New Jersey Poll. Results are based on the total statewide sample unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents.

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1 New Jersey Poll October 9-14, 2009 Total N= 987 Registered N= 867 Likely voters N=475 Results are based on the total statewide sample unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents. Percentages labeled with a "L" include only registered voters who are determined to be likely to vote based on intention of voting, attention to the campaign, and history of voting. Trends are based on NEW YORK TIMES POLLS except: NEW YORK TIMES/CBS NEWS POLLS: SEPT. 1997, OCT. 1997, NATIONAL POLL SEPT NEW YORK TIMES/WCBS-TV POLLS: SEPT. 1993, OCT. 1993

2 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 9/19-23/09 NATL /9-14/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as Governor of New Jersey? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/20-25/ /9-14/ Do you feel things in New Jersey are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track DK/NA 10/20-25/ /9-14/ Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/ Is your opinion of Jon Corzine favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Jon Corzine yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 4-5 ROTATED. Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09* Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Christopher Christie yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 4-5 ROTATED. Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/9-14/09* Is your opinion of Christopher Daggett favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Christopher Daggett yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/9-14/09*

3 7. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2009 election campaign for governor of New Jersey a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much No attention DK/NA 9/20-26/93* /16-18/93* /11-14/97* /25-29/97* /20-23/01* /14-19/05* 10/9-14/09* Varied wording: How much attention have you been able to pay to this year s campaign for governor of New Jersey a lot, some, not much or no attention so far? 8. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2009 election in November would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely Already vote vote vote not vote voted(vol.) DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If the 2009 election for governor of New Jersey were being held today, would you vote for Jon Corzine, the Democratic candidate, or Christopher Christie, the Republican candidate or Christopher Daggett, the Independent candidate? CANDIDATES NAMES AND ANSWER CODES ROTATED. Corzine Christie Daggett Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/9-14/09*L ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME A CANDIDATE IN Q9: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Jon Corzine, more toward Christopher Christie or more toward Christopher Daggett? Corzine Christie Daggett Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/9-14/09*L ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED A CANDIDATE IN Q9: Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? Made up M ight change DK/NA 10/91-14/09*L

4 15. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED CORZINE OR CHRISTIE IN Q9 OR Q10: Would you describe your support for (Jon Corzine/Christopher Christie) as strongly favoring him, or do you like (Jon Corzine/Christopher Christie), but with reservations, or do you support (Jon Corzine/Christopher Christie) because you dislike the other candidates? Strongly favor Reservations Dislike others DK/NA 10/9-14/09*L Corzine voters Christie voters If the 2009 election for governor of New Jersey were being held today, would you vote for Jon Corzine, the Democratic candidate, or Christopher Christie, the Republican candidate? CANDIDATES NAMES AND ANSWER CODES ROTATED. Corzine Christie Daggett(vol.) Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/9-14/09*L Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you expect to finally win the 2009 election for Governor of New Jersey Jon Corzine or Christopher Christie or Christopher Daggett? Corzine Christie Daggett Depends(vol.) DK/NA 10/9-14/09*

5 18. What do you think is the most important issue in deciding how YOU vote in this November's election for governor of New Jersey? (IF TAXES: Do you mean property taxes or income taxes?) 10/14-19/05* 10/9-14/09* Abortion 2 2 Corruption 3 3 Environment 1 - Economy 4 8 Gas/Heating oil crisis 1 Property taxes Taxes, general 19 5 Income taxes 1 Morals/principals/candidate scandals 5 - Education 7 6 The elderly 1 - Campaign ads/tone/debates - Medicare - - Social Security 1 Health care 3 7 Prescription drugs - George W. Bush - Democrats 1 1 Republicans 1 - Crime - - War - Iraq - Terrorism - Misc. Social issues 2 - Jobs/employment 3 7 Stem cell research 1 Affordable housing 1 - Budget 2 4 Other 7 11 DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator? QUESTIONS ROTATED. Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/20-25/ /9-14/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? QUESTIONS ROTATED. Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/14-19/ /20-25/ /9-14/

6 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling the state's economy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/9-14/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling property taxes in the state? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/9-14/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling the issue of corruption in the state? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/9-14/ How would you rate the condition of the New Jersey economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad? Very good Fairly good Fairly bad Very bad DK/NA 9/20-26/93* /11-14/ /20-23/01* /19-24/02* /14-19/ /20-25/ /9-14/ In general, do you think New Jersey's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse About the same DK/NA 10/20-23/01* /14-19/ /9-14/ Do you think the federal government s stimulus package has made the economy in your local community better, made the economy in your local community worse, or has it had no impact on the economy in your local community so far? Better Worse No impact DK/NA 10/9-14/

7 27. In the long run, do you think the federal government s stimulus package will make the economy in your local community better, will make the economy in your local community worse, or will it have no impact on the economy in your local community in the long run? Better Worse No impact DK/NA 10/9-14/ From what you know so far, which comes closest to your own view? 1. the economic stimulus package has already created a substantial number of new jobs in New Jersey. OR 2. it will create a substantial number of new jobs but hasn't done that yet OR 3. it will not create a substantial number of new jobs in New Jersey? Has already Will create Will not created jobs jobs but hasn t yet create new jobs DK/NA 10/9-14/ In general, in the past four years would you say the quality of the public schools in New Jersey has gotten better, gotten worse or stayed about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/11-14/ /25-29/ /20-23/01* 10/9-14/ How good a job do you think public schools in your community are doing at educating children? Would you say they are doing a very good job, a fair job or a poor job? Very good Fair Poor DK/NA 10/13-18/ /20-26/ /19-22/ /20-23/01* 10/9-14/ Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement: Parents should get tax-funded vouchers they can use to help pay for tuition for their children to attend private or religious schools instead of public schools. Agree Disagree DK/NA 10/20-23/01* 10/9-14/

8 QUESTIONS ROTATED WITH QUESTIONS What is the first word that comes to mind when you hear the name Jon Corzine? 10/9-14/09* Taxes 6 Liberal 2 Governor 7 Democrat 4 Corrupt/Corruption 8 Businessman 2 Rich 6 Wall Street/Goldman Sachs 2 Honest 1 Dishonest/liar 4 Experience 2 Ineffective 6 Best choice 6 Don t like him 6 Disappointing - Other 23 DK/NA Do you think Jon Corzine has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09* How much do you think Jon Corzine cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think Jon Corzine is someone you can relate to, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think Jon Corzine has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? IF NO, ASK: Do you think Jon Corzine has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? More Less Same DK/NA 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09*

9 39. Do you think Jon Corzine has clearly explained his positions on the issues facing New Jersey, or hasn't he clearly explained his positions? Has explained Has not explained DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think of Jon Corzine as more of a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative? Liberal Moderate Conservative DK/NA 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09* not? 41. IF ANSWERED LIBERAL TO Q40: Do you think of Jon Corzine as TOO liberal, or Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/09* What is the first word that comes to mind when you hear the name Christopher Christie? 10/9-14/09* Taxes - Conservative 3 U.S. Attorney 4 Republican 8 Corrupt/Corruption 9 Change/New 5 Fat/Overweight 4 Honest 1 Fought corruption/prosecutor 6 Dishonest/liar 7 Experience 1 Ineffective 1 Best choice 3 Don t like him 6 Nothing - Other 19 DK/NA Do you think Christopher Christie has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/09* How much do you think Christopher Christie cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 10/9-14/09*

