Rising Outbound Flows: The Expanding Role of Chinese Capital in Global Real Estate Markets. Nov 2014 July 2015

Transcription

1 Rising Outbound Flows: The Expanding Role of Chinese Capital in Global Real Estate Markets Nov 2014 July 2015

2 INTRODUCTION

3 (US$ billion) Rising Outbound Flows: The Expanding Role of Chinese Capital in Global Real Estate Markets Chinese Outbound Real Estate Investment by Destination Region Asia Europe Americas Pacific MENA 1 Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2015, RCA 1 Refers to Middle East and North Africa 3 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

4 Rising Outbound Flows: The Expanding Role of Chinese Capital in Global Real Estate Markets Macro trends High level of activity among a wide range of investors Mainland SWFs Tier I insurers Mid-tier insurers Corporate investors Property companies Key destinations U.K. U.S. Australia 4 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

5 Key Drivers and Investment Trends

6 Key Drivers and Investment Trends - Individual, Corporate and Institutional Investors Investor Groups Mainland HNWIs driven by personal as well as investment goals Corporate investors looking to expand global business lines Institutional investors aiming to diversify with offshore exposure 6 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

7 HWNIs: Residential purchasing trends Geographic focus Close to 90% of a representative sample focus on U.S., Canada, Australia and the U.K. Proximity to education and familiarity with a city and its Chinese community were major draws. Most preferred destinations to purchase offshore residential properties (% of sample) Source: Hurun Report and Visa Consulting, CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

8 Corporate investors: Investment trends Asset types Mainland developers and asset management firms are using income and experience from purchases of prime office and hotel assets to support forays into retail and industrial assets. Corporate Outbound Investment by Property Type 4.2% 12.0% 5.2% 13.2% 9.2% % 77.6% 59.7% Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2015, RCA Office Hotel Residential Retail Industrial Other 8 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

9 Institutional investors: Investment liberalization Supportive regulatory policy Mainland Insurer Offshore Investment Timeline Source: CBRE Research, Q CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

10 Capturing Opportunity in Key Offshore Markets

11 Capturing Opportunity in Key Offshore Markets: U.K., Australia and U.S. Challenges and opportunities Mainland investors need to build up a local reputation Inexperience and a lack of reputation are significant obstacles for Chinese investors in competing for the best deals; they should consider linking up with local partners or retained global advisors to gain access. Adapting to foreign regulatory landscapes may prove a challenge Complex tax policy and evolving restrictions and requirements placed on foreign investors may pose a series of difficulties for mainland investors that may be addressed by leveraging the experience and network of local partners. Investors can widen their search to new geographies and asset types As they gain experience in the market, investors can gradually expand their focus to include a wider range of geographies and asset types, engaging in a high number of purchases of lower-priced assets with higher returns. 11 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

12 London and the U.K. Investment activity ( ) Much of initial investment has focused on office assets in core districts of London. Investors should expand their search outside core districts and to Manchester and other cities. China Outbound Flows to U.K. Commercial Real Estate Hotel US$ 224m Retail US$ 736m Office US$ 4,672m Student Housing / Other US$ 12m Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2015, RCA 12 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

13 Sydney and Australia Investment activity ( ) The strength of its commercial ties with China supports a high level of capital flows to Australia. The rising number of mainland tourists may increase the attractiveness of hotel assets. China Outbound Flows to Australia Commercial Real Estate 2 Hotel US$ USD 167m mn Retail US$ 131m Industrial US$ 104m Casino US$ 65m Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2015, RCA Office US$ 1,889m 2 The full, relevant details surrounding Sunshine Life s purchase of Sheraton on the Park was not released and confirmed until 2015 Q1, and as such, the deal was not included in 2014 figures. 13 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

14 Los Angeles, New York and the U.S. Investment activity ( ) Flows to office and hotel asset in the two cities comprised approximately half the total. The sheer size of the U.S. market provides a wide range of untapped investment opportunities. China Outbound Flows to U.S. Commercial Real Estate Apartment US$ 144m Retail US$ 528m Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2015, RCA Hotel US$ 691m Industrial US$ 128m Office US$ 2,378 m 14 CBRE CHINA RESEARCH

15 Thank you! Frank Chen 陈仲伟 Executive Director, Head of Research, CBRE China 世邦魏理仕研究部主管, 执行董事 E: Johnny Shao 绍律 Executive Director, Head of Investment Properties, CBRE China 世邦魏理仕投资物业部主管, 执行董事 E: