Gold Coast Tourism Industry Report

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1 Gold Coast Tourism Industry Report YEAR ENDING JUNE 2015 Page 1 of 3

2 1. Executive Summary Gold Coast Travel Trends 03 About this report: This Gold Coast Year Ending June 2015 Tourism Industry Report provides a consistent collation and analysis of macro and micro tourism statistics, research and trends. The ongoing bi-annual series of Gold Coast Financial-Year and Full-Year Tourism Industry Reports are commissioned by the Gold Coast Tourism Corporation and the City of Gold Coast, and prepared independently by the Griffith Institute for Tourism. These Reports are produced for, and provided to, the Gold Coast tourism industry and general public as a reliable source of tourism intelligence. Disclaimer: Information is provided in good faith based on information sourced from government or reputable companies. By using this information you acknowledge that this information is provided by Griffith Institute for Tourism (GIFT), Gold Coast Tourism Corporation (GCT), and the City of Gold Coast (CoGC) to you without any responsibility on behalf of GIFT, GCT, CoGC. You agree to release and indemnify GIFT, GCT, CoGC for any loss or damage that you may suffer as a result of your reliance on this information. GIFT, GCT, CoGC does not represent or warrant that this information is correct, complete or suitable for the purpose for which you wish to use it. The information is provided to you on the basis that you will use your own skill and judgement, and make your own enquiries to independently evaluate, assess and verify the information s correctness, completeness and usefulness to you before you rely on the information. In January 2014, Tourism Research Australia (TRA) introduced mobile phone interviewing on the National Visitor Survey to supplement existing residential fixed line interviewing in order to provide better coverage of the Australian population. This has resulted in a break in series because the travel patterns of people interviewed on mobile phones differ from those of people interviewed on residential fixed lines. Consequently, readers of this report are advised that the domestic visitor results should be interpreted with caution. For further information please refer to: Note: The International and National Visitor Surveys are conducted separately with their own methodologies; therefore care should be taken when considering their combined results. Griffith University is a top ranking University based in South East Queensland, Australia. Griffith University hosts the Griffith Institute for Tourism, a world-leading institute for quality research into tourism. Through its activities and an external Advisory Board, the Institute links university-based researchers with the business sector and organisations, as well as local, state and federal government bodies. For more information, visit Acknowledgements Dr Char-Lee McLennan, Griffith University Ms Alexandra Bec, Griffith University Ms Cassie Wardle, Griffith University Professor Susanne Becken, Griffith University Griffith Institute for Tourism Research Report No 07 October 2015 ISSN (Print) ISSN (Online) ISBN Griffith University, Queensland, Australia Griffith Institute for Tourism, Griffith University 2015 This information may be copied or reproduced electronically and distributed to others without restriction, provided the Griffith Institute for Tourism (GIFT) is acknowledged as the source of information. Under no circumstances may a charge be made for this information without the express permission of GIFT, Griffith University, Queensland, Australia. 3. Gold Coast Competitiveness Analysis 4. Gold Coast Industry Indicators 5. Australian Travel Trends 6. Global Travel Trends 7. Tourism Insights: New Experiences for young Chinese travellers 8. Data Tables 9. Data sources and timeline of release

3 1. Executive Summary Tourism on the Gold Coast Key Highlights for the year ending June 2015 International visitation to the Gold Coast increased by 6%, mainly driven by holiday visitors Expenditure by international visitors increased by 13% China has had good growth during the period, recording the largest increase in visitor numbers (up 13% or 25,000 visitors) Business confidence in tourism remains high Hotel revenue increased by 9% - double the Australian average growth rate Domestic Daytrip Visitation 11% International Visitation 6% Daytrip visitation to the Gold Coast increased 11%, with daytrip expenditure declining by 14%; a result driven by a decline in per visitor expenditure (down 22% or by $24 per visitor). International visitors to the Gold Coast increased 6%, with international nights up 1%. A 12% growth in expenditure per night, combined with increases in visitation drove an overall increase of 13% in international visitors expenditure in the region. Recent growth in the international market has been primarily from holiday visitors (up 6% or 36,000 visitors). For the year ending June 2015: Total Overnight and Daytrip Visitation 5% Total Visitor Expenditure 7% Total Overnight Visitation 4% Average Length of Stay 0.0 Night Domestic Overnight Visitation 6% In the year ending June 2015, total combined overnight and daytrip visitation increased 5% (up 558,000 visitors) to 11,617,000 visitors. The 5-year average growth rate for total visitors to the Gold Coast was stable. Total combined overnight and daytrip visitor expenditure to the Gold Coast decreased 7%, a result of declining spend by the domestic overnight and day trip markets. Total international and domestic overnight visitation to the Gold Coast decreased by 4% (down 158,000 visitors) to 4,190,000 total overnight visitors. Of these total overnight visitors, 21% were international visitors. Average length of stay by total international and domestic overnight visitors on the Gold Coast was flat at 5.2 nights. Domestic overnight visitors to the Gold Coast decreased by 6%, with their expenditure down 12%. Holiday visitation to the Gold Coast was the main source of the declines in visitation, down 19% (or 424,000 visitors) from the previous year. In contrast, those visiting friends and relatives increased 11% (up 106,000 visitors). Key Source Markets China and New Zealand Gold Coast Airport