Presentation for. Draw the Line Michigan

Transcription

1 Michigan Population Shifts and Their Implications for Redistricting Presentation for Draw the Line Michigan Kurt Metzger Director Data Driven Detroit (D3) March 14,

2 What is Data Driven Detroit (D3)? D3 is a non-profit, founded in 2009, principally funded by The Kresge Foundation and The Skillman Foundation. D3 supports foundation, public, non-profit, and community partners with research, analysis, and mapping/data visualization. D3 is a member of the National Neighborhood Indicators Program (NNIP), founded by the Urban Institute.

3 Mission Data Driven Detroit (D3) provides accessible high-quality information and analysis to drive informed decision-making that will strengthen communities in Southeast Michigan. 3/10/2011

4 Primary Functions of NNIP Partners Build and operate community information systems Facilitate the direct and practical useof indicators by stakeholders in community-building and policy-making Prioritize building capacity in distressed communities Democratize information and demystify data

5 Data Driven Detroit s Roles Work with Data Collect and Evaluate Enhance Analyze/Synthesize Visualize Democratize Support Partners Share Augmented Data Illustrate Macro Trends Provide Neighborhood Analyses Inform Strategy and Prioritization (Targeting) Provide Project Technical Assistance Promote Synergy and Convergence

6 (Some) Neighborhood Indicators Population Characteristics and Trends Health, Education, Employment Housing Occupancy and Quality Mortgage Lending and Housing Market Activity Crime and Public Safety Information Community Capacity and Institutions Vacant Land Inventory and Land Use Environmental Assessments Economic Activity and Trends

7 Regional & State Indicators Projects One D Scorecard The Center for Michigan 2010 Scorecard Hard To Count Michigan 2010 Census Planning New Economy Initiative Grantee Evaluation

8 Developing New Data Detroit Residential Parcel Survey Social Compact DrillDown Consumer Expenditure Survey Housing Market Transaction Data Lower Eastside Action Plan Detroit Industrial Parcel Survey Environmental Indicators

9 10,000,000 Michigan Population ,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 6,371,766 7,823,194 8,887,826 9,262,044 9,295,297 9,938,444 9,883,640 2,000,000 1,000, Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Census Bureau s 2010 Estimate was 53,273 High

10 Michigan Population & Congressional Seats Year Population Representatives Population per Representative ,371, , ,823, , ,887, , ,262, , ,295, , ,938, , ,883, ,974 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

11 Michigan Population Per Representative 800, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Source: U.S. Census Bureau

12 Michigan Population ,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 2,810,173 3,668,412 4,842,325 5,256,106 6,371,766 7,823,194 8,875,083 9,262,078 9,295,297 9,938,444 9,883, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

13 Michigan Population & Congressional Seats Year Population Representatives Population per Representative Source: U.S. Census Bureau ,810, , ,668, , ,842, , ,256, , ,371, , ,823, , ,875, , ,262, , ,295, , ,938, , ,883, ,974

14 Michigan Population Per Representative 800, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15 Michigan Out-Migrants Top Five Destination States, ,000 29,012 25,000 20,000 17,053 15,000 13,527 11,423 11,371 10,000 5,000 0 Florida Texas Arizona North Carolina Georgia Source: Internal Revenue Service; Statistics of Income Division

16 Michigan Out-Migrants Top Five Destination States, Destination State Population Change Congressional Seat Change Total Seats in 2010 Florida + 2,818, Texas + 4,293, Arizona + 1,261, North Carolina + 1,486, Georgia + 1,501, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

17 Migration Patterns Resulted in Growth Over the Decade for All States But Michigan 1,000, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,452 65, , , , ,000 Georgia Illinois North Carolina Ohio South Carolina -228, , , ,866 Domestic Immigration Net Migration -800,000 Source: Census Bureau

18 Migration Patterns Resulted in Growth Over the Decade for All States But Michigan 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,816,633 2,034,234 1,781,785 1,500,000 1,000, , ,764 1,182, , , , , , , , ,000 Arizona California Florida Michigan Texas -540, ,082-1,000,000-1,500,000-1,509,708 Domestic Immigration Net Migration -2,000,000 Source: Census Bureau

19 Michigan In-Migrants Top Five Origin States, We just about broke even with: Rhode Island Vermont New Hampshire North Dakota Delaware Maine Source: Internal Revenue Service; Statistics of Income Division

20 MICHIGAN Population by Race/Ethnicity: % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 2.2% 0.1% 3.3% 1.8% 4.1% 4.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 0.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.6% 13.8% 2.4% 2.5% 14.1% 14.0% 13.9% Hispanic / Latino Other / Multi-Race Asian/Pacific Islander Native American 40% 82.3% 78.6% 77.5% 77.2% Black /African American 30% White 20% 10% 0% Source: Census Bureau

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22 Change in Population, By County 2000-April 2010 (estimate) Change in Population Sources: Data Driven Detroit.U.S. Census. 3/8/2011

