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1 March 2015 Date of release: 30 April 2015 Contents Headline statistics 3 Average prices by property type 4 Key regional observations 5 Key county and unitary authority observations 6 Key metropolitan district observations 10 Key London borough observations 11 Sales volumes 12 Repossession data 14 Notes 16 Terms and conditions 17 Index Average price Monthly change Annual change , % 5.3%

2 asdfasdasdffasdasdfasdafaasdf To find out more about any of the information contained in this document or on our other House Price Index offerings, please Lorna Jordan at 2

3 Headline statistics The March data shows a monthly price decrease of 0.8 per cent. The annual price change now stands at 5.3 per cent, bringing the average house price in England and Wales to 178,007. The number of property transactions has decreased over the last year. From October 2013 to January 2014 there was an average of 76,056 sales per month. In the same months a year later, the figure was 71,090. Index 1 Average price 2 Monthly change Annual change , % 5.3% Annual growth of 5.3 per cent in March brings the average house price in England and Wales to 178, Seasonally adjusted (HPI) with base period of January 1995=100 2 All average prices quoted in this report represent standardised seasonally adjusted prices 3

4 Average annual price change Average annual change in residential property prices The March data for London shows a monthly increase of per cent. At 11.3 per cent, the annual change for London is considerably higher than most other regions. The average price of property in the capital is 462,799 in comparison with the average for England and Wales of 178,007. England and Wales London Average prices by property type (England and Wales) March 2015 March 2014 Difference (%) Detached 281, , Semi-detached 169, , Terraced 133, , Flat/maisonette 168, , All 178, ,

5 Price change by region Region Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key regional observations The region with the most significant annual price increase is London with a movement of 11.3 per cent. North East saw the only annual price fall with a movement of 2.9 per cent. South East experienced the greatest monthly price rise with a movement of 0.8 per cent. North East also saw the largest monthly decrease with a fall of 4.0 per cent. South East London Yorkshire & The Humber East Midlands West Midlands South West North West East Wales North East , , , , , , , , ,828 97,444 5

6 Price change by county Annual price change by county Growth (%) < to -8-8 to -6-6 to -4-4 to -2-2 to 0 0 to 2 2 to 4 4 to 6 6 to 8 8 to to to to 16 >16 Key county and unitary authority observations County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Bracknell Forest and Hertfordshire experienced the greatest annual price increase in March with a movement of 13.6 per cent. Darlington saw the greatest annual price fall with a movement of -6.2 per cent. Bath and NE Somerset Bedford Blackburn with Darwen Blackpool Blaenau Gwent Bournemouth , ,131 67,279 78,754 62, ,509 Bracknell Forest ,274 Bridgend ,692 Brighton and Hove ,340 Buckinghamshire ,726 Caerphilly ,324 Cambridgeshire ,409 Cardiff ,245 Carmarthenshire ,315 Central Bedfordshire ,324 Ceredigion ,401 6

7 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key county and unitary authority observations Conwy experienced the strongest monthly growth with an increase of 3.4 per cent. Blackburn With Darwen saw the most significant monthly price fall with a movement of -4.3 per cent. Six counties and unitary authorities exhibited no monthly price movement. 7 Cheshire East Cheshire West and Chester City of Bristol City of Derby City of Kingston Upon Hull City of Nottingham City of Peterborough City of Plymouth Conwy Cornwall Cumbria Darlington Denbighshire Derbyshire Devon Dorset Durham East Riding of Yorkshire East Sussex Essex Flintshire Gloucestershire Greater London Greater Manchester Gwynedd Halton Hampshire Hartlepool Herefordshire Hertfordshire Isle of Anglesey Isle of Wight Kent Lancashire Leicester Leicestershire Lincolnshire , , , ,446 68,992 90, , , , , ,692 96, , , , ,200 77, , , , , , , , ,182 96, ,870 72, , , , , , , , , ,648

8 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) 8 Luton Medway Merseyside Merthyr Tydfil Middlesbrough Milton Keynes Monmouthshire Neath Port Talbot Newport Norfolk North East Lincolnshire North Lincolnshire North Somerset North Yorkshire Northamptonshire Northumberland Nottinghamshire Oxfordshire Pembrokeshire Poole Portsmouth Powys Reading Redcar and Cleveland Rhondda Cynon Taff Rutland Shropshire Slough Somerset South Gloucestershire South Yorkshire Southampton Southend-on-Sea Staffordshire Stockton-on-Tees Stoke-on-Trent Suffolk , , ,462 64,835 75, , ,155 84, , ,443 85, , , , , , , , , , , , ,233 97,396 74, , , , , , , , , , ,465 70, ,151