Passenger Movements 2.1% Total Hotel Revenue 9.1% Theme Park Revenue 1% Business Confidence High The Gold Coast s key international source market continues to be China, followed closely by New Zealand. China has had good growth during the period, recording the largest increase in visitor numbers (up 13% or 25,000 visitors). The New Zealand market remains strong, up 3% (or 5,000 visitors). Total passenger movements at Gold Coast Airport (OOL) increased by 2.1%. Comparatively, total passenger movements at Brisbane Airport (BNE) increased by 1% for the 2015 financial year. The total number of hotel rooms sold on the Gold Coast increased 4.5%, with the average occupancy rate improving 2.8 percentage points. Average revenue per available room also increased 8.5%, resulting in total hotel revenue growing by 9.1% to reach $ million. The Ardent Leisure Group and Village Roadshow, the two major operators of the Gold Coast s theme parks, recorded 0.6% and 1.4% decrease in revenue, respectively, achieved by their theme park portfolios. In contrast, Currumbin Wildlife Sanctuary, an important Gold Coast nature tourist attraction, reported a strong increase in revenue of 8.2%. Jointly, these three key attractions had a decline in revenue of 1%. According to Griffith University s Business Confidence Index, business confidence in tourism on the Gold Coast remains high. City of Gold Coast also reported an increase in confidence in the Gold Coast economy amongst local businesses during the year. Page 1 of 33 Page 2 of 33

4 2. Gold Coast Travel Trends Celebrate Festival 2.1. Context The last twelve months saw a general increase in consumer confidence globally (Nielsen, 2015), which coupled with the weakening Australian dollar generated positive impacts on both international and domestic tourism. Whilst business confidence in Australia is somewhat lower than the previous year (Roy Morgan, 2015) 1, confidence on the Gold Coast remains high, according to local research by both City of Gold Coast and Griffith University. Confidence has been boosted by ongoing strength in the Chinese market, including additional visitation during Chinese New Year due to charter flights to Gold Coast Airport provided by China Southern and Cathay Pacific. Further growth in the Chinese market is expected in 2016, when Hong Kong Airlines begin operations to the Gold Coast with a series of charter flights and Jetstar begins direct flights between Wuhan and the Gold Coast. The Gold Coast tourism industry also benefitted from major events, including the Lions Rugby Tour, Cricket World Cup, Opera on the Beach, the Gold Coast Airport Marathon, amongst others. The next Australian Tourism Exchange (ATE) taking place on the Gold Coast in 2016 is expected to bring substantial economic benefits, directly and longer term due to exposure of the Gold Coast tourism product portfolio. Already strong investment into new infrastructure and products on the Gold Coast continues with the recent announcement that ASF Consortium has been invited to present detailed project plans for an integrated resort on a site between Sea World and the Gold Coast Fishermen s Co-operative on the Spit. The Mayor s International Student Ambassador Program was launched in 2014, which is a new program designed to build relationships between the Gold Coast and international Total Expenditure ($ million) students studying here while promoting the city as a destination to live, study and visit. The initiative is a partnership between Study Gold Coast and the City of Gold Coast. During the year ending June, the Gold Coast recorded above average annual rainfall, particularly in January and February when the region received an extra 571mms above the longterm average of 373mms in these two months (131 years). This was associated with Ex-Tropical Cyclone Marcia tracking past the Gold Coast in February. Reportedly, a key reason for the decline in domestic overnight and daytrip visitation was due to this above average rainfall during the peak season. 1 See: 2 Note: Tourism Research Australia (TRA) only collects expenditure data at the national level. To estimate expenditure at the state and regional level, TRA employs the Regional Expenditure Model (REX). However, the REX model only provides limited top-line information for regional areas and is not disaggregated by purpose of visit or source market. 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Jun-11 International Jun-12 Figure 1 Domestic Daytrip Figure 1 Total visitor expenditure on the Gold Coast (Source: Tourism Research Australia). Jun-13 year ending Domestic Overnight Jun-14 Jun Total visitation to the Gold Coast In the year ending June 2015, total international and domestic overnight visitation to the Gold Coast declined 4% to 4,190,000 visitors, of which 21% were international visitors. The five-year average growth rate of total international and domestic overnight visitors was flat. During the same period, daytrip visitation to the Gold Coast increased by 11% to 7,427,000 trips, with the 5-year average remaining steady. Total overnight visitors average length of stay was steady at 5.2 nights. While total visitor expenditure to the Gold Coast decreased 7% during the year ending June 2015, although the 5-year average growth rate of expenditure increased slightly by 1% (refer to Table 1). Figure 1 shows total visitor expenditure on the Gold Coast, revealing that the main source of income from tourism is derived from the domestic overnight market and the only growth in expenditure has been from the international market has been from the international market 2. The number of total visitor nights spent in Brisbane and the Gold Coast is forecast to increase by 3.5% over the next 10 years, above the 2.7% average predicted for Queensland (Tourism Research Australia, 2014). Page 3 of 33 Page 4 of 33

