Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition

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1 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition

2 Queensland Government Statistician s Office Queensland Treasury The State of Queensland (Queensland Treasury) 2015 You are free to copy, communicate and adapt the work, as long as you attribute the authors. This document is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence. To view a copy of this licence, visit To attribute this work cite Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition, Queensland Government Statistician s Office, Queensland Treasury. All data and information in this report are believed to be accurate and have come from sources believed to be reliable. However, Queensland Treasury does not guarantee or represent that the data and the information are accurate, up to date or complete, and disclaims liability for all claims, losses, damages or costs of whatever nature and howsoever occurring, arising as a result of relying on the data and information, regardless of the form of action, whether in contract, tort (including negligence), breach of statutory duty or otherwise. Front cover photo credit: The State of Queensland; Source: MWA Viewfinder Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition ii

3 Contents 1. Introduction Summary of findings South East Queensland and regional Queensland South East Queensland Largest population growth (SA4) Fastest population growth (SA4) Regional Queensland Largest population growth (SA4) Fastest population growth (SA4) Local government areas (LGAs) South East Queensland Population size Largest population growth Fastest population growth Regional Queensland Population size Largest population growth Fastest population growth Age Structures Younger population South East Queensland LGAs Regional Queensland LGAs Older population South East Queensland Regional Queensland Notes (tables and figures) Technical notes Glossary Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition iii

4 1. Introduction Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition provides an overview of the size and composition of the population in Queensland s regions. Sections 3 and 4 provide an overview of the total population in Queensland s regions, including an analysis of the size and rate of population change over time. The report focusses the analysis on statistical areas level 4 (SA4s) and local government areas (LGAs). Sections 5 to 7 examine in detail the changing age structure in Queensland regions with a particular focus on the younger (0 to 14 year olds) and older populations (65 years and over). Population data used in this publication are sourced from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) publications Regional population growth, Australia, (ABS ) and Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 (ABS ). Note that the population estimates within this report refer to estimated resident population (ERP) figures only. For information on full time equivalent (FTE) population estimates, which take into account an area s ERP together with a count of non-resident workers living in the area while rostered-on, see the Queensland Government Statistician's Office (QGSO) Bowen Basin population report, Surat Basin population report, and Gladstone region population report. Complete accuracy of ERP figures is not claimed by the ABS and should not be assumed. Figures included in the text throughout this report are rounded to the nearest 10, although all calculations and percentages are based on unrounded data. A range of supporting data tables is available on the QGSO website (http://www.qgso.qld.gov.au). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 1

5 2. Summary of findings In the period between June 1991 and June 2013, the Gold Coast statistical area level 4 (SA4) made the largest contribution to overall state level population growth (17.2%), followed by Sunshine Coast (10.0%) and Ipswich (7.4%). Of SA4s in regional Queensland, Wide Bay made the largest contribution (5.5%), followed by Cairns (4.8%) and Townsville (3.8%). At 30 June 2013: - The population of South East Queensland (SEQ) was estimated to be 3.27 million persons, 70.2% of the total Queensland population, while the population of regional Queensland was estimated to be 1.39 million persons, 29.8% of the Queensland total. - Brisbane was the most populous LGA in Queensland with 1.13 million persons, representing 24.3% of Queensland s population. - Of LGAs in SEQ, the proportion of the population aged 65 years and over ranged from a high of 20.8% in Noosa to a low of 10.0% in Ipswich (compared with the Queensland average of 13.6%). - Of Queensland LGAs, Hinchinbrook had the highest proportion of population aged 65 years and over (23.0%). In SEQ, the proportion of the population aged 0 to 14 years ranged from a high of 23.6% in Ipswich LGA to a low of 17.5% in Brisbane. In Queensland, the Torres Strait Island LGA had the highest proportion of population aged 0 to 14 years (33.9%). In : - Brisbane had the largest population growth of LGAs in SEQ (up 20,860 persons), followed by Gold Coast (11,030), Moreton Bay (8,580) and Logan (6,560). - Townsville had the largest population growth of LGAs in regional Queensland (up 4,690 persons), followed by Cairns (3,010), Mackay (2,750) and Gladstone (2,490). - Somerset had the fastest population growth of LGAs in SEQ (up 3.2%), followed by Lockyer Valley (3.1%) and Ipswich (3.0%). - Gladstone had the fastest population growth of LGAs in regional Queensland (up 4.1%), followed by Weipa (3.8%) and Livingstone (3.0%). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 2

