Logan County Community Improvement Corporation

Transcription

1 Logan County Community Improvement Corporation January 2009

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3 Table of Contents 1.0 Introduction What is a Target Industry Study? Industry Selection Overview Methodology Emerging Industries Logan County Target Industries Fabricated Metal Products Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Electrical Equipment Manufacturing Renewable Energy Reference Materials... 15

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5 1 of Introduction Logan County has a significant share of employment in manufacturing compared to the state of Ohio (33% vs. 16%). Logan County has also been successful in developing a strong automotive industry cluster. These two facts on their own would be positive indicators for successful economic development. However, the reality is an increasing dependence on the automotive industry for local jobs while this industry is challenged with the current economic downturn. As recently as December, Honda (East Liberty Plant) has cut back production to only three days per week. November 2008 sales dropped 18%. The changing economic situation puts at risk many jobs in Logan County and motivates consideration of how to diversify the Logan County economy. As a result, Logan County leaders are seeking alternative industries to grow locally. Austin Consulting of Cleveland, OH and Chabin Concepts of Chico, CA were commissioned to complete a Target Industry Study to identify potential industries that could diversify the local economy. This report is the culmination of these research efforts. 1.1 What is a Target Industry Study? A Target Industry Study is an analytical method of identifying the best fit primary industries for Logan County thus benefitting from Logan County Assets while bringing the most value to the county in the form of investment, jobs, living wages and local purchasing. The resulting industry targets provide the Logan County Community Improvement Corporation (CIC) a means to focus the allocation of staff and resources. Although the Logan County CIC will facilitate services to companies representing all industry sectors, the target industries will be the focus for business attraction. This report contains: Review of methodology to identify target industries; Data on base industries and corresponding base occupations; Recommended target industries as a result of occupation matches, data screens and corporate location assessment; Geographic areas of greatest probability for recruiting the target industries; and Industry intelligence for each target industry cluster.

6 2 of Industry Selection Overview Logan County s industrial mix provides a unique opportunity for a target industry analysis. With a majority of the workforce employed in the automotive industry, a focus on the skills of the current workforce can provide the basis for our analysis. A traditional approach for a Target Industry Study evaluates business trends and likely would have resulted in a recommendation of the automotive industry based on that industry s historical growth in the region. However, for this research project, we worked backwards from Logan County s talent pool to identify opportune industries that also employ similar skill sets. This section of the report presents the methodology and data that leads to the final recommendations for target industries. 2.1 Methodology The methodology for the Logan County Target Industry Study involved five research and analysis steps to determine the recommended target industries: Step 1. Base Industries To determine the specific make up of the automotive cluster, we researched the base industries in automotive cluster using targets from Ohio Development Department Region 1, augmenting with additional related major industries in Logan County. (Figure 1) FIGURE 1 Current Base Manufacturing Industries Logan County Region NAICS Description Plastic Product Manufacturing Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Forging and Stamping Cutlery and Hand Tool Manufacturing Machine Shops Coating, Engraving and Heat Treating Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing Foundries Hardware Manufacturing

7 3 of 15 Step 2. Base Occupations The next step was to research the top occupations for the base industries of the automotive cluster. All of these occupations are among the top 20 occupations employed by these industries nationally. (Figure 2) FIGURE 2 Base Occupations for Automotive Cluster Logan County SOC Description Team assemblers Machinists Molding, coremaking, and casting machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Inspectors, testers, sorters, samplers, and weighers Cutting, punching, and press machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Assemblers and fabricators, all other Welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers Computer-controlled machine tool operators, metal and plastic Grinding, lapping, polishing, and buffing machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Extruding and drawing machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Tool and die makers Structural metal fabricators and fitters Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Industry to Occupation Matrix; Ohio Workforce Informer, Occupational Employment Projections.

