HOUSING FINANCING -A PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP PRIVATE HOUSING FINANCE IN AFRICA

Transcription

1 HOUSING FINANCING -A PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP PRIVATE HOUSING FINANCE IN AFRICA BY: ASARE AKUFFO MANAGING DIRECTOR HFC BANK (GHANA) LIMITED ACCRA, GHANA 8 th SEPTEMBER 1

2 OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION 1. General Introduction a) Africa Growth Performance b) Africa s Inflationary Situation c) Global Development Housing Market d) Trends in the Housing Market of Africa 2. Housing Finance in Africa a) Mortgage Penetration by Regions b) Depth of Housing Finance c) Housing Affordability Situation d) Major constraints across Africa 3. Recent Developments in Housing Microfinance 5. Country Examples a) Ghana b) Nigeria c) South Africa d) Kenya 6. The Way Forward 7. Conclusion 4. Challenges Facing Microfinance lenders 2

3 GENERAL INTRODUCTION 3

4 AFRICA GROWTH PERFORMANCE (Real GDP Growth) Sub Saharan Africa 5.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% Oil Exporting Countries 8.1% 11.2% 7.8% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% Over the past decade sub-saharan Africa has made remarkable gains in promoting growth and achieving economic stability. Growth which is essential for much-needed poverty reduction averaged more than 6 percent over the past five years; inflation had fallen to single-digit levels before the fuel and food price shocks of 2008; and reserves were built up. These positive developments stemmed from: -strong macroeconomic stability -a favorable external environment, especially rising commodity prices; Debt Relief and aid from the international community. (Oil exporting countries include; Angola, Cameroon, Chad, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Nigeria) Source; IMF REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

5 INFLATIONARY SITUATION AFRICA Consumer Prices Sub Saharan Africa 10.8% 7.3% 8.8% 7.3% 7.1% 11.7% Oil Exporting Countries 20.4% 14.9% 14.7% 8.2% 5.7% 9.9% Consumer Prices averaged 8.23 percent for SSA over the past six years, whilst that of Oil Exporting countries was 12.3 percent during the same period.(oil exporting countries includes; Angola, Cameroon, Chad, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Nigeria) Source; IMF REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

6 GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS IN HOUSING MARKET Global demand for housing is expected to increase about 2.5 percent per annum through 2011, generating construction of an estimated 60 million new housing units. The fastest gains will be in the Africa/Mideast region, spurred by the most rapid increases in population and household formation. 6

7 TRENDS IN THE HOUSING MARKET OF AFRICA-1 70% of housing stock in Sub-Sahara Africa is of poor quality and not in compliance with local regulations (Killick). In Africa over 75% of households cannot access mortgages despite the increasing trend in the mortgage GDP ratio. Internal population flows presents a challenge to the ability of government planning agencies to respond to the need for urban housing. The housing finance industry in Africa is dominated by state or government institutions and a few players from the private sector. 7

8 TRENDS IN THE HOUSING MARKET OF AFRICA-2 Informal settlements are home to majority of inhabitants in most African cities. Over 70perent of urban population suffers shelter deprivation in terms of inadequate housing, water supply, or sanitation. There is overcrowding and upsurge of slums in most African countries.( Kenya, Namibia,Zambia) 8

9 MORTGAGE PENETRATION BY REGIONS Compared to the developed regions of the World, Africa has a relatively meagre aggregate MD/GDP ratio( ). REGION 5-yr-Average MD/GDP Ratio Africa 13.5 Eastern Europe 2.7 Emerging Asia 12.5 Latin America 5.5 Middle East 4.9 North America 65.8 Pacific 38.7 Europe 43.6 Source: Warnock, V.C., Warnock, F.E., Markets and Housing Finance, J. Housing Econ. (2008), doi: /j.jhe

10 DEPTH OF HOUSING FINANCE Length of Contract (years) MAX LTV(%) Fixed of variable MD/GDP (Avg) Legal Rights Emerging Markets n/a n/a n/a 8.6 n/a Africa n/a n/a n/a 13.5 n/a Ghana Variable Algeria Fixed Morocco Max n/a 7 3 South Africa 20-Oct n/a Variable Tunisia n/a n/a n/a 6 3 NB: For the Legal rights score index the higher scores indicates that collateral and bankruptcy laws are better designed.- Source: Warnock, V.C., Warnock, F.E., Markets and housing finance, J. Housing Econ. (2008), doi: /j.jhe

