Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG

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1 Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG January, 1 Dr. Edward Yardeni eyardeni@ Joe Abbott jabbott@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents S&P Sectors LTEG 3 S&P Sectors STEG 4 S&P Sectors PEG Ratio S&P Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy 9 Financials Health Care 11 Industrials Information Technology 13 Materials 14 Telecom Services Utilities 1 January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

3 S&P Sectors LTEG Figure 1. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (S&P LTEG* by sector, percent) (1.) INDUSTRIALS (.) CONSUMER STAPLES (.3) INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (14.2) ENERGY (2.) MATERIALS (.9) FINANCIALS (.1) TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES (2.1) HEALTH CARE (.) UTILITIES (4.) * Analysts consensus expected long-term earnings growth rate over the next five years. Page 3 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

4 S&P Sectors STEG Figure 2. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (S&P STEG* by sector, percent) (9.) INDUSTRIALS (4.1) CONSUMER STAPLES (.) INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (11.4) ENERGY (3.2) MATERIALS (.) FINANCIALS (11.3) TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES (3.4) HEALTH CARE UTILITIES (.3) 3 (.4) * Analysts consensus expected short-term earnings growth rate over the next 2 weeks. Page 4 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

5 S&P Sectors PEG Ratio Figure 3. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (S&P PEG ratio* by sector) (1.1) INDUSTRIALS (2.1) CONSUMER STAPLES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (2.3) (1.2) ENERGY (1.2) MATERIALS (2.2) FINANCIALS (1.) TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES (.9) HEALTH CARE UTILITIES (1.3) (4.2) * Sector s forward P/E divided by sector s consensus projected -year earnings growth rate. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

6 3 3 Figure 4. S&P LTEG & STEG S&P LTEG* (11.9) STEG* (11.) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 3 Figure. S&P VALUATION 3 2 Forward P/E* (1.2) 2 1. PEG Ratio** (1.4) Monthly through December, then weekly. ** P/E relative to consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

7 Figure. Consumer Discretionary S&P CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY LTEG VS STEG STEG capped at % 4 LTEG* (1.) STEG* (9.) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 3 3 Figure. S&P CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY VALUATION Forward P/E* (1.3) Relative P/E** (1.1) PEG Ratio*** (1.1) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

8 Figure. S&P CONSUMER STAPLES LTEG VS STEG Consumer Staples LTEG* (.3) STEG* (.) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 3 2 Figure 9. S&P CONSUMER STAPLES VALUATION 3 2 Forward P/E* (19.3) Relative P/E** (1.1) PEG Ratio*** (2.3) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

9 Figure. S&P ENERGY LTEG VS STEG Energy LTEG* (2.) STEG* (.) STEG capped at % * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. Figure 11. S&P ENERGY VALUATION 4 3 Forward P/E* (32.4) Relative P/E** (1.9) PEG Ratio*** (1.2) Relative P/E capped at 3. PEG capped at ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page 9 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

10 Figure. S&P FINANCIALS LTEG VS STEG Financials STEG capped at % LTEG* (.1) STEG* (11.3) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. Figure 13. S&P FINANCIALS VALUATION Forward P/E* (14.1) 2. Relative P/E** (.) PEG Ratio*** (1.) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

11 Figure 14. S&P HEALTH CARE LTEG VS STEG Health Care LTEG* (.) STEG* (.4) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 3 3 Figure. S&P HEALTH CARE VALUATION Forward P/E* (14.4) Relative P/E** (.) PEG Ratio*** (1.3) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page 11 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

12 2 Figure 1. S&P INDUSTRIALS LTEG VS STEG Industrials 2 LTEG* (.) STEG* (4.1) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 2 Figure 1. S&P INDUSTRIALS VALUATION 2 Forward P/E* (1.9) Relative P/E** (1.) PEG Ratio*** (2.1) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

13 4 Figure 1. S&P INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTEG VS STEG LTEG* (14.2) STEG* (11.4) Information Technology * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 4 3 Figure 19. S&P INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY VALUATION Forward P/E* (1.) Relative P/E** (1.) PEG Ratio*** (1.2) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page 13 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

14 Figure. S&P MATERIALS LTEG VS STEG Materials STEG capped at % LTEG* (.9) STEG* (.) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. 3 Figure 21. S&P MATERIALS VALUATION 3 2 Forward P/E* (1.1) Relative P/E** (1.) PEG Ratio*** (2.2) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page 14 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

15 3 2 Figure 22. Telecom Services S&P TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES LTEG VS STEG LTEG* (2.1) STEG* (3.4) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly Figure 23. S&P TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES VALUATION Forward P/E* (14.2) Relative P/E** (.) PEG Ratio*** (.9) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

16 Figure 24. S&P UTILITIES LTEG VS STEG Utilities - LTEG* (4.) STEG* (.3) * STEG: - month (2-week) forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Monthly data through, then weekly. Figure 2. S&P UTILITIES VALUATION Forward P/E* (1.) Relative P/E** (1.) PEG Ratio*** (4.2) ** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P forward P/E. *** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus -year LTEG forecast. Page 1 / January, 1 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.

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