5 2.3. Domestic Visitors 2.4 International Visitors In the year ending June 2015, domestic overnight visitors 3 to the Gold Coast decreased by 6% (or 209,000 visitors) to 3,329,000 visitors 4. As a result of the decline in visitation, nights spent on the Gold Coast also fell 8% (or by 1,072,000 nights to 13,184,000 nights), with average length of stay falling by 2% to 4 nights (although the 5-year average was steady). This weakening in visitation, combined with reduced per visitor expenditure (down 7% or by $61 per visitor), saw total domestic overnight expenditure on the Gold Coast decrease by 12% (or by $393 million) (refer to Table 2). In contrast, the five year average annual growth rate in domestic overnight expenditure showed a 1% increase for the Gold Coast region (Figure 2). Domestic holiday visitors were the driver of the declines in overnight domestic visitation to the Gold Coast during the period with a decline of 19% to 1,764,000 visitors (or by 424,000 visitors). Self-drive holidays accounted for much of the declines, falling by 252,000 visitors to 1,153,000 visitors (down 18%). In contrast, the Gold Coast s visiting friends and relatives (VFR) market increased 11% to 1,068,000 visitors (or by 106,000 visitors) suggesting some substitution may be occurring. Indeed, domestic overnight leisure 5 visitors use of commercial accommodation declined 21% to 1,578,000 visitors (or by 411,000 visitors), while use of private accommodation increased 9% to 1,277,000 visitors (or by 109,000 visitors). Domestic overnight business visitation to the Gold Coast increased 27% to 408,000 visitors (or by 87,000 visitors). The key source markets of domestic overnight visitation to the Gold Coast for the year ending June 2015 were Brisbane (1,140,000 visitors), Sydney (503,000 visitors), Melbourne (288,000 visitors), North Coast New South Wales (177,000 visitors), the Darling Downs (135,000 visitors) and the Sunshine Coast (119,000 visitors). The Brisbane overnight market had good growth during the year ending June 2015 (up by 6% or 61,000 visitors), as did the Sydney market (up 9% or by 41,000 visitors). However, the other key domestic overnight markets experienced large declines. The Brisbane overnight market s average length of stay on the Gold Coast was 2.3 nights (down 0.4 nights). While there was solid growth in day trip visitation to the Gold Coast (up 11%, or 717,000 visitors), the 5-year average annual growth in daytrips to the Gold Coast was flat. Eighty-six percent of day trips occur for leisure. The Brisbane market is the key source market for day trips to the Gold Coast accounting for 5,093,000 day trips. Total day trip expenditure declined by 14% in the year ending June 2015, driven by a 22% decline in per visitor expenditure. The 5-year average day trip expenditure only fell by 3% (refer to Table 3). 3 Note: The introduction of mobile phone interviewing on the National Visitor Survey in January 2014 has resulted in a break in series (please see Disclaimer on page ii). However, further investigation of the trends comparing the periods following the break in series (i.e. the six months ending June 2014 with the six months ending June 2015) reveal that the declining trend is also occurring during this period (with overnight trips to the Gold Coast down 6% and nights down 9%). 4 Note: The total sample size for overnight visitors to the Gold Coast is around 1,400. Once this sample is split by source market and purpose of visit, the accuracy of the estimates is reduced. As there is considerable fluctuation in the time-series data where the sample size is small, only limited information is presented to avoid misrepresentation. 5 Those visitors travelling for the purpose of a holiday or to visit friends and relatives ($) per visitor Jun Jun Figure Figure 2 Gold Coast per visitor expenditure ($) by domestic overnight and daytrip visitors (TRA Regional Expenditure Model). Jun Year ending 903 Expenditure per overnight visitor ($) Expenditure per daytrip visitor ($) Jun Jun15 83 In the year ending June 2015, the Gold Coast had strong growth in international visitation, with an increase of 6% (or 50,000 visitors) compared with the previous year. International visitors average length of stay on the Gold Coast decreased 5% to 10.1 nights, compared with the previous financial year. This has been a result of declines in more traditional longer-stay European markets (where average length of stay fell 4.3 nights to 12.9 nights), being offset by growth in shorter-stay Chinese market (who stay 4.8 nights on average). Despite this, total international visitor nights in the region increased slightly by 1% (or 82,000 nights) to 8,681,000 nights. International visitors to the Gold Coast increased their expenditure per night by 12% (or $14 per night), which when combined with increases in visitation generated an overall 13% increase in expenditure in the region. The result was an additional $131 million being spent in the Gold Coast region in the year ending June In total, the international market contributed $1,102 million directly to the Gold Coast economy for the year ending June 2015 (refer to Table 4). During the reporting period, the key international source market to the Gold Coast was China, followed closely by New Zealand. China showed solid growth with an increase of 13% (or 25,000 visitors) to a total 212,000 visitors. Despite the growth in visitor numbers, China s average length of stay in the region continues to remain the lowest of all international source markets at just 4.8 nights (refer to Table 5) 6. This is primarily a result of an underrepresentation of Chinese education visitors (less than 2% of all Chinese visitors on the Gold Coast) when compared to 14% of Chinese visitors to Australia being education visitors. Education visitors typically stay far longer and spend much more while in Australia than leisure or business visitors. New Zealand remains the key source market in terms of total visitor nights spent on the Gold Coast, amounting to a total of 1,581,000 nights in the region for the year ending June However, the average length of stay by New Zealand visitors declined 0.8 nights to 9.1 nights on average, which resulted in a decline of 6% in total nights spent on the Gold Coast (or Top 5 Domestic Overnight Source Markets (by visitors): 1. Brisbane (1.14 million) 2. Sydney (503,000) 3. Melbourne (288,000) 4. North Coast NSW (177,000) 5. Darling Downs (135,000) by 104,000 nights). On a positive note, the UK market has continued to rebound, demonstrating strong growth of 10% to reach 66,700 visitors (up 6,200 visitors). Most international visitors to the Gold Coast visited for leisure, with 679,000 coming for a holiday and 129,000 visiting friends and relatives. The leisure market represents 95% of all international visitors to the Gold Coast. Recent growth has been mainly from the holiday market, which increased by 36,000 visitors (refer to Table 6). However, the education market has also experienced significant growth of 20% (or 3,500 visitors) to reach a total of 21,000. International visitors coming to the Gold Coast for other purposes (such as for employment, medical, for the possibility of immigration, for a funeral or for other reasons not identified) also increased, up 4,400 visitors to a total of 14,000 visitors in the year ending June Note: Due to the volatility in the visitor night estimates for a number of key source markets over time, only average length of stay is reported. Page 5 of 33 Page 6 of 33

