Ansökan om Grants avseende boendeposten i HIKP

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1 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 1(6) Ansökan om Grants avseende boendeposten i HIKP För information Prisenheten har sökt Grants från Eurostat avseende den nya egnahemsposten i HIKP. I förberedelserna för att inkludera egnahemsposten i HIKP har Eurostat inbjudit Sverige att delta i pilotprojektets tredje steg. Prisenheten ansökte den 29 februari år om ett Eurostat grant for 2008 för att täcka de kostnader som uppstår i samband med genomförandet av projektet. Pilotprojektet skall avslutas senast 31 december När exakt den nya egnahemsposten kommer att införas i HIKP är ännu inte känt. Det budgeterade beloppet uppgår till ca Euro, varav bidragsandelen från Eurostat utgör 70 procent, det vill säga ca Euro. Prisenheten har åtagit sig att utveckla prisindex för såväl köp av nybyggda egnahem som för transaktioner med redan existerande egnahem. Även för tillkommande kostnader i anslutning till köp av egnahem, exempelvis mäklararvode, skall ett nytt prisindex skapas. Vikter skall också tillhandahållas. Leverans av dessa tre prisindex skall inledas i början av I mitten av april kompletterades ansökan efter påstötningar från Eurostat. Även bostadsrätter skulle ingå i HIKP:s prisindex, men för denna pilotstudie skulle det räcka med en "feasibility study". Ett utdrag från vår bidragsansökan avseende detaljerad beskrivning av handlingsplan har bifogats nedan. De gråmarkerade texterna är det tillägg som gjordes i mitt av april med anledning av Eurostats feedback..

2 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 2(6) Detailed description of the action for which the grant is requested (minimum of one page - please indicate any work connected with the action which the applicant plans to carry out himself, to be carried out by an associate third party or to subcontract to another organisation, firm or association) Introduction Statistics Sweden applies for grants for undertaking an action as described in the following, in Eurostat's Pilot Study on Owner Occupied Housing (OOH) in the framework of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, Stage 3C. Specifically, Statistics Sweden thus applies for grants of 21, to undertake Modules 1, 2 and 5 of Action 1; Action 2; and Action 3, of Eurostat's document D-4/2008/D/ These undertakings together include establishing and improving OOH production systems, reporting and documentation, and meeting participation. In Sweden some index series already exist that are expected to be relevant for some of the required results. The action will analyse the conditions of the HICP framework and accordingly assess feasibility and adapt, improve and supplement indices with regard to those requirements. The requirements of the action will thus be undertaken, as described below. The action will be undertaken entirely by staff of Statistics Sweden. The action Action 1 Module 1 Price index series for newly created dwellings and for existing dwellings will be produced and transmitted to Eurostat. Newly Created Dwellings Statistics Sweden has a fairly well-developed system of price indices for building and construction. The system has existed for a long time and the agency thus has considerable experience in the field. Price index series regularly produced thus include: - Building Price Index (BPI) for newly constructed, collectively built one- and two-dwelling houses (output index). - Factor Price Index (FPI), sub-indices for building costs (input index). - Producer Price Index (PPI), sub-index for prefabricated wooden one-dwelling houses (output index, presently produced on commission). The BPI has been run for several years, it is hedonically quality adjusted, and it is in a way probably about as well as one can now realistically do to capture prices of new houses in the country. Nevertheless the BPI has some notable deficiencies, such as incomplete coverage, as it covers only collectively built houses, and lacking timeliness, with regard to both delay and frequency. To a large extent those deficiencies are due to the nature of the construction industry in the country, as the number of houses built