9 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Surrey Swansea Swindon The Vale of Glamorgan Thurrock Torbay Torfaen Tyne and Wear Warrington Warwickshire West Berkshire West Midlands West Sussex West Yorkshire Wiltshire Windsor and Maidenhead Wokingham Worcestershire Wrekin Wrexham York , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,976 9

10 Price change by metropolitan district Metropolitan district Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key metropolitan district observations The metropolitan district with the largest annual price increase is Trafford rising by 9.2 per cent. Sunderland experienced the highest monthly price rise, with an increase of 1.9 per cent. Bolton saw the greatest annual price fall with a movement of -3.5 per cent. South Tyneside saw the greatest monthly price fall with a movement of -1.8 per cent. Barnsley Birmingham Bolton Bradford Bury Calderdale Coventry Doncaster Dudley Gateshead Kirklees Knowsley Leeds Liverpool Manchester Newcastle upon Tyne North Tyneside Oldham Rochdale Rotherham Salford Sandwell Sefton Sheffield Solihull South Tyneside St Helens Stockport Sunderland Tameside Trafford Wakefield Walsall Wigan Wirral Wolverhampton , ,511 89,277 93, ,121 99, ,114 96, ,395 93, ,649 97, ,052 89,518 99, , ,245 81,886 90,469 98,824 95,494 95, , , ,458 95,655 93, ,421 87,847 95, , , ,232 92, , ,516 10

11 Price change by London borough London borough Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key London borough observations The borough with the highest annual price rise is Newham, with a movement of 19.8 per cent. Hackney experienced the highest monthly increase, with a movement of 1.6 per cent. Kensington and Chelsea saw the lowest annual growth of 5.2 per cent. Kensington and Chelsea also experienced the greatest monthly fall with a movement of -1.6 per cent. n/a is shown if there have been insufficient sales that meet the criteria for inclusion. Barking and Dagenham Barnet Bexley Brent Bromley Camden City of London City of Westminster Croydon Ealing Enfield Greenwich Hackney Hammersmith and Fulham Haringey Harrow Havering Hillingdon Hounslow Islington Kensington and Chelsea Kingston upon Thames Lambeth Lewisham Merton Newham Redbridge Richmond upon Thames Southwark Sutton Tower Hamlets Waltham Forest Wandsworth n/a n/a , , , , , ,743 n/a 999, , , , , , , , , , , , ,825 1,296, , , , , , , , , , , , ,825 11

12 Sales volumes Recorded monthly sales England and Wales Sales volumes In the months October 2014 to January 2015, sales volumes averaged 71,090 transactions per month. This is a decrease from the same period a year earlier, when sales volumes averaged 76,056 per month. Price index volatility is greater in areas where recorded sales volumes are low. Index volatility leads to erratic and high changes in reported price. Some of the areas that typically have very low transaction volumes include, but are not limited to, the following: City of London Rutland Isle of Anglesey Merthyr Tydfil Blaenau Gwent Ceredigion Torfaen. non-seasonally adjusted seasonally adjusted Recorded monthly sales London Because sales volume figures for the two most recent months are not yet complete, they are not included in the report. In addition, the lag in recording data is likely to result in increases to the reported sales volumes over time. non-seasonally adjusted seasonally adjusted 12

13 Sales volumes Sales volumes by price range (England and Wales) Price range ( ) January 2015 January 2014 Difference The number of properties sold in England and Wales for over 1 million in January 2015 decreased by 19 per cent to 851 from 1,049 in January Under 50,000 50, , , , , , , , ,083 10,501 9,746 8, ,877 14,083 12,536 10,286-21% -23% -25% -22% -21% 250, ,000 4,270 4,591-7% 300, ,000 5,989 6,410-7% 400, ,000 3,311 3,449-4% 500, ,000 1,335 1,426-6% 600, ,000 1,456 1,676-13% 800,001 1,000, % 1,000,001 1,500, % 1,500,001 2,000, % Over 2,000, % Total 53,168 65,175-18% Sales volumes by price range (London) Price range ( ) January 2015 January 2014 Difference The number of properties sold in London for over 1 million in January 2015 decreased by 23 per cent to 571 from 746 in January Under 50,000 50, , , , , , , , ,582 n/a -43% -48% -51% -45% 250, , ,067-25% 300, ,000 1,634 1,838-11% 400, ,000 1,134 1,264-10% 500, , % 600, , % 800,001 1,000, % 1,000,001 1,500, % 1,500,001 2,000, % Over 2,000, % Total 7,183 9,651-26% 13