6 3. Gold Coast Competitiveness Analysis The competitiveness analysis compares the Gold Coast against a key comparative set of Brisbane, Sunshine Coast, Tropical North Queensland, Sydney, Melbourne and Perth. It is important to understand that some of the competitor destinations (in particular Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne) have a broader market base, including substantial business tourism segments. In the year ending June 2015, the Gold Coast lost market share of the domestic overnight visitor market, receiving 4% of all domestic overnight visitors (down 0.5% points) and 4.2% of domestic visitor nights in Australia (down 0.6% points). Similarly, the Gold Coast lost market share of overnight visitors total trip expenditure, receiving 5.1% in the year ending June 2015 (down 0.9% points). This share of expenditure is less than the share received by Brisbane (6.2%), but greater than that of the Sunshine Coast (3.2%) and Tropical North Queensland (3.3%) (refer to Table 7). In contrast to the Gold Coast, Melbourne improved its market share of visitor nights (up 0.3%). The other comparative regions had a slight decrease in market share of domestic visitor nights (between 1-2%). As a result of Melbourne capturing a larger share of nights, the region also increased its share of visitor expenditure more than any other comparative region (up 0.4% to 12.1%). All key comparative regions experience a steady or slight increase in market share of expenditure (<0.2% each). Despite the declines in domestic market share, the Gold Coast maintains relatively high average trip expenditure at $841 per visitor, particularly when compared to other key regions. Only Tropical North Queensland and Perth have higher average trip expenditures within the comparative set. The Gold Coast holds a mid-range position for average expenditure per visitor per night (refer to Table 8). Comparatively, the Gold Coast has a strong and growing presence in the international market, with 13.1% of international visitors stopping over in the Gold Coast. However, only 3.7% of all international visitor nights and 5.0% of all international visitors expenditure is spent on the Gold Coast. This is low when compared to Capital Cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, Perth and Brisbane, but it is above the share achieved by the Sunshine Coast and Tropical North Queensland (refer to Table 10). In the year ending June 2015, the Gold Coast s market share of the international visitor nights decreased slightly by 0.3% to 3.7%. Comparatively, other destinations which also experienced a decline in market share included Sydney (down 0.3 percentage points to 28.6%) and the Sunshine Coast (down 0.2 percentage points to 1.1%). Tropical North Queensland and Perth maintained their previous market shares of 2.9% and 9.8%, respectively. Alternatively, Brisbane (up 0.5 percentage points to 9.8%) and Melbourne (up 1.3 percentage points to 20.5%) increased their respective market shares. Overall, however, market shares are relatively stable. The Gold Coast s average international visitors regional expenditure is $1,280, which is the second lowest per visitor expenditure in the comparative set, only ahead of the Sunshine Coast. This result is primarily due to the comparatively lower average length of stay of international visitors on the Gold Coast, particularly by the Chinese market. On a per night basis, the Gold Coast has high average expenditure when compared to other key regions at $127 per night, including Sydney ($102 per night) and Melbourne ($109 per night). Only Tropical North Queensland has higher average per night expenditure within the comparative set at $147 per night (refer to Table 11). The Gold Coast has a 4.4% share of the domestic daytrip market in terms of visitor numbers and a 3.4% share in terms of trip expenditure. The Gold Coast s average daytrip expenditure per visitor is $83, well below the $108 average of all daytrips in Australia (refer to Table 9). Page 7 of 33 Page 8 of 33

7 Revenue per available room in hotels on the Gold Coast has grown by 8% since last year; more than twice as much as the Australian average growth 4. Gold Coast Industry Indicators 4.1. Accommodation For the year ending June 2015, a total of 4,471,041 hotel rooms were sold on the Gold Coast, representing an increase of 4.5% compared with the previous year. The revenue generated as a result was $762 million (up 9.1%). The average revenue per available room (RevPAR) has increased by 8.5% during the year ending June 2015, reaching $122.4 (as shown in Figures 3). Comparisons between other key Australian and New Zealand destinations were available for the six months to June During this period, average occupancy rate improved from the same period in 2014, reaching 69.9% (up 3.9%). The month of January 2015 achieved an occupancy rate of 81.4%, which was below the 82.1% achieved in January Occupancy levels at the Gold Coast in the six months to June 2015 were relatively low compared with other destinations in Australia and New Zealand. The average occupancy rates in Australia and New Zealand were 74.3% and 77.5%, respectively. Yet growth in occupancy and RevPAR during this period was above the national average (see Table 12). Revenue available room ($) Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Figure Dec Jan Feb Mar Figure 3 Gold Coast hotel accommodation revenue per available room (RevPAR) by month and total, year ending June 2015 (Source: Smith Travel Research 7 ). Apr 96.9 May 92.4 Jun Total 7 Note: Smith Travel Research (STR) in June 2015 collected information from 48, generally larger, hotels, motels and serviced apartments on the Gold Coast Page 9 of 33 Page 10 of 33