8 4 of 15 Step 3. Potential Target Industries Using the national industry to occupation matrix from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we identified other industries that use a significant number of workers in the base occupations (Figure 2). All of the potential target industries (shown in Figure 3) have at least 5 percent of their workforce in the base occupations. FIGURE 3 Industrry Code Industry Name Share Of Target Occupations Motor vehicle manufacturing 13.04% Machine shops 11.61% Metalworking machinery manufacturing 10.16% Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing 9.95% Other transportation equipment manufacturing 9.51% Railroad rolling stock manufacturing 9.33% Forging and stamping 9.29% Hardware manufacturing 9.22% Ventilation, heating, air-conditioning, and commercial refrigeration equipment manufacturing 8.97% Architectural and structural metals manufacturing 8.67% Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 8.48% Household appliance manufacturing 8.01% Spring and wire product manufacturing 7.94% Other fabricated metal product manufacturing 7.91% Boiler, tank, and shipping container manufacturing 7.81% Cutlery and handtool manufacturing 7.74% Turned product and screw, nut, and bolt manufacturing 7.66% Agriculture, construction, and mining machinery manufacturing 7.44% Engine, turbine, and power transmission equipment manufacturing 7.36% Plastics product manufacturing 7.23% Other furniture related product manufacturing 7.05% Other electrical equipment and component manufacturing 7.01% Other general purpose machinery manufacturing 6.87% Steel product manufacturing from purchased steel 6.56% Electric lighting equipment manufacturing 6.34% Foundries 6.16% Industrial machinery manufacturing 5.85% Commercial and service industry machinery manufacturing 5.67% Electrical equipment manufacturing 5.62% Ship and boat building 5.26% Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing 5.16% Nonferrous metal (except aluminum) production and processing 5.07%

9 5 of 15 The objective is to find other industries that rely on similar skills to the automotive cluster. As the automotive cluster may decline, the county could support new industries that can take advantage of the existing skilled workforce. The following list encompasses all industries that share base occupations with Logan County s automotive cluster (Figure 4). FIGURE 4 Industries with Occupational Compatibility NAICS Description Fabricated Metal Products Hand and edge tool manufacturing Saw blade and handsaw manufacturing Prefabricated metal buildings and components Fabricated structural metal manufacturing Plate work manufacturing Metal window and door manufacturing Power boiler and heat exchanger manufacturing Metal tank, heavy gauge, manufacturing Spring, heavy gauge, manufacturing Spring, light gauge, manufacturing Other fabricated wire product manufacturing Precision turned product manufacturing Bolt, nut, screw, rivet, and washer mfg Industrial valve manufacturing Fluid power valve and hose fitting mfg Plumbing fixture fitting and trim mfg Other metal valve and pipe fitting mfg Ball and roller bearing manufacturing Small arms ammunition manufacturing Ammunition, except small arms, manufacturing Small arms manufacturing Other ordnance and accessories manufacturing Fabricated pipe and pipe fitting mfg Industrial pattern manufacturing Enameled iron and metal sanitary ware mfg Miscellaneous fabricated metal product mfg. Machinery Manufacturing Machine shops Farm machinery and equipment manufacturing Lawn and garden equipment manufacturing Construction machinery manufacturing Mining machinery and equipment manufacturing Oil and gas field machinery and equipment Sawmill and woodworking machinery

10 6 of 15 Industries with Occupational Compatibility NAICS Description Plastics and rubber industry machinery Paper industry machinery manufacturing Textile machinery manufacturing Printing machinery and equipment mfg Food product machinery manufacturing Semiconductor machinery manufacturing All other industrial machinery manufacturing Automatic vending machine manufacturing Commercial laundry and drycleaning machinery Office machinery manufacturing Optical instrument and lens manufacturing Photographic and photocopying equipment mfg Other commercial and service machinery mfg Air purification equipment manufacturing Industrial and commercial fan and blower mfg Heating equipment, except warm air furnaces AC, refrigeration, and forced air heating Industrial mold manufacturing Metal cutting machine tool manufacturing Metal forming machine tool manufacturing Special tool, die, jig, and fixture mfg Cutting tool and machine tool accessory mfg Rolling mill machinery and equipment mfg Other metalworking machinery manufacturing Pump and pumping equipment manufacturing Air and gas compressor manufacturing Measuring and dispensing pump manufacturing Elevator and moving stairway manufacturing Conveyor and conveying equipment mfg Overhead cranes, hoists, and monorail systems Industrial truck, trailer, and stacker mfg Power-driven handtool manufacturing Welding and soldering equipment manufacturing Packaging machinery manufacturing Industrial process furnace and oven mfg Fluid power cylinder and actuator mfg Fluid power pump and motor manufacturing Scale and balance, except laboratory, mfg Miscellaneous general purpose machinery mfg Electric housewares and household fan mfg Household vacuum cleaner manufacturing Household cooking appliance manufacturing

