: !"#"! $ % - $ &
|
|
- Martha Jennings
- 7 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 :
2 ... : -, -, - : : , ,
3 ( ),.,.,, 50%.., ( ),., 150,. 0.74, , ( ) ( ) , 1.2.., (1979.) 20% ( )., 3
4 ,..,,. 20- (, ) (, ),.., , , ( ) (. 1).,.,,.,.,,,,. ( ). 4
5 (50-70 ) ( ),,,... 1: ( ),, 5-. HadCRUT3.. ( )., ( ),.. ( 100 ). ( ),. (, 5
6 , 6% ).,,, ( ).,,..,.., ( )..,,.,,,,,,, ( ).,,. 6
7 1.,. 2.,. 1.,,, ,. 5. ( ) ( ). 6. 7
8 .,,. ( ),.. ( ), 130,. ( ).,,,.,,.,,,. 8
9 : 1. -,. 2. (50-70 ) ( ),.,,. 3., 50%. 4. ( ). 5.,,, ( ). 1.., 50% , 9
10 . 2., ( ),,.,.. 3.,... 4.,,, 2005/2006..,. (,, ),. 5.,,,, ( - IPCC), ( ).,. 10
11 1. ( ). 2.,, ( )..., 50%,. 3.,,,, ( / ). 4. ( ) ( 80% 40% ).., 11
12 ,. 5.,,. :...,...,.,. (., ),. (, ), (., ), (., ), (., ),. (., ); (EGS/EGU,.,., ),, ACSYS (. -, 2003),, (SCAR,. -, 2008), (., 2003). 40, 23 (,,,,, Geophysical Research 12
13 Letters, Journal of Geophysical Research, Journal of Climate, Climate Dynamics, Tellus, Climatic Change, Global and Planetary Change).,,.,,., 7,, , 6, 59.,,,,. - ( ) ( )., ,., - (, - ), 5 10 / ( ). ( ),. 13
14 , ( ), 4,.. 2,. 2: 3 ( ) ( -., ) 40.. ( 21.2% ( ) ( 3, ) ) - ( ). ( ) ( ). 0.51,,, (12.3%) (0.34),.,,, 2. 14
15 (11.7%),,,,, (. 2, )., ( ).,.. 3: ( ) ( ), ( ), 1 ( ), 3 ( ), 2,. 1+3 ( ). 1.4., 1, 3,, (94%).. 3 ( ),., ,
16 ,. ( 3,.. 2) ( ) ( ), 3..,,,,..,,.. ( ) ( ) ( ) (,, HadISST1.1).. 4: (5- ) ( ) ( ) (CRUT3) ( )... (. 4), 30, 16
17 .,,.,,, ,,.,, (HadISST1.1)., (. 4),,. ( ), , HadISST1.1,,., HadISST , 3. 17
18 ,, ,., (. 1)., 5,..,, ( ) : ( - ) ( ),. ( ).,. -, 18
19 ,. 3.2 ( ).,, 3, ,, (, ),, (. 5)..., (. 6 ) (. 6 ),. 6: ( - ) (, ), ( ) (, / 2 ), (. 6 ) (, ) (, / )., - (. 6 ),. - -, 3.4 ( 19
20 ) ECHAM4/OPYC ( ) ( ).,,,. ( ) (. 7).,.,. 7: (5- ) ( 125 ) (, ) ( -, ) ( , ) ECHAM4/OPYC3 ( ).,. 3.3, -., 7,, , 3.5,.,, ( ). (HadISST1.1), 20
21 (.. ),, 2., ( ),, ,, ( ) ,,, : ( 50-, 5- ( ) ) ( ) (, ) (90%). ( ),. 21
22 ..,. 4.1,, ECHAM5/MPI-OM ,,. - ( ),,,,.,. 9: ( 80-, 5- ) ( ), ( ) ( ) (90%)., (. 8).. 22
23 ,.,, (. 9)., 3,., (50-80 ). 4.4 ECHAM5/MPI-OM. ( ).,.,,,. ( ),, ( ). ( ). ( 30..) ( 450 ) ,,,. 23
24 .,., ( 50%) ,,.,,,,,, ( ).,,., 30,.,,. 10: ( ) CRU ( ) , ( ). 24
25 ., (, ),., (. 10).,, ( ).,, ( ).,,.,,,,.,,,. 5.2., ( ) (. 11). 3, : ( ). CRU ( ) ( , ). ( 2). 25
26 -,.,.,., ( ) ( 30% 60%, ).,,.,. 5.3,, : , :,, (NCEP), ( / 2 ), ECHAM5/MPI-OM.. : ( ).,., 26
27 ,,.,,,. ( 0.1 ) ( ). (. 12),,.,, 6% (, 40..) ECHAM5, (50 ) ( )., ( ) ( ),, ( , ), 6%.,, ( , ) ( , ).,. 100,
28 C 0.24 C. (, GISS), C 0.45 C. (. 13 ) (. 13 ). 13: ( C) (a) ( ) ( ) ( C/30 ) NCEP ( ) GISS ( )..,,,. 28
29 (. 13 ) NCEP (. 13 )., 30..,.,,.,,..,.. ( ), 30%,.,, , 30,, ( ),.,,,.,,,,, 29
30 ..,,., ( )., (tipping points),,,,,..,,.,,.,.,,.,,.. ( ), 30
31 ,. 6.1, ( )... ECHAM5 c ( ) 100%-1% (, 100%, 80%, 60%, 40%, 20%, 1%) ,. 14: ( C, ) 850 ( /, ),, ECHAM5 80% 40%. 100% 80% 40% 1%,,.. ( , ) (. 14). 31
32 . 60% 40%.,, [40-20]%,,, 2005/2006. ( ).,,., ( ), ( ) ( ).,, 80% 40% ( )., ( ),,. 32
33 ,,. (, 80% 40% ). -.,. ( ),,,., 3-5., 4 (1000 ) (±2 / 2 ). 7.1,.,,,.,.. (KCM) (
34 ),,.,. KCM ( ). ( 1000 ) ±2 / :,, ( ),, ( ), ( ), ( ) ( ). (. 15) (. 15,, ).. 15 ( 34
35 1000 ), ( ) (1 = ).,,,,.,.. -2 C...,..,,, (. 15 ). (. 15 ), -,,.,,., (. 15 ). 7.4., 35
36 .,,.. 1.,. 2., ( ). 3.,..,,. 4.,.,.,,. 5.,,,, ( - 36
37 ) ( ).,. 6.., 50% ,. 7.,,, 2005/2006..,.,, (,, ),. 1. Semenov, V.A., Latif, M., Dommenget, D., Keenlyside, N.S., Strehz, A., Martin, T., Park, W. The impact of North Atlantic-Arctic multidecadal variability on Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature // J. Climate Doi: / 2010JCLI Petoukhov, V., Semenov, V.A. A link between reduced Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents // J. Geoph. Res Doi: /2009JD
38 3. Semenov, V.A., Park, W., Latif, M. Barents Sea inflow shutdown: A new mechanism for rapid climate changes // Geoph. Res. Lett V. 36, L Doi: / 2009GL Khon, V.C., Mokhov, I.I., Latif, M., Semenov, V.A., Park, W. Perspectives of Northern Sea Route and Northwest Passage in the twenty-first century // Climatic Change Doi: /s ,.. // Semenov, V.A., Latif, M., Jungclaus, J.H., Park, W. Is the observed NAO variability during the instrumental record unusual? // Geoph. Res. Lett V. 35, L Doi: /2008GL ,..,,..,..,.,. // Möller, J., Dommenget, D., Semenov, V.A. The annual peak in the SST anomaly spectrum // J. Clim V. 21. P ,.. // Khon, V.Ch., Mokhov, I.I., Roeckner, E., Semenov, V.A. Regional changes of precipitation characteristics in Northern Eurasia from simulations with global climate models // Global and Planetary Change V. 57. P Doi: /j.gloplacha Semenov, V.A., Latif, M. Impact of tropical Pacific variability on the mean North Atlantic thermohaline circulation // Geoph. Res. Lett V.33. L Doi: /2006GL ,..,,.,,..,,.. I //
39 13.,..,,.,,..,,.. XX XXI // Bengtsson, L., Semenov, V.A., Johannessen, O.M. The early twentieth-century century warming in the Arctic a possible mechanism // J. Clim V. 17. P Johannessen, O.M., Bengtsson, L., Miles, M.W., Kuzmina, S.I., Semenov, V.A., Alekseev, G. V., Nagurniy, A. P., Zakharov, V. F., Bobylev, L., Pettersson, L., Hasselmann, K., Cattle, H. P. Arctic climate change: observed and modeled temperature and sea-ice variability // Tellus V. 56A. P ,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,.., -,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,.. XXI : // Semenov, V.A., Bengtsson, L. Modes of the wintertime Arctic temperature variability // Geoph. Res. Lett V. 30. Doi: / 2003GL ,..,,..,,.. XXI //. AH. a a oc ep o ea a ,..,,..,,.. XXI // :..: Semenov, V.A., Bengtsson, L. Secular trends in daily precipitation characteristics: Greenhouse gas simulation with a coupled AOGSM // Clim. Dyn V. 19. P ,..,..,.,..,.. XX-XXI. //..:
40 22.,.,,.,,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,.. XX XXI // ,.,,.,,..,,..,,..,,..,.. XX XXI // ,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,..,,.., // Arpe, K., Bengtsson, L., Golitsyn, G. S., Mokhov, I. I., Semenov, V. A., and Sporyshev, P.V. Connection between Caspian Sea level variability and ENSO // Geophysical Research Letters V. 27. P ,.,,.,,..,,..,,..,,.. // Semenov, V.A. Simulation of the Arctic temperature variability in the 20th century with a set of atmospheric GCM experiments // Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling. H. Cote (ed.) WMO/TD-No Rep. No. 37. P Khon, V. Ch., M. Latif, I.I. Mokhov, E. Roeckner, Semenov, V.A. Impact of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation on the European and Northern Atlantic weather in a coupled GCM simulation // Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling. H. Cote (ed.) WMO/TD-No Rep. No. 37. P Ivanova, E.V., Semenov, V.A., Murdmaa, I., Park, W., Chistyakova, N., Latif, M., Risebrobakken, B., Alekhina, G. N. The impact of the Atlantic Water inflow on the Holocene environments in the Barents Sea: data and modeling results // 40 th 40
41 International Arctic Workshop, March 2010, Boulder, Colorado, USA (University of Colorado). 30. Semenov, V.A., Petukhov, V. A link between reduced Arctic sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 11. EGU Semenov, V.A., Park, W., Latif, M. Barents Sea inflow shutdown: a new mechanism for rapid climate changes // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 11. EGU Khon, V.Ch., Mokhov, I.I., Semenov, V.A. Forcing of the Recent Climate Change over Eurasia by Atlantic SSTs and Arctic Sea Ice // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 11. EGU Semenov, V.A., Dommenget, D., Stroeh, A. Can Arctic warm the Earth? // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstacts. V. 10. EGU2008-A Semenov, V.A., Latif, M., Jungclaus, J.H. Multicentury oscillation of the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation in a partially coupled AOGCM experiment // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 10. EGU2008-A Khon, V.Ch., Latif, M., Mokhov, I.I., Roeckner, E., Semenov, V.A. Modelling of climate changes for Eurasian regions and their relationship to the circulation processes in the North Atlantic // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 10. EGU2008-A Semenov, V.A., Latif, M., Jungclaus, J. H., Park, W. Is the observed NAO variability during the instrumental record unusual? // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 10. EGU2008-A Latif, M., Keenlyside, N., Park, W., Semenov, V., Müller, W. Understanding Common Aspects and Interactions between ENSO and the NAO // EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 10. EGU2008-A Semenov, V.A., Dommenget, D., Stroeh, A. A role of ice modulated heat losses for the Northern Hemisphere temperature variations // SCAR/IASC IPY Open Science Conference, 8-11 April St. Petersburg, Russia. Abstract Volume. P
42 39. Semenov, V.A. Can atmospheric model reproduce the 20th century Arctic climate changes in AMIP-type simulations? // SCAR/IASC IPY Open Science Conference, 8-11 April St. Petersburg, Russia. Abstract Volume. P Khon, V.Ch., Mokhov, I.I., Roeckner, E., Semenov, V.A. Changes of extreme precipitation in northern Eurasia from observations, reanalysis and model simulations // EGU General Assembly Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 7. EGU05-A Semenov, V.A., Latif, M. Long-term partially coupled ocean-atmosphere experiments: The role of the tropical oceans for northern hemisphere climate variability // EGU General Assembly Vienna, Austria, April Geoph. Res. Abstracts. V. 7. EGU05-A Semenov, V.A. Arctic climate variability: A role of the Barents Sea inflow // EGU General Assembly, Nice, France, April Geoph. Res. Abstacts, V. 6. CD- ROM. 43. Semenov, V.A., Bengtsson L. Wintertime Arctic temperature variability in the 20th century: dominant modes // EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11 April, Geoph. Res. Abstacts. V. 5. CD-ROM. 44. Bengtsson, L., Semenov, V.A. Arctic climate response to the sea ice changes: centurylong atmospheric GCM simulations // EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11 April Geoph. Res. Abstacts. V. 5. CD-ROM. 45. Bengtsson, L, Semenov, V.A., Johannessen, O.M. A mechanism for the early 20th century warming in the Arctic: A missing link // EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11 April Geoph. Res. Abstacts. V. 5. CD-ROM. 46. Semenov, V.A., Bengtsson, L. Arctic climate response to the sea ice changes: atmospheric GCM simulations // ACSYS Final Science Conference, Nov. 2003, AARI, St. Petersburg, Russia. Book of abstracts. P Bengtsson, L, Semenov, V.A., Johannessen, O.M. A mechanism for the early 20th century warming in the Arctic // World Climate Change Conference. Moscow Book of abstracts. P Semenov, V.A., Bengtsson, L. Arctic climate response to the sea ice changes: Atmospheric GCM simulations // World Climate Change Conference. Moscow Book of abstracts. P
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOLAR CYCLE DURING THE LAST 130 YEARS
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOLAR CYCLE DURING THE LAST 130 YEARS Kalevi Mursula, Ville Maliniemi, Timo Asikainen ReSoLVE Centre of Excellence Department of
More informationJessica Blunden, Ph.D., Scientist, ERT Inc., Climate Monitoring Branch, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center
Kathryn Sullivan, Ph.D, Acting Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and NOAA Administrator Thomas R. Karl, L.H.D., Director,, and Chair of the Subcommittee on Global Change Research Jessica
More informationAtmospheric Dynamics of Venus and Earth. Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics UCLA 2 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Atmospheric Dynamics of Venus and Earth G. Schubert 1 and C. Covey 2 1 Department of Earth and Space Sciences Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics UCLA 2 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
More informationMunich Re RISKS AND CHANCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY WHAT ARE THE CURRENT QUESTIONS TO CLIMATE RESEARCH?
RISKS AND CHANCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY WHAT ARE THE CURRENT QUESTIONS TO CLIMATE RESEARCH? Prof. Dr. Peter Höppe Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre NCCR Climate,
More informationSupporting Online Material for
www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/311/5768/1747/dc1 Supporting Online Material for Paleoclimatic Evidence for Future Ice-Sheet Instability and Rapid Sea- Level Rise Jonathan T. Overpeck,* Bette L. Otto-Bliesner,
More informationResearch Article The Arctic and Antarctic Sea-Ice Area Index Records versus Measured and Modeled Temperature Data
Advances in Meteorology Volume 15, Article ID 4134, pages http://dx.doi.org/.55/15/4134 Research Article The Arctic and Antarctic Sea-Ice Area Index Records versus Measured and Modeled Temperature Data
More informationREGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING
REGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING Regional Climate Modelling at the Hungarian Meteorological Service ANDRÁS HORÁNYI (horanyi( horanyi.a@.a@met.hu) Special thanks: : Gabriella Csima,, Péter Szabó, Gabriella
More informationClimate, water and renewable energy in the Nordic countries
102 Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change Hydroclimatic Variability (Proceedings of symposium S6 held during the Seventh IAHS Scientific Assembly at Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 2005). IAHS
More informationIEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate
IEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate A recent study published in Nature Climate Change 1 suggests that the rate of climate change we're experiencing
More informationExamining the Recent Pause in Global Warming
Examining the Recent Pause in Global Warming Global surface temperatures have warmed more slowly over the past decade than previously expected. The media has seized this warming pause in recent weeks,
More informationTHE CURIOUS CASE OF THE PLIOCENE CLIMATE. Chris Brierley, Alexey Fedorov and Zhonghui Lui
THE CURIOUS CASE OF THE PLIOCENE CLIMATE Chris Brierley, Alexey Fedorov and Zhonghui Lui Outline Introduce the warm early Pliocene Recent Discoveries in the Tropics Reconstructing the early Pliocene SSTs
More information2008 Global Surface Temperature in GISS Analysis
2008 Global Surface Temperature in GISS Analysis James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Reto Ruedy, Ken Lo Calendar year 2008 was the coolest year since 2000, according to the Goddard Institute for Space Studies analysis
More informationIGAD CLIMATE PREDICTION AND APPLICATION CENTRE
IGAD CLIMATE PREDICTION AND APPLICATION CENTRE CLIMATE WATCH REF: ICPAC/CW/No.32 May 2016 EL NIÑO STATUS OVER EASTERN EQUATORIAL OCEAN REGION AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS OVER THE GREATER HORN OF FRICA DURING
More informationMonsoon Variability and Extreme Weather Events
Monsoon Variability and Extreme Weather Events M Rajeevan National Climate Centre India Meteorological Department Pune 411 005 rajeevan@imdpune.gov.in Outline of the presentation Monsoon rainfall Variability
More informationENVIRONMENTAL STRUCTURE AND FUNCTION: CLIMATE SYSTEM Vol. II - Low-Latitude Climate Zones and Climate Types - E.I. Khlebnikova
LOW-LATITUDE CLIMATE ZONES AND CLIMATE TYPES E.I. Khlebnikova Main Geophysical Observatory, St. Petersburg, Russia Keywords: equatorial continental climate, ITCZ, subequatorial continental (equatorial
More informationTemporal variation in snow cover over sea ice in Antarctica using AMSR-E data product
Temporal variation in snow cover over sea ice in Antarctica using AMSR-E data product Michael J. Lewis Ph.D. Student, Department of Earth and Environmental Science University of Texas at San Antonio ABSTRACT
More informationRoy W. Spencer 1. Search and Discovery Article #110117 (2009) Posted September 8, 2009. Abstract
AV Satellite Evidence against Global Warming Being Caused by Increasing CO 2 * Roy W. Spencer 1 Search and Discovery Article #110117 (2009) Posted September 8, 2009 *Adapted from oral presentation at AAPG
More informationA Comparison of the Atmospheric Response to ENSO in Coupled and Uncoupled Model Simulations
JANUARY 2009 N O T E S A N D C O R R E S P O N D E N C E 479 A Comparison of the Atmospheric Response to ENSO in Coupled and Uncoupled Model Simulations BHASKAR JHA RSIS, Climate Prediction Center, Camp
More informationENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 29 June 2015
ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 29 June 2015 Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)
More informationAntarctic Temperature and Sea Ice Trends over the Last Century
Antarctic Temperature and Sea Ice Trends over the Last Century High latitude regions of the Earth (the Arctic and Antarctic) have been considered as bellwethers in the detection of global climate change.
More informationPerformance of current GCMs in high latitudes in the context of global climate change and variability studies
Performance of current GCMs in high latitudes in the context of global climate change and variability studies Vladimir Kattsov, Stanislav Vavulin, and Veronika Govorkova Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory,
More informationPaleo-Earth System Modelling
Paleo-Earth System Modelling Paul Valdes School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol Structure of Talk Introduction: Why do we need a paleoperspective to Earth System Models? Example 1: Palaeoclimate
More informationENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 9 May 2011
ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 9 May 2011 Outline Overview Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)
More informationThe IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events 2 How do changes
More informationFuture Projections of Precipitation Characteristics in East Asia Simulated by the MRI CGCM2
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 22, NO. 4, 2005, 467 478 Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics in East Asia Simulated by the MRI CGCM2 Akio KITOH, Masahiro HOSAKA, Yukimasa ADACHI,
More informationSupport for Climate- and Earth System Research at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg
Technical Report No. 2 Support for Climate- and Earth System Research at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg Climatology and Internal Variability in a 1000-Year Control Simulation with the
More informationCLIVAR WGSIP. Strategy for Development of Seasonal Prediction
CLIVAR WGSIP Strategy for Development of Seasonal Prediction Adam Scaife and Ben Kirtman CLIVAR Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction April 2011 CLIVAR WGSIP Working Group on Seasonal to
More informationClimate and Global Dynamics e-mail: swensosc@ucar.edu National Center for Atmospheric Research phone: (303) 497-1761 Boulder, CO 80307
Sean C. Swenson Climate and Global Dynamics P.O. Box 3000 swensosc@ucar.edu National Center for Atmospheric Research (303) 497-1761 Boulder, CO 80307 Education Ph.D. University of Colorado at Boulder,
More information100% RENEWABLES WHY DO WE HAVE TO ACHIEVE THIS GOAL, CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY TO GET THERE?
100% RENEWABLES WHY DO WE HAVE TO ACHIEVE THIS GOAL, CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY TO GET THERE? Prof. Dr. Peter Hoeppe, Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre 4 th Taking ESG into
More informationSECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios
SECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios The speed with which the climate will change and the total amount of change projected depend on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions and the
More information2. The map below shows high-pressure and low-pressure weather systems in the United States.
1. Which weather instrument has most improved the accuracy of weather forecasts over the past 40 years? 1) thermometer 3) weather satellite 2) sling psychrometer 4) weather balloon 6. Wind velocity is
More informationII. Related Activities
(1) Global Cloud Resolving Model Simulations toward Numerical Weather Forecasting in the Tropics (FY2005-2010) (2) Scale Interaction and Large-Scale Variation of the Ocean Circulation (FY2006-2011) (3)
More informationGeography affects climate.
KEY CONCEPT Climate is a long-term weather pattern. BEFORE, you learned The Sun s energy heats Earth s surface unevenly The atmosphere s temperature changes with altitude Oceans affect wind flow NOW, you
More informationWe already went through a (small, benign) climate change in The Netherlands
We already went through a (small, benign) climate change in The Netherlands 15-16 October 1987, gusts till 220 km/h, great damage 2004, almost 1400 tornado s December (!!) 2001, Faxai, 879 mbar 27 December
More informationArctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast
Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L09501, doi: 10.1029/2007GL029703, 2007 Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast Julienne Stroeve, 1 Marika M. Holland, 2 Walt Meier,
More informationThe impact of Arctic warming on the midlatitude jet-stream: Can it? Has it? Will it?
The impact of Arctic warming on the midlatitude jet-stream: Can it? Has it? Will it? Elizabeth A Barnes 1 and James A Screen 2 The Arctic lower atmosphere has warmed more rapidly than that of the globe
More informationclimate science A SHORT GUIDE TO This is a short summary of a detailed discussion of climate change science.
A SHORT GUIDE TO climate science This is a short summary of a detailed discussion of climate change science. For more information and to view the full report, visit royalsociety.org/policy/climate-change
More informationTHE CORRELATION OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH TEN TROPICAL CYCLONES BETWEEN 1981-2010
THE CORRELATION OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH TEN TROPICAL CYCLONES BETWEEN 1981-2010 Andrea Jean Compton Submitted to the faculty of the University Graduate
More informationDynamic winter climate response to large tropical volcanic eruptions since 1600
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109,, doi:10.1029/2003jd004151, 2004 Dynamic winter climate response to large tropical volcanic eruptions since 1600 Drew T. Shindell 1 and Gavin A. Schmidt 1 NASA
More informationCalifornia Standards Grades 9 12 Boardworks 2009 Science Contents Standards Mapping
California Standards Grades 912 Boardworks 2009 Science Contents Standards Mapping Earth Sciences Earth s Place in the Universe 1. Astronomy and planetary exploration reveal the solar system s structure,
More informationSeasonal & Daily Temperatures. Seasons & Sun's Distance. Solstice & Equinox. Seasons & Solar Intensity
Seasonal & Daily Temperatures Seasons & Sun's Distance The role of Earth's tilt, revolution, & rotation in causing spatial, seasonal, & daily temperature variations Please read Chapter 3 in Ahrens Figure
More informationNOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE
1DECEMBER 2005 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE 5179 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Comments on Impacts of CO 2 -Induced Warming on Simulated Hurricane Intensity and Precipitation: Sensitivity to the Choice of Climate
More informationSouthern AER Atmospheric Education Resource
Southern AER Atmospheric Education Resource Vol. 9 No. 5 Spring 2003 Editor: Lauren Bell In this issue: g Climate Creations exploring mother nature s remote control for weather and Climate. g Crazy Climate
More informationThe Oceans Role in Climate
The Oceans Role in Climate Martin H. Visbeck A Numerical Portrait of the Oceans The oceans of the world cover nearly seventy percent of its surface. The largest is the Pacific, which contains fifty percent
More informationPossible causes of decreasing cloud cover in the Arctic winter, 1982 2000
Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L14705, doi:10.1029/2007gl030042, 2007 Possible causes of decreasing cloud cover in the Arctic winter, 1982 2000 Yinghui Liu, 1 Jeffrey
More informationMechanisms of an extraordinary East Asian summer monsoon event in July 2011
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 39,, doi:10.1029/2011gl050378, 2012 Mechanisms of an extraordinary East Asian summer monsoon event in July 2011 Kyong-Hwan Seo, 1 Jun-Hyeok Son, 1 Seung-Eon Lee, 1 Tomohiko
More informationHow Do Oceans Affect Weather and Climate?
How Do Oceans Affect Weather and Climate? In Learning Set 2, you explored how water heats up more slowly than land and also cools off more slowly than land. Weather is caused by events in the atmosphere.
More informationWhat the Heck are Low-Cloud Feedbacks? Takanobu Yamaguchi Rachel R. McCrary Anna B. Harper
What the Heck are Low-Cloud Feedbacks? Takanobu Yamaguchi Rachel R. McCrary Anna B. Harper IPCC Cloud feedbacks remain the largest source of uncertainty. Roadmap 1. Low cloud primer 2. Radiation and low
More informationDecadal predictions using the higher resolution HiGEM climate model Len Shaffrey, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading
Decadal predictions using the higher resolution HiGEM climate model Len Shaffrey, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading Dave Stevens, Ian Stevens, Dan Hodson, Jon Robson, Ed Hawkins,
More informationBipolar Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (BIAC) a IPY proposal coordinated by Tor Gammelsrød Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen
Bipolar Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (BIAC) a IPY proposal coordinated by Tor Gammelsrød Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen The role of the Thermohaline Circulation (THC) as a driving force
More informationCLIMATE, WATER & LIVING PATTERNS THINGS
CLIMATE, WATER & LIVING PATTERNS NAME THE SIX MAJOR CLIMATE REGIONS DESCRIBE EACH CLIMATE REGION TELL THE FIVE FACTORS THAT AFFECT CLIMATE EXPLAIN HOW THOSE FACTORS AFFECT CLIMATE DESCRIBE HOW CLIMATES
More informationVariability and Trends of Air Temperature and Pressure in the Maritime Arctic, 1875 2000
2067 Variability and Trends of Air Temperature and Pressure in the Maritime Arctic, 1875 2000 IGOR V. POLYAKOV,* ROMAN V. BEKRYAEV,* GENRIKH V. ALEKSEEV, UMA S. BHATT,* ROGER L. COLONY,* MARK A. JOHNSON,
More informationOrbital-Scale Climate Change
Orbital-Scale Climate Change Climate Needed for Ice Age Warm winter and non-frozen oceans so lots of evaporation and snowfall Cool summer so that ice does not melt Ice Age Model When ice growing ocean
More informationES 106 Laboratory # 3 INTRODUCTION TO OCEANOGRAPHY. Introduction The global ocean covers nearly 75% of Earth s surface and plays a vital role in
ES 106 Laboratory # 3 INTRODUCTION TO OCEANOGRAPHY 3-1 Introduction The global ocean covers nearly 75% of Earth s surface and plays a vital role in the physical environment of Earth. For these reasons,
More informationTropical cyclones in a warmer climate
Tropical cyclones in a warmer climate by Lennart Bengtsson* Introduction Tropical cyclones are among the most devastating of natural disasters, frequently causing loss of human life and serious economic
More informationA review of the fall/winter 2000/01 and comparison with
A review of the fall/winter 2000/01 and comparison with 1978/79. J. Cohen, AER Inc., jcohen@aer.com A review of fall/winter 2000/01 shows it consistent with the hypothesis that the winter Arctic Oscillation
More informationA Closer Look at atmospheric Circulation in the North Atlantic
LONG-TERM GLOBAL WARMING SCENARIOS COMPUTED WITH AN EFFICIENT COUPLED CLIMATE MODEL STEFAN RAHMSTORF and ANDREY GANOPOLSKI Potsdam Institute for Climate Research, Telegrafenberg, 14472 Potsdam, Germany
More information6.4 Taigas and Tundras
6.4 Taigas and Tundras In this section, you will learn about the largest and coldest biomes on Earth. The taiga is the largest land biome and the tundra is the coldest. The taiga The largest land biome
More informationCLIMATE CHANGE, HUMAN SYSTEMS, AND POLICY - Vol.I - Effects of Global Warming on Marine Ecosystems - G.G. Matishov
EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON MARINE ECOSYSTEMS G.G. Murmansk Marine Biological Institute, Russia Keywords: Marine environment, trends, water temperature, circulation, ecological factors, primary production,
More informationThe drought of 2010 in the context of historical droughts in the Amazon region
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 38,, doi:10.1029/2011gl047436, 2011 The drought of 2010 in the context of historical droughts in the Amazon region Jose A. Marengo, 1 Javier Tomasella, 1 Lincoln M. Alves,
More informationWhen people think of climate change, they usually think of the atmosphere first. They think of the kind of things they hear about in the weather
3 Climate change so far When people think of climate change, they usually think of the atmosphere first. They think of the kind of things they hear about in the weather forecast: air temperature, rainfall,
More informationAn Assessment of Errors in the Simulation of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Uncoupled AGCM Simulations
2204 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E VOLUME 21 An Assessment of Errors in the Simulation of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Uncoupled AGCM Simulations ARUN KUMAR NOAA/Climate Prediction Center,
More informationChapter Overview. Seasons. Earth s Seasons. Distribution of Solar Energy. Solar Energy on Earth. CHAPTER 6 Air-Sea Interaction
Chapter Overview CHAPTER 6 Air-Sea Interaction The atmosphere and the ocean are one independent system. Earth has seasons because of the tilt on its axis. There are three major wind belts in each hemisphere.