8 Coast economy, compared with just 19% in In addition, 55% of businesses had a positive outlook for the future, compared with just 38% in There was a shift in focus from jobs, skills and cost of living being a key challenge for the Gold Coast in 2013, to infrastructure and public transport being the key challenge in Figure 4 Dreamworld. Image courtesy of Tourism Queensland 4.2. Gold Coast Airport Total passenger movements at Gold Coast Airport (OOL) amounted to 5,865,437 for the year ended June 2015 (Figure 4). This represents an increase of 2.1% compared with the previous financial year. Domestic tourism passenger movements grew by 2.8%, whereas international passenger movements decreased by 1.6%. Domestic passengers at Gold Coast airport represent 84.9% of all passenger movements. The busiest international route servicing Gold Coast Airport continues to be the Auckland-Gold Coast city pair, with 143,350 passengers in the year ended June The second busiest route is Kuala Lumpur to Gold Coast, recording a total of 92,594 passengers, despite displaying a declining trend over the year (Figure 5). In December flights to Wellington and Queenstown were added, whilst March saw the addition of flights to Nadi. These three new services equated to an additional 25,146 passengers in the year ending June By comparison, Brisbane Airport (BNE) recorded a growth rate of 1% in the year ending June 2015 (Figure 6), with total passenger movements reaching 22,024,845. Growth at Brisbane airport was mainly driven by international passenger movements (up 5.7%), while domestic passenger movements decreased very slightly (down by 0.2%). The domestic share of all passenger movements at Brisbane airport is 77%. Brisbane Airport is offering new direct Qantas services from Tokyo to Brisbane and All Nippon Airlines services to Sydney, offering the first Star Alliance option to Japan. Malaysian Airlines discontinued their services into Brisbane Theme Parks Village Roadshow, The Ardent Leisure Group and Currumbin Wildlife Sanctuary each report on their performance for the financial year ending All three represent major tourist attractions on the Gold Coast. Village Roadshow operates Sea World & Sea World Resort & Water Park, Warner Bros. Movie World and Wet n Wild on the Gold Coast. For the year ending June 2015, the three operations of Village Roadshow recorded a 1.4% decrease in income. Income in the year ending June 2015 reached a total of $278.5 million. Visitor numbers for the year ending June 2015 amounted to 5.2 million, representing a decline of 3.8% compared with the previous financial year (see Table 13). The Ardent Leisure Group Theme Parks include Dreamworld, White Water World, and the SkyPoint Observation Deck and SkyPoint Climb. In June 2015, Dreamworld launched ABC kids world. For the second time, in 2014 Dreamworld was awarded Queensland s Best Major Tourist Attraction at the Queensland Tourism Awards and the third most popular tourist attraction at the annual Australian Tourism Awards. However, due to decreased per capita spending, overall revenue decreased slightly (by 0.6%) to $99.5 million. Visitor numbers increased by 11.7% to 2.28 million during the 2014/2015 financial year. Currumbin Wildlife Sanctuary, which operates as a zoo and an educational wildlife park, is another key attraction for the Gold Coast. In the year ending June 2016, Currumbin Wildlife Sanctuary recorded an 8.2% increase in total revenue to $17.1 million. Attendance for this period also increased to 433,000, a growth of 6.4% (or 25,982 visitors). This was accompanied by an overall increase of 1.8% in per guest expenditure. Growth in visitation was mainly due to four key markets, namely China (up 26%), New Zealand (up 21%), Sydney (up 18%) and Brisbane (up 11%) Business Sentiment The Griffith University s Business Confidence Index, conducted by Spence Consulting ( respondents out of a database of 300 businesses quarterly) gathers data on Gold Coast business sentiment on a quarterly basis. Business confidence in general has become more positive during the 2014/2015 financial year, reflecting increased confidence in the Gold Coast economy and property market. Confidence in the tourism market has marginally decreased towards the end of the financial year. However, the months of September to November 2014 displayed high confidence in the tourism market with 84% of respondents feeling positive or highly positive (see Table 14). A City wide business survey conducted by the City of Gold Coast Council found that business confidence has increased over the past two years, with 40% of businesses having confidence in the Gold GC Airport Passengers Passenger numbers per month Brisbane Airport Passengers 600, , , , , , Total Domestic Passengers Total International Passengers 73,958 87,505 84,570 78,536 69,006 73,245 69,329 71,671 73,316 70,607 65,550 68, , , , , , , , , , , , ,998 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Figure 4 Gold Coast Airport domestic and international passenger movements per month, year ending June 2015 (Source: Gold Coast Airport). Figure 5 16,000 Auckland 14,000 Christchurch 12,000 Kuala Lumpar Nadi 10,000 Singapore Tokyo 8,000 Queenstown 6,000 Wellington 4,000 2,000 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 City-pair passenger arrivals at GC Airport (bitre) Figure 5 International Airline Activity at Gold Coast Airport: City Pairs Data, year ending June 2015 (Source: BITRE, 2015). Figure 6 2,500,000 Total Domestic Passengers Total International Passengers 446, ,956 2,000, , , , , , , , , , ,782 1,500,000 1,000, , ,547,258 1,456,096 1,459,502 1,572,627 1,399,985 1,469,586 1,334,089 1,200,818 1,404,321 1,403,294 1,350,493 1,348,984 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Figure 6 Brisbane Airport domestic and international passenger movements year ending June 2015 (Source: Brisbane Airport). Page 11 of 33 Page 12 of 33