11 7 of 15 Industries with Occupational Compatibility NAICS Description Household refrigerator and home freezer mfg Household laundry equipment manufacturing Other major household appliance manufacturing Plastic Products Plastics bag manufacturing Plastics packaging film and sheet mfg Nonpackaging plastics film and sheet mfg Unlaminated plastics profile shape mfg Plastics pipe and pipe fitting manufacturing Laminated plastics plate, sheet, and shapes Polystyrene foam product manufacturing Urethane and other foam product manufacturing Plastics bottle manufacturing Plastics plumbing fixture manufacturing Resilient floor covering manufacturing All other plastics product manufacturing Electrical Equipment Turbine and turbine generator set units mfg Speed changer, drive, and gear manufacturing Mechanical power transmission equipment mfg Other engine equipment manufacturing Electric power and specialty transformer mfg Motor and generator manufacturing Switchgear and switchboard apparatus mfg Relay and industrial control manufacturing Storage battery manufacturing Primary battery manufacturing Fiber optic cable manufacturing Other communication and energy wire mfg Current-carrying wiring device manufacturing Noncurrent-carrying wiring device mfg Carbon and graphite product manufacturing Miscellaneous electrical equipment mfg.

12 8 of 15 Step 4. New Target Screening The potential target industries were further screened to find the best industries in terms of projected long term growth and high wage jobs. All of the recommended targets have average wages of $40,000 [or more] in Ohio and have projected national output and employment growth that exceeds the average for manufacturing industries. They also have manufacturing capacity utilization rates of 70 percent or higher nationally, which is a signal of near term potential for expansion. The target industries were further screened for projected annual output growth above 2.4 percent or projected employment growth above 1.1 percent which are the national averages for manufacturing industries. Because the list of potential industries did not meet both criteria for projected employment and output growth, and either/or screen was applied. Step 5. Corporate Location Assessment In addition, the potential list (Figure 4) was further screened based on the findings from the Corporate Location Assessment. See Appendix A for the complete assessment. The recommended target industries will be able to leverage Logan County s strengths and are not held back by the neutral and weak assessed findings. 2.2 Emerging Industries Emerging industries usually will not appear in business trend data because they are so new. Through the observations during the Corporate Location Assessment and Austin Consulting s experience with current industry activity for site location projects, the screened list of industries was augmented to include additional new industries of opportunity. The next section presents the outcome of the industry selection overview and final target industries for Logan County.

13 9 of Logan County Target Industries Based on our research and analysis of occupational data, Logan County s target industries align to three clusters: Fabricated Metal Products Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Electrical Equipment Manufacturing These clusters represent a sizeable number of industries that rely heavily on occupations similar to those used by the automotive cluster and that have projected industry growth nationally. These industries are the most likely targets for attraction for Logan County. The fourth industry cluster, Renewable Energy, was added to the list of recommended target industries based on growth opportunities for new technology in wind and solar products. The recommendation for this industry cluster was not determined through the methodology described in Section 2. FIGURE 5 Logan County Target Industries NAICS Description Fabricated Metal Products Prefabricated metal buildings and components Fabricated structural metal manufacturing Plate work manufacturing Metal window and door manufacturing Precision tuned product manufacturing Bolt, nut, screw, rivet, and washer mfg. Machinery Manufacturing Machine shops Farm machinery and equipment manufacturing Construction machinery manufacturing Mining machinery and equipment manufacturing Oil and gas field machinery and equipment Industrial and commercial fan and blower mfg Heating equipment, except warm air furnaces AC, refrigeration, and forced air heating Pump and pumping equipment manufacturing Air and gas compressor manufacturing Measuring and dispensing pump manufacturing Elevator and moving stairway manufacturing Conveyor and conveying equipment mfg Overhead cranes, hoists, and monorail systems Industrial truck, trailer, and stacker mfg.

