Commercial Aerostructures Market Finally Ready for Take-off
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1 Commercial Aerostructures Market Finally Ready for Take-off Henry S. Seiner TIMET TIMET
2 Disclaimer Certain of the information presented herein relates to matters that are not historical facts but are forward-looking projections/statements that involve risks and uncertainties associated with TIMET s business that are described more fully in TIMET s filings with the United States Securities & Exchange Commission. Actual future results could differ materially from these projections. You rely on these projections and other information in this presentation at your own risk, and TIMET assumes no duty to update any of this information should expectations change. 2 2 TIMET
3 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 3 3 TIMET
4 Record Backlogs 4 Source: Boeing, Airbus 4 TIMET
5 Record Backlogs Aircraft Aircraft Airbus Backlog by Aircraft Approximate Airframe Ti Demand (MTs) Boeing Backlog by Aircraft Approximate Airframe Ti Demand (MTs) Approximate Years of Backlog A ,000 9 A330 25,000 2 A350 90,000 7 A380 50,000 6 Total 335,000 Approximate Years of Backlog , , , , ,000 7 Total 315, K MTs of titanium demand over life of the backlog. Source: Backlogs per Boeing and Airbus, Buy weight estimates per Goldman Sachs 5 5 TIMET
6 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 6 6 TIMET
7 World Traffic SHARE OF WORLD TRAFFIC Region US 41% 27% 13% Europe 27% 27% 19% Asia Pacific 19% 30% 43% 7 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor 7 TIMET
8 World Traffic 2.5% 6.2% 3.6% 7.4% 6.2% 6.8% 8 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor 8 TIMET
9 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 9 9 TIMET
10 Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 10 Source: 10 TIMET
11 Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 11 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and 11 TIMET
12 Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 12 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and 12 TIMET
13 Retirements 767 retired for retired for ER 13 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and Aviation Week 13 TIMET
14 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast TIMET
15 Increasing Ti per Plane 15 Source: Goldman Sachs 15 TIMET
16 Other Trends Ultra Clean, Highly Spherical Metal Powders Supply chain is responding to demands with new technologies TIMET
17 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast TIMET
18 Sifco acquires MW General Supply Chain Alignment PCC acquires Exacta Aerospace PCC acquires Designed Metal Connections PCC acquires SOS Metals Héroux Devtek acquires BBA Aviation PLC PCC acquires ADI ATI acquires Hanard Machine Inc Alcoa acquires Firth Rixson Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Leggett & Platt acquires David Hart Aerospace Pipes Ltd RTI acquires Osborn Steel Extrusions PCC acquires Summit Machining Inc. RTI acquires Directed Manufacturing ATI acquires Dynamic Flowform Corp Triumph Group acquires GE Aviation Hydraulics RTI acquires Dynamet Technology 18 TIMET
19 Aerospace & Defense M&A 19 Source: 19 TIMET
20 Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast TIMET
21 Making Sense of Airline Monitor Forecasts?? 21 Source: Airline Monitor 21 TIMET
22 Airline Monitor Forecast: Deliveries January 2006 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = Deliveries = Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = TIMET
23 Airline Monitor Forecast: Deliveries January 2008 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = Deliveries = Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = TIMET
24 Airline Monitor Forecast: Deliveries January 2010 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = Deliveries = Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = TIMET
25 Airline Monitor Forecast: Deliveries January 2012 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = Deliveries = Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = TIMET
26 Airline Monitor Forecast: Deliveries June 2014 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = Deliveries = Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = TIMET
27 Airline Monitor Forecast Recap Build Rate Year January 2006 AM Forecast January 2008 AM Forecast January 2010 AM Forecast January 2012 AM Forecast June 2014 AM Forecast Source: Airline Monitor 27 TIMET
28 Forecast 28 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and internal TIMET estimates 28 TIMET
29 Commercial Aerostructures Market Finally Ready for Take-off Henry S. Seiner TIMET TIMET
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