9 5. Australian Travel Trends Exchange rate for USD, EUR and NZD % respondents reporting issue amongst top three Exchange rate Taxes on charges on tourists Reputation as a desirable tourist destination Shortage of skilled labour Figure 7 6/7/ /7/2014 2/8/ /08/ /8/ /9/ /9/ /10/ /10/2015 9/11/ /11/2015 7/12/ /12/2014 4/1/ /1/2015 1/2/ /3/2015 1/3/ /3/ /3/ /4/ /4/ /5/ /5/2015 7/6/ /6/2015 AUD/USD AUD/EUR AUD/NZD AUD/CNY Figure 7 Foreign exchange trends for the Australian dollar (Source: Figure Q Q3 Abnormal weather and/or natural disasters Shortage of unskilled labour Key facts about Australia in the global tourism context (UNWTO - Tourism Barometer): Quality/frequency of major events Inadequate room supply International arrivals to Australia have increased by 7.6 per cent in Australia continues to rank 11th worldwide in terms of international receipts Context According to the ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence Ratings, confidence amongst Australian consumers fell 2.2% in the year ending June Similarly, the Roy Morgan Business Confidence Index showed a decline of 7.6% during the same period. The weakening Australian Dollar fuelled confidence in tourism in Australia, with expectations that both the international and domestic markets would grow as Australia becomes relatively cheaper to other international destinations. During the 2014/2015 financial year, the AUD fell significantly against the USD and CNY (Figure 7). At the end of June 2015, the AUD was worth only US$0.77. Comparatively, the AUD was relatively more stable against the Euro and the British Pound, with the AUD increasing in strength against the NZD. Several Asian currencies (including Korea and Indonesia) weakened, possibly resulting in weaker demand for international outbound travel by these source markets. In addition, tourism to Australia is likely to have benefited from lower fuel costs in the fourth quarter of The drop in fuel prices fell from US$98 per barrel of International receipts have increased by 9.0 per cent in Australia, in the year to August 2015, compared with the same period in the previous year (based on preliminary data). Australians spent US$26.3 billion overseas; they are the 9th largest spenders on tourism globally. Lack of attractions in the vicinity Lack of convention and exhibition space/facilities Reputation as a business and events destination Figure 8 TTF Mastercard survey: perceptions of business impediments for tourism (Quarter 1 of 2015) Exchange rate for CNY (China) crude oil (Brent) in July 2014 to just US$59 at the end of June 2015 will have been a positive factor, especially for domestic drive tourism. Only a proportion of this decrease has been reflected in the cost of tourism transportation, with airlines being slow in adjusting their fuel surcharges. The TTF Mastercard survey for the first quarter of 2015 shows that the tourism sector remains concerned about the exchange rate, however this concern is lower than previous surveys (Figure 8). Similar to the previous survey, another perceived impediment related to taxes charged on tourists and the quality of retail offering. Compared with previous surveys, there was also increased concern about Australia s reputation as a desirable tourist destination, including its reputation as a business and events destination. Labour shortages (skilled and unskilled) are also of concern Total Visitation in Australia In the year ending June 2015, total international and domestic overnight visitors aged 15 years and over in Australia increased by 5% to 89.8 million visitors, of which 6% are international visitors. Average length of stay of total overnight visitors remained steady at 6.1 nights, maintaining the 5-year average. Daytrip visitation by domestic Australian residents was increased slightly by 2% (or 3.9 million trips) to million trips. Total expenditure in Australia by international, domestic overnight and daytrip visitors increased by 5% to $96 billion in the year ending June 2015 (refer to Table 15). During the same period the all-groups consumer price index increased by 1.5% (Reserve Bank of Australia, 2014), indicating that real total visitor expenditure in Australia had good growth Domestic Visitors In the year ending June 2015, domestic overnight visitation increased 5%. The 5-year growth rate increased 3% per annum on average. Domestic visitors nights away from home also increased 6% on the previous year, driven by the increase in number of trips. Total domestic overnight expenditure in Australia increased 4% to $54.4 billion in the year ending June 2015, also a result of the increase in visitation with expenditure per visitor declining slightly (refer to Table 16). Domestic daytrip visitors in Australia increased by 2% during the period to million trips. However, day trip visitors expenditure declined 2% to $108 per visitor (refer to Table 17) International Visitors In the year ending June 2015, international visitors to Australia increased by 7% (or 406,000 visitors) to 6,567,000 visitors. Visitor nights increased by 8% (up 17.9 million nights to million nights), with the 5-year trend revealing a 4% average annual growth rate. Visitors from China continue to be an important market for Australia. The increasing need and opportunity for differentiation this large market is increasingly recognised by governments and private sector trade organisations, tourism bureaus, and those providing market intelligence (e.g. Hurun Reports at up.hurun.net). Total international visitor expenditure in Australia increased by 11% to $ 2,243 million in the year ending June 2015, driven by an increase in visitation, average length of stay and per visitor expenditure. The average length of stay increased by 2%, while expenditure on a per visitor basis increased 4% (or by $140 per visitor) (refer to Table 18). As for the Gold Coast, the growth in international visitation to Australia was driven by growth in leisure visitors, which increased by 233,000 visitors to 4,728,000 visitors in the year ending June 2015 (up 5%). This increase in visitors delivered growth in total leisure nights (up 3%) and expenditure by leisure visitors in Australia (up 8%). However, the average length of stay for leisure visitors decreased by 2% to 26.5 nights. The key international market for Australia in terms of visitor numbers