6 3. South East Queensland and regional Queensland For the purposes of this publication, South East Queensland (hereafter referred to as SEQ) is defined as the aggregate of SA4s stretching from the New South Wales border in the south to Noosa in the north and extending inland to include the Toowoomba urban area in the west. The remaining SA4s in Queensland are described as regional Queensland. SEQ and regional Queensland SA4s are shown spatially in Figure 3.1 below. Figure 3.1: Regional Queensland and SEQ, statistical areas level 4 Source: Queensland Government Statistician s Office, 2015 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 3

7 Population growth in SEQ has been consistently higher than in regional Queensland for many decades (Figure 3.2). Growth rates in SEQ varied from 1.8% in to 2.9% in , and in regional Queensland, from 0.5% in to 2.4% in The difference in growth rates between SEQ and regional Queensland has narrowed significantly in recent years, being less than one percentage point since Figure 3.2: Population growth rate, year to 30 June Per cent 3.0 Regional Qld SEQ QLD Year to 30 June Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 4

8 Gold Coast SA4 was the largest contributor to Queensland s population growth between June 1991 and June 2013, contributing 17.2%, followed by Sunshine Coast (10.0%) and Ipswich (7.4%). Of SA4s outside of SEQ, Wide Bay (5.5%) was the largest contributor to population growth in Queensland, followed by Cairns (4.8%) and Townsville (3.8%) (Figure 3.3). Figure 3.3: Contribution to Queensland s population growth, SA4s, June 1991 to June 2013 Per cent Gold Coast Sunshine Coast Ipswich Brisbane - South Logan - Beaudesert Moreton Bay - North Wide Bay Brisbane - East Moreton Bay - South Brisbane Inner City Cairns Townsville Fitzroy Mackay Brisbane - North Brisbane - West Toowoomba Darling Downs - Maranoa Queensland - Outback Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 5

9 3.1 South East Queensland At 30 June 2013, the population of SEQ was estimated to be 3.27 million persons, 70.2% of the total Queensland population (Table 3.1). The population increased by 679,230 persons in the 10 years to June 2013, by 324,190 persons in the five years from June 2008 to June 2013, and by 64,820 persons in Over the 10 years to June 2013, SEQ experienced an average annual growth of 2.4% in population, slightly higher than the Queensland rate of 2.2%. SEQ population growth slowed to 2.1% per annum on average in the five years to June 2013 and to 2.0% in Queensland s population growth rates for the same periods also declined from 2.2% to 2.0% and 1.9% respectively. Table 3.1: Estimated resident population, South East Queensland SA4s, June 2003 to June 2013 SA4 Estimated resident population at 30 June Average annual growth Average annual growth r r number number % 2012r South East Queensland 2,590,469 2,945,505 3,204,880 3,269,699 67,923 64,839 64, Brisbane East 184, , , ,676 4,068 3,708 3, Brisbane North 173, , , ,865 3,210 3,736 3, Brisbane South 279, , , ,514 6,053 5,925 5, Brisbane West 158, , , ,145 2,420 2,185 2, Brisbane Inner City 194, , , ,646 5,183 4,387 5, Gold Coast 422, , , ,705 12,959 11,421 11, Ipswich 227, , , ,580 8,110 8,597 9, Logan Beaudesert 254, , , ,842 5,932 6,281 6, Moreton Bay North 175, , , ,833 5,575 5,126 3, Moreton Bay South 131, , , ,293 5,223 5,293 4, Sunshine Coast 260, , , ,498 6,950 6,020 6, Toowoomba 126, , , ,102 2,239 2,160 2, Queensland 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 91,368 87,460 88, Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Largest population growth (SA4) In , of all SA4s in SEQ, Gold Coast experienced the largest population growth, increasing by 11,180 persons, followed by Ipswich (9,100) and Logan Beaudesert (6,870). The smallest population growth in the same period was in Brisbane West (2,240 persons), followed by Toowoomba (2,460). In the 10 years to June 2013, Gold Coast also had the largest population growth of all SA4s in SEQ, increasing by an average of 12,960 persons per year, followed by Ipswich (8,110) and the Sunshine Coast (6,950). Toowoomba SA4 had the lowest level of population growth during the decade, increasing by an average of 2,240 persons per year, followed by Brisbane West (2,420) and Brisbane North (3,210). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 6

