Climate services at EU level On-going and planned initiatives

Transcription

1 Climate services at EU level On-going and planned initiatives Anastasios Kentarchos Deputy Head, Climate Action & Earth Observation Unit European Commission, Brussels With contributions from: B. Pinty (1), H. Zunker (1), C. Donati (1) and M. Dowell (2), M. Jambou (3) (1) Copernicus unit G.2/DG ENTR (2) Joint Research Centre (3) DG-DEVCO

2 Contents: Outline on-going and planned actions and initiatives under Horizon 2020 (EU's Framework Programme for Research & Innovation, ) MESA (Monitoring for Environment & Security in Africa) COPERNICUS (the European Earth Observation Programme) (Climate Change Service component)

3 Horizon 2020 ( ) Climate Services under Societal Challenge 5: Climate action, environment, resource efficiency and raw materials European Commission Research

4 Climate services research in the EU Framework Programme (1) The European Commission has a long tradition on supporting climate modelling research: FP7 projects such as COMBINE, EUCLIPSE and EMBRACE are focusing on various aspects, such as new processes in Earth- System modelling, the cloud-aerosol problem and model biases. On top, EU funded research on seasonal-to-decadal forecasting since 2000 (e.g. PRUDENCE, ENSEMBLES), with the view of building a future seamless weather-to-climate modelling capability

5 Climate services research in the EU Framework Programme (2) As an immediate response to the WMO GFCS initiative the EC launched two calls for proposals on climate information (2010 and 2012). Two successful projects took first steps towards the realisation of a European climate service. ECLISE (develop regional/local CS and demonstrate their utility in support of adaptation) CLIM-RUN (protocol for new methodologies for modelling and downscaling tools) Three more projects have been selected in 2012 to satisfy societal demands for reliable short term climate information, to developing tailored, user oriented concepts to support management decisions NACLIM (evaluate ability to model key processes in North Atlantic and Arctic oceans) SPECS (seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions for the improvement of European climate services) EUPORIAS (develop reliable climate impact prediction systems, focusing on high-risk events)

6 and more GEO Research Infrastructure Programme European Environmental Agency - Climate Adapt Strategic cooperation with Member States (e.g. JPI-Climate) Joint Research Centre (JRC) European Institute of Innovation & Technology EIT (e.g. Climate-KIC)

7 And now a look into the future. In setting the strategy for Horizon 2020 of the Societal Challenge 'Climate action, environment, resource efficiency and sustainable supply of raw materials', we have identified the field of Climate Services as one of our few new flagship initiatives.

8 What do we intend for "climate services"? We attribute to the term "climate services" a broad meaning, which covers the transformation of climate-related data into customised products such as projections, forecasts, information, trends, economic analysis, assessments (including technology assessment), counselling on best practices, development and evaluation of solutions and any other service in relation to climate that may be of use for the society at large.

9 What is our ambition We wish, making use of both supply- & demand-side actions, to help creating a European market for climate services in which public bodies and businesses provide cutting-edge customised information services and adaptation solutions to a range of end-users, both in the business to business domain, in the public decision-making domain, to consumers, making Europe a leading actor in this domain.

10 'Towards a European market for Climate Services' Workshop held 14 March 2014 in Brussels 130 participants from Climate service providers and users Launched a process leading, through the work of an Expert Group, to: the definition of a long-term Research & Innovation Roadmap the identification of most promising sectors on which to launch actions through the establishment of a Climate Services User Forum and the future launch of 'user-driven' demonstration projects the identification of key supply- and demand-side measures for promoting the growth of a European market of Climate Services a long-lasting partnership between providers and users of climate information for the co-design and co-production of future Climate Services The conclusions of the Expert Group will be discussed in a second workshop in early 2015.