3 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 3(6) is limited etc. In the action an index construction combining the BPI, FPI, and possibly the PPI and/or the real-estate price index (cf. below), will be developed. This index will be constructed so as to quarterly capture the estimated price development of Newly Constructed Dwellings. The deficiencies of the BPI cannot be really be eliminated, as the coverage is likely to remain below 50 percent, and as delay in data availability makes estimation based on FPI needed to yield a current quarterly index. The index will be quarterly transmitted to Eurostat. Existing Dwellings Also for prices of Existing Dwellings, Statistics Sweden has a well-developed system and long experience. There is a quarterly real-estate price index for one- and two dwelling houses, based on transfer transactions but re-weighted so as to represent the asset value of all existing such houses. It uses the SPAR (Sales-Price over Appraisal Ratio) method. There are also monthly statistics on house price changes, using the SPAR method but not re-weighted In the action these statistics will be assessed and an index series for Existing Dwellings will be produced. The index will be quarterly transmitted to Eurostat. Proposal for a feasibility study on a coverage extension for housing co-operatives In Sweden there is in addition to rental and owner occupied housing also a considerable amount of housing co-operatives (bostadsrättsföreningar). Dwellings in housing co-operatives are not covered in the present HICP framework. As it has been indicated that it is the spirit of the present action to enhance HICP framework so as to cover all housing, Statistics Sweden proposes to include in the action a feasibility study on means to construct price indices for newly created and existing dwellings in housing co-operatives. Those feasibility studied indices for dwellings in housing co-operatives are intended to have forms similar to those to be constructed for owner occupied housing described in Sect above, but they will be separate from the latter. The index for existing dwellings in housing cooperatives should probably use a planned National Dwellings Register which is presently under construction. Furthermore, the planned index for broker charges, referred to in Sect below, is intended to duly reflect broker charges for dwellings in housing co-operatives as well as those for owner occupied dwellings. Action 1 Module 2 A price index series for Additional Acquisition Costs will be developed. This price index will cover realestate broker charges and other significant additional charges. The index will be monthly transmitted to Eurostat. Real-estate broker charges In the Services Producer Price Indices (SPPI) for Sweden, there is a quarterly index for real-estate broker charges. In the action the index series for real-estate broker charges will be enhanced. It will be ensured that an

4 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 4(6) index can be produced that has adequate coverage delineation and accuracy. The price collection will be increased to monthly, and the sample size will probably have to be increased. The computation of the price index for real-estate broker charges will also use a price index for existing dwellings (cf. on Module 1 above), so as to reflect the influence of house-price changes on the broker charges. Other additional charges The action will examine which further Additional Acquisition Costs should be covered by price collection, for the computation of the Additional Acquisition Costs index. Charge for entry into the land register should be included, and so might mortgage charge, possibly also some municipal charges for water pipe connection etc. The components found to be significant will be covered by price collection for the Additional Acquisition Costs index. Action 1 Module 5 Weighting information is available through the national accounts and other sources. The action will identify the data needed and accordingly design a computation of annual weights, and transmit these to Eurostat, as necessary to compile: - proxy HICPs including OOH on a net acquisitions basis, and - an aggregate self-standing housing price index. Action 2 The action will produce a metadata document in the HICP SDDS format of the OOH system produced in Action 1. An interim report to the Steering Group will be drafted and describe the progress of the action, and the timetable for the report will be discussed with the Steering Group. An assessment and improvement plan on how to meet the envisaged requirements will be produced. That plan will explain problems with regard to coverage and timeliness, present particularly for the New Dwellings index, and assess possibilities to meet them, it will explain the reasons for producing quarterly and not monthly indices, and it will contain an operational plan and assessment how to achieve quarterly, or where at all feasible monthly, indices. Action 3 Staff of Statistics Sweden working on the action will upon invitation participate actively in up to three workshops, within the European Union, and prepare presentations.

5 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 5(6) Expected results of the action for which the grant is requested After implementation of the OOH Pilot an OOH production system will be in operation and three indices will be produced and transferred to Eurostat regularly: - A Dwellings price index series for Newly Created Owner Occupied Dwellings following the net acquisitions approach. - A Dwellings price index series for Existing Owner Occupied Dwellings. - An Additional Acquisition Costs price index series. After implementation of the OOH Pilot production system, furthermore there will be a report on possibilities to enhance the OOH Pilot production system so as to produce in addition two further indices: - A Dwellings price index series for Newly Created Dwellings in Housing co-operatives, following the net acquisitions approach. - A future Dwellings price index series for Existing Dwellings in Housing co-operatives. After implementation of the OOH Pilot production system, also annual weights will be produced and transferred to Eurostat, as necessary to compile: - Proxy HICPs including OOH on a net acquisitions basis, and - An aggregate self-standing housing price index. Brief timetable of the action for which the grant is requested Planned start of the action: The time of signature of the grant agreement. Duration of the action (in months): 18 The interim report will be produced and submitted after 8 months, from signature of the contract, or at

6 STATISTISKA CENTRALBYRÅN PM till Nämnden för KPI 6(6) other time agreed on with the Steering Group. Indices will be currently transferred to Eurostat for time from the beginning of 2009.

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