10 3.1.2 Fastest population growth (SA4) The fastest population growth of SA4s within SEQ in was experienced in Ipswich (up 3.0%), followed by Moreton Bay South (2.7%) and Logan Beaudesert and Brisbane Inner City (both 2.2%). Similarly, in the 10 years to June 2013, Moreton Bay South, Ipswich and Moreton Bay North experienced the fastest average annual growth rates (up 3.4%, 3.1% and 2.8% respectively). Population growth eased over time across most SA4s within SEQ, with Gold Coast and Brisbane Inner City experiencing the largest moderations in growth. Brisbane North and Logan Beaudesert were the only SA4s in SEQ where average annual growth rates were higher in the five years to June 2013 compared with the 10 years to June Regional Queensland At 30 June 2013, the population of regional Queensland was estimated to be 1.39 million persons, 29.8% of the Queensland total (Table 3.2). The population of regional Queensland increased by 234,450 persons in the 10 years to June 2013, by 113,100 between June 2008 and June 2013, and by 23,780 persons in In the 10 years to June 2013, the population of regional Queensland increased by an average of 1.9% per year, lower than Queensland as a whole (2.2%). Average annual population growth in regional Queensland moderated to 1.7% in the five years to June 2013 and remained at this level in This moderation was largely driven by declining population growth in Wide Bay and Cairns. In contrast, growth rates were higher in Darling Downs Maranoa, Fitzroy and Queensland Outback. Table 3.2: Estimated resident population, Queensland SA4s, June 2003 to June 2013 SA4 Estimated resident population at 30 June Average annual growth Average annual growth r r number number % 2012r Regional Queensland 1,152,652 1,274,000 1,363,325 1,387,104 23,445 22,621 23, Cairns 197, , , ,184 4,240 3,724 3, Darling Downs Maranoa 115, , , ,315 1,291 1,593 1, Fitzroy 188, , , ,485 4,120 4,499 6, Mackay 141, , , ,200 3,902 3,717 3, Queensland Outback 82,178 83,698 87,422 88, Townsville 191, , , ,907 4,195 4,313 4, Wide Bay 235, , , ,705 5,085 3,853 2, Queensland 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 91,368 87,460 88, Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 7

11 3.2.1 Largest population growth (SA4) Within regional Queensland, Fitzroy experienced the largest population increase of all SA4s in (up 6,150 persons). Notably, this was also the fourth largest population increase among all SA4s in Queensland. Townsville had the second largest population growth of regional Queensland SA4s (4,610 persons), followed by Mackay (3,950). Queensland Outback SA4 had the smallest population increase (890 persons), followed by Darling Downs Maranoa (1,740). In the 10 years to June 2013, Wide Bay SA4 had the largest growth in regional Queensland, increasing by an average of 5,080 persons per year, followed by Cairns (4,240) and Townsville (4,200). In contrast, Queensland Outback SA4 had the smallest population increase over the period, increasing by an average of 610 persons per year, followed by Darling Downs Maranoa (1,290 persons) Fastest population growth (SA4) In , Fitzroy (up 2.8%) had the fastest population growth of SA4s in regional Queensland, followed by Mackay (2.2%) and Townsville (2.0%). However, the fastest population growth rate in the 10 years to June 2013 was recorded in Mackay (2.5%). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 8

12 4. Local government areas (LGAs) 4.1 South East Queensland Population size At 30 June 2013, of all LGAs in SEQ, Brisbane was the most populous with 1.13 million persons, representing 24.3% of Queensland s population. Gold Coast had the second largest population (537,840 persons) followed by Moreton Bay (408,910), Logan (300,670) and Sunshine Coast (278,090). These LGAs also had the largest populations in Queensland as a whole (Table 4.1). Brisbane s share of Queensland s population declined by 0.6 percentage points between June 2003 and June 2013 (from 24.9% to 24.3%). Toowoomba s share of Queensland s population also decreased during this period (down 0.3 percentage points). In contrast, there was an increase in the proportion of the Queensland population residing in Moreton Bay (up 0.7 percentage points), Gold Coast (0.6 percentage points) and Ipswich (0.5 percentage points). Table 4.1: Estimated resident population, SEQ local government areas, June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June Estimated resident population at 30 June r r number % of Qld Brisbane (C) 1 930,535 1,033,472 1,110,332 1,131, Gold Coast (C) 2 410, , , , Moreton Bay (R) 3 302, , , , Logan (C) 4 244, , , , Sunshine Coast (R) 5 216, , , , Ipswich (C) 7 128, , , , Toowoomba (R) 8 138, , , , Redland (C) , , , , Noosa (S) 16 44,359 48,999 51,685 52, Scenic Rim (R) 18 31,930 35,578 37,805 37, Lockyer Valley (R) 19 29,078 32,974 36,514 36, Somerset (R) 29 18,361 20,366 22,573 22, Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 9