23 Michigan Counties Top Six Gainers Over Last Two Decades County Population Change (74 Counties Gained) Rank Population Change (36 Counties Gained) Rank Oakland 110, ,763 6 Kent 73, ,644 2 Macomb 70, ,860 1 Ottawa 50, ,417 5 Livingston 41, ,295 3 Washtenaw 39, ,179 4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

24 Michigan Counties Top Six Losers Over Last Two Decades County Population Change (9 Counties Lost) Rank Population Change (47 Counties Lost) Rank Wayne -50, , Marquette -6, , Genesee Iosco -2, , Ingham -2, , Huron Saginaw -1, , Bay -1, , Tuscola Source: U.S. Census Bureau

25 Michigan Legislative Districts 01 US Congressional Wayne County Area

26 TriCounty Legislative Districts 08 Oakland Macomb Wayne 15 US Congressional

27 Michigan Legislative Districts State Senate Wayne County Area

28 TriCounty Legislative Districts Macomb 26 Oakland Wayne State Senate

29 Michigan Legislative Districts State House Wayne County Area

30 TriCounty Legislative Districts 046 Macomb 032 Oakland Wayne State House

31 Census Bureau Data 2010 Census Redistricting Data [P.L ] Census Block Level Table P1 - Race Table P2 - Hispanic or Latino, and not Hispanic or Latino by Race Table P3 - Race for the Population18 Years and Over Table P4 - Hispanic or Latino, and not Hispanic or Latino by Race for the Population 18 Years and Over Table H1 - Occupancy Status (Housing) Due March, /10/2011

32 QUESTIONS MINUTES TO DEFINE WHO WE ARE AS A NATION The Census: A Snapshot \\ What: The census is a count of everyone residing in the United States. \\ Who: All U.S. residents must be counted both citizens and non citizens. \\ When: You will receive your questionnaire in March 2010 either by U.S. mail or hand delivery. Some people in remote areas will be counted in person. \\ Why: The U.S. Constitution requires a national census once every 10 years to count the population and determine the number of seats each state will have in the U.S. House of Representatives. \\ How: Households should complete and mail back their questionnaires upon receipt. Households that do not respond may receive a replacement questionnaire in early April. Census takers will visit households that do not return questionnaires to take a count in person. A Complete Count: The Importance of Census Data \\ \\ \\ Every year, the federal government allocates more than $400 billion to states and communities based, in part, on census data. Census data are used to determine locations for retail stores, schools, hospitals, new housing developments and other community facilities. Census data determine boundaries for state and local legislative and congressional districts Census Questionnaire: Easy, Important and Safe \\ \\ With only 10 questions, the 2010 Census questionnaire takes approximately 10 minutes to complete. Households are asked to provide key demographic information, including: whether a housing unit is rented or owned; the address of the residence; and the names, genders, ages and races of others living in the household. By law, the Census Bureau cannot share an individual s responses with anyone, including other federal agencies and law enforcement entities. CENSUS HISTORY The first census took place in 1790 to determine the number of seats each state would have in the U.S. House of Representatives. The census also was created to gain a better understanding of where people lived and to establish patterns of settlement as the nation grew. ABOUT THE CENSUS BUREAU The Census Bureau was established in Today, in addition to administering the census of population and housing, the Census Bureau conducts more than 200 annual surveys, including the American Community Survey, the Current Population Survey and economic censuses every five years. We move forward when you send it back.

33 This is the official form for all the people at this address. It is quick and easy, and your answers are protected by law. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU Use a blue or black pen. Start here The Census must count every person living in the United States on April 1, Before you answer Question 1, count the people living in this house, apartment, or mobile home using our guidelines. Count all people, including babies, who live and sleep here most of the time. The Census Bureau also conducts counts in institutions and other places, so: Do not count anyone living away either at college or in the Armed Forces. Do not count anyone in a nursing home, jail, prison, detention facility, etc., on April 1, Leave these people off your form, even if they will return to live here after they leave college, the nursing home, the military, jail, etc. Otherwise, they may be counted twice. The Census must also include people without a permanent place to stay, so: If someone who has no permanent place to stay is staying here on April 1, 2010, count that person. Otherwise, he or she may be missed in the census. 1. How many people were living or staying in this house, apartment, or mobile home on April 1, 2010? Number of people = 2. Were there any additional people staying here April 1, 2010 that you did not include in Question 1? Mark IJ K all that apply. Children, such as newborn babies or foster children Relatives, such as adult children, cousins, or in-laws Nonrelatives, such as roommates or live-in baby sitters People staying here temporarily No additional people 3. Is this house, apartment, or mobile home Mark IJ K ONE box. Owned by you or someone in this household with a mortgage or loan? Include home equity loans. Owned by you or someone in this household free and clear (without a mortgage or loan)? Rented? Occupied without payment of rent? 4. What is your telephone number? We may call if we don t understand an answer. Area Code + Number Form D-61 ( ) OMB No C: Approval Expires 12/31/2011. USCENSUSBUREAU 5. Please provide information for each person living here. Start with a person living here who owns or rents this house, apartment, or mobile home. If the owner or renter lives somewhere else, start with any adult living here. This will be Person 1. What is Person 1 s name? Print name below. Last Name First Name 6. What is Person 1 s sex? Mark IJ K ONE box. Male Female 7. What is Person 1 s age and what is Person 1 s date of birth? Please report babies as age 0 when the child is less than 1 year old. Print numbers in boxes. Age on April 1, 2010 Month Day Year of birth NOTE: Please answer BOTH Question 8 about Hispanic origin and Question 9 about race. For this census, Hispanic origins are not races. 8. Is Person 1 of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin? No, not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Yes, Mexican, Mexican Am., Chicano Yes, Puerto Rican Yes, Cuban Yes, another Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Print origin, for example, Argentinean, Colombian, Dominican, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Spaniard, and so on. C 9. What is Person 1 s race? Mark IJ K one or more boxes. White Black, African Am., or Negro American Indian or Alaska Native Print name of enrolled or principal tribe. C Asian Indian Japanese Chinese Korean Filipino Vietnamese Other Asian Print race, for example, Hmong, Laotian, Thai, Pakistani, Cambodian, and so on. C INFORMATIONAL COPY Some other race Print race. C MI Native Hawaiian Guamanian or Chamorro Samoan Other Pacific Islander Print race, for example, Fijian, Tongan, and so on. C 10. Does Person 1 sometimes live or stay somewhere else? No Yes Mark IJ K all that apply. In college housing For child custody In the military In jail or prison At a seasonal In a nursing home or second residence For another reason If more people were counted in Question 1, continue with Person 2.

