Offshore Wind in UK Latest developments. Jonathan May Development Manager
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1 Offshore Wind in UK Latest developments Jonathan May Development Manager
2 Is a landowner Is not a regulator The Crown Estate Is a public body The Crown Estate Act 1961 Is not part of Government but works closely with Government, statutory bodies, etc. Urban Portfolio Rural & Coastal Estate Energy & Infrastructure Windsor Estate
3 The Marine Estate 850,000 km 2 22,000 km of coast line A responsibility to enhance the estate s value Subject to good management and stewardship
4 Offshore wind leasing rounds TCE Leasing Rounds: - Round 1 - Round 2 - Scottish Territorial Waters - Round 1 and 2 Extensions - Round 3 - Demonstration Sites
5 Zone 3 Dogger Bank 9 GW RWE, SSE Statkraft & Statoil Zone 4 Hornsea 4 GW SMart Wind JV Mainstream Renewable Power and Siemens PV Zone 5 East Anglia Offshore Wind 7.2 GW JV ScottishPower Renewables and Vattenfall Wind Power
6 How do we work? Landlord lease seabed through leasing rounds Co-investment in development in Round 3 Facilitator and advisor working closely with industry and Government Strategic work streams to accelerate and de-risk programmes 6
7 Strategic Challenges To Programme Delivery Health & Safety Supply Chain & Skills Levelised Cost of Energy Planning & Consenting Project Economics & Financing Grid & Technology
8 UK Offshore Wind Development Pipeline GW
9
10 Projects Latest News Kentish Flats Extension (51MW) consent approved (1 st PIN s consent process) London Array (630MW) all turbines installed In the next 12 months the plan is: - Consent applications, 11 projects (13.2GW) - Consents due, 6 projects (3.7GW) - First power, 2 projects (0.97GW) - Fully operational, 3 projects (0.96GW)
11 Timeframe for Release of Rights to Consent Submission (MW) All-Wind Data Dec 2012 Round GW of consenting activity over the period 2004 to 2012 Round GW of zone characterisation and consenting activity for the first wave of projects over the period 2010 to 2013 Consent submission volume up by 70% and pace increased by 50% ROUND 2 AfLs Executed ROUND 3 - ZDAs Executed
12 Cost reduction major focus for UK Crown Estate Pathways study Industry 100+ companies involved DECC Cost Reduction Task Force
13 Insert SC gap analysis Supply Chain Gap Analysis
14 Cost Reduction Pathways
15 100/MWh? Source: Committee on Climate Change, Renewable Energy Review May 2011
16 Offshore Wind Market Study Overall objective: re-evaluate the current state and future pipeline of the UK offshore wind sector. In particular: Review the existing offshore wind programmes Consider role of offshore wind in the energy mix in the short/ medium/ long term. Consider the key constraints on development, and their impact in the short, medium and long term Consider the likely trajectory of deployment out to 2030, and the key drivers/sensitivities
17 Study context Knowledge of offshore wind improved since R3/STW defined Pipeline of capacity (47GW) is greater than stated UK gov t ambition EMR and transition from ROCs to FITs Marine spatial planning process developed considerably
18 Offshore wind funding requirements and availability Offshore Wind Capital requirements to 2020 Annual funding requirements compared with available funding (Supply Chain Efficiency Story) 68bn 52bn 36bn
19 Key Messages UK is the global leader in offshore wind, attracting investment from around the world TCE works in partnership with gov t and industry to de-risk and accelerate the offshore wind programme Reducing the cost of offshore wind to 100/MWh by 2020 is challenging but achievable, making OW cost-competitive. Key areas of cost reduction are: turbines, supply chain competition, finance Immediate action and commitment from government and industry is required to deliver cost reduction e.g. policy certainty, test & demo, supply chain bottlenecks, innovation, contracting etc.
20 Key Messages Industry faces significant challenges policy uncertainty, finance, relative cost, consents, grid, supply chain, etc Potential for high levels of deployment, but downside risks Will be competitive tension between OW projects; and also competition with other forms of energy Government can intervene in areas such as political commitment to OW, consenting, grid/coordination, supply chain, finance, transmission charging, R&D etc Need 7-9bn of Levy Control spending by 2020 to hit targets Need to balance short term delivery (to 2020) with longer term innovation (2020s)
21 Virtuous circle or vicious circle? Regulatory certainty Regulatory uncertainty More UK jobs Supply chain certainty Few UK jobs Supply chain risk Increased deployment Investment Lack of critical mass Insufficient Investment Cost reduction Remains uncompetitive
22 UK Offshore Wind Programme
23 Innovation Technip: Cable Pull In Module Twisted Jacket: Hornsea Zone Suction Bucket: Dogger Bank
24 Photo Courtesy Vattenfall Thank you
25 Links to websites and reports The Crown Estate offshore wind energy TCE The Marine Estate map TCE Strategic Workstreams TCE Offshore Wind Cost Reduction Pathways Study, May 2012 Report RUK Offshore Wind Cost Reduction Task Force Report, June 2012 TCE Offshore Wind Market Study Report
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