13 4.1.2 Largest population growth In , of all LGAs in SEQ, Brisbane had the largest population growth (up 20,860 persons), followed by Gold Coast (11,030), Moreton Bay (8,580) and Logan (6,560). These LGAs also had the highest growth in Queensland (Table 4.2). In the 10 years to June 2013, Brisbane (up 20,070), Gold Coast (12,730) and Moreton Bay (10,690) LGAs all had the largest average annual increases in population. Average annual growth in was lower when compared with the 10 year period to June 2013 in all LGAs except Brisbane, Logan, Toowoomba, Lockyer Valley and Somerset. Table 4.2: Population growth, SEQ local government areas, June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June r Average annual growth number number 2012r Brisbane (C) 1 930,535 1,033,472 1,110,332 1,131,191 20,066 19,544 20,859 Gold Coast (C) 2 410, , , ,844 12,730 11,255 11,028 Moreton Bay (R) 3 302, , , ,914 10,689 10,283 8,581 Logan (C) 4 244, , , ,667 5,659 6,008 6,561 Sunshine Coast (R) 5 216, , , ,089 6,145 5,338 5,380 Ipswich (C) 6 128, , , ,105 5,446 5,735 5,334 Toowoomba (R) , , , ,251 2,172 2,022 2,500 Redland (C) , , , ,437 2,444 2,133 1,730 Lockyer Valley (R) 15 29,078 32,974 36,514 37, ,138 Noosa (S) 18 44,359 48,999 51,685 52, Somerset (R) 19 18,361 20,366 22,573 23, Scenic Rim (R) 22 31,930 35,578 37,805 38, Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 91,368 87,460 88,598 Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 10

14 4.1.3 Fastest population growth In , Somerset had the fastest population growth (3.2%) of all LGAs in SEQ, followed by Lockyer Valley (3.1%) and Ipswich (3.0%) (Table 4.3). However, in the 10 years to June 2013, the fastest average annual growth occurred in Ipswich (3.6%), followed by Moreton Bay (3.1%) and Gold Coast (2.7%). When comparing average annual growth in the most recent year, , with the 10 year period to June 2013, the largest increase occurred in Somerset LGA (up from 2.4% to 3.2%), followed by Lockyer Valley (2.6% to 3.1%). The largest declines were experienced in Moreton Bay (down from 3.1% to 2.1%), Ipswich (3.6% to 3.0%), Gold Coast (2.7% to 2.1%), Sunshine Coast (2.5% to 2.0%) and Redland (1.8% to 1.2%). Table 4.3: Population growth rates, SEQ local government areas, June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June r Average annual growth number % 2012r Somerset (R) 3 18,361 20,366 22,573 23, Lockyer Valley (R) 4 29,078 32,974 36,514 37, Ipswich (C) 5 128, , , , Logan (C) , , , , Moreton Bay (R) , , , , Gold Coast (C) , , , , Sunshine Coast (R) , , , , Brisbane (C) ,535 1,033,472 1,110,332 1,131, Toowoomba (R) , , , , Scenic Rim (R) 27 31,930 35,578 37,805 38, Noosa (S) 34 44,359 48,999 51,685 52, Redland (C) , , , , Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656, Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 11

15 4.2 Regional Queensland Population size At 30 June 2013, Townsville had the largest population of all LGAs in regional Queensland with 189,240 persons, representing 4.1% of Queensland s population (Table 4.4). Cairns had the second largest population (157,080), followed by Mackay (121,910 persons). Among the 10 largest LGAs in regional Queensland, Townsville s share of the Queensland population increased by 0.1 percentage point in , as did Gladstone s. The share of the Queensland population in the 10 largest LGAs in regional Queensland has remained relatively stable between 30 June 2003 and 30 June Table 4.4: Estimated resident population, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June Estimated resident population at 30 June r r number % of Qld Townsville (C) 6 147, , , , Cairns (R) 9 120, , , , Mackay (R) 11 93, , , , Fraser Coast (R) 12 77,048 92,018 99, , Bundaberg (R) 13 79,559 88,599 93,403 93, Rockhampton (R) 14 71,488 76,260 80,912 82, Gladstone (R) 15 47,860 55,425 61,465 63, Gympie (R) 17 39,389 44,700 47,548 48, Southern Downs (R) 20 31,593 33,451 35,034 35, Livingstone (S) 21 27,291 31,419 34,478 34, Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 (a) Top 10 local government areas, based on population size at 30 June Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 12

