Section 7.2 Confidence Interval for a Proportion

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Section 7.2 Confidence Interval for a Proportion"

Transcription

1 Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio Before ay ifereces ca be made about a proportio, certai coditios must be satisfied: 1. The sample must be a SRS from the populatio of iterest. 2. The populatio must be at least 10 times the size of the sample. 3. The umber of successes must be 10, ad the umber of failures must be ( The sample statistic for a populatio proportio is, so based o the formula for a CI, we have p ˆ margi of error Width of the Cofidece Iterval margi of error +margi of error Mea or Proportio How do we fid the margi of error if it is ot give to us? The margi of error is computed usig the critical value (a umber based o our level of cofidece) ad the stadard deviatio (stadard error) of the statistic. Critical Value: Whe the distributio is assumed to be ormal, our critical value is foud usig qorm i R. If it is ot ormal, we will use the t distributio (discussed later). The formula is: z 1 cofidece level qorm 2 Stadard Deviatio/Error: Whe workig with proportios, the stadard deviatio of the p ( 1 p) statistic is. Sice p is ukow, we will use the stadard error. To calculate the p ˆ(1 ) stadard error of, use the formula. So, p ˆ margi of error = z Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio 1

2 Facts about Cofidece Itervals For smaller, the cofidece iterval becomes wider. For larger, the cofidece iterval becomes arrower. Icreasig the variace or icreasig the cofidece level will icrease the width of the cofidece iterval ad vice versa. Decreasig the variace or decreasig the cofidece level will decrease the cofidece iterval ad vice versa. Example 1: I the first eight games of this year s basketball seaso, Ley made 25 free throws i 40 attempts. a. What is ˆp, Ley s sample proportio of successes? Let s quickly check the coditios: 1. We have a SRS. Eve if it s ot stated i the problem, we ca assume it s a SRS. 2. The populatio is at least 10 times the sample (assume he wo t get hurt ad make may more free throws) / ad ( / b. Fid ad iterpret the 90% cofidece iterval for Ley s proportio of free-throw success. 1 cofidece level z qorm 2 The z Cofidece Iterval: Iterpretatio: Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio 2

3 Example 2: Mars Ic. claims that they produce M&Ms with the followig distributios: Brow 30% Red 20% Yellow 20% Orage 10% Gree 10% Blue 10% A bag of M&Ms was radomly selected from the grocery store shelf, ad the color couts were: Brow 22 Red 22 Yellow 22 Orage 12 Gree 15 Blue 15 Fid the 95% cofidece iterval for the proportio of yellow M&Ms i that bag. a. What is the proportio of yellow M&Ms i this bag? b. Fid ad iterpret the 95% cofidece iterval for the proportio of yellow M&Ms i this bag. 1 cofidece level z qorm 2 The z Cofidece Iterval: Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio 3

4 Sometimes we are asked to fid the miimum sample size eeded to produce a particular margi of error give a certai cofidece level. Whe workig with a oe-sample proportio, we ca use the formula: Maximum ME z If is ukow, use a estimate of p. If p is ukow, just assume 50, 50, so use p = 0.5. Example 3: It is believed that 35% of all voters favor a particular cadidate. How large of a simple radom sample is required so that the margi of error of the estimate of the percetage of all voters i favor is o more tha 3% at the 95% cofidece level? 1 cofidece level p = Max ME = z qorm 2 Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio 4

5 Example 4: A oil compay is iterested i estimatig the true proportio of female truck drivers based i five souther states. A statisticia hired by the oil compay must determie the sample size eeded i order to make the estimate accurate to withi 1% of the true proportio with 89% cofidece. What is the miimum umber of truck drivers that the statisticia should sample i these souther states i order to achieve the desired accuracy? p = ME = z 1 qorm cofidece level 2 ME / z 2 Sectio 7.2 Cofidece Iterval for a Proportio 5

Review for 1 sample CI Name. MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Review for 1 sample CI Name. MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. Review for 1 sample CI Name MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the oe alterative that best completes the statemet or aswers the questio. Fid the margi of error for the give cofidece iterval. 1) A survey foud that

More information

Practice Problems for Test 3

Practice Problems for Test 3 Practice Problems for Test 3 Note: these problems oly cover CIs ad hypothesis testig You are also resposible for kowig the samplig distributio of the sample meas, ad the Cetral Limit Theorem Review all

More information

Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about. µ when the population standard deviation is unknown

Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about. µ when the population standard deviation is unknown Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about µ whe the populatio stadard deviatio is kow ad populatio distributio is ormal or sample size is large T-TEST / T-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about

More information

Confidence Intervals. CI for a population mean (σ is known and n > 30 or the variable is normally distributed in the.