10 45. Do you think Christopher Christie is someone you can relate to, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think Christopher Christie has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? IF NO, ASK: Do you think Christopher Christie has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? More Less Same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think Christopher Christie has clearly explained his positions on the issues facing New Jersey, or hasn't he clearly explained his positions? Has explained Has not explained DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think of Christopher Christie as more of a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative? Liberal Moderate Conservative DK/NA 10/9-14/09* IF ANSWERED CONSERVATIVE TO Q48: Do you think of Christopher Christie as TOO conservative, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/9-14/09* QUESTIONS ROTATED WITH QUESTIONS If Jon Corzine is re-elected Governor, do you think the economy in New Jersey will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Stay about the same DK/NA 1 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09* Question read: If Jon Corzine is elected governor 51. If Jon Corzine is re-elected Governor, do you think your property taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same? Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 1 10/14-19/05* /9-14/09* Question read: If Jon Corzine is elected governor 10

11 52. If Jon Corzine is re-elected Governor, do you think corruption in New Jersey will increase, decrease or stay about the same? Increase Decrease Stay about the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If Jon Corzine is re-elected Governor, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat groups the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If Christopher Christie is elected Governor, do you think the economy in New Jersey will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Stay abou t the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If Christopher Christie is elected Governor, do you think your property taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same? Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If Christopher Christie is elected Governor, do you think corruption in New Jersey will increase, decrease or stay about the same? Increase Decrease Stay about the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* If Christopher Christie is elected Governor, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat groups the sam e DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think Jon Corzine's experience on Wall Street has mostly helped him in his job as Governor, mostly hurt him, or has his experience on Wall Street had no effect on his job as Governor? Helped Hurt No effect DK/NA 10/9-14/09*

12 63. If Christopher Christie is elected Governor, do you think his experience as a U.S. Attorney will mostly help him in his job as Governor, will mostly hurt him, or will his experience as a US Attorney have no effect on his job as Governor? Help Hurt No effect DK/NA 10/9-14/09* President Obama has endorsed Jon Corzine for Governor. Does that make you more likely to vote for Jon Corzine, less likely to vote for Jon Corzine, or doesn't that make a difference in how you will vote? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA 10/9-14/09* How common do you think corruption is in New Jersey politics is it widespread, or is it limited to a few isolated incidents? Widespread Limited DK/NA 10/19-24/02* /14 19/05* /20-25/06* /9-14/09* Do you think corruption in government is part of the way things work in New Jersey, or do you think the government can run without corruption? Way things work Can run without it DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Which political party in New Jersey do you think has more corrupt politicians the Republican party or the Democratic party? Republican Democratic Both equal(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 10/19-24/02* /14-19/05* /20-25/06* /9-14/09*

13 70. What do you think Jon Corzine has been spending more time doing in his campaign explaining what he would do as Governor or attacking Christopher Christie? QUESTIONS ROTATED. Explaining Attacking DK/NA 10/9-14/09* What do you think Christopher Christie has been spending more time doing in his campaign explaining what he would do as Governor or attacking Jon Corzine? QUESTIONS ROTATED. Explaining Attacking DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Do you think either of these candidates for Governor from New Jersey Jon Corzine or Christopher Christie has attacked the other UNFAIRLY? IF YES: Who attacked unfairly? Corzine Christie Both equal(vol.) No, neither DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Does the appearance of a candidate I mean the way he looks influence your vote, or doesn't it make a difference to you? Influences vote Doesn't make difference DK/NA 10/9-14/09* So far, would you be more likely to describe the 2009 election campaign for governor of New Jersey as interesting or dull? Interesting Dull DK/NA 10/9-14/09* Past Trend: Interesting Dull DK/NA 10/20-23/01* /14-19/05* Compared to past campaigns for governor of New Jersey, do you think the campaign this year has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past campaigns? More positive More negative About the same DK/NA 10/9-14/09* When people ask where you live, are you proud to say you live in New Jersey, or are you not so proud? Proud Not proud DK/ NA 10/9-14/

