Projected Population of Scotland (2008-based) Figures

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1 Projected Population of Scotland (2008-based) Figures Contents Figure 1 Estimated population of Scotland, actual and projected, Figure 2 Births and deaths, actual and projected, Scotland, Figure 3 Estimated and projected net migration, Scotland, Figure 4 The projected percentage change in Scotland's population by age group, Figure 5 Expectation of life at birth, Scotland, Figure 6 Actual and projected total population compared with previous projections, Figure 7 Actual and projected Natural Change (Births minus Deaths) compared with previous projections, Figure 8 Actual and projected migration compared with previous projections, Figure 9 Comparison of population change for UK countries, Figure 10 Projected percentage population change in selected European countries, Figure 11 Actual and projected total population of Scotland under the 2008-based principal and projected variant projections, Figure 12 Percentage change in age structure under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, Figure 13 Average age of Scotland's population under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, Figure 14 Dependency ratios (dependents per 100 working age population) under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, Figure A1 Scotland Age Specific Fertility, Figure B1 Period expectations of life (Eol) for Scotland less respective expectation of life for UK - for males at birth and ages 20, 40, 60 and 80 Figure B2 Period expectations of life (Eol) for Scotland less respective expectation of life for UK - for females at birth and ages 20, 40, 60 and 80 Figure C1 Estimated net migration, Scotland, This publication is available on the GROS website:

2 Figure 1 Estimated population of Scotland, actual and projected, ,000 5,000 4,000 Projected 1 Persons ('000s) 3,000 2,000 1, based projection

3 Figure 2 Births and deaths, actual 1 and projected, Scotland, Projected 2 80 Persons ('000s) calendar year based mid-year projections Births Deaths

4 Figure 3 Estimated and projected net migration, Scotland, Projected Persons ('000s) based projections

5 Figure 4 The projected percentage change in age structure of Scotland's population, % 84% 80% Percentage change 60% 40% 20% 33% 0% -20% -2% -7% -5% -7% Age

6 Figure 5 Expectation of life at birth, Scotland, Projected Age based projections Males Females

7 6,000 Figure 6 Actual and projected total population compared with previous projections, ,000 Persons ('000s) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Actual 2008-based 2006-based 2004-based 2003-based

8 Figure 7 Actual and Projected Natural change (births minus deaths) compared with previous projections, Persons ('000s) Actual 2008-based 2006-based 2004-based 2003-based

9 Figure 8 Actual and Projected Migration compared with previous projections, Persons ('000s) Actual 2008-based 2006-based 2004-based 2003-based

10 Figure 9 Comparison of population change for UK countries, Index (2008 = 100) England Northern Ireland Wales Scotland

11 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% Figure 10 Projected Population Change in Selected European Countries, Percentage change Bulgaria Latvia Lithuania Romania Estonia Hungary Poland Germany Slovakia Slovenia Czech Republic Greece Italy Malta Finland EU27 Netherlands Denmark Portugal Scotland Austria France Belgium Wales Sweden Northern Ireland UK Spain Norway England Luxembourg Ireland Cyprus

12 Figure 11 Actual and projected total population Scotland, under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, Population (Millions) HP = High population HM = High migration HF = High fertility HL = High life expectancy P = Principal projection LL = Low life expectancy LF = Low fertility LM = Low migration NC = Natural change only LP = Low population HP HM HF HL P LL LF LM NC 4.0 LP

13 Figure 12 Percentage change in age structure under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, % 100% 80% Percentage change 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% High Population High life expectancy High migration High fertility Principle Low fertility Natural change only Low migration Low life expectancy Low Population Variant

14 Figure 13 Average age of Scotland's population under the 2008-based prinicpal and selected variant projections, Natural change Low Population 45 Low fertility Age in years Low migration High life expectancy Principle Low life expectancy 41 High migration High fertility High Population

15 Figure 14 Dependency Ratios (dependents per 100 working age population) under the 2008-based principal and selected variant projections, Dependency ratio (dependents per 100 working population) Natural change High fertility High Population Low migration High life expectancy Principle Low life expectancy High migration Low Population Low fertility

16 Figure A1 Age Specific Fertility, , Scotland Births per 1,000 women Under

17 Figure B1 Period expectations of life (Eol) for Scotland less respective expectation of life for UK - for males at birth and ages 20, 40, 60 and 80, Difference from UK EOL (years) Eol0 Eol20 Eol40 Eol60 Eol80

18 Figure B2 Period expectations of life (Eol) for Scotland less respective expectation of life for UK - for females at birth and ages 20, 40, 60 and 80, Difference from UK EOL (years) Eol0 Eol20 Eol40 Eol60 Eol80

19 Figure C1 Estimated net migration, Scotland, Number of persons ('000s)

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