Confidence Intervals. CI for a population mean (σ is known and n > 30 or the variable is normally distributed in the. Cofidece Itervals A cofidece iterval is a iterval whose purpose is to estimate a parameter (a umber that could, i theory, be calculated from the populatio, if measuremets were available for the whole populatio).

More information

Review for Test 3. b. Construct the 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population mean. Interpret the CIs.

Review for Test 3. b. Construct the 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population mean. Interpret the CIs. Review for Test 3 1 From a radom sample of 36 days i a recet year, the closig stock prices of Hasbro had a mea of $1931 From past studies we kow that the populatio stadard deviatio is $237 a Should you

More information

1. C. The formula for the confidence interval for a population mean is: x t, which was

1. C. The formula for the confidence interval for a population mean is: x t, which was s 1. C. The formula for the cofidece iterval for a populatio mea is: x t, which was based o the sample Mea. So, x is guarateed to be i the iterval you form.. D. Use the rule : p-value

More information

Confidence Intervals

Confidence Intervals Cofidece Itervals Cofidece Itervals are a extesio of the cocept of Margi of Error which we met earlier i this course. Remember we saw: The sample proportio will differ from the populatio proportio by more

More information

Sampling Distribution And Central Limit Theorem

Sampling Distribution And Central Limit Theorem () Samplig Distributio & Cetral Limit Samplig Distributio Ad Cetral Limit Samplig distributio of the sample mea If we sample a umber of samples (say k samples where k is very large umber) each of size,

More information

Determining the sample size

Determining the sample size Determiig the sample size Oe of the most commo questios ay statisticia gets asked is How large a sample size do I eed? Researchers are ofte surprised to fid out that the aswer depeds o a umber of factors

More information

Confidence Intervals for One Mean

Confidence Intervals for One Mean Chapter 420 Cofidece Itervals for Oe Mea Itroductio This routie calculates the sample size ecessary to achieve a specified distace from the mea to the cofidece limit(s) at a stated cofidece level for a

More information

Inference on Proportion. Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses. Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion. Confidence Interval

Inference on Proportion. Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses. Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion. Confidence Interval Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses 8. Tests about Proportios HT - Iferece o Proportio Parameter: Populatio Proportio p (or π) (Percetage of people has o health isurace) x Statistic: Sample Proportio

More information

Ch 7.1 pg. 364 #11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25

Ch 7.1 pg. 364 #11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25 Math 7 Elemetary Statistics: A Brief Versio, 5/e Bluma Ch 7.1 pg. 364 #11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 1, 3, 5 11. Readig Scores: A sample of the readig scores of 35 fifth-graders has a mea of 8. The stadard deviatio

More information

CHAPTER 7: Central Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Means)

CHAPTER 7: Central Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Means) CHAPTER 7: Cetral Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Meas) X = the umber obtaied whe rollig oe six sided die oce. If we roll a six sided die oce, the mea of the probability distributio is X P(X = x) Simulatio:

More information

The following example will help us understand The Sampling Distribution of the Mean. C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 50 miles 84 miles 38 miles 120 miles 48 miles

The following example will help us understand The Sampling Distribution of the Mean. C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 50 miles 84 miles 38 miles 120 miles 48 miles The followig eample will help us uderstad The Samplig Distributio of the Mea Review: The populatio is the etire collectio of all idividuals or objects of iterest The sample is the portio of the populatio

More information

Key Ideas Section 8-1: Overview hypothesis testing Hypothesis Hypothesis Test Section 8-2: Basics of Hypothesis Testing Null Hypothesis

Key Ideas Section 8-1: Overview hypothesis testing Hypothesis Hypothesis Test Section 8-2: Basics of Hypothesis Testing Null Hypothesis Chapter 8 Key Ideas Hypothesis (Null ad Alterative), Hypothesis Test, Test Statistic, P-value Type I Error, Type II Error, Sigificace Level, Power Sectio 8-1: Overview Cofidece Itervals (Chapter 7) are

More information

Using Excel to Construct Confidence Intervals

Using Excel to Construct Confidence Intervals OPIM 303 Statistics Ja Stallaert Usig Excel to Costruct Cofidece Itervals This hadout explais how to costruct cofidece itervals i Excel for the followig cases: 1. Cofidece Itervals for the mea of a populatio

More information

Chapter 7: Confidence Interval and Sample Size

Chapter 7: Confidence Interval and Sample Size Chapter 7: Cofidece Iterval ad Sample Size Learig Objectives Upo successful completio of Chapter 7, you will be able to: Fid the cofidece iterval for the mea, proportio, ad variace. Determie the miimum

More information

5: Introduction to Estimation

5: Introduction to Estimation 5: Itroductio to Estimatio Cotets Acroyms ad symbols... 1 Statistical iferece... Estimatig µ with cofidece... 3 Samplig distributio of the mea... 3 Cofidece Iterval for μ whe σ is kow before had... 4 Sample

