A TRANSPORT MODEL FOR THE ATHENS OLYMPIC GAMES 2004

Transcription

1 A TRANSPORT MODEL FOR THE ATHENS OLYMPIC GAMES 2004 Anna Anastasaki, Modeling and Planning Manager, Attiko Metro S.A., Greece. Demetrios Panayiotakopoulos, GIS Expert, Attiko Metro S.A., Greece. 11 th EUROPEAN EMME/2 USER S GROUP CONFERENCE 2002, MADRID, SPAIN

2 Model Structure (EMME/2) HIGHWAY NETWORK PLANNING FACTORS PUBLIC TRANSPORT (PT) NETWORK HIGHWAY MINIMUM COST PATHS GENERALISED COST CAR, TAXI HB TRIP GENERATION PRODUCTIONS/ATTRACTIONS DAILY TRIPS GENERALISED COST PER PT MODE ( Bus, Metro) PT MINIMUM COST PATHS SUB-MODE CHOICE MODEL PT GENERALISED COST MAIN MODE CHOICE MODEL TRIP DISTRIBUTION EXTERNAL TRIPS MATRIX CONVERSION ORIGIN-DESTINATION (O-D) NHB TRIPS MOTORCYCLES, TRUCKS HIGHWAY ASSIGNMENT PCU VEHICLE O-D TRIP TABLE PT PASSENGER O-D TRIP TABLE PT ASSIGNMENT NO SATISFACTORY CONVERGENCE YES FINAL HIGHWAY ASSIGNMENT FINAL PT ASSIGNMENT YES SATISFACTORY CONVERGENCE NO

3 Socioeconomic Data Diff (%) Population (mill.) 3,66 3,69 0,8% Car Ownership Index (cars/1000 inh.) ,3%

4 Daily Trips Diff (%) Total (mill.) 4,24 4,69 10,5% Car 51% 56% Taxi 15% 13% Public Transport 34% 31%

5 Basic Parameters * Diff (%) Value of Time 550 drs 660 drs +20% Car Operating Cost 30 drs/km 30 drs/km 0% Public Transport Fare 75 drs 125 drs +67% Taxi Fare 200 drs 33 drs/min 200 drs 33 drs/min 0% 0% Tolls drs - (*) in 1996 prices

6 Public Transport Fare Policy * Urban Buses/ Trolley Metro Tram Commuter Rail Suburban Buses Line 1 (ISAP) Lines 2 & 3 (??) Airport Line Northern and Western Attica Lines / / (*) in 2001 drs

7 Network Scenarios Basic Do-minimum More realistic

8 Road Projects

9 Public Transport Projects

10 Olympic Trips Category Spectators Employees (1) Employees (2) Sponsors IOC Cars Broadcasters Cars ATHENS 2004 Cars Athletes Mass Media Period 1 Arrivals 110,470 13,443 20,343 9,210 2,500 2,400 2,500 Period 2 Period 3 Arrivals Departures Departures 89,357 21,019 77,803-4,033 17,114-8,363 14,241 6,160 1,821 5,243 2, ,500 2,400-2,400-2,500 - Day: Day: 20/8/ /8/2004 Time Time Periods: Periods: am am pm pm pm pm

11 Olympic Trips: Spectators From Athens 30% From the rest of Greece 20% Foreigners 50% hotels in Attica (16%) hotels outside Attica (24%) private homes (60%)

12 Olympic Trips: O-D Matrices Distribution to the zones of Attica population of zone average income of zone available beds at hotels Distribution to Venues capacity of Venue O-D Matrix using Gravity Model generalized cost of trip popularity of sport Modal Split 90% PT 10% PM

13 Private Modes Demand (PCUs / h) Period Car + Taxi + Moto A B Trucks Total 1 149,578 12,087 29, , ,271 10,460 22, , ,674 7,325 3,870 79,968 A. Non-olympic trips B. Olympic trips

14 Traffic Volumes on the Road Network Period 1

15 Traffic Volumes on the Road Network Period 2

16 Traffic Volumes on the Road Network Period 3

17 Public Transport Demand (person trips / h) Period A Demand B Total 1 110, , , , , , , , ,165 A. Non-olympic trips B. Olympic trips

18 Public Transport Ridership per Mode Mode Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Metro 144, ,361 80,844 Tram 6,910 2,059 1,083 Commuter Rail 45,680 18,975 14,616 Urban Bus / Trolley 199, ,373 90,121 Suburban Bus 22,315 19,614 12,831 Olympic Bus Lines 75,598 66,580 51,614 Total 494, , ,109

19 Passenger Volumes on the Rail Network Period 1

20 Passenger Volumes on the Rail Network Period 2

21 Passenger Volumes on the Rail Network Period 3

22 Passenger Volumes on the Olympic Bus Lines Period 1

23 Passenger Volumes on the Olympic Bus Lines Period 2

24 Passenger Volumes on the Olympic Bus Lines Period 3

25 Required Fleet Mode of Transport Metro Tram Commuter Rail Urban Bus / Trolley Suburban Bus Olympic Bus Lines Buses for Mass Media Buses for Athletes Buses for Sponsors Period , Period 2 Period ,340 1,

26 Route Times/Speeds From / To Olympic Village To / From: OAKA SEF Helliniko Markopoulo Shinias Period 1 Time (min) Arrivals Speed (km/hr) Period 2 Arrivals/Departures Time (min) 14 / / / / 39 Speed (km/hr) 61 / / / / 64 Period 3 Departures Time (min) Speed (km/hr) / /

27 Olympic Ring and Primary Olympic Road Network Conclusions : extended sections highly congested Metro Line 1 : max V/C = Tram Line : at-capacity (max V/C = 0.91) Commuter Rail Airport Line : max V/C = 5.97 Other Lines : max V/C 2,0 Olympic Bus Lines : over-capacity (max V/C = 4.66) Suburban Bus Lines : over-capacity Bus Fleet : sufficient * Route times and speeds : need improvement (*) based on so-far assumptions

28 Further Investigation Readjustment of Olympic Bus Lines Routes and Headways Support / ease Metro Line 1 and Airport Rail Line Exclusive Olympic Lanes (one or two?) Rescheduling of Northern and Western Rail Lines Rescheduling of Suburban Bus Lines New Requirements in Bus Fleet Park and Ride Facilities Demand Management Travel Demand needs for other days and periods

29 A TRANSPORT MODEL FOR THE ATHENS OLYMPIC GAMES 2004 Anna Anastasaki Modeling and Planning Manager Demetrios Panayiotakopoulos GIS Expert