Collaborative Agreement. JRC (MARS Unit-AGRI4CAST): M. El Aydam & INRA (Morocco): R. Balaghi AGRI4CAST. Collaborative Agreement JRC / INRA - Maroc
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1 Collaborative Agreement JRC (MARS Unit-): M. El Aydam & INRA (Morocco): R. Balaghi
2 Use of CGMS to forecast production / cooperation INRA and - Soft and durum wheat, barley - Use of water limited models - Yield (t/ha) is forecast - Production (Mt) is estimated: yield * area
3 Use of CGMS to forecast production / How works the cooperation INRA and INRA: field info >> JRC JRC: output of CGMS level 1 and 2 >> INRA INRA: feedback + statistics (province level) >> JRC level 3 Final analysis and conclusions: INRA + JRC Bulletin production >> DG AGRI (EU) + Min. of Agriculture (Morocco)
4 Level 1
5 Level 1
6 Level 1
7 Level 1
8 Level 1
9 Level 1
10 Level 1 > Level 2 % Centre (Morocco) Relative Soil Moisture of Wheat +2St_dev Average ( ) -2St_dev JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV Source: JRC-MARS database
11 Level 1 > Level 2 Kg/ha St_dev Average ( ) -2St_dev Centre (Morocco) Potential Storage Organs of Wheat JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV Kg/ha Source: JRC-MARS database 8000 Centre (Morocco) Water limited Storage Organs of Wheat +2St_dev Average ( ) -2St_dev JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV Source: JRC-MARS database
12 Level 1 > Level 2 m²/m² Nord Ouest (Morocco) Water limited LAI of Wheat +2St_dev Average ( ) -2St_dev JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV Source: JRC-MARS database
13 Level 1 > Level 2
14 Level 2 > Level 3 analysis based on similarity of crop parameters on dekadal basis This step can be costumised in regard to the statistical tools available and the local expertise
15 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis
16 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
17 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
18 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
19 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
20 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
21 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
22 Level 2 > Level 3 statistical analysis/cobo
23 Thank you for your attention
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