Faso, Ghana, Mali Central America: Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica

10 General approach of TroFCCA Climate Landscape System Society Agriculture Markets, policies, etc. Forest ecosystems Drinking Water CV & CC Agricultural systems Water ecosystems Coordinated adaptive management Energy Infrastructure Changes Urban ecosystems Industry Etc. Changes Goods and environmental services Impacts for society Start here, but take into account Millennium Development Goals for identifying priority sectors

11 TroFCCA s methodology Policy level National development policy Adaptation policy Design Society level Landscape level Ecosystem level Biophysical process level Stakeholders priorities Socioeconomic development Define scope Define scope Define scope Goods and services Assess impacts Assess impacts Ecosystem functions Assess impacts Biophysical parameters Expected climate change events and climate variability

12 TroFCCA s methodology IN SHORT Policy level National development policy POLICY Adaptation policy Design Society level Landscape level Ecosystem level Biophysical Defining scope process level Stakeholders priorities Socioeconomic development Define scope Define scope Define scope Goods Ecosystem MULTI-LEVEL and functions services Assess impacts Assess impacts Assessment of impacts for adaptation policy design Assess impacts PROCESS Biophysical parameters Expected CV climate & change CC events and climate variability

13 TroFCCA s Strategic Approaches Adaptation as part of the development policy Policy level Assessing Society level the perspective Landscape level of policy Ecosystem actors, level strengthening Biophysical policy dialogue through consultation process level National development Stakeholders Define scope Define scope Define scope policy priorities Goods Ecosystem and Biophysical the society and its functions services dependence on forest ecosystem parameters Adaptation Design Socioeconomic Assess impacts Assess impacts Assess impacts policy Landscape development level focus Vulnerability assessment, not impacts Understanding the system and its vulnerability focusing on Recognizing and understanding the role of landscape heterogeneity in providing environmental goods and services as weel as the role of many stakeholders in managing them Expected climate change events and climate variability

14 Implementations of TroFCCA Policy level National development policy Adaptation policy Design Identification of areas/topics and development of methodologies Society level Landscape level Vulnerability Ecosystem level Biophysical process level assessment and initial Stakeholders Define scope screening for Define scope Define scope priorities Goods adaptation Ecosystem and Biophysical functions services parameters Socioeconomic Assess impacts Adaptation Assess impacts development Assess impacts National level: adaptation in the context of national development policies Links to the private sector: innovative mechanisms for financing adaptation International level: institutional needs for supporting national adaptation process POLICY DIALOGUE Expected climate change events and climate variability

15 Phase 1: Phase 2: Phase 3: Deliverables General methodology for VA Specific methodologies for regions and topics Methodology for VA of biodiversity Methodology for assessment of link between adapatation and mitigation (carbon) Criteria and indicators of vulnerability Climate scenarios VA and mapping List of tools used in the project Identification of priorities for work on adaptation Identification of response options (policy level) Material for national communications Adaptation strategies in the context of national policies Guidelines for adaptation measures Strategy for raising interest of actors Innovative mechanisms for financing adaptation

16 Keywords Various (multilevel) approach Sustainable development policy Vulnerability assessments Mainstreaming adaptation

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