14 Repossession data Adjusted headline statistics The table to the right shows the headline statistics after the inclusion of repossession data. The difference between the adjusted figures and those on the front page of this report are explained by the inclusion of this additional data. Please note repossession data was only comprehensively recorded after The additional data decreases the average price for England and Wales to 176,957 and increases the annual change to 5.5 per cent. Adjusted index 1 Average price 2 Monthly change Annual change , % 5.5% Repossession volumes Monthly repossession volumes England and Wales In the months October 2014 to January 2015, repossession volumes averaged 720 per month. This is a fall compared to the same period a year earlier, when volumes averaged 1,173 per month. Repossession volumes appear to be exhibiting a downward trend. Because repossession volume figures for the two most recent months are not yet complete, they are not included in the report. In addition, the lag in recording data is likely to result in small increases to the reported repossession volumes over time. 1 Seasonally adjusted HPI inclusive of repossession data from January 2006 onwards. 2 Standardised seasonally adjusted prices inclusive of repossession data from January

15 Repossession data Repossessions as percentage of sales in the last 12 months Per cent < to to to to to to to 9.0 > 9.0 Regional repossession sales The region with the greatest fall in the number of repossession sales was London. All regions experienced a decrease in the number of repossession sales in January when compared with the same period a year earlier. Region East East Midlands London North East North West South East South West January January Difference -52% -43% -53% -18% -49% -51% -40% Wales % West Midlands % Yorkshire & The Humber % Total 590 1,081-45% 15

16 Notes The April (HPI) will be published at at 09:30 hours on 1 June The HPI is produced using the Repeat Sales Regression (RSR) method. Under the RSR method, house price growth is measured by observing houses which have been sold more than once. By using repeat transactions, differences in the quality of homes comprised in any monthly sample are greatly reduced thereby ensuring an apples to apples comparison. The HPI uses Land Registry's own price paid dataset. This is a record of all residential property transactions made in England and Wales since January At present it contains details on over 19 million sales. Of these, over 7 million are identifiable matched pairs, providing the basis for the repeat-sales regression analysis used to compile the index. In the adjusted headline statistics section on p14, the effect of the inclusion of repossession data is revealed. Such data was only comprehensively recorded after January Since this date, we have data on over 150,000 repossessions. The standardised average house prices presented by Land Registry are calculated by taking the geometric mean price in April 2000 and moving this in accordance with index changes both back to 1995 and forward to the present day. Classical seasonal decomposition (Census Method 1) is used to isolate the effects of seasonal trends in volume and index analysis. Monthly and annual percentage changes displayed for counties, unitary authorities, metropolitan district councils and London boroughs represent rolling four-monthly averages of the price changes over one month and 12 months respectively. All price changes represent seasonally adjusted movements. Historical data published as part of the HPI is revised each month as missing and new data becomes available. The statistical computation of the HPI is performed for Land Registry by Calnea Analytics. Related academic documentation can be found at With the world s largest property database of over 24 million titles, Land Registry underpins the economy by safeguarding ownership of many billions of pounds worth of property. As a government department established in 1862, executive agency and trading fund responsible to the Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills, Land Registry keeps and maintains the Land Register for England and Wales. The Land Register has been an open document since Please visit for further information. 16

17 Terms and conditions Neither Land Registry nor any third party shall be liable for any loss or damage, direct, indirect or consequential, arising from (i) any inaccuracy or incompleteness of the data in the HPI or (ii) any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the data. Neither shall Land Registry or any third party be liable for loss of business resources, lost profits or any punitive indirect, consequential, special or similar damages whatsoever, whether in contract or tort or otherwise, even if advised of the possibility of such damages being incurred. No part of the HPI may be reproduced in any form or for any purpose without the prior permission of Land Registry. Enquiries can be made to 17

18 Crown copyright 2015 Land Registry

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