16 4.2.2 Largest population growth Townsville had the largest population growth of all LGAs in regional Queensland (up 4,690 persons) in , followed by Cairns (3,010), Mackay (2,750) and Gladstone (2,490) (Table 4.5). In the 10 years to June 2013, the largest average annual population changes were measured in the LGAs of Townsville (up 4,130 persons), Cairns (3,690) and Mackay (2,830). Average annual growth was higher in when compared with the 10 year period to June 2013 in all LGAs except Fraser Coast, Cairns, Gympie and Mackay. Table 4.5: Population growth, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June Average annual growth r r number number Townsville (C) 7 147, , , ,238 4,127 4,147 4,692 Cairns (R) 8 120, , , ,081 3,686 3,158 3,008 Mackay (R) 9 93, , , ,909 2,827 2,653 2,747 Gladstone (R) 11 47,860 55,425 61,465 63,955 1,610 1,706 2,490 Rockhampton (R) 13 71,488 76,260 80,912 82,538 1,105 1,256 1,626 Fraser Coast (R) 14 77,048 92,018 99, ,297 2,325 1,656 1,246 Livingstone (S) 16 27,291 31,419 34,478 35, ,027 Central Highlands (R) 17 25,540 28,090 30,515 31, Whitsunday (R) 20 28,491 31,337 33,332 34, Gympie (R) 21 39,389 44,700 47,548 48, Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656,803 91,368 87,460 88,598 (a) Top 10 local government areas, based on population change in Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 13

17 4.2.3 Fastest population growth Gladstone had the fastest population growth rate (up 4.1%) of all LGAs in regional Queensland in , followed by Weipa (3.8%) (Table 4.6). These growth rates were also the fastest among all Queensland LGAs. When comparing population growth in to average annual growth in the 10 year period to 30 June 2013, the largest increase occurred in Gladstone (from 2.9% to 4.1%) followed by Rockhampton (1.4% to 2.0%) and Mareeba (1.6% to 2.1%). Table 4.6: Population growth rates, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking Estimated resident population at 30 June r Average annual growth number % 2012r Gladstone (R) 1 47,860 55,425 61,465 63, Weipa (T) 2 2,367 3,246 3,655 3, Livingstone (S) 6 27,291 31,419 34,478 35, Townsville (C) 7 147, , , , Central Highlands (R) 8 25,540 28,090 30,515 31, Mackay (R) 9 93, , , , Isaac (R) 11 19,050 21,632 23,755 24, Mareeba (S) 13 18,326 19,756 20,962 21, Whitsunday (R) 15 28,491 31,337 33,332 34, Rockhampton (R) 16 71,488 76,260 80,912 82, Queensland.. 3,743,121 4,219,505 4,568,205 4,656, (a) Top 10 local government areas, based on population growth rates in Source: ABS , Regional population growth, Australia, Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 14

18 5. Age Structures At 30 June 2013, a higher proportion of the population in SEQ was aged between 20 and 44 years than in regional Queensland. Conversely, regional Queensland had higher proportions of population in the 0 to 14 years and 45 to 79 years age groups. However, SEQ had proportionally more people aged 85 years and over than in regional Queensland (Figure 5.1). Figure 5.1: Estimated resident population, proportion by age group, 30 June 2013 Per cent Regional Queensland SEQ Age group (years) Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 15

19 6. Younger population 6.1 South East Queensland LGAs At 30 June 2013, Brisbane LGA had the largest number of 0 to 14 year olds both in SEQ and in Queensland (198,390 persons), representing 21.5% of Queensland s population in this age group (Table 6.1). Gold Coast LGA had the second largest population aged 0 to 14 years (98,120 persons) followed by Moreton Bay (87,860 persons). The number of 0 to 14 year olds increased in the 10 years to June 2013 in all LGAs in SEQ. The largest increases occurred in Brisbane (up 31,750 persons), Gold Coast (21,890), Moreton Bay (18,790) and Ipswich (12,240). While Brisbane had the largest population of 0 to 14 year olds at 30 June 2013, this age group only represented 17.5% of the overall Brisbane population. All other LGAs in SEQ had proportionally younger populations than Brisbane. Ipswich had the highest proportion of 0 to 14 year olds at 23.6%, followed by Logan (22.6%), Moreton Bay (21.5%) and the Lockyer Valley (21.4%) (see Figure 6.1). Table 6.1: Population aged 0 to 14 years, SEQ local government areas, June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking At 30 June Change r number number 2012r- Brisbane (C) 1 166, , , ,388 31,753 15,168 3,854 Gold Coast (C) 2 76,228 88,041 95,915 98,121 21,893 10,080 2,206 Moreton Bay (R) 3 69,071 78,077 86,205 87,860 18,789 9,783 1,655 Logan (C) 4 59,934 63,197 66,834 67,913 7,979 4,716 1,079 Sunshine Coast (R) 5 43,181 48,090 50,873 51,372 8,191 3, Ipswich (C) 6 30,957 36,334 41,834 43,193 12,236 6,859 1,359 Toowoomba (R) 9 30,639 32,376 33,300 33,706 3,067 1, Redland (C) 10 26,473 27,720 28,632 28,831 2,358 1, Noosa (S) 17 8,646 9,092 9,280 9, Lockyer Valley (R) 18 6,730 7,279 7,873 8,043 1, Scenic Rim (R) 20 6,888 7,400 7,704 7, Somerset (R) 30 4,080 4,247 4,701 4, Queensland.. 783, , , , ,994 71,006 15,134 Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 16