11 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SITUATION IN SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES-1 Uganda Only 0.68% of households have access to mortgage loans from commercial banks % of households have access to housing microfinance loans from MDIs. 62.3% have no access to housing loans. South Africa (Rust, 2007) Within SA s population of about 12.7 million households, only about 2 million can afford to meet their needs in the housing market. Mozambique (Allen and Johnsen, forthcoming) A household would require a monthly net salary of MT ($1 900) to borrow $ over a 20 year period to purchase a small apartment in the less attractive areas of the cement city of Maputo. This is more than the net basic salaries of a couple senior doctors working for the national health system. 11

12 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SITUATION IN SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES-2 Kenya (Alder and Mutero, 2007) Less than 10% traditionally qualified for mortgage loans from HFIs, with the majority ruled out by their low incomes. Borrowers generally consist of high net worth individuals. Zambia (Gardner, 2007) Few self-employed people earn sufficient to qualify for a home loan. This leaves the 16% of all Zambians that are formally employed (2.2-million) as the potential market. Of these, 40% are currently un-banked. Rwanda (Oyier, Ketley & Davis, forthcoming) Of the formally employed, only around 50,000 people earn above RWF1.2 million (US$2000) per month. Income of the bulk of the population will fall below the level where they can secure mortgage financing in the formal market. 12

13 OTHER MAJOR CONSTRAINTS ACROSS AFRICA Unavailability of long term funds Legislation (foreclosure & eviction) Underwriting (income, ID verification) Cost, Process and timing in registering title Reliability of title deeds Lack of Credit Bureaux to discriminate on risk Macroeconomic challenges (Interest rates, currency, inflation). Lack of knowledge of financial products in general (mortgages in particular) Cultural aversion to debt 13

14 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN HOUSING MICROFINANCE IN AFRICA Microfinance is extensive and growing in many African countries. Housing microfinance growing at a slow pace Micro finance is mainly donor / NGO-driven Banks are now setting up microfinance subsidiaries. The time is ripe for housing microfinance. 14

15 GHANA

16 MORTGAGE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS-1 The demand of housing in Ghana is estimated at about 70,000 90,000 housing units annually of which only 40,000 is met. This leaves an annual deficit of about 30,000 50,000 housing units. It is estimated that only 8% of Ghanaians desirous of houses could afford them without accessing mortgage loans It is also estimated that between 12% and 15% of Ghanaians comprising mainly, top civil servants and staff of financial institutions have access to mortgage loans to build. 16

17 MORTGAGE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS-2 Houses built through government public mass housing schemes constitutes about 20 percent of housing stock, with the remaining 80 percent produced by the private sector. The 2000 population and Housing Census indicates that the current housing stock in the country stands a t 2.1millions houses. About 50 percent of the home buyers in the formal sector are Ghanaians living abroad, using the real estate market as an investment channel. 70% of Urban population suffer shelter depreciation in terms of inadequate housing, water supply or sanitation. 17

18 MORTGAGE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS-3 In recent times there has been an effort by Universal Banking institutions to provide mortgages. They are however focused on financing the high end of the market. These financial institutions include; Ecobank Merchant Bank, Fidelity Bank Ghana Home Loans Company. 18

19 ESTIMATED MORTGAGE FINANCE PORTFOLIO Bank Amount GH m(2008) Share(%) HFC Bank % Ghana Home Loans % Barclays Bank % Fidelity Bank % GCB % SG-SSB % Amal Bank % Total % 19

20 AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS-1 YEAR Minimum Wage Per Annum (GH ) % Increases in Annual Minimum Wage Maximum Mortgage Finance Accessible (GH ) Maximum Mortgage Finance Accessible (US$) Adjusted Minimum Wage Per Annum Maximum Adjusted Mortgage Finance Accessible (GH ) % , % , , % 1, , , % 1, , , % 1, , , % 2, , , % 2, , , , % , , ,

21 AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS-2 The Average Prices in US dollars are current prices of housing units in the Ghanaian property market. The maximum mortgage finance accessible was computed as annual minimum wage multiplied by a factor of four. Adjusted maximum mortgage finance accessible is computed by increasing the annual minimum wage by fifty percent. 21

22 HOUSE PRICE AS A MULTIPLE OF MORTGAGE FINANCE TYPE OF HOUSE AVERAGE PRICE IN US DOLLARS MAXIMUM MORTGAGE FINANCE ACCESSIBLE ADJUSTED MAXIMUM MORTGAGE FINANCE ACCESSIBLE 1 Bedroom ( semi-detached, expandable) 25,000 8 times 5 times 2 Bedroom ( semi-detached, on-expandable) 45, times 10 times 2 Bedroom ( Detached, onexpandable) 55, times 12 times 3 Bedroom ( semi-detached, expandable) 60, times 13 times 3 Bedroom ( Detached, expandable) 75, times 16 times 22

