Mobile Evolution to 5G

Transcription

1 Mobile Evolution to 5G Business drivers and Technology enablers for 2020 networks Dirk Wolter, Managing Director, Mobile Architecture, APAC April, 2015

2 Introduction: The Evolution of the Internet Business and Societal Impact Connectivity Digitize Access to Information Web Browser Search Networked Economy Digitize Business Process E-commerce Digital Supply Chain Collaboration Immersive Experiences Digitize Interactions (Business & Social) Social Mobility Cloud Video Internet of Everything Digitize the World Connecting: People Process Data Things Intelligent Connections

3 Introduction: The Evolution of Mobile Technology R&D 1G TACS. AMPS Voice R&D 2G GSM/GPRS/EDGE. DAMPS/CDMA Digital R&D 3G WCDMA/HSPA. CDMA1x/EVDO Data R&D 4G WiMAX. LTE/LTE Advanced IP? R&D 5G IoE

4 Introduction: Business Transitions New Business Models New Competitors New Financials Flexible, usage-based pricing Direct, In-direct and Pass through IoT/IoE Global market reach over the top (OTT) Reduced barriers to entry Accelerating pace of innovation Faster RoI Predictable OpEx Start-up innovation Agile Dev-ops Strategic Options: 1. Smart Utility 2. Platform provider/enabler 3. Diversified player

5 5G 2020 Vision Services Ubiquitous bandwidth (no more cell edge) HD video everywhere (up and down) Internet of Everything (M2M, M2P & P2P) Sensing, Presence and Ad-hoc networking Web eco-system of Apps and Services Technical Requirements 1. Higher System Capacity 2. High Data Rates 3. Lower Latency 4. Mass Connectivity 5. Energy Efficient 6. More Agile 1000x capacity/km x current 4G rates Below 1ms 100x connected devices 10x Network and Device power savings 10x faster time-to-market

6 5G: Pillars Technology Enablers RAN Diversity 5 Bars Service By the most cost effective access Provide Business Solutions Lower TCO Increase Agility Internet of Everything Virtualisation

7 Internet of Everything Service Providers M2M M2P P2P Cars/Trucks Roads Appliances sensors Digital billboards Vending Inventory (RFID) Office facilities Intelligent GPS Home security devices Home energy devices Automated customer notifications Auto-translation Sponsored data Connected Life Video cameras Television Digital signage Connections Remote Site Monitoring Service Personalized Traffic report M2M Commerce Hyper Location Presence Impacts Social media Contact center Collaboration as a TelePresence as a Service Service Intelligent Diagnostics mhealth Order Refills Smart Health 2 for 1 Juice BUY Targeted Advertising Home Security Energy Control

8 5G Enables the Internet of Everything World Population (Billion) Connected Devices (Billion) Connected Devices per Person More Devices than People G 4G 5G

9 Korea: Mobile Device Growth by Type Smartphones already dominate share, M2M is growth driver Millions of Devices M2M (27%,60%) Smartphones (53%,32%) Featurephones (17%,4%) Tablets (2%,2%) Laptops (1%,0%) Wearables (0%,1%) Other Portables (0%,0%) 15% CAGR * Figures (n) refer to 2014, 2019 device share 2020: 165M Devices 230M Connections 46M Users Source: Cisco VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast,

10 5G: Role of HetNet Trends of Network Capacity Growth 1000x 1000x b/s/m 2 3x - 5x 5x-10x ~20x 40x-50x ~25x 1x - 2x Last Decade Next Decade Air Interface Coordinated Multipoint Tx/Rx 3-D/Full-Dimensional MIMO New Modulation and/or Coding Schemes Spectrum More Licensed and Unlicensed Spectrum, Millimetre- Wave Bands Licensed Shared Access Unlicensed Spectrum Sharing Network Devices Cell Densification Wireless Local Area Networks (WLAN) Offloading Integrated Multiple Radio Access Technology (RAT) Operation Device-to-Device Joint Scheduling Information & Communication Technology Coupling Source: 5G Network Capacity, Key Elements and Technologies, Qian (Clara) Li, Huaning Niu, Apostolos (Tolis) Papathanassiou, and Geng Wu, Jan 2014

11 5G: The role of SDN and NFV SDN Service Orchestration NFV TelCo Cloud 5G TCO and flexibility demands Orchestrated software-based virtualised network resources. Optimised virtual network functions (NFV) tailored to each application requirements, e.g. M2M Telemetry M2M Video Mobile Internet Enterprise Cloud Services Public Safety, etc. Each configured dynamically (SDN) using transport & compute resources from the same or different sources based on cost & availability. Centralised and/or distributed Private and/or Public Cloud

12 5G: Technology Enablers from Various Sources Low Power Wireless Access (LPWA) LTE Air Interface Enh RAN Diversity LAA New Spectrum LTE D2D Universal Smallcells dson Mobile/WiFi Agg eicic Heterogeneous Network (HetNet) LTE-M ac/ad/af CRAN Collaboration GERAN Enh ah LoRa cson eandsf VoWiFi MANO Borderless Networks Zigbee VoLTE NFV Orchestration Internet of Everything Security Network Intelligence Analytics SaMOG VNFs VPC, vims, Gi-LAN Telco Cloud Management Vertical Solutions M2M IoT Cloud Connect Inter Cloud Data Centre Orchestration Unified Computing System SDN Internet of Things Virtualisation

13 Mobile Network Evolution 5 Phase Strategy 5 4 Knowledge Network Predictive SW 3 Dynamic Network Closed loop/son 2 Virtualize & Orchestrate Telco Cloud/NFV 1 Connectivity Intelligence & Optimization Analytics & Software Abstraction Heterogeneous Networks

14 HetNet IP/MPLS Backbone Unified Data Center Cisco Mobile Internet Architecture Voice & Messaging Enterprise M2M Services vims Hosted Collaboration Suite (HCS) IoT Cloud Connect NEW Telco Cloud Network Universal Monetization Architecture Policy, Orchestration, Abstraction ASR5000 Series Packet Core 2G, 3G, LTE, WiFi, Femto, inline Services Virtual Packet Core (VPC) Mobility IQ Analytics NEW NEW Intelligent ASR900 & 9000 Series Unified Mobile Backhaul TDM, ATM, IP, GE, 10 GE, L3VPN, etc Access NEW Universal RAN Orchestration Wi-Fi SON ANDSF 3G, LTE cson Universal Small Cells Macro Cells Any G / Any Vendor Wi-Fi APs, Femto, dson Heterogeneous

15 Summary 5G is about Evolution not Revolution to a 2020 world Mobile first, Video by default, Internet of Everything, Web Apps & Services 5G networks will be built on 3 themes: 1. Internet of Everything Enablers 2. RAN Diversity 3. Virtualistion Cisco Mobile strategy builds on these to transform 4G networks of today

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