Kansas Labor Market Information. Agenda. Recent headlines 2/6/2015. Recent headlines Kansas LMI Services Kansas December Labor Report Q& A

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1 Labor Market Information Senate Committee on Commerce February 9, 2015 Presented by: Justin McFarland Agenda Recent headlines LMI Services December Labor Report Q& A Recent headlines National Bureau of Economic Research 1.8 million additional jobs were created in 2014 due to the benefit cut 1

2 USDOL on Long Term Unemployment and LFPR USDOL Chief Economist Heidi Shierholz U.S. labor force participation rate, though low, has remained virtually steady US U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate National Jobs Report January 2015 Nonfarm payrolls grew 257,000 Previous months revised upward Unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from 56% 5.6% Fed reserve closely monitoring Possible interest rate increase in summer? LMI Services 3 core functions Labor Market Information Cooperative agreement with BLS Unemployment Insurance Audit and Reporting Workforce Information Grant from USDOL- ETA 2

3 Labor Market Information Current Employment Statistics (CES) Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) CES Jobs report Survey of employers (payrolls) Info. on jobs, hours, earnings Total nonfarm and private State and MSA Industry level data CES 3

4 Comparison of Two Previous Recessions Private Sector Nonfarm Jobs, Seasonally Adjusted Recession Recession Apr 2008 Month 69 Oct Month Month Index Feb 2010 Month Peak 1,106, ,136,400 Peak Month Mar2001 Apr 2008 Trough 1,059,100 1,059,500 Trough Month Feb 2004 Feb 2010 Jobs Lost 47,100 76,900 Time Jobs Lost 35 Months 22 Months Jobs Lost/Month 1,346 3,495 Time Jobs Gained 34 Months 56 Months Jobs Gained/Month 1,524 1, Recession Timeline (Months) Source: Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. LAUS Labor force Working or looking for work Employed and unemployed individuals Unemployment rate State and County level data LAUS 4

5 QCEW Quarterly count of establishments, employment, and wages Uses UI tax data Highly reliable and useful Around 6-month lag-time OES Semi-annual survey of employers Employment and wage estimates for occupations Wage Survey KLIC.dol.ks.gov 5

6 $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 What will 2014 Edition these of students Wage Survey be $77,610 making by edu Waiting on Wage Data $58,237 $57,612 Median Annual Wage $55,785 Median Annual Wage $50,000 $40,000 $37,749 $32,482 $30,000 $20,000 $20,070 $10,000 $ Doctoral or professional degree Master's degree Bachelor's degree Associate's degree Postsecondary nondegree award or equivalent High school diploma Less than high school Typical Entry Level Education Source: Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services Labor Report December ,300 private sector jobs added over the month November estimates revised upward Labor force increased by 3,531 individuals id # of individuals receiving unemployment decreased by 9,000 over the year. 6

7 Unemployment Rate and U.S. January December 2014 U.S. U.S. Adj. Adj. Une employment Rate (%) Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Adj U.S. Adj U.S Source: Local Area Unemployment and Statistics efficient Program, administration Labor Market Information Services, of state Department labor of laws. Labor, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Number of Unemployed People (Seasonally Adjusted) January 2009 to December , , ,000 Nu umber of Individuals 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Labor Market Information Services, Department of Labor in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Month - Year 7

8 Number of Employed People (Seasonally Adjusted) January 2009 to December ,440,000 1,430,000 1,420,000 Number of Individuals 1,410,000 1,400,000 1,390,000 1,380,000 1,370,000 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Labor Market Information Services, Department of Labor in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Month - Year Number of People in Labor Force (Seasonally Adjusted) January 2009 to December ,520,000 1,510,000 1,500,000 Number of Individuals 1,490,000 1,480,000 1,470,000 1,460,000 1,450,000 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Labor Market Information Services, Department of Labor in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Month - Year Labor Force Participation Rate 72 Labor Force Participation Rate

9 Labor Force Participation Labor Force Participation KS v. U.S. labor force participation rate is 97% of what it was in 2007, whereas theu.s.rateisjust95%. Further, over the year, the rate improved, while the U.S. rate declined. KS U.S. Visit: KLIC.dol.ks.gov 9

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