14 10 of 15 Logan County Target Industries NAICS Description Power-driven handtool manufacturing Welding and soldering equipment manufacturing Packaging machinery manufacturing Industrial process furnace and oven mfg Fluid power cylinder and actuator mfg Fluid power pump and motor manufacturing Scale and balance, except laboratory, mfg Miscellaneous general purpose machinery mfg. Electrical Equipment Storage battery manufacturing Fiber optic cable manufacturing Other communication and energy wire mfg Current-carrying wiring device manufacturing Carbon and graphite product manufacturing Miscellaneous electrical equipment mfg. Renewable Energy* Sheet metal work manufacturing Solar heating equipment Wind turbines and turbine generators Residential solar fixtures Commercial / Industrial solar fixtures Solar reflective film wholesalers Solar cell wholesalers Solar heating panel wholesalers Appendix B presents a comprehensive table of information for each of the Logan County Targets, including: Logan employment Ohio employment Historical growth Number of firms in Ohio Average wages Projected annual U.S. growth for employment and output Manufacturing Capacity Utilization Following is a description of each target industry cluster, including source geographic areas 1 for recruitment based on the location s percentage of firms within the industry sector located there. 1 Shown as Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA)

15 11 of Fabricated Metal Products Manufacturing As expected, fabricated metal parts are closely related in occupational skill sets to those that compose the automotive industry. In the list of recommended target industries for this cluster, the industries branch out into metal buildings, structural metal, plate work, metal windows and doors, as well as precision tuned manufacturing and bolts, nuts, screws, rivets and washer pieces. Many of the fabricated metal products cross over with solar module assembly and wind turbine parts manufacturing. Ohio High Point Career Center offers many training programs to support the skills needed for this cluster. A variety of industrially zoned sites in Logan County could house fabricated metal product companies. Top source geographies for Fabricated Metal Products Manufacturing include: Houston, TX Chicago, IL Los Angeles Long Beach, CA Detroit, MI Atlanta, GA Dallas, TX Philadelphia, PA NJ Riverside San Bernardino, CA Phoenix Mesa, AZ New York, NY Pittsburgh, PA Tulsa, OK 3.2 Machinery Manufacturing The greatest opportunity for Logan County exists with the machinery manufacturing cluster which has broad reach across many industries. From agriculture and mining to construction and packaging machinery, this cluster ties into Ohio s strong industrial heritage. Additionally, a Logan facility has the opportunity to service growing equipment needs throughout the Mid west and Southern USA markets. Again the programs offered at Ohio Hi Point Career Center will be an asset to the Machinery Manufacturing cluster. Appropriately zoned sites and Ohio s incentives programs will help to support Logan County s attraction efforts for these industries. Top source geographies for Machinery Manufacturing include: Los Angeles Long Beach, CA Chicago, IL Houston, TX Detroit, MI Minneapolis St. Paul, MN WI Orange County, CA Cleveland Loraine Elyria, OH Philadelphia, PA NJ Riverside San Bernardino, CA Dallas, TX Atlanta, GA Boston, MA NH San Jose, CA Phoenix Mesa, AZ Milwaukee Waukesha, WI

16 12 of Electrical Equipment Manufacturing This cluster comprises energy and communications related wiring and devices, including the manufacturing of storage batteries, fiber optic cabling, current carrying wiring devices, other energy and communication wires as well as carbon and graphite products. Skills for electrical equipment manufacturing, although specialized, are strong in Logan County. The training at Ohio Hi Point Career Center is developing a pipeline of additional skilled workers. The local telecommunications provider runs fiber optic lines and employs a skilled workforce for this industry sector. Top source geographies for Electrical Equipment Manufacturing include: Los Angeles Long Beach, CA Chicago, IL New York, NY Atlanta, GA San Diego, CA Orange County, CA Phoenix Mesa, AZ Detroit, MI Philadelphia, PA NJ Washington, DC MD VA WV Houston, TX Dallas, TX Nassau Suffolk, NY 3.4 Renewable Energy For Logan County, the Renewable Energy Cluster involves manufacturing and installation of solar and wind energy generation equipment. There are many components that need to be manufactured for generation systems. With increasing political support at federal and state levels, this cluster is an emerging industry in its infancy in Ohio. Solar Surprising to many, Germany is the world leader in solar energy generation (and corresponding parts manufacturing) despite that country not having the most sunlight days in the world. Why Germany? Because of Germany s political will to support renewable energy and green development, the USA is behind but working to catch up quickly; the U.S. Senate Finance Committee last week approved some $31 billion in tax breaks and other incentives to boost alternative energy supplies and efficiency as part of the Obama administration's much bigger U.S. economic stimulus plan. According to Reuters, President Obama wants to double U.S. alternative energy output over three years. 2 Our domestic market is larger than Germany s and will be the largest market in the world for renewable energy. Logan County has an opportunity to prepare for this growth and attract a greater percentage of investment and jobs by targeting this cluster. 2 Article U.S. becomes top wind producer, solar next, Reporting by Gerard Wynn, Editing by Marguerita Choy, Reuters, February 2, 2009