More information

15.075 Exam 3. Instructor: Cynthia Rudin TA: Dimitrios Bisias. November 22, 2011

15.075 Exam 3. Instructor: Cynthia Rudin TA: Dimitrios Bisias. November 22, 2011 15.075 Exam 3 Istructor: Cythia Rudi TA: Dimitrios Bisias November 22, 2011 Gradig is based o demostratio of coceptual uderstadig, so you eed to show all of your work. Problem 1 A compay makes high-defiitio

More information

One-sample test of proportions

One-sample test of proportions Oe-sample test of proportios The Settig: Idividuals i some populatio ca be classified ito oe of two categories. You wat to make iferece about the proportio i each category, so you draw a sample. Examples:

More information

STA 2023 Practice Questions Exam 2 Chapter 7- sec 9.2. Case parameter estimator standard error Estimate of standard error

STA 2023 Practice Questions Exam 2 Chapter 7- sec 9.2. Case parameter estimator standard error Estimate of standard error STA 2023 Practice Questios Exam 2 Chapter 7- sec 9.2 Formulas Give o the test: Case parameter estimator stadard error Estimate of stadard error Samplig Distributio oe mea x s t (-1) oe p ( 1 p) CI: prop.

More information

Case Study. Normal and t Distributions. Density Plot. Normal Distributions

Case Study. Normal and t Distributions. Density Plot. Normal Distributions Case Study Normal ad t Distributios Bret Halo ad Bret Larget Departmet of Statistics Uiversity of Wiscosi Madiso October 11 13, 2011 Case Study Body temperature varies withi idividuals over time (it ca

More information

Hypothesis testing. Null and alternative hypotheses

Hypothesis testing. Null and alternative hypotheses Hypothesis testig Aother importat use of samplig distributios is to test hypotheses about populatio parameters, e.g. mea, proportio, regressio coefficiets, etc. For example, it is possible to stipulate

More information

Overview. Learning Objectives. Point Estimate. Estimation. Estimating the Value of a Parameter Using Confidence Intervals

Overview. Learning Objectives. Point Estimate. Estimation. Estimating the Value of a Parameter Using Confidence Intervals Overview Estimatig the Value of a Parameter Usig Cofidece Itervals We apply the results about the sample mea the problem of estimatio Estimatio is the process of usig sample data estimate the value of

More information

1 Computing the Standard Deviation of Sample Means

1 Computing the Standard Deviation of Sample Means Computig the Stadard Deviatio of Sample Meas Quality cotrol charts are based o sample meas ot o idividual values withi a sample. A sample is a group of items, which are cosidered all together for our aalysis.

More information

Chapter 10. Hypothesis Tests Regarding a Parameter. 10.1 The Language of Hypothesis Testing

Chapter 10. Hypothesis Tests Regarding a Parameter. 10.1 The Language of Hypothesis Testing Chapter 10 Hypothesis Tests Regardig a Parameter A secod type of statistical iferece is hypothesis testig. Here, rather tha use either a poit (or iterval) estimate from a simple radom sample to approximate

More information

3.1 Measures of Central Tendency. Introduction 5/28/2013. Data Description. Outline. Objectives. Objectives. Traditional Statistics Average

3.1 Measures of Central Tendency. Introduction 5/28/2013. Data Description. Outline. Objectives. Objectives. Traditional Statistics Average 5/8/013 C H 3A P T E R Outlie 3 1 Measures of Cetral Tedecy 3 Measures of Variatio 3 3 3 Measuresof Positio 3 4 Exploratory Data Aalysis Copyright 013 The McGraw Hill Compaies, Ic. C H 3A P T E R Objectives

More information

Math C067 Sampling Distributions

Math C067 Sampling Distributions Math C067 Samplig Distributios Sample Mea ad Sample Proportio Richard Beigel Some time betwee April 16, 2007 ad April 16, 2007 Examples of Samplig A pollster may try to estimate the proportio of voters

More information

STATISTICAL METHODS FOR BUSINESS

STATISTICAL METHODS FOR BUSINESS STATISTICAL METHODS FOR BUSINESS UNIT 7: INFERENTIAL TOOLS. DISTRIBUTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH SAMPLING 7.1.- Distributios associated with the samplig process. 7.2.- Iferetial processes ad relevat distributios.