14 79. Looking ahead about four years, if it was entirely up to you, would you want to be living where you are now, or would you want to be living somewhere else in New Jersey, or outside New Jersey? Living where now Elsewhere in NJ Outside NJ DK/NA 10/9-14/ IF ANSWERED ELSEWHERE IN NJ OR OUTSIDE NJ TO Q79: What's the main reason you want to move? 10/9-14/09 Property taxes too high 12 Area is too expensive 10 Better area/neighborhood 2 Bigger/better place 2 Violence/crime/terrorism/safety 2 Health reasons - Cost of housing too high 1 Lack of jobs/too much competition 1 Quality of life issues 6 Long term intention 7 Other 6 DK/NA Which of these comes closest to your view? 1. Abortion should be generally available to those who want it; OR 2. Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now; OR 3. Abortion should not be permitted? Available Available but stricter Not permitted DK/NA 10/25-29/ /12-15/00* /20-23/01* /19-24/02* /14-19/ /9-14/ These last few questions are for background only. These days, how hard is it to keep up with your bills very hard, somewhat hard, somewhat easy, or very easy? Very hard Somewhat hard Somewhat easy Very easy DK/NA 10/14-19/ /9-14/ Do you think your household's financial situation is getting better, getting worse or staying about the same? Getting better Getting worse Same DK/NA 9/19-23/09 NATL /9-14/

15 87. How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your household might be out of work and looking for a job very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned at all? Very Somewhat Not at all DK/NA 9/19-23/09 NATL /9-14/ Are you currently employed - either full-time or part-time or are you temporarily out of work, or are you not in the market for work at all? IF NOT IN MARKET FOR WORK, ASK: Are you currently retired, or not? Currently Temporarily Not in the employed out of work market for work Retired DK/NA 10/9-14/ If you were asked to use one of these five names for your social class, which would you say you belong in upper class, upper-middle class, middle class, working class, or lower class? Upper Upper-middle Middle Working Lower DK/NA 10/9-14/ Would you call your community an urban area, or a suburban area, or a rural area? Urban Suburban Rural DK/NA 10/9-14/ Do you currently rent your home, or are you buying it with a mortgage, or is it entirely paid for? Rent Mortgage Paid for DK/NA 10/9-14/ Did you vote in the 2008 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for Barack Obama, John McCain, or someone else? Voted, won t Obama McCain Someone else say whom( vol.) Didn't vo te DK /NA 10/9-14/

16 Did you vote in the election for U.S. Senator in 2008, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote for U.S. Senator in 2008? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for Frank Lautenberg or Dick Zimmer? Voted, Didn't Lautenberg Zimmer Someone else won't say(vol.) vote DK/NA 10/9-14/ Do you have any children? IF YES, ASK: Are any of your children under 18? Yes, under 18 Yes, over 18 No DK/NA 10/9-14/ What is your religious preference today? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA 10/9-14/ Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Married Widowed Divorced Separated Never married DK/NA 10/9-14/ Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA 10/13-18/ /20-26/ /16-18/ /19-22/ /11-14/ /25-29/ /12-15/ /20-23/ /19-24/ /14-19/ /9-14/

17 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Liberal Moderate Conservative DK/NA 10/13-18/ /20-26/ /16-18/ /11-14/ /25-29/ /12-15/ /20-23/ /19-24/ /14-19/ /9-14/ How old are you? Over 64 Refused 10/9-14/ What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a HS Some College Post HS grad grad college grad grad Refused 10/9-14/ Hispanic Not Hispanic DK/NA 10/9-14/ Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? White Black Asian Other DK/NA 10/9-14/ Was your TOTAL family income in 2005 UNDER or OVER $50,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $15,000, between $15,000 and $30,000 or was it between $30,000 and $50,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $50,000 and $75,000, or between $75,000 and $100,000, or was it over $100,000? Under $15,000- $30,000- $50,000- $75,000- Over $15,000 $29,999 $49,999 $74,999 $100,000 $100,000 Refused 10/9-14/ Male Female 10/9-14/

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