17 13 of 15 Projected industry growth, worldwide, indicates that it will outstrip manufacturing capacity occurring in traditional industrial facilities where components are currently being made. Clean Edge and Co op America in a recent study, Utility Solar Assessment Study, calculated the required investment, in the United States alone, to reach ten percent energy sourcing from solar by the year 2025 to be in the range of $450 billion to $560 billion an average of $26 billion to $33 billion per year. The number of jobs in photovoltaics 3 (PV) will increase from 20,000 to 62,000 by 2015 [in the US]. Running counter to general economic trends, the largest portion of green business employment is in manufacturing. Eighty percent of these jobs are in manufacturing and the remaining 20% are in construction and installation. Within the solar sector, there are a variety of segments (shown in Figure 6), from silicon raw input to smart grid technology. Logan s solar targets involve manufacturing of modules and BOS components. Another target within solar is solar heating equipment, such as hot water tanks. Figure 6 Figure 3.2 illustrates the components of a flat plate photovoltaic module. 3 Solar and photovoltaic are often used interchangeably but definitions are not identical. Solar is the technology of converting sunlight into electricity by using photovoltaic cells. Photovoltaic (PV) is the production of voltage by exposure to radiant energy (i.e. light)

18 14 of 15 Typical Company Profile PV Module Assembly Solarbuzz is a leading international industry resource and published the following description for typical module assembly plants. Equipment Capital Cost: $0.5M to $5M. Jobs: range, dependent on level of automation. Development Timeline: Six to nine months from site location decision; constructing a new building would change the timeline to be operational in twelve to eighteen months. Wind In 2008, the US surpassed Germany as the leader in wind energy production. According to Reuters, global wind power production reached 121 GW at the end of 2008, growing by about 29 percent. New U.S. wind projects accounted for about 42 percent of the country's total new power producing capacity added last year, reported by the Global Wind Energy County, underlining its challenge to more traditional forms of power generation, including coal and natural gas. 4 Building on Logan County s manufacturing history; you are positioned to take advantage of the economic development opportunities associated with wind. Targets within this sector are the manufacturing of wind turbines, turbine generators and related turbine replacement parts. According to the Ohio Wind Working Group, wind generated $250 million in revenue, creating a total of 1,700 direct and indirect jobs in the Ohio (2006). Logan is able to tap into many coalitions and resource groups in Ohio. Training programs for green collar jobs are being created and expanding in the state s educational system. Fifteen of Ohio s higher educational institutions have formed the University Clean Energy Alliance of Ohio (UCEAO) partnership to work together on the discovery, development, and commercialization of energyrelated technology and the implementation of new energy curriculum. Top growth areas for the Renewable Energy include, but not limited to: Germany Spain California Massachusetts Michigan Ohio Oregon Washington 4 Article U.S. becomes top wind producer, solar next, Reporting by Gerard Wynn, Editing by Marguerita Choy, Reuters, February 2, 2009

19 15 of Reference Materials More in depth industry intelligence is provided in the appendix, including: Industry profiles; A list of occupations for each target industry cluster; Location factors of importance for each industry; An extensive list of source geographies; and Resource websites and industry associations. It is strongly encouraged for CIC staff to study the target industries in order to gain a better understanding of industry needs. The result will be the ability to prepare more competitive proposals, effective marketing materials and crafting a compelling business case that matches Logan County s assets to the prioritized needs of the target industries.

20 Chabin Concepts Austin Consulting 2515 Ceanothus Suite Parkland Blvd Chico, CA Cleveland, Ohio (440)