More information

Statistical inference: example 1. Inferential Statistics

Statistical inference: example 1. Inferential Statistics Statistical iferece: example 1 Iferetial Statistics POPULATION SAMPLE A clothig store chai regularly buys from a supplier large quatities of a certai piece of clothig. Each item ca be classified either

More information

AQA STATISTICS 1 REVISION NOTES

AQA STATISTICS 1 REVISION NOTES AQA STATISTICS 1 REVISION NOTES AVERAGES AND MEASURES OF SPREAD www.mathsbox.org.uk Mode : the most commo or most popular data value the oly average that ca be used for qualitative data ot suitable if

More information

Multi-server Optimal Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Anup Basu, Irene Cheng and Yinzhe Yu

Multi-server Optimal Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Anup Basu, Irene Cheng and Yinzhe Yu Multi-server Optimal Badwidth Moitorig for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Aup Basu, Iree Cheg ad Yizhe Yu Departmet of Computig Sciece U. of Alberta Architecture Applicatio Layer Request receptio -coectio

More information

x : X bar Mean (i.e. Average) of a sample

x : X bar Mean (i.e. Average) of a sample A quick referece for symbols ad formulas covered i COGS14: MEAN OF SAMPLE: x = x i x : X bar Mea (i.e. Average) of a sample x i : X sub i This stads for each idividual value you have i your sample. For

More information

Center, Spread, and Shape in Inference: Claims, Caveats, and Insights

Center, Spread, and Shape in Inference: Claims, Caveats, and Insights Ceter, Spread, ad Shape i Iferece: Claims, Caveats, ad Isights Dr. Nacy Pfeig (Uiversity of Pittsburgh) AMATYC November 2008 Prelimiary Activities 1. I would like to produce a iterval estimate for the

More information

I. Chi-squared Distributions

I. Chi-squared Distributions 1 M 358K Supplemet to Chapter 23: CHI-SQUARED DISTRIBUTIONS, T-DISTRIBUTIONS, AND DEGREES OF FREEDOM To uderstad t-distributios, we first eed to look at aother family of distributios, the chi-squared distributios.

More information

This document contains a collection of formulas and constants useful for SPC chart construction. It assumes you are already familiar with SPC.

This document contains a collection of formulas and constants useful for SPC chart construction. It assumes you are already familiar with SPC. SPC Formulas ad Tables 1 This documet cotais a collectio of formulas ad costats useful for SPC chart costructio. It assumes you are already familiar with SPC. Termiology Geerally, a bar draw over a symbol

More information

0.674 0.841 1.036 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.054 2.326 2.576 2.807 3.091 3.291 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99.5% 99.8% 99.9%

0.674 0.841 1.036 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.054 2.326 2.576 2.807 3.091 3.291 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99.5% 99.8% 99.9% Sectio 10 Aswer Key: 0.674 0.841 1.036 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.054 2.326 2.576 2.807 3.091 3.291 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99.5% 99.8% 99.9% 1) A simple radom sample of New Yorkers fids that 87 are

More information

Statistical Methods. Chapter 1: Overview and Descriptive Statistics

Statistical Methods. Chapter 1: Overview and Descriptive Statistics Geeral Itroductio Statistical Methods Chapter 1: Overview ad Descriptive Statistics Statistics studies data, populatio, ad samples. Descriptive Statistics vs Iferetial Statistics. Descriptive Statistics

More information

Quadrat Sampling in Population Ecology

Quadrat Sampling in Population Ecology Quadrat Samplig i Populatio Ecology Backgroud Estimatig the abudace of orgaisms. Ecology is ofte referred to as the "study of distributio ad abudace". This beig true, we would ofte like to kow how may

More information

Section 11.3: The Integral Test

Section 11.3: The Integral Test Sectio.3: The Itegral Test Most of the series we have looked at have either diverged or have coverged ad we have bee able to fid what they coverge to. I geeral however, the problem is much more difficult

More information

Estimating the Mean and Variance of a Normal Distribution

Estimating the Mean and Variance of a Normal Distribution Estimatig the Mea ad Variace of a Normal Distributio Learig Objectives After completig this module, the studet will be able to eplai the value of repeatig eperimets eplai the role of the law of large umbers

More information

PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS

PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS UNIVERSITY OF CALICUT SCHOOL OF DISTANCE EDUCATION B Sc. Cousellig Psychology (0 Adm.) IV SEMESTER COMPLEMENTARY COURSE PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS QUESTION BANK. Iferetial statistics is the brach of statistics

More information

7. Sample Covariance and Correlation

7. Sample Covariance and Correlation 1 of 8 7/16/2009 6:06 AM Virtual Laboratories > 6. Radom Samples > 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7. Sample Covariace ad Correlatio The Bivariate Model Suppose agai that we have a basic radom experimet, ad that X ad Y

More information

Measures of Central Tendency

Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Cetral Tedecy A studet s grade will be determied by exam grades ( each exam couts twice ad there are three exams, HW average (couts oce, fial exam ( couts three times. Fid the average if the

More information

Example Consider the following set of data, showing the number of times a sample of 5 students check their per day:

Example Consider the following set of data, showing the number of times a sample of 5 students check their  per day: Sectio 82: Measures of cetral tedecy Whe thikig about questios such as: how may calories do I eat per day? or how much time do I sped talkig per day?, we quickly realize that the aswer will vary from day

More information

Notes on Hypothesis Testing

Notes on Hypothesis Testing Probability & Statistics Grishpa Notes o Hypothesis Testig A radom sample X = X 1,..., X is observed, with joit pmf/pdf f θ x 1,..., x. The values x = x 1,..., x of X lie i some sample space X. The parameter

More information

Measures of Spread and Boxplots Discrete Math, Section 9.4

Measures of Spread and Boxplots Discrete Math, Section 9.4 Measures of Spread ad Boxplots Discrete Math, Sectio 9.4 We start with a example: Example 1: Comparig Mea ad Media Compute the mea ad media of each data set: S 1 = {4, 6, 8, 10, 1, 14, 16} S = {4, 7, 9,

More information

Chapter 7 - Sampling Distributions. 1 Introduction. What is statistics? It consist of three major areas:

Chapter 7 - Sampling Distributions. 1 Introduction. What is statistics? It consist of three major areas: Chapter 7 - Samplig Distributios 1 Itroductio What is statistics? It cosist of three major areas: Data Collectio: samplig plas ad experimetal desigs Descriptive Statistics: umerical ad graphical summaries

More information

Normal Distribution.

Normal Distribution. Normal Distributio www.icrf.l Normal distributio I probability theory, the ormal or Gaussia distributio, is a cotiuous probability distributio that is ofte used as a first approimatio to describe realvalued

More information

Confidence Intervals for Linear Regression Slope

Confidence Intervals for Linear Regression Slope Chapter 856 Cofidece Iterval for Liear Regreio Slope Itroductio Thi routie calculate the ample ize eceary to achieve a pecified ditace from the lope to the cofidece limit at a tated cofidece level for

More information

4.1 Sigma Notation and Riemann Sums

4.1 Sigma Notation and Riemann Sums 0 the itegral. Sigma Notatio ad Riema Sums Oe strategy for calculatig the area of a regio is to cut the regio ito simple shapes, calculate the area of each simple shape, ad the add these smaller areas

More information

9.8: THE POWER OF A TEST

9.8: THE POWER OF A TEST 9.8: The Power of a Test CD9-1 9.8: THE POWER OF A TEST I the iitial discussio of statistical hypothesis testig, the two types of risks that are take whe decisios are made about populatio parameters based

More information

Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions

Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward s Uiversity Slide Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributios Radom Variables Discrete Probability Distributios Epected Value ad Variace Poisso Distributio

More information

A Mathematical Perspective on Gambling

A Mathematical Perspective on Gambling A Mathematical Perspective o Gamblig Molly Maxwell Abstract. This paper presets some basic topics i probability ad statistics, icludig sample spaces, probabilistic evets, expectatios, the biomial ad ormal

More information

Properties of MLE: consistency, asymptotic normality. Fisher information.

Properties of MLE: consistency, asymptotic normality. Fisher information. Lecture 3 Properties of MLE: cosistecy, asymptotic ormality. Fisher iformatio. I this sectio we will try to uderstad why MLEs are good. Let us recall two facts from probability that we be used ofte throughout

More information

Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive Statistics Descriptive Statistics We leared to describe data sets graphically. We ca also describe a data set umerically. Measures of Locatio Defiitio The sample mea is the arithmetic average of values. We deote

More information

University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics. Distributions related to the normal distribution

University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics. Distributions related to the normal distribution Uiversity of Califoria, Los Ageles Departmet of Statistics Statistics 100B Istructor: Nicolas Christou Three importat distributios: Distributios related to the ormal distributio Chi-square (χ ) distributio.

More information

Chapter 14 Nonparametric Statistics

Chapter 14 Nonparametric Statistics Chapter 14 Noparametric Statistics A.K.A. distributio-free statistics! Does ot deped o the populatio fittig ay particular type of distributio (e.g, ormal). Sice these methods make fewer assumptios, they

More information

Hypothesis testing: one sample

Hypothesis testing: one sample Hypothesis testig: oe sample Describig iformatios Flow-chart for QMS 202 Drawig coclusios Forecastig Improve busiess processes Data Collectio Probability & Probability Distributio Regressio Aalysis Time-series

More information

Correlation. example 2

Correlation. example 2 Correlatio Iitially developed by Sir Fracis Galto (888) ad Karl Pearso (8) Sir Fracis Galto 8- correlatio is a much abused word/term correlatio is a term which implies that there is a associatio betwee

More information

Probability & Statistics Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing

Probability & Statistics Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing I Itroductio to Probability & Statistics A statisticia s most importat job is to draw ifereces about populatios based o samples take from the populatio Methods for drawig ifereces about parameters: ) Make

More information

Standard Errors and Confidence Intervals

Standard Errors and Confidence Intervals Stadard Errors ad Cofidece Itervals Itroductio I the documet Data Descriptio, Populatios ad the Normal Distributio a sample had bee obtaied from the populatio of heights of 5-year-old boys. If we assume

More information

Confidence intervals and hypothesis tests

Confidence intervals and hypothesis tests Chapter 2 Cofidece itervals ad hypothesis tests This chapter focuses o how to draw coclusios about populatios from sample data. We ll start by lookig at biary data (e.g., pollig), ad lear how to estimate

More information

Question 2: How is a loan amortized?

Question 2: How is a loan amortized? Questio 2: How is a loa amortized? Decreasig auities may be used i auto or home loas. I these types of loas, some amout of moey is borrowed. Fixed paymets are made to pay off the loa as well as ay accrued

More information

Simple Linear Regression

Simple Linear Regression Simple Liear Regressio We have bee itroduced to the otio that a categorical variable could deped o differet levels of aother variable whe we discussed cotigecy tables. We ll exted this idea to the case

More information

1 Hypothesis testing for a single mean

1 Hypothesis testing for a single mean BST 140.65 Hypothesis Testig Review otes 1 Hypothesis testig for a sigle mea 1. The ull, or status quo, hypothesis is labeled H 0, the alterative H a or H 1 or H.... A type I error occurs whe we falsely

More information

Approximating Area under a curve with rectangles. To find the area under a curve we approximate the area using rectangles and then use limits to find

Approximating Area under a curve with rectangles. To find the area under a curve we approximate the area using rectangles and then use limits to find 1.8 Approximatig Area uder a curve with rectagles 1.6 To fid the area uder a curve we approximate the area usig rectagles ad the use limits to fid 1.4 the area. Example 1 Suppose we wat to estimate 1.

More information

Joint Probability Distributions and Random Samples

Joint Probability Distributions and Random Samples STAT5 Sprig 204 Lecture Notes Chapter 5 February, 204 Joit Probability Distributios ad Radom Samples 5. Joitly Distributed Radom Variables Chapter Overview Joitly distributed rv Joit mass fuctio, margial

More information

Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations

Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations Chapter 9 Statistical Iferece: Hypothesis Testig for Sigle Populatios A foremost statistical mechaism for decisio makig is the hypothesis test. The cocept of hypothesis testig lies at the heart of iferetial

More information

Lesson 15 ANOVA (analysis of variance)

Lesson 15 ANOVA (analysis of variance) Outlie Variability -betwee group variability -withi group variability -total variability -F-ratio Computatio -sums of squares (betwee/withi/total -degrees of freedom (betwee/withi/total -mea square (betwee/withi

More information

COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S 2 CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS

COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S 2 CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS Supraee Lisawadi Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Sciece ad Techoology, Thammasat

More information

This is arithmetic average of the x values and is usually referred to simply as the mean.

This is arithmetic average of the x values and is usually referred to simply as the mean. prepared by Dr. Adre Lehre, Dept. of Geology, Humboldt State Uiversity http://www.humboldt.edu/~geodept/geology51/51_hadouts/statistical_aalysis.pdf STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF HYDROLOGIC DATA This hadout

More information

A Test of Normality. 1 n S 2 3. n 1. Now introduce two new statistics. The sample skewness is defined as:

A Test of Normality. 1 n S 2 3. n 1. Now introduce two new statistics. The sample skewness is defined as: A Test of Normality Textbook Referece: Chapter. (eighth editio, pages 59 ; seveth editio, pages 6 6). The calculatio of p values for hypothesis testig typically is based o the assumptio that the populatio

More information

0.7 0.6 0.2 0 0 96 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5

0.7 0.6 0.2 0 0 96 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 Sectio 13 Kolmogorov-Smirov test. Suppose that we have a i.i.d. sample X 1,..., X with some ukow distributio P ad we would like to test the hypothesis that P is equal to a particular distributio P 0, i.e.

More information

Definition. A variable X that takes on values X 1, X 2, X 3,...X k with respective frequencies f 1, f 2, f 3,...f k has mean

Definition. A variable X that takes on values X 1, X 2, X 3,...X k with respective frequencies f 1, f 2, f 3,...f k has mean 1 Social Studies 201 October 13, 2004 Note: The examples i these otes may be differet tha used i class. However, the examples are similar ad the methods used are idetical to what was preseted i class.

More information

GCSE STATISTICS. 4) How to calculate the range: The difference between the biggest number and the smallest number.

GCSE STATISTICS. 4) How to calculate the range: The difference between the biggest number and the smallest number. GCSE STATISTICS You should kow: 1) How to draw a frequecy diagram: e.g. NUMBER TALLY FREQUENCY 1 3 5 ) How to draw a bar chart, a pictogram, ad a pie chart. 3) How to use averages: a) Mea - add up all

More information

Chapter 7 Methods of Finding Estimators

Chapter 7 Methods of Finding Estimators Chapter 7 for BST 695: Special Topics i Statistical Theory. Kui Zhag, 011 Chapter 7 Methods of Fidig Estimators Sectio 7.1 Itroductio Defiitio 7.1.1 A poit estimator is ay fuctio W( X) W( X1, X,, X ) of

More information

Topic 5: Confidence Intervals (Chapter 9)

Topic 5: Confidence Intervals (Chapter 9) Topic 5: Cofidece Iterval (Chapter 9) 1. Itroductio The two geeral area of tatitical iferece are: 1) etimatio of parameter(), ch. 9 ) hypothei tetig of parameter(), ch. 10 Let X be ome radom variable with

More information

Unit 8: Inference for Proportions. Chapters 8 & 9 in IPS

Unit 8: Inference for Proportions. Chapters 8 & 9 in IPS Uit 8: Iferece for Proortios Chaters 8 & 9 i IPS Lecture Outlie Iferece for a Proortio (oe samle) Iferece for Two Proortios (two samles) Cotigecy Tables ad the χ test Iferece for Proortios IPS, Chater

More information

Inferences Based on a Single Sample: Estimation with Confidence Intervals Chapter 5

Inferences Based on a Single Sample: Estimation with Confidence Intervals Chapter 5 Iferece Baed o a Sigle Sample: Etimatio with Cofidece Iterval Chapter 5 5. a. z α/ = 1.96, uig Table IV, Appedix B, P(0 z 1.96) =.4750. Thu, α/ =.5000.4750 =.05, α = (.05) =.05, ad 1 - α = 1 -.05 =.95.

More information

ASSUMPTIONS/CONDITIONS FOR HYPOTHESIS TESTS and CONFIDENCE INTERVALS

ASSUMPTIONS/CONDITIONS FOR HYPOTHESIS TESTS and CONFIDENCE INTERVALS ASSUMPTIONS/CONDITIONS FOR HYPOTHESIS TESTS ad CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Oe of the importat tak whe applyig a tatitical tet (or cofidece iterval) i to check that the aumptio of the tet are ot violated. Oe-ample

More information

Output Analysis (2, Chapters 10 &11 Law)

Output Analysis (2, Chapters 10 &11 Law) B. Maddah ENMG 6 Simulatio 05/0/07 Output Aalysis (, Chapters 10 &11 Law) Comparig alterative system cofiguratio Sice the output of a simulatio is radom, the comparig differet systems via simulatio should

More information

3. Covariance and Correlation

3. Covariance and Correlation Virtual Laboratories > 3. Expected Value > 1 2 3 4 5 6 3. Covariace ad Correlatio Recall that by takig the expected value of various trasformatios of a radom variable, we ca measure may iterestig characteristics

More information

MEI Structured Mathematics. Module Summary Sheets. Statistics 2 (Version B: reference to new book)

MEI Structured Mathematics. Module Summary Sheets. Statistics 2 (Version B: reference to new book) MEI Mathematics i Educatio ad Idustry MEI Structured Mathematics Module Summary Sheets Statistics (Versio B: referece to ew book) Topic : The Poisso Distributio Topic : The Normal Distributio Topic 3:

More information

1 Introduction to reducing variance in Monte Carlo simulations

1 Introduction to reducing variance in Monte Carlo simulations Copyright c 007 by Karl Sigma 1 Itroductio to reducig variace i Mote Carlo simulatios 11 Review of cofidece itervals for estimatig a mea I statistics, we estimate a uow mea µ = E(X) of a distributio by

More information

Maximum Likelihood Estimators.

Maximum Likelihood Estimators. Lecture 2 Maximum Likelihood Estimators. Matlab example. As a motivatio, let us look at oe Matlab example. Let us geerate a radom sample of size 00 from beta distributio Beta(5, 2). We will lear the defiitio

More information

Central Limit Theorem and Its Applications to Baseball

Central Limit Theorem and Its Applications to Baseball Cetral Limit Theorem ad Its Applicatios to Baseball by Nicole Aderso A project submitted to the Departmet of Mathematical Scieces i coformity with the requiremets for Math 4301 (Hoours Semiar) Lakehead

More information

TI-83, TI-83 Plus or TI-84 for Non-Business Statistics

TI-83, TI-83 Plus or TI-84 for Non-Business Statistics TI-83, TI-83 Plu or TI-84 for No-Buie Statitic Chapter 3 Eterig Data Pre [STAT] the firt optio i already highlighted (:Edit) o you ca either pre [ENTER] or. Make ure the curor i i the lit, ot o the lit

More information

OMG! Excessive Texting Tied to Risky Teen Behaviors

OMG! Excessive Texting Tied to Risky Teen Behaviors BUSIESS WEEK: EXECUTIVE EALT ovember 09, 2010 OMG! Excessive Textig Tied to Risky Tee Behaviors Kids who sed more tha 120 a day more likely to try drugs, alcohol ad sex, researchers fid TUESDAY, ov. 9

More information

LECTURE 13: Cross-validation

LECTURE 13: Cross-validation LECTURE 3: Cross-validatio Resampli methods Cross Validatio Bootstrap Bias ad variace estimatio with the Bootstrap Three-way data partitioi Itroductio to Patter Aalysis Ricardo Gutierrez-Osua Texas A&M

More information

Chapter 10 Student Lecture Notes 10-1

Chapter 10 Student Lecture Notes 10-1 Chapter 0 tudet Lecture Notes 0- Basic Busiess tatistics (9 th Editio) Chapter 0 Two-ample Tests with Numerical Data 004 Pretice-Hall, Ic. Chap 0- Chapter Topics Comparig Two Idepedet amples Z test for

More information

Lecture 23. Chapter 11: Testing Hypotheses About Proportions. Nancy Pfenning Stats 1000. Recall: last time we presented the following examples:

Lecture 23. Chapter 11: Testing Hypotheses About Proportions. Nancy Pfenning Stats 1000. Recall: last time we presented the following examples: Lecture 23 Nacy Pfeig Stats 1000 Chapter 11: Testig Hypotheses About Proportios Recall: last time we preseted the followig examples: 1. I a group of Pitt studets, 42 were left-haded. Is this sigificatly

More information

Research Method (I) --Knowledge on Sampling (Simple Random Sampling)

Research Method (I) --Knowledge on Sampling (Simple Random Sampling) Research Method (I) --Kowledge o Samplig (Simple Radom Samplig) 1. Itroductio to samplig 1.1 Defiitio of samplig Samplig ca be defied as selectig part of the elemets i a populatio. It results i the fact

More information

TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Seminar on DVD for SOA Exam MLC

TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Seminar on DVD for SOA Exam MLC TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Semiar o DVD for SOA Eam MLC FROM: Richard L. (Dick) Lodo, FSA Dear Studets, Thak you for purchasig the DVD recordig of the ACTEX Review Semiar for SOA Eam M, Life Cotigecies

More information

Overview of some probability distributions.

Overview of some probability distributions. Lecture Overview of some probability distributios. I this lecture we will review several commo distributios that will be used ofte throughtout the class. Each distributio is usually described by its probability

More information

CHAPTER 11 Financial mathematics

CHAPTER 11 Financial mathematics CHAPTER 11 Fiacial mathematics I this chapter you will: Calculate iterest usig the simple iterest formula ( ) Use the simple iterest formula to calculate the pricipal (P) Use the simple iterest formula

More information

5.4 Amortization. Question 1: How do you find the present value of an annuity? Question 2: How is a loan amortized?

5.4 Amortization. Question 1: How do you find the present value of an annuity? Question 2: How is a loan amortized? 5.4 Amortizatio Questio 1: How do you fid the preset value of a auity? Questio 2: How is a loa amortized? Questio 3: How do you make a amortizatio table? Oe of the most commo fiacial istrumets a perso

More information

Confidence Interval Estimation of the Shape. Parameter of Pareto Distribution. Using Extreme Order Statistics

Confidence Interval Estimation of the Shape. Parameter of Pareto Distribution. Using Extreme Order Statistics Applied Mathematical Scieces, Vol 6, 0, o 93, 467-4640 Cofidece Iterval Estimatio of the Shape Parameter of Pareto Distributio Usig Extreme Order Statistics Aissa Omar, Kamarulzama Ibrahim ad Ahmad Mahir

More information

Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions. Random Variables. Chapter 3 3.1

Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions. Random Variables. Chapter 3 3.1 UCLA STAT A Applied Probability & Statistics for Egieers Istructor: Ivo Diov, Asst. Prof. I Statistics ad Neurology Teachig Assistat: Neda Farziia, UCLA Statistics Uiversity of Califoria, Los Ageles, Sprig

More information

Chapter 6: Variance, the law of large numbers and the Monte-Carlo method

Chapter 6: Variance, the law of large numbers and the Monte-Carlo method Chapter 6: Variace, the law of large umbers ad the Mote-Carlo method Expected value, variace, ad Chebyshev iequality. If X is a radom variable recall that the expected value of X, E[X] is the average value

More information