20 Figure 6.1: Proportion of population aged 0 to 14 years, SEQ local government areas, 30 June Per cent Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 These proportional differences are reflected in the child dependency ratio (number of persons aged 0 to 14 years for every 100 persons aged 15 to 64 years) in each LGA. Figure 6.2 shows, for each LGA, the difference in child dependency ratios relative to the statewide ratio. The great difference among SEQ local government areas was observed in Ipswich, with 35.5 children per 100 working age persons, 5.7 points higher than the statewide ratio of Brisbane and Gold Coast LGAs had the lowest ratios in SEQ, 5.0 and 2.5 below the state ratio respectively. This was despite these two LGAs having the largest populations of 0 to 14 year olds in SEQ (see Table 6.1). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 17

21 Figure 6.2: Child dependency ratios, comparison to state-wide ratio, SEQ local government areas, 30 June 2013 Difference to statewide ratio Ipswich (C) Logan (C) Somerset (R) Toowoomba (R) Moreton Bay (R) Lockyer Valley (R) Scenic Rim (R) Redland (C) Mornington (S) Statewide ratio= 29.8 Sunshine Coast (R) Noosa (S) Gold Coast (C) Brisbane (C) Diamantina (S) Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth, highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 18

22 6.2 Regional Queensland LGAs At 30 June 2013, Townsville had the largest number of 0 to 14 year olds of all LGAs in regional Queensland (39,270 persons), representing 4.2% of Queensland s population in this age group (Table 6.2). Cairns LGA had the second largest population of 0 to 14 year olds (34,040 persons) followed by Mackay (25,620 persons). While there were more 0 to 14 year olds in Townsville than Cairns at 30 June 2013, Cairns experienced a larger population increase in this age group in the 10 years to June 2013 (7,350 compared with 6,560). There were also notable increases in this age group in Mackay (4,290) and Fraser Coast (3,330) over the same period. Table 6.2: Population aged 0 to 14 years, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking At 30 June Change r number number 2012r- Townsville (C) 7 32,710 35,704 38,306 39,267 6,557 3, Cairns (R) 8 26,683 30,819 33,430 34,036 7,353 3, Mackay (R) 11 21,326 23,203 25,021 25,620 4,294 2, Fraser Coast (R) 12 15,314 17,639 18,618 18,648 3,334 1, Bundaberg (R) 13 17,050 17,695 17,770 17, Rockhampton (R) 14 15,641 16,289 17,104 17,491 1,850 1, Gladstone (R) 15 11,664 12,733 13,850 14,396 2,732 1, Gympie (R) 16 8,543 9,290 9,622 9,668 1, Western Downs (R) 19 6,749 6,935 7,697 7,787 1, Central Highlands (R) 21 6,642 6,940 7,302 7, Queensland.. 783, , , , ,994 71,006 15,134 (a) Top 10 local government areas based on size of 0 to 14 year old population at 30 June Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 19

23 At 30 June 2013, more than a third (33.9%) of the population residing in the Torres Strait Island LGA was aged 0 to 14 years. Its close neighbour, Torres (29.2%) had the second highest proportion of 0 to 14 year olds in regional Queensland, followed by Longreach (25.7%) and Isaac (24.7%) (Figure 6.3). Figure 6.3: Proportion of population aged 0 to 14 years, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2013 Per cent (a) Top 10 local government areas based on proportion of population aged 0 to 14 years, for LGAs with a population of 1,000 or more persons aged 0 to 14 years. Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Figure 6.4 shows child dependency ratios at 30 June 2013 compared to the statewide ratio. The 10 LGAs with the largest 0 to 14 year old populations in regional Queensland are labelled, in addition to the two LGAs with the highest and lowest ratios. Western Downs LGA was 7.3 points higher than the statewide ratio, while the child dependency ratios in the Central Highlands and Gympie LGAs were 3.8 and 3.5 points higher than the Queensland ratio respectively. Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 20

24 Figure 6.4: Child dependency ratios, comparison to state-wide ratio, regional Queensland local government areas (a), 30 June 2013 Difference to statewide ratio Western Downs (R) Central Highlands (R) Gympie (R) Gladstone (R) Ro0ckhampton (R) Cairns (R) Fraser Coast(R) Bundaberg (R) Mackay (R) Townsville (C) Mornington (S) Statewide ratio = Diamantina (S) (a) In addition to the two LGAs with the highest and lowest ratios, only the top 10 LGAs based on the size of 0 to 14 year old population at 30 June 2013 are labelled. Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 21