More informationDecadal Variability: ERBS, ISCCP, Surface Cloud Observer, and Ocean Heat Storage
Decadal Variability: ERBS, ISCCP, Surface Cloud Observer, and Ocean Heat Storage Takmeng Wong, Bruce A. Wielicki, and Robert B. Lee, III NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, Virginia 30 th CERES Science
More informationThe Summer North Atlantic Oscillation: Past, Present, and Future
18 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E VOLUME The Summer North Atlantic Oscillation: Past, Present, and Future CHRIS K. FOLLAND AND JEFF KNIGHT Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom HANS
More informationThe Atmosphere. Introduction Greenhouse Effect/Climate Change/Global Warming
Introduction Greenhouse Effect/Climate Change/Global Warming The Atmosphere The terms Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change, and Global Warming are often used interchangeably, yet they really refer to three
More informationHurricanes. Characteristics of a Hurricane
Hurricanes Readings: A&B Ch. 12 Topics 1. Characteristics 2. Location 3. Structure 4. Development a. Tropical Disturbance b. Tropical Depression c. Tropical Storm d. Hurricane e. Influences f. Path g.
More informationFundamentals of Climate Change (PCC 587): Water Vapor
Fundamentals of Climate Change (PCC 587): Water Vapor DARGAN M. W. FRIERSON UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, DEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES DAY 2: 9/30/13 Water Water is a remarkable molecule Water vapor
More informationSST-Forced Atmospheric Variability in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model
VOLUME 18 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 1 OCTOBER 2005 SST-Forced Atmospheric Variability in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model ARUN KUMAR, QIN ZHANG, PEITAO PENG, AND BHASKAR JHA Climate Prediction Center,
More information5 day Training on Climate Change and Adaptation
Training Programme 5 day Training on and Adaptation Developed by: Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies (BCAS) [A comprehensive training module along with guideline for trainers aiming to enhance capacity
More informationSolar Flux and Flux Density. Lecture 3: Global Energy Cycle. Solar Energy Incident On the Earth. Solar Flux Density Reaching Earth
Lecture 3: Global Energy Cycle Solar Flux and Flux Density Planetary energy balance Greenhouse Effect Vertical energy balance Latitudinal energy balance Seasonal and diurnal cycles Solar Luminosity (L)
More informationImproving Hydrological Predictions
Improving Hydrological Predictions Catherine Senior MOSAC, November 10th, 2011 How well do we simulate the water cycle? GPCP 10 years of Day 1 forecast Equatorial Variability on Synoptic scales (2-6 days)
More informationFURTHER DISCUSSION ON: TREE-RING TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTIONS FOR THE PAST MILLENNIUM
1 FURTHER DISCUSSION ON: TREE-RING TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTIONS FOR THE PAST MILLENNIUM Follow-up on the National Research Council Meeting on "Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Past 1000-2000
More informationThe Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: Impacts, mechanisms & projections
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: Impacts, mechanisms & projections David Enfield, Chunzai Wang, Sang-ki Lee NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Lab Miami, Florida Some relevant publications:
More informationIntroduction: Mount Pinatubo as a Test of Climate Feedback Mechanisms
Introduction: Mount Pinatubo as a Test of Climate Feedback Mechanisms Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey The June 15, 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption
More informationQueensland rainfall past, present and future
Queensland rainfall past, present and future Historically, Queensland has had a variable climate, and recent weather has reminded us of that fact. After experiencing the longest drought in recorded history,
More informationExtraseasonal ensemble numerical predictions of winter climate over China
Chinese Science Bulletin 2003 Vol. 48 No. 19 2121 2125 Extraseasonal ensemble numerical predictions of winter climate over China LANG Xianmei, WANG Huijun & JIANG Dabang Nansen-Zhu International Research
More informationData Sets of Climate Science
The 5 Most Important Data Sets of Climate Science Photo: S. Rahmstorf This presentation was prepared on the occasion of the Arctic Expedition for Climate Action, July 2008. Author: Stefan Rahmstorf, Professor
More informationRaysWeather.Com 2015-2016 Winter Fearless Forecast
Author: Dr. Ray Russell Founder and President of RaysWeather.Com Date: October 10, 2015 RaysWeather.Com 2015-2016 Winter Fearless Forecast Background It's that time of year--leaves change, temperatures
More informationObserved Cloud Cover Trends and Global Climate Change. Joel Norris Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Observed Cloud Cover Trends and Global Climate Change Joel Norris Scripps Institution of Oceanography Increasing Global Temperature from www.giss.nasa.gov Increasing Greenhouse Gases from ess.geology.ufl.edu
More informationFuture needs of remote sensing science in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean: A report to support the Horizon Scan activity of COMNAP and SCAR