11 Some considerations Operational services still need and will need for long time a sustained research and innovation support The supply side is today mainly providing climate information For passing from information to services we need: to co-design and co-produce the Services with the users crossing climate intelligence with multiple data sources, competences, actors appropriate data/hpc infrastructures to develop standards, quality assurance and a "validation" system (credibility issue)

12 Origin: Ouagadougou Declaration signed in September 2010 by the African Union Commission, the ACP Secretariat and the African Regional Economic Communities. Aims: Continuity of past investments on the use of Earth Observation data in Africa and to provide an initial contribution to the GMES and Africa Initiative (Maputo Declaration - Joint EU-Africa Strategy ) Budget : 37 Mo - Sources of Funding: 10th European Development Fund Final date for Implementation: September 2017 Beneficiary Countries: 48 ACP countries of five African Regions

13 Expected results Improved access to EO data Operational information services are established Cross-fertilisation and continentalisation of services Political and policy frameworks are strengthened Adequate technical level is ensured

14 Climate services for Disaster Risks ACMAD/continental Reduction in Africa 2.3 M 36 months starting from September 2014 (1)Climate Change Assessment Service Climate information and projections for policies and strategies on climate change adaptation Model outputs, climate indices maps, climate trend and variability diagrams and African Climate Outlook Reports. (2)Drought Service and Seasonal Climate Forecast Strategic planning ahead of season through assessing seasonal and intra-seasonal variability and to forecast the probability of drought events. Drought Information System

15 Services Component The European Earth Observation Programme Marine Climate Change Land Services Component Security Atmosphe re Emergency Manageme nt

16 Copernicus Climate Change service The second step New COPERNICUS regulation (EU) 377/2014: "the Climate Change service shall provide information to increase the knowledge base to support adaptation and mitigation policies. It shall in particular contribute to the provision of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs), climate analyses, projections and indicators at temporal and spatial scales relevant to adaptation and mitigation strategies for various Union's sectoral and societal benefit areas."

17 Strategy for the Copernicus Climate Change service Space & in-situ Observations Climate data & re-analyses Seasonal forecasts & Climate projections Set of ECVs, indicators and indices for the Climate drivers and Climate impacts Knowledge in support of Adaptation and Mitigation

18 Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service EU-funded Research Programmes CDS from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. In situ & remote sensing observations/analyses Consistent Climate Data Store Observed, analysed and simulated Essential Climate Variables plus derived set of indicators relevant to consistently monitor and simulate Earth Climate responses to forcings

19 Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service EU-funded Research Programmes CDS from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. In situ & remote sensing observations/analyses Consistent Climate Data Store Source: Legos/CNES/CLS Sea-level Customization platform Source: CLS Sectorial Information System Source: ice2sea Selected set of information for customer DGs MS and other users & customers

20 Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service Forestry from European commission Source: e.g.,fp7 JRC Space call SIS Coastal zones from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. Source: ice2sea Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform Climate Indicator Data Store Customization platform Sectoral Information System Selected set of information for customer DGs MS and other users & customers Climate indices relevant to the various EU sectoral policies

21 Evaluation & QC function Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service A logical view from European commission e.g.,fp7 Space call from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO.. CDS platform: Harmonization & Coordination Consistent Climate Data Store SIS platform: Customization Sectoral Information System Selected set of information for users (Global Scale with European Focus) Outreach & Dissemination Monitoring, QC of the service and feedbacks to production or R&D Education, general public and authorities, reports, media, bulletin

22 Copernicus Climate Change service Provisional timing Stage 0 Stage I PoC & testing pre-op Operational Phase Y0 Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 2014/ / /21 Stage II Stage III ~ 20 ECVs ~ 5-6 sectors ~ 33 ECVs ~ 8-10 sectors

23 Copernicus Climate Change service Concluding remarks The Climate Change service will address climate change issues at global scale with a European dedicated focus. There is a clear framework and initial roadmap for implementation of the Service Consistent with global efforts on climate datasets (i.e. GCOS requirements, CEOS implementation) and climate Services (i.e. GFCS). The C3 service should be considered as a European contribution to building Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) developed within the framework of the Group on Earth Observations (GEO).

24 Transnational, national and regional Climate Service Centres INFORMATION PROVIDERS Copernicus climate service delegated entity GEO GEOSS USERS Citizens JPI-Climate COPERNICUS Climate Change Service research component ESA EUMETSAT Business sectors Institutional users ERANET JRC Specialised high added-value services delivered by the business sector Horizon 2020 SC5, Infrastructure, Space EIT Climate-KIC EEA WMO GFCS GCOS

25 THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!