How To Trade. Pullbacks With 5 Key Technical Tools. By FXTechstrategy Team

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1 How To Trade Pullbaks With 5 Key Tehnial Tools. By FXTehstrategy Team 1

2 Introdution Trading orex an be both interesting and rewarding i one an spend the time learning how it really works. First you have to build a base or oundation. That inludes developing a strategy that works or you, inding good money management tehniques and training your mind to be disiplined in all aets o trading. Remember, at the end o the day you must muster up enough ourage to pull the trigger or any strategies developed to work. What you will learn in this artile is a pullbak trading strategy that utilizes stohastis, simple support and resistane as well as Fibonai retraement ratios to time trades in the diretion o the primary trend. In my opinion, simple strategies work best in trading. And as simple as this strategy appears, keep in mind that no system is a bad system as long as it works and produes results or the owner. My honest advie is that you should stik to what works or you. I your strategy produes more winners (proits) than losers (losses) stik with it but re-evaluate it rom time to time. This is beause market onditions might hange so re-evaluations allow you to inorporate new hanges in the market you trade into your strategy. Terminology Used In This Artile Beore we go into the disussion o this strategy, it is important or us to understand the key tehnial analysis tools we will utilize in this strategy. Don't worry i you don't ully grasp the deinitions below. They will beome learer when I walk you through my strategy. 2

3 Stohastis It is based on the rule that, within a period o strong market ation, a market will tend to lose towards the upper end o the range, while in downtrends, the prie will lose near the bottom o the range. Stohastis onsists o two lines; %K and %D that osillate between 0 and 100. Overbought and oversold onditions are untions o this indiator, whih ould range between 80 on the upside and 20 on the downside. In addition, stohastis sometimes produes a divergene ondition, whih ours when the indiator ails to onirm a move to a new prie high or low in the prie ation. Support and Resistane Resistane is a prie level above the market where supply is strong enough to overome demand while support is a prie level below the market where demand is strong enough to overome supply. Prie highs and lows as well trading ranges an exempliy support and resistane. Retangle pattern tops and bottoms an serve as good examples o support and resistane levels. Fibonai Ratios These are a sequene o numbers in whih eah suessive number is the sum o the two previous numbers: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 610, et. Leonardo Fibonai, an Italian born mathematiian around 1170 disovered the relationship o what is now reerred to as Fibonai ratios while he was studying the Pyramid in Egypt. 3

4 These numbers possess interrelationships, suh as any given number is approximately times the preeding number and any given number is approximately times the ollowing number. Fibonai levels are relevant to traders beause markets oten boune o key Fibonai prie levels. These levels an also at as support and resistane and an be used as projeted proit targets. Candlestiks These is a way o displaying the relationship between opening and losing pries during a time interval. I the lose is higher than the open - the andle is white. I the open is higher than the lose - the andle is blak. Now that the meanings o our tehnial tools are understood, we will now move on to the undamentals o this strategy. The parameters are set below: 1. The strategy takes a top-down approah to analyze allowing it to start rom the higher time rames (weekly harts) and drill down to lower time rames (240mins harts) 2. We look or overbought and oversold readings on the stohastis indiator ater a pullbak in an uptrend and a rally in a downtrend. 3. We then wath prie ations at our deined support and resistane levels to see i it would hold or violate these levels. 4

5 4. Ater establishing support and resistane, we will now plot our Fibonai ratios to determine whih Fib levels oinide with support and resistane zones, keeping an eye on the stohasti extreme readings. 5. Our ous is on signals that are going in the diretion o the primary trend. We do not take trades or open positions against the primary trends, whether downtrends or up trends. 6. Lastly, we use reversal andle patterns as our entry triggers. These reversal andle patterns inlude hammers, bullish enguling patterns and dojis et. 7. Putting it altogether: A lose above the high o the previous day s low when the stohasti indiator rosses over rom the oversold zone and is above 20 (reading) oiniding with our established support and resistane/fibonai retraement and a reversal andlestik pattern gives us an entry. Step One Establishing A Trend: Establish an uptrend (downtrend) on the weekly time rame. In this ase, EMAs (50,100 & 200) and trendlines are used to determine the diretion o the main trend. Below is a weekly hart o EURNZD ross, whih has been in an uptrend sine July

6 Figure 1 6

7 Step Two Monitoring Pullbaks: Ater determining the diretion o the trend on the weekly time rame, we will drill down to the daily hart to establish the trend (in the diretion o the weekly trend) and monitor pullbaks to know i it meets our strategy as deined above. As you an see below, a pullbak is already in plae and prie has moved into our deined support zone. However, we still need to drill down urther to 240- minute hart to see what prie ation and the stohasti indiator are doing. I prie is hesitating or onsolidating while stohasti is oversold, we then look or a reversal andle and a bullish stohasti rossover above oversold zone (reading above 20). 7

8 Figure 2 8

9 Step Three On the 240-minute hart, prie atually stalled ahead o our deined support and Fibonai levels rom the daily hart and a ew ours later losed above the previous bearish andle to orm a bullish andle pattern (bullish harami pattern). Furthermore, our stohasti indiator has already turned bullish above the oversold zone on the ormation o the bullish enguling pattern giving us an entry on the ormation o the next andle. Stop losses are set 10 pips below the reversal andle. 9

10 Conlusion This strategy works on both downtrends and uptrends provided its deined parameters are ollowed. I use it as a swing trading strategy but or those interested in using it or day trading, a little adjustment might be needed. Also, reining your entries or low risk trades may take you below the 240mins hart, it is still all right as long as you are trading in the diretion o the main trend. Depending on how you want to use the strategy, either as day trading or swing trading you an set your exit points based on your preerenes but or me, I like using trailing stops. As stated in the beginning, simpliy, simpliy, simpliy are the words I read every day as I begin my trading day. I love simple strategies beause they work. Reommended: Premium Tehnial Reports For Forex and Commodity Traders The Proessional Suite Our Most Popular And Valuable Subsription Servie 10

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