Future needs of remote sensing science in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean: A report to support the Horizon Scan activity of COMNAP and SCAR Thomas Wagner (thomas.wagner@nasa.gov) Charles Webb NASA Cryospheric
More informationBarry A. Klinger Physical Oceanographer
Barry A. Klinger Physical Oceanographer George Mason University Department of Climate Dynamics 4400 University Drive MS 6A2, Fairfax, VA 22030, bklinger@gmu.edu Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies
More informationJames Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, Ken Lo
If It s That Warm, How Come It s So Damned Cold? James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, Ken Lo The past year, 2009, tied as the second warmest year in the 130 years of global instrumental temperature records,
More informationSince the mid-1990s, a wide range of studies. Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change. Gabriele Hegerl 1 and Francis Zwiers 2
Advanced Review Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change Gabriele Hegerl 1 and Francis Zwiers 2 Most detection and attribution studies use climate models to determine both the expected
More informationImpact of the Indian Ocean SST basin mode on the Asian summer monsoon
Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L02708, doi:10.1029/2006gl028571, 2007 Impact of the Indian Ocean SST basin mode on the Asian summer monsoon Jianling Yang, 1 Qinyu Liu,
More informationClimate Change on the Prairie:
Climate Change on the Prairie: A Basic Guide to Climate Change in the High Plains Region - UPDATE Global Climate Change Why does the climate change? The Earth s climate has changed throughout history and
More informationIce cores record significant 1940s Antarctic warmth related to tropical climate variability
Ice cores record significant 194s ntarctic warmth related to tropical climate variability David P. Schneider* and Eric J. Steig *Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for tmospheric Research,
More informationCHAPTER 5 Lectures 10 & 11 Air Temperature and Air Temperature Cycles
CHAPTER 5 Lectures 10 & 11 Air Temperature and Air Temperature Cycles I. Air Temperature: Five important factors influence air temperature: A. Insolation B. Latitude C. Surface types D. Coastal vs. interior
More informationThe Recent Storms and Floods in the UK. February 2014
The Recent Storms and Floods in the UK February 2014 Recent_Storms_Briefing_Final - 1 Crown copyright 2008 Summary This winter the UK has been affected very severely by an exceptional run of winter storms,
More informationdegrees Fahrenheit. Scientists believe it's human activity that's driving the temperatures up, a process
Global Warming For 2.5 million years, the earth's climate has fluctuated, cycling from ice ages to warmer periods. But in the last century, the planet's temperature has risen unusually fast, about 1.2
More informationTropical Cyclones and Climate Change. Nick Panico III MET 295-Spring 2011 Prof. Mandia
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Nick Panico III MET 295-Spring 2011 Prof. Mandia Each year hundreds of storm systems develop around the tropical regions surrounding the equator, and approximately
More informationA Project to Create Bias-Corrected Marine Climate Observations from ICOADS
A Project to Create Bias-Corrected Marine Climate Observations from ICOADS Shawn R. Smith 1, Mark A. Bourassa 1, Scott Woodruff 2, Steve Worley 3, Elizabeth Kent 4, Simon Josey 4, Nick Rayner 5, and Richard
More informationDetection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes
12 Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes Co-ordinating Lead Authors J.F.B. Mitchell, D.J. Karoly Lead Authors G.C. Hegerl, F.W. Zwiers, M.R. Allen, J. Marengo Contributing Authors V. Barros,
More informationClimate Change in North Carolina
Climate Change in North Carolina Dr. Chip Konrad Director of the The Southeast Regional Climate Center Associate Professor Department of Geography University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill The Southeast
More informationWeek 1. Week 2. Week 3
Week 1 1. What US city has the largest population? 2. Where is Aachen? 3. What is the capitol of Florida? 4. What is the longest mountain range in Spain? 5. What countries border Equador? Week 2 1. What
More informationAttribution of Weather and Climate-Related Extreme Events
1 Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Extreme Events Peter A. Stott 1, Myles Allen 2, Nikolaos Christidis 1, Randall Dole 3, Martin Hoerling 3, Chris Huntingford 4, Pardeep Pall 5, Judith Perlwitz
More informationARE THEIR FREQUENCY AND ECONOMIC IMPACT RISING?
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS: ARE THEIR FREQUENCY AND ECONOMIC IMPACT RISING? Prof. Dr. Peter Hoeppe Head Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre (GEO/CCC1) Climate Change and Water Investment Conference,
More informationThe Ice Age By: Sue Peterson
www.k5learning.com Objective sight words (pulses, intermittent, isotopes, chronicle, methane, tectonic plates, volcanism, configurations, land-locked, erratic); concepts (geological evidence and specific
More informationObserved and projected changes in climate as they relate to water
2 Observed and projected changes in climate as they relate to water Section 2 Observed and projected changes in climate as they relate to water Water is involved in all components of the climate system
More information