34 1. Print name of Last Name Person 2 1. Print name of Person 3 Last Name First Name MI 2. How is this person related to Person 1? Mark IJ K ONE box. Husband or wife Parent-in-law Biological son or daughter Son-in-law or daughter-in-law Adopted son or daughter Other relative Stepson or stepdaughter Roomer or boarder Brother or sister Housemate or roommate Father or mother Unmarried partner Grandchild Other nonrelative 3. What is this person s sex? Mark IJ K ONE box. Male Female 4. What is this person s age and what is this person s date of birth? Please report babies as age 0 when the child is less than 1 year old. Print numbers in boxes. Age on April 1, 2010 Month Day Year of birth NOTE: Please answer BOTH Question 5 about Hispanic origin and Question 6 about race. For this census, Hispanic origins are not races. 5. Is this person of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin? No, not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Yes, Mexican, Mexican Am., Chicano Yes, Puerto Rican Yes, Cuban Yes, another Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Print origin, for example, Argentinean, Colombian, Dominican, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Spaniard, and so on. C 6. What is this person s race? Mark IJ K one or more boxes. White Black, African Am., or Negro American Indian or Alaska Native Print name of enrolled or principal tribe. C Asian Indian Japanese Chinese Korean Filipino Vietnamese Other Asian Print race, for example, Hmong, Laotian, Thai, Pakistani, Cambodian, and so on. C Native Hawaiian Guamanian or Chamorro Samoan Other Pacific Islander Print race, for example, Fijian, Tongan, and so on. C First Name MI 2. How is this person related to Person 1? Mark IJ K ONE box. Husband or wife Parent-in-law Biological son or daughter Son-in-law or daughter-in-law Adopted son or daughter Other relative Stepson or stepdaughter Roomer or boarder Brother or sister Housemate or roommate Father or mother Unmarried partner Grandchild Other nonrelative 3. What is this person s sex? Mark IJ K ONE box. Male Female 4. What is this person s age and what is this person s date of birth? Please report babies as age 0 when the child is less than 1 year old. Print numbers in boxes. Age on April 1, 2010 Month Day Year of birth NOTE: Please answer BOTH Question 5 about Hispanic origin and Question 6 about race. For this census, Hispanic origins are not races. 5. Is this person of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin? No, not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Yes, Mexican, Mexican Am., Chicano Yes, Puerto Rican Yes, Cuban Yes, another Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin Print origin, for example, Argentinean, Colombian, Dominican, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Spaniard, and so on. C 6. What is this person s race? Mark IJ K one or more boxes. White Black, African Am., or Negro American Indian or Alaska Native Print name of enrolled or principal tribe. C Asian Indian Japanese Chinese Korean Filipino Vietnamese Other Asian Print race, for example, Hmong, Laotian, Thai, Pakistani, Cambodian, and so on. C INFORMATIONAL COPY Native Hawaiian Guamanian or Chamorro Samoan Other Pacific Islander Print race, for example, Fijian, Tongan, and so on. C Some other race Print race. C Some other race Print race. C 7. Does this person sometimes live or stay somewhere else? No Yes Mark IJ K all that apply. In college housing In the military At a seasonal or second residence For child custody In jail or prison In a nursing home For another reason If more people were counted in Question 1 on the front page, continue with Person Does this person sometimes live or stay somewhere else? No Yes Mark IJ K all that apply. In college housing In the military At a seasonal or second residence For child custody In jail or prison In a nursing home For another reason If more people were counted in Question 1 on the front page, continue with Person 4.

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38 Kurt Metzger 163 Madison Street Detroit, Michigan fax