25 7. Older population 7.1 South East Queensland At 30 June 2013, Brisbane had the largest number of persons aged 65 years and over of all LGAs in both SEQ and Queensland (132,760 persons), representing 20.9% of Queensland s population in this age group (Table 7.1). Gold Coast had the second largest population aged 65 years and over (80,390 persons) followed by Moreton Bay (56,010). The number of persons aged 65 years and over increased in the 10 years to June 2013 in all LGAs in SEQ. The largest increases occurred in Gold Coast (up 23,400 persons), Brisbane (22,320), Moreton Bay (22,280) and Sunshine Coast (17,320). Table 7.1: Population aged 65 years and over, SEQ local government areas, June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking At 30 June r Change number number 2012r- Brisbane (C) 1 110, , , ,759 22,323 15,554 3,763 Gold Coast (C) 2 56,991 66,027 77,156 80,386 23,395 14,359 3,230 Moreton Bay (R) 3 33,738 42,867 53,340 56,013 22,275 13,146 2,673 Sunshine Coast (R) 4 34,520 41,535 49,762 51,842 17,322 10,307 2,080 Logan (C) 5 16,724 22,173 29,165 31,222 14,498 9,049 2,057 Toowoomba (R) 6 17,964 20,882 24,513 25,305 7,341 4, Redland (C) 8 14,788 17,894 21,572 22,510 7,722 4, Ipswich (C) 11 12,347 14,800 17,499 18,358 6,011 3, Noosa (S) 15 6,680 8,328 10,411 10,917 4,237 2, Scenic Rim (R) 18 4,579 5,437 6,636 6,922 2,343 1, Lockyer Valley (R) 22 3,220 4,132 5,066 5,345 2,125 1, Somerset (R) 27 2,390 2,941 3,684 3,924 1, Queensland.. 442, , , , , ,528 25,874 Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 22

26 At 30 June 2013, just over one in five persons (20.8%) in Noosa Shire was aged 65 years and over, (Figure 7.1). This was the highest in SEQ, followed by Sunshine Coast (18.6%), Scenic Rim (18.0%) and Somerset (16.9%). Ipswich and Logan had the lowest proportion of persons aged 65 year and over in SEQ (10.0% and 10.4% respectively). Figure 7.1: Proportion of population aged 65 years and over, SEQ local government areas, 30 June 2013 Per cent Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 At 30 June 2013, Queensland had an aged dependency ratio (number of persons aged 65 years and over for every 100 persons aged 15 to 64 years) of 20.5 persons per 100 working age population. Figure 7.2 shows that the aged dependency ratio (34.0) was 13.5 higher than the statewide ratio, followed by Sunshine Coast and Scenic Rim. Ipswich and Logan had the lowest ratios in SEQ, 5.4 and 5.0 below the statewide ratio respectively. Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 23

27 Figure 7.2: Aged dependency ratios, comparison to state-wide ratio, SEQ local government areas, 30 June 2013 Difference to statewide ratio Noosa (S) Sunshine Coast (R) Scenic Rim (R) Somerset (R) Toowoomba (R) Redland (C) Gold Coast (C) Lockyer Valley (R) Moreton Bay (R) Doomadgee (S) -4-8 Fraser Coast (R) Statewide ratio = 20.5 Brisbane (C) Logan (C) Ipswich (C) Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 24