23 MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS - 1 Micro finance policy initiatives have been geared towards developing micro finance institutions to be effective in facilities for the development of the low-income group. There has been significant increase in competition in Ghana s microfinance sector.the number of microfinance institutions has more than doubled in the last five years to 501,offering access to loans to approximately 745,000 low income people and savings services to about 3.1 million people. 23

24 MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS - 2 The Micro finance sector is made up of formerly regulated, semi-formal and informal/unregulated groups. Given the introduction of the universal banking license in 2003, a few banks have established microfinance subsidiaries to cater for low income earning customers. 24

25 MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS - 3 HFC Bank is currently the only institution that operates a low-income housing scheme, with a maximum amount of US $12,000. HFC worked with the CHF International (United States NGO) to set up a servicing company to work with HFC on a long term microfinance project, in which lending terms would be attractive for housing purposes. The Micro Finance Home loans would be expected to range up to $2000 (18-20 million cedis). 25

26 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK Mortgage Act 1972(NRCD 96-Repealed) Home Mortgage Act 1993 (PNDCL 329-Repealed) Home Mortgage Finance Act,

27 FORECLOSURE EFFECTIVENESS Home Mortgage Finance Act 2008 The mortgagee is not obliged to take court proceedings and may take possession peaceably. Where a mortgagee is unable to enforce a right of possession in a peaceable manner the mortgagee may use the services of the police to evict the mortgagor or other person in possession pursuant to a warrant issued by a court. These new act would enhance the process of foreclosure in the Country. 27

28 RECENT GOVERNMENT POLICIES ON HOUSING Government plans to improve the housing situation through the following strategies: National Housing Policy Land Banks Government Affordable Housing (Direct Delivery) Sale of Government Low Cost Houses Rural Housing Schemes 28

29 NIGERIA 29

30 HOUSING SITUATION With estimated population of over 140million, and housing deficit of over 17million,Nigeria needs to produce 720,000 housing units per annum based on an estimate of 9 dwelling units per 1,000 of population. 30

31 HOUSING FINANCE ARRANGEMENTS IN NIGERIA-1 Government policies aimed at providing affordable and comfortable housing for all Nigerians include the following: The Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) The (FMBN) provided of long term credit facilities to mortgage institutions in the country; encourages and supervised the activities of the mortgage institutions; provision of long term loan to individual and property developers for house building, produce saving facility, carry out research on mortgage finance. Credit Policies The CBN has through its credit policies, required the commercial and merchant banks to allocate a stipulated minimum proportion of their credit to the housing/construction sector 31

32 HOUSING FINANCE ARRANGEMENTS IN NIGERIA-2 National Housing Fund (NHF) The NHF was established as a mandatory contributory scheme to mobilize cheap and long term funds for housing credits. The NHF is aimed at encouraging a multiplication of housing finance institutions, enhancing mobilization and growth of long-term funds and making loans affordable to more borrowers. ensuring constant supply of loans to Nigerians for the purpose of building, purchasing and improvement of residential houses providing incentives for the capital market to invest in property development, encouraging the development of specific programmes that would ensure effective financing of housing development and to provide long-term loans to mortgage institutions for onlending to contributors to the fund. 32

33 PROBLEMS OF MORTGAGE FINANCING IN NIGERIA-1 Low Interest Rate on National Housing Fund The low interest rate level stipulated by law on investment on NHF makes the banks and Insurance companies reluctant to invest in the Fund especially, as there are some more profitable investment Avenues. Low Level of Participation in the NHF The number of contributors to the NHF has been relatively small compared with the national work force. There are about 9 million workers who are yet to be registered and are therefore not making any contributions. There are also alleged cases of diversion of workers contributions to the fund by employers to other investment purposes. Macroeconomic environment The hitherto high inflation rate negatively affected the macroeconomic environment. There is need to continue to keep the rate of inflation moderate as high inflation rate and structural bottlenecks in the economy do not encourage contribution toward the fund. - 33

34 PROBLEMS OF MORTGAGE FINANCING IN NIGERIA-2 Cumbersome Legal Regulatory Framework for Land Acquisition The existence of a cumbersome process of title documentation of land ownership which is reinforced by inadequate cadastral system makes mortgage financing very difficult. This has been seen as one of the factors responsible for slow disbursement of NHF. The Structure of Bank Deposit Liabilities Deposit money banks tend to avoid fund mismatch i.e. borrowings short but lending long, which is required in mortgage financing. The key issue that emerges therefore revolves around how to ensure adequate long term lending by financial institutions rather than the current short term lending practice. This requires significant intermediation efforts, especially, since housing finance is very sensitive to inflationary environment. Absence of National Credit Data Base The inadequate data on credit history of households presents a challenge to mortgage finance institutions 34

35 SOUTH AFRICA 35

36 THE HOUSING SITUATION Despite pro-active government activities between 7.5 and 8.7 million South Africans lived in inadequate housing in 2004( Knight 2004). Housing Deficit between 2.4million in 2006(IRIN news.org) South Africa s MD/GDP ratio for the period averaged Between 2004 and 2007, a total of R billion has been committed to Housing Finance in South Africa. *Source: Warnock, V.C., Warnock, F.E., Markets and housing finance, J. Housing Econ. (2008), doi: /j.jhe

37 APPROACH TO HOUSING FINANCE SYSTEM-1 Government Role Implemented a National Housing Subsidy Schemes. E.g. Jubilee Housing Scheme and Owotu Housing Scheme. -Established institutions to encourage banks to extend their loans down the market. E.g. Urban Development Bank. Established National Housing Finance corporation and rural housing loan fund to provide wholesale support to specialist housing lenders, market financiers, etc. Established other housing institutions to encourage Public and Private Partnerships (PPPs), and to attract private sector investment for the lowincome housing market, namely National Urban Reconstruction and Housing Agency (NURCHA), National Home Builders Registration Council (NHBRC), 37

38 APPROACH TO HOUSING FINANCE SYSTEM-2 The private sector delivered just under houses across South Africa between 2000 and Of this, 42% or units were delivered in the sub R market, also known as the affordable market. The annual proportion of affordable housing delivery has declined form 63% in 2000 to 30% in 2004, even though actual unit numbers have remained almost constant.(source Nell et al 2005) 38

39 APPROACH TO HOUSING FINANCE SYSTEM-3 Financial Institutions Major Players: Absa, Standard Bank, Nedbank and First Rand Minor Players. They provide housing finance either through: Specific loans (Cash Bank) Micro loans (African Bank) or both (Saambou, Unibank) Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) Home Loan Guarantee Company, (HLGC). 39

40 CONSTRAINTS High Unemployment rate (38% of the household do not have a source of monthly wages)* Low income levels and wide income disparities *Source: Labour Force Survey September 2004 (wage income only, other income sources are not included). 40

41 KENYA 41

42 THE HOUSING SITUATION IN KENYA The annual housing deficit in urban areas was estimated at 255,500 units in 2002( Cities Alliance 2002). Sixty percent of the population live within the informal settlements occupying 5% of the land designated for the residential purposes. Between 1980s and 1990s there were 20 housing finance institutions. Only few of these institutions remain currently. In recent times commercial banks are competing with these institutions in the provision of mortgage finance. The general improvement in the financial sector has had a positive impact on housing finance, but the vast majority of Kenyans still cannot meet the terms of borrowing. 42

43 APPROACH TO HOUSING FINANCE SYSTEM Housing Finance Institutions Housing Finance Company of Kenya( HFCK) HFCK was incorporated in 1965 as a joint venture between government and the Commonwealth Development Corporation (of the United Kingdom), Kenya Building Society (KBS) Savings and Loan (S&L) East African Building Society Bank Banks Standard Chartered Bank Barclays Bank Stanbic Bank 43

44 HOUSING MICROFINANCE Housing microfinance is a relatively new product in Kenya and is offered primarily by the following institutions; National Cooperative Housing Union (NACHU) Kenya Affordable Shelter Project (KASP) of the K- REP Development Agency. Jamii Bora, (JB) 44

45 CONSTRAINTS IN THE MORTGAGE MARKET Low income levels resulting in affordability problems. Non-functioning and complex legal and regulatory environment Lack of access to long-term finance by commercial banks and housing finance institutions. High house prices. 45

46 THE WAY FORWARD 46

47 WAY FORWARD-1 Stable Macroeconomic Conditions Stabilizing the macroeconomic climate which promotes confidence in the value of a country s currency; and lowering interest rates A legal framework for property rights developing sound property rights, including the need for a clearly defined right to sell land; developing property laws (e.g. condominium law) and developer finance; and developing efficient judicial processes to resolve disputes A property market Establishing an efficient housing supply chain which focuses on removing obstacles to the release of land by government; providing infrastructure; and clearing construction bottlenecks 47

48 WAY FORWARD-2 A growing consensus is that alternatives must be found to conventional mortgage lending in Africa. Housing Microfinance is the appropriate housing finance tool for the poor. Challenge is to gear this approach to scale; -Land -Housing Support Services - Political and administrative support 48

49 THANK YOU 49