continues to be New Zealand (1,154,000 visitors), followed by China (864,000 visitors), the United Kingdom (629,000 visitors) and the United States (544,000 visitors). China leads the market in terms of visitor nights with an average length of stay of 42.6 nights 8, followed by the United Kingdom (who stay 41.4 nights on average). Consequently, Chinese visitors had the highest total expenditure, spending $5.2 billion in Australia and contributing 23% to total international expenditure (compared with their share of arrivals of 13%). The Chinese leisure market has been growing strongly (up 21% or 107,300 visitors) and maintaining their average length of stay of 22.3 nights. The Chinese education market also displayed strong growth, increasing by 20% (19,000 visitors) and staying nights on average. Education visitors represent 13% of the Chinese market in terms of visitors, but 50% of all Chinese visitor nights. Besides China, other key growth markets in terms of visitor numbers for Australia in the year ending June 2015 include the United States (up 43,300 visitors), New Zealand (up 38,600 visitors) and India (up 34,400 visitors). In the year ending June 2015, Queensland received 2,229,000 visitors (an increase of 8%). Collectively these visitors spent a total of $4.6 billion (an increase of 15%) in Queensland. Growth rates in terms of expenditure for Queensland were lower than Tasmania (up 27%), similar to Victoria (up 15%), New South Wales (up 10%) and Northern Territory (up 18%), but noticeable higher than South Australia (up 5%) and Western Australia (up 1%). 8 Note: that the average length of stay of Chinese visitors on the Gold Coast is relatively less compared with other international markets Outbound travel by Australians In the year ending March , outbound travel remained attractive for Australians. The number of all outbound trips increased 3% to 8,187,000 trips, below the five year average annual rate of 5%. Total nights during the period were flat, well below the five year average annual rate of 4%. This was a result of average length of stay overseas declining 0.7 nights to 19.7 nights. Total expenditure increased 3%, driven mainly by visitor numbers, as expenditure per visitor was flat at $5,967 per trip (refer to Table 19). 9 Note: Reporting period is year ending March as Tourism Research Australia collects information on outbound travel by Australians, but the collection lags behind that of the overnight and daytrip results due to the duration of the domestic residents overseas trip. Page 13 of 33 Page 14 of 33

10 6. Global Travel Trends Global tourism expenditure (US$billion) Figure 9 1,117 1, , ,248 The year ending June 2015 saw an increase in Global consumer confidence (Nielsen, 2015). According to the United Nations World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO), the volume of international tourism arrivals reached 1,248 million globally in the year ending December 2014 (Figure 9). This represents an increase of 4.2% on the previous year 10. The UNWTO forecasts that international tourism will grow at a rate between 3% and 4% in Europe remains the largest tourist destination in terms of international tourism receipts 11, with the region receiving 41% (US$511.6 billion) of global tourism expenditure in 2014 (Figure 10). The Asia Pacific region was the second largest receiver of tourism expenditure (30% of global expenditure with US$377.0 billion). Tourism receipts in Asia Pacific grew by 4.6% in 2014 compared with the previous year. The Chinese continued to be the world s largest spender on tourism activity: in 2014 they spent US$164.9 billion on international tourism. Chinese expenditure grew by 28.2% compared with the previous year. Travellers from the USA were the second largest spender with US$110.8 billion in 2014 (a growth of 5.8%) (Figure 11). 10 Note: Global tourism data are provided by the UNWTO s World Tourism Barometer. 11 International tourism receipts are the receipts earned by a destination country from inbound tourism and cover all tourism receipts resulting from expenditure made by visitors from abroad. This concept includes receipts generated by overnight as well as by same-day trips by visitors from neighbouring countries. It excludes the receipts related to international transport contracted by residents of other countries (e.g. ticket receipts from foreigners travelling with a national company). Tourism expenditure (US$ billion) Figure 11 Expenditure 2013 (US $ billion) Expenditure 2014 (US $ billion) 0 China New Zealand United Kingdom Japan Singapore Malaysia USA India Hong Kong Korea Germany Taiwan Canada 2014 Figure 9 Global tourism expenditure (US$ billion) for the last five years (Source: United Nations World Tourism Organisation, 2015). Tourism receipts by region (US$ billion) Figure 10 World Europe Asia and the Pacific Receipts 2013 (US $ billion) Receipts 2014 (US $ billion) Americas Africa Middle East Figure 10 International tourism receipts in world regions (Source: United Nations World Tourism Organisation, 2015). Figure 11 International tourism expenditure (outbound tourism) for key source countries for Australia (Source: United Nations World Tourism Organisation, 2015). Page 15 of 33 Page 16 of 33

11 7. Tourism insights: new experiences for young Chinese travellers To remain a leading Australian leisure tourism destination, the Gold Coast needs to develop new experiential products. Here we offer new insights into young Chinese travellers from a mixed method study that used focus groups and surveys to assist Gold Coast businesses with improving existing and developing new tourism experiences. Eight focus groups (7 with Chinese and 1 with mixed nationalities) were conducted with four to eight participants studying English language and undergraduate degree programs at Griffith University and The University of Queensland in Queensland, Australia. In addition, a survey was completed by 366 international students living and studying in Australia, with 80% being from China. Marketing to young Chinese travellers requires a different approach to more traditional markets. This is a mobilesavvy market with the majority having smartphones. As a result, they want to use Chinese mobile phone based applications, such as WeChat. They