28 7.2 Regional Queensland At 30 June 2013, the Fraser Coast had the largest number of persons aged 65 years and over of all LGAs in regional Queensland (22,750 persons), representing 3.6% of Queensland s population in this age group (Table 7.2). Bundaberg LGA had the second largest population aged 65 years and over (19,600 persons) followed by Townsville (19,350) and Cairns (16,600). At 30 June 2013, there were more persons aged 65 years and over in Mackay and Rockhampton LGAs compared with Gympie. However, during the 10 year period to June 2013, Gympie experienced a significantly larger population increase per year in this age group compared with Rockhampton (3,780 compared with 2,000) and a similar increase compared with Mackay (3,780 compared with 3,750). Table 7.2: Population aged 65 years and over, regional Queensland local government areas (a), June 2003 to June 2013 LGA State ranking At 30 June r Change number number 2012r- Fraser Coast (R) 7 14,092 17,770 21,718 22,753 8,661 4,983 1,035 Bundaberg (R) 9 12,603 15,661 18,724 19,602 6,999 3, Townsville (C) 10 12,746 15,529 18,439 19,346 6,600 3, Cairns (R) 12 10,161 12,588 15,623 16,602 6,441 4, Mackay (R) 13 9,676 11,248 12,831 13,421 3,745 2, Rockhampton (R) 14 9,329 9,963 10,997 11,324 1,995 1, Gympie (R) 16 5,663 7,104 8,940 9,440 3,777 2, Southern Downs (R) 17 4,872 5,746 6,853 7,167 2,295 1, South Burnett (R) 19 4,169 5,008 6,142 6,445 2,276 1, Gladstone (R) 20 3,868 4,772 5,598 5,898 2,030 1, Queensland.. 442, , , , , ,528 25,874 (a) Top 10 local government areas based on the number of persons aged 65 years and over in regional Queensland at 30 June Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 At 30 June 2013, nearly a quarter of the population (23.0%) of the Hinchinbrook LGA was aged 65 years and over. This was significantly higher than the Queensland average of 13.6 per cent. Fraser Coast had the second highest proportion (22.7%) in regional Queensland, followed by North Burnett (21.4%) and Bundaberg (20.9%) (Figure 7.3). Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 25

29 Figure 7.3: Proportion of population aged 65 years and over, regional Queensland local government areas (a), 30 June 2013 Per cent (a) Top 10 local government areas based on proportion of population aged 65 years and over, for LGAs with populations of 1,000 persons aged 65 years and over. Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Figure 7.4 highlights the differences in aged dependency ratios between LGAs in regional Queensland compared with the statewide ratio, and other LGAs within Queensland. At 30 June 2013, Fraser Coast LGA had the highest aged dependency ratio in Queensland (38.6), 18.2 higher than the statewide ratio of Bundaberg, Southern Downs, Gympie and Rockhampton had ratios above the Queensland ratio, while the ratios in Mackay, Cairns, Townsville and Gladstone were all below that of the state. Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 26

30 Figure 7.4: Aged dependency ratios, comparison to state-wide ratio, regional Queensland local government areas, 30 June 2013 Difference to statewide ratio Gympie (R) Fraser Coast (R) Bundaberg (R) Southern Downs (R) Rockhampton (R) Statewide ratio = 20.5 Mackay (R) Cairns (R) Townsville (C) Gladstone (R) Doomadgee(S) Source: ABS , Population by age and sex, regions of Australia, 2013 Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 27

31 Notes (tables and figures) (C) = City, (R) = Regional Council, (S) = Shire, (T) = Town p= preliminary, r= revised.. = not applicable Geographical boundaries are based on the 2011 Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS). Local government boundaries have been updated to account for council de amalgamations gazetted on 1 January Technical notes The status of estimated resident population (ERP) data changes over time from preliminary to revised to final as new component data become available. Users should exercise caution when analysing and interpreting the most recent annual and quarterly estimates for all components of ERP, particularly when making time series comparisons. In this publication, ERP figures prior to 2012 are final, while 2012 figures are revised and 2013 figures are preliminary. Glossary This glossary provides a guide to terms used in this report. It is in alphabetical order. Further details about census data definitions can be obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) publication Census Dictionary, 2011 (ABS ). Aged dependency ratio A simple summary measure used to measure age composition, with particular reference to number of dependents (65 years and over) compared with the working age population (15 to 64 years). The aged dependency ratio can be expressed as: P65 + P Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) A geographical framework covering all spatial areas of Australia and its external territories. The ASGS was developed by the ABS to allow statistics from different collections to be spatially comparable. The ASGS came into effect in July 2011, replacing the Australian Standard Geographical Classification (ASGC). The 2014 edition of the ASGS has been used for the data in this report. Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 28

32 Average annual rate of population change Also known as the average annual population growth rate. It is calculated as a percentage using the formula below, where P 0 is the population at the start of the period, P n is the population at the end of the period and n is the length of the period between P n and P 0 in years. P 1 n n P o For example, to calculate the average annual rate of population change from 2011 to 2021, n is 10, P 0 is the population in 2011 and P n is the population in Child dependency ratio A simple summary measure used to measure age composition, with particular reference to number of dependents (0 to 14 year olds) compared with the working age population (15 to 64 years). The child dependency ratio can be expressed as: P0 14 P Estimated resident population (ERP) The official measure of the population of Australia is based on the concept of residence. It refers to all people, regardless of nationality, citizenship or legal status, who usually live in Australia, with the exception of foreign diplomatic personnel and their families. It includes usual residents who are overseas for less than 12 out of 16 months. It excludes overseas visitors who are in Australia for less than 12 out of 16 months. Population growth highlights and trends, Queensland regions, 2015 edition 29

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