U.S. Hotel Industry Performance
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1 U.S. Hotel Industry Performance Amanda W. Hite President & 2016 STR, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Any reprint, use or republication of all or a part of this presentation without the prior written approval of STR, Inc. or STR Global, Ltd. trading as STR (collectively STR ) is strictly prohibited. Any such reproduction shall specifically credit STR as the source. This presentation is based on data collected by STR. No strategic advice or marketing recommendation is intended or implied. 1
2 Agenda Total US Review Segmentation Markets Pipeline 2016 / 2017 Forecast 2
3 April 2016 YTD: A Slow Start To 2016 % Change Room Supply 1.5% Room Demand 1.7% Occupancy 62.5% 0.2% A.D.R. $ % RevPAR $76 3.3% Room Revenue 4.9% April 2016 YTD, Total US Results 3
4 Total US April 2016 RevPAR: NYC and Houston Dragged Total US YTD: +3.3% NYC: -2.3% Houston: -7.0% Total US excluding NYC & Houston: +3.7% *RevPAR % Change April 2016 YTD 4
5 Demand Growth Slows. Supply Growth Increases To 1.3% Supply % Change Demand % Change Total U.S., Supply & Demand % Change, 12 MMA 1/ /2016 5
6 ADR Growth Soft. Occ Growth Decelerating Rapidly Occ % Change ADR % Change Total U.S., ADR & OCC % Change, 12 MMA 1/ /
7 Declining Occupancies and Rising ADRs Are Not Unprecedented 8 6 OCC % Change ADR % Change Months 42 Months Total U.S., ADR & OCC % Change, 12 MMA 1/ /1999 7
8 RevPAR Growth: Slowing Down After 6 Yrs. Of Growth Months 31 Mo 56 Months 74 Mo Total U.S., RevPAR % Change, 1/ /2016 8
9 Why Wall Street Is So Blue: Growth of RevPAR Growth Is Slowing Growth of Growth 55% 35% 15% RevPAR % Change 18% 12% 6% -5% -25% RevPAR % Change Growth of Growth 0% -6% -45% May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr -12% Total U.S., RevPAR % Change and 12MMA Change of Change, 5/ /2016 9
10 Segmentation 10
11 Weaker Transient ADR Growth -> Depressed 2016 ADR 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Demand % Change ADR % Change *Transient Demand and ADR % Change, 12 MMA, 1/ /
12 Group Demand Growth Slows Rapidly 6% 5% Demand % Change ADR % Change 4% 3% 2% 1% -1% -2% *Group Demand and ADR % Change, 12 MMA, 1/ /
13 MEETING SIZE Meetings of attendees make up the largest major meeting segment and are on the rise. OVERALL ATTENDANCE AT LARGEST MEETING PLANNED IN LAST YEAR 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less than *DMAP 2015, a national survey of meeting planners 13
14 Markets 14
15 April 2016 : CA Very Strong. New Supply Hits NYC, Miami. Market OCC % ADR % Change Los Angeles/Long Beach, CA San Francisco/San Mateo, CA Atlanta, GA Tampa/St Petersburg, FL Nashville, TN Phoenix, AZ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Chicago, IL Miami/Hialeah, FL New York, NY *April 2016 YTD ADR % Change in Top 25: 5 Best / 5 Worst Performing ADR % Markets 15
16 Pipeline 16
17 US Pipeline: Construction Today Will Impact 2016 / 2017 Phase % Change In Construction % Final Planning % Planning % Under Contract % *Total US Pipeline, by Phase, 000s Rooms, April 2015 and
18 We Are Not Building Ballrooms Anymore! % Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Upper Midscale Midscale Economy Unaffiliated *US Pipeline, Rooms Under Construction, 000s Rooms, by Scale, April
19 Construction In Top 26 Markets: 24 With 2%+ Of Supply Market Rooms U/C % Of Existing Norfolk/Virginia Beach, VA 456 1% St Louis, MO-IL 482 1% New Orleans, LA 696 2% Orlando, FL 2,215 2% Atlanta, GA 1,947 2% San Diego, CA 1,299 2% San Francisco/San Mateo, CA 1,201 2% Las Vegas, NV 3,926 2% Detroit, MI 1,046 2% Oahu Island, HI 712 3% Phoenix, AZ 1,838 3% Washington, DC-MD-VA 3,216 3% Tampa/St Petersburg, FL 1,637 4% Anaheim/Santa Ana, CA 2,151 4% Chicago, IL 4,511 4% Boston, MA 2,244 4% Philadelphia, PA-NJ 2,087 5% Los Angeles/Long Beach, CA 4,927 5% Nashville, TN 2,178 6% Minneapolis/St Paul, MN-WI,2414 6% Houston, TX 4,961 6% Dallas, TX 4,983 6% Denver, CO 2,848 6% Seattle, WA 2,943 7% Miami/Hialeah, FL 3,709 7% New York, NY 15,167 14% *US Pipeline, Top 26 Markets, U/C Rooms as % of Existing Supply, April
20 2016 / 2017 Forecast 20
21 Total United States Key Performance Indicator Outlook (% Change vs. Prior Year) Outlook 2016 Forecast 2017 Forecast Supply 1.7% 1.9% Demand 2.1% 1.9% Occupancy 0.4% 0.0% ADR 4.0% 3.8% RevPAR 4.4% 3.8% 21
22 Data Dashboard>View All Data Presentations 22
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