2016 GAUTENG PROVINVIAL GOVERNMENT SOCIO-ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK

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1 2016 GAUTENG PROVINVIAL GOVERNMENT SOCIO-ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK GAUTENG PROVINCE PROVINCIAL TREASURY REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA

2

3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK 2016 Gauteng Provincial Government GAUTENG PROVINCE PROVINCIAL TREASURY REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA

4 Gauteng Provincial Government Private Bag X091, Marshalltown, 2107 PR12/ iv

5 Foreword Barbara Creecy MEC: Finance Premier David Makhura emphasised his commitment to drive the province s v

6 Barbara Creecy MEC for Finance vi

7 Table of Contents Foreword v List of Figures ix Chapter 2: Economic Performance 17 vii

8 Chapter 3: Labour Market Dynamics 37 Chapter 4: Socio-Economic Development 51 viii

9 List of Figures Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 ix

10 Chapter 4: Socio-Economic Development x

11 List of Tables Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 xi

12 List of Abbreviations BRT Bus Rapid Transit FS Free State Province GP Gauteng Province GPG Gauteng Provincial Government LP Limpopo Province xii

13 MDG Millenium Development Goal MP Mpumalanga Province SERO Socio-Economic Review and Outlook SMMEs Small Medium and Micro Enterprises xiii

14 Executive Summary xiv

15 xv

16 xvi

17 1.1. Background economic goals, including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and how it compares with other

18 the age of 25; less than one percent are 80 years of age or older. Women currently make up 50 percent of the geographically, in urban areas. However, high youth unemployment rates and urban poverty are associated Region Mid-2015 (millions) (millions) Births per 1000 Deaths per 1000 Life Expectancy SADC Region South Africa Nigeria Brazil India Note: SADC=Southern African Development Community which is expected to grow to 65.2 million by This implies a compound annual growth rate of than Nigeria, Brazil and India, the selected countries shown in the table above. Of these, India has the largest 3 Stats SA. (2015). 4 2

19

20 a Since the 1970s, a c a b c d 4

21 provide insights into the burden borne by those of working age who support children and the elderly. They 7 and point to broad trends in social support needs. 8 Note: * indicates forecast 7 Glossary of Demographic Terms 8 5

22 9 10 th

23

24 a a 8

25

26 16 17 and to high

27 11

28

29 So 45+ Source 13

30 21 for each province in 2001 and 2011, and compares

31

32 1.5. Conclusion 16

33 Chapter 2: Economic Performance Economies

34 Economic Performance # 18

35 19

36 20

37 # F 21

38 th and making it th and 152 nd th, implied 22

39 2.3. Provincial Economic Performance Economic Plan Various sectors and Economic Performance 23

40 24

41 Manufacturing So 25

42

43 27

44 Manufacturing

45 Skilled Semi-Skilled 46 Ensuring that these skills are in 46 29

46 30

47

48

49 the development of township enterprises and SMMEs producing goods and services that meet the needs of

50 Conclusion

51 35

52 36

53 Chapter 3: Labour Market Dynamics 3.1. Background 56, it stood 56 37

54 Labour Market Outcomes by Employed LFPR ,267 4,472 4,909 1,850 2,159 4, , , Sourc 57 38

55

56 Employment LFPR , ,556 5,199 2,077 2,508 4,866 1,762 2, Other Sourc 40

57 Sector Primary Sector Skilled Secondary Sector Skilled 1,951 2, ,818 2,981 Skilled 4,185 2,855 Sou Manufacturing Skilled Skilled 41

58 60 Springboard Programme a Most of the a 60 42

59 61 Change 8,509 9,525 1,016 6,004 6, , ,627 1, , Other 2,

60 Metros Districts CoJ CoE Sedibeng West Rand 2,529 1, ,124 2,000 1, Employed LFPR , ,462 1, , Sou 62 44

61 Employment LFPR ,401 1, ,461 1, , Other

62 50% 40% 44.9% 41.7% Share of Unemployment 30% 20% 10% 0% 27.3% 25.9% 4.8% 6.1% 3.3% 6.6% 19.8% 19.7% Job loser Job leaver New entrant Re-entrant Last worked >5 yrs ago

63 Sector % 2.5% 12 Skilled ,078 1, % 21.3% 267 Skilled ,283 3, % 76.2% 998 1,228 Skilled 1,446 Manufacturing Skilled Skilled

64 48

65 Conclusion

66 50

67 Chapter 4: Socio-Economic Development 4.1. Background The tate-and-nation

68

69 74 75 Field of study

70 Health Outcomes Of the

71 79 South

72 Figure 4.6: Share of People Living Below the Food Poverty & Upper Poverty Line, Source: IHS Global Insight, 2016 line, from 2010 to The share of people living below the food poverty line is smaller than that of the people living Both measures showed a decline over the period. However, since 2011 the size of the annual decline has been small. Income Inequality Source: IHS Global Insight, Quantec Research & World Bank, income is earned by one person in the economy. 56

73 United Nation Development Report. (2015). Human Development Report 2015: Work for Human Development. New York, USA 57

74 a 574 GDP growth (2014) Human Development: Other development indicators: 58 Sanitation a c 58

75 Provincial Socio-Economic Development

76 Health Outcomes

77

78 Table 4.1: Under-5 Child Deaths by Common Causes of Death, Gauteng Metros & Districts, Pneumonia CoE CoJ Sedibeng CoT West Rand CoE CoJ Sedibeng CoT West Rand Source: District Health Barometer, 2014/ Development Indicators Poverty below draws on two measures of poverty used by Stats SA. 92 Figure 4.13: Share of People below the Food Poverty and the Upper Poverty Lines, Gauteng Metros & Districts, 2014 Share below the upper poverty line (R577) Share below the food poverty line (R350) 36.0 West Rand Sedibeng CoT CoJ CoE GP Source: IHS Global Insight, 2016 Figure 4.13 shows that the share of those living below the food poverty line is lower than of those below the upper below the upper poverty line and 20.2 percent below the food poverty line, Sedibeng had the highest share of people 92 Poverty Trends in South Africa.. Pretoria, Republic of South Africa. 62

79 za

80 Regions Housing Water Electricity Refuse Removal CoE CoJ Sedibeng West Rand 64

81 Concluding Remarks 99 65

82 66

83

84 Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2016 Contact Information Physical Address: 75 Fox Street, Imbumba House, Johannesburg Postal Address: Private Bag X12, Marshalltown, Johannesburg, 2107 Switchboard: Website Address: 68 PR12/

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