particularly use their smartphones to take photos to show friends and family what they are doing while in Australia and that they are safe and healthy. They also use their smartphones to get around and find locations. Indeed, they wanted to be able to navigate around attractions using their smartphone and desired technology-based interpretation and translation. Importantly, they want websites to use simple English words with lots of pictures. Young Chinese travellers are quite conservative, with only 10-20% being adventure seekers. The market generally likes to stay within their comfort zone. Most students were interested in visiting or had visited the major cities or iconic tourist attractions (such as the Great Barrier Reef or Uluru) while in Australia. They chose these destinations because they are familiar must see iconic attractions. Most did not want to visit regional destinations and the notion of getting out and dispersing in regional areas was not particularly attractive. To attract them to visit regional areas there needs to be an iconic or one-of-akind attraction. Most young Chinese travellers we talked to had visited the Gold Coast theme parks, but they did not know about other Gold Coast tourism products (e.g. surfing, jet boating, kayaking). They felt these products were outside their comfort zone. To feel comfortable about a new product, this market needs to be able to relate an activity to something they were already familiar with. For example, young Chinese travellers loved Australian koalas as they can relate these animals to their own panda bears. By drawing links with something they are familiar with, such as highlighting similarities between Chinese mythology and Australian Aboriginal dreamtime stories, a new product can be introduced in a more appealing way. Young Chinese travellers are often in Australia to study. Their leisure time is often spent shopping or hanging out with friends. They enjoy looking at the beach, but do not swim. There are significant cultural differences between young Australian and young Chinese travellers in their attitudes to the beach and water based activities. Fear of the open surf and avoidance of the sun are key concerns of young Chinese travellers and most cannot swim. So, they generally prefer more passive, rather than active, activities at the beach such as observing the beauty and atmosphere. Regardless, the beach is very attractive to this market and is a key motivation for visiting the Gold Coast over other destinations. For more information, contact: Dr Sarah Gardiner (s.gardiner@griffith. edu.au) or Professor Noel Scott (noel. scott@griffith.edu.au), or visit the Griffith Institute for Tourism website: Page 17 of 33 Page 18 of 33

12 8. Data Tables Table 1 Total Overnight and Daytrip Visitors on the Gold Coast a, year ending June 2011 to June 2015 Year ending Total Overnight Visitors ( 000) b Total Visitor Nights ( 000) Average length of stay (nights) Daytrip visitors ( 000) Total Overnight and Daytrip Visitors ( 000) Expenditure Total ($million) c per visitor ($) Jun-11 4,109 21, ,348 11,457 4, Jun-12 4,098 21, ,041 11,139 4, Jun-13 4,432 22, ,401 11,833 4, Jun-14 4,349 22, ,710 11,059 4, Jun-15 4,190 21, ,427 11,617 4, month Real changed d month Percentage change (%) year average growth (%) a. All figures relate to International Visitors and Australian residents aged 15 years and over. b. Total international and domestic overnight visitors on the Gold Coast c. Includes package expenditure. d. Some figures may not sum due to rounding. Source: Tourism Research Australia, International and National Visitor Surveys Table 2 Domestic Overnight Visitors to the Gold Coast a, year ending June 2011 to June 2015 Expenditure Including airfares and long distance per Visitor ($) transport costs ($million) Page 19 of 33 Page 20 of 33 Year ending Overnight Visitors Visitor Nights Average length of stay (nights) Jun-11 3,363 13, , Jun-12 3,363 13, , Jun-13 3,664 14, , Jun-14 3,538 14, , Jun-15 3,329 13, , month Real change , month Percentage change (%) year average growth (%) a. All figures relate to Australian residents aged 15 years and over. Source: Tourism Research Australia, National Visitor Survey

13 Table 3 Domestic Daytrip Visitors on the Gold Coast a, year ending June 2011 to June 2015 Year ending Visitors Expenditure ($million) Expenditure per visitor ($) Jun-11 7, Jun-12 7, Jun-13 7, Jun-14 6, Jun-15 7, month Real change month Percentage change (%) year average growth (%) a. All figures relate to Australian residents aged 15 years and over. Source: Tourism Research Australia, National Visitor Survey Table 4 International Visitors on the Gold Coast a, year ending June 2011 to June 2015 Year ending Visitors Visitor Nights Average length of stay (nights) Expenditure Including package ($million) per visitor ($) Jun , ,097 Jun , ,169 Jun , ,112 Jun , ,198 Jun , ,102 1, month Real change month Percentage change (%) year average growth (%) a. All figures relate to International Visitors aged 15 years and over. Source: Tourism Research Australia, International Visitor Survey Table 5 International Visitors on the Gold Coast by country of residence a, year ending June 2015 Country of residence Visitors 12-month real change ( 000) 12-month percentage change (%) 5-year average growth (%) Average length of stay (nights) China % New Zealand % United Kingdom % Japan % Other Europe % Other Countries % Singapore % United States % Malaysia % Korea % Germany % India % Other Asia % Hong Kong % Taiwan % Canada % Scandinavia % Total % a. All figures relate to International Visitors aged 15 years and over. Source: Tourism Research Australia, International Visitor Survey Table 6 International Visitors on the Gold Coast by purpose a, year ending June 2015 Purpose of visit Visitors 12-month real change ( 000) 12-month percentage change (%) 5-year average growth (%) Average length of stay (nights) Holiday % Visiting friends and relatives % Business % Education % Other % 0 26 Total % a. All figures relate to International Visitors aged 15 years and over main reason for stopping over in the destination. Source: Tourism Research Australia, International Visitor Survey Page 21 of 33 Page 22 of 33

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