QUINN, THOMPSON, WEINER TIED IN NEW YORK CITY PRIMARY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; KELLY LOSES TO DEM, TOPS LHOTA IN 4-WAY RACE

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1 Maurice Carroll, Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: JUNE 26, 2013 QUINN, THOMPSON, WEINER TIED IN NEW YORK CITY PRIMARY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; KELLY LOSES TO DEM, TOPS LHOTA IN 4-WAY RACE Former City Comptroller William Thompson moves up as City Council Speaker Christine Quinn slumps to create a three-way tie for the Democratic primary for New York City mayor, with Quinn at 19 percent, former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner at 17 percent and Thompson at 16 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of a May 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWINuh-pe-ack) University showing Speaker Quinn at 25 percent, with 15 percent for Weiner and Thompson at 10 percent. Today, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio gets 10 percent, with 7 percent for City Comptroller John Liu, little changed from last month. Former Comptroller William Thompson s spurt no doubt spurred in part by his endorsement last week by the United Federation of Teachers is the big news in this new poll. The other news is Council Speaker Christine Quinn s slide and that s more puzzling, said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. A few polls ago, she was edging close to the magic 40 percent. Now she s down with the guys. The demographic numbers are potentially good for Thompson, somewhat puzzling for Anthony Weiner. The only black candidate, Thompson has comparatively low recognition among black voters. Presumably his support will rise as his recognition rises. Weiner, meanwhile, does almost as well among women as Quinn. Democratic candidates win four-way general election matchups against former Metropolitan Transportation Authority Chair Joseph Lhota as a Republican, and Police Commissioner Ray Kelly and former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion as independents: Quinn with 38 percent, to Kelly s 25 percent, Lhota s 8 percent and Carrion s 5 percent; Thompson at 38 percent, to Kelly s 25 percent, Lhota s 8 percent and Carrion s 4 percent; Weiner gets 36 percent, to Kelly s 27 percent, Lhota s 10 percent and Carrion s 4 percent; de Blasio with 35 percent, to Kelly s 27 percent, Lhota s 9 percent and Carrion s 3 percent. -more-

2 Quinnipiac University Poll/June 26, 2013 page 2 In each of these matchups, Republicans back Lhota over Kelly by margins of 1 to 12 percentage points. Independent voters back Kelly over Lhota by margins of 24 to 28 percent. In a November match-up, former MTA Chair Joseph Lhota barely gets out of single digits. Police Commissioner Ray Kelly trails the Democrats but he holds onto a respectable 25 percent, Carroll said. While unlikely, he could make this an interesting race. Former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion better find some magic to get into the race. All New York City voters are divided percent on whether Weiner should run for mayor, with women at percent and men at percent. Voters approve percent of the job Quinn is doing, down from an all-time high percent approval rating in a November 21 Quinnipiac University poll. Voters give her a percent favorability rating. de Blasio gets a percent approval rating, little-changed from earlier surveys, and a percent favorability rating, with 46 percent who don t know enough about him to form an opinion. Kelly gets a percent approval rating and a percent favorability rating. Thompson gets a percent favorability rating, with 48 percent who don t know enough about him. Weiner gets a negative percent favorability with a greater negative among men, percent, than among women, percent. The don t know enough for Republican contenders Lhota, businessman John Catsimatidis and Doe Fund founder George McDonald, and for independent contender Carrion, range from 65 percent to 90 percent. New Yorkers are turning against Speaker Quinn, as her job approval rating and favorability rating drop, said Carroll. Weiner is in negative territory and Thompson remains unknown to many voters. From June 19 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,238 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 830 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit or call (203) , or follow us on Twitter. 2

3 1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Liu 7% 8% 6% 3% 10% 6% Quinn Thompson de Blasio Weiner Albanese SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to May 2012) REGISTERED DEMOCRATS... Jun 26 May 22 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov Liu Quinn Thompson de Blasio Weiner na na na na Albanese - 2 na na na na na Stringer na na na na na na 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Christine Quinn the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? Quinn 38% 10% 53% 23% 36% 39% 33% 49% 38% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Quinn 43% 34% 40% 36% 43% 33% 47% 36% 35% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Cont d 3

4 2. (cont d) If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Christine Quinn the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? Quinn 37% 34% 40% 42% 31% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Anthony Weiner the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? Weiner 36% 9% 49% 25% 36% 36% 25% 57% 32% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Weiner 37% 36% 41% 40% 31% 35% 39% 38% 33% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Weiner 36% 38% 30% 43% 24% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

5 4. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? Thompson 38% 1% 53% 27% 36% 39% 29% 56% 37% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Thompson 41% 35% 42% 42% 33% 34% 38% 41% 36% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Thompson 37% 43% 36% 35% 27% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? de Blasio 35% 3% 48% 28% 29% 40% 29% 48% 39% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA de Blasio 42% 30% 38% 41% 32% 33% 39% 35% 33% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Cont d 5

6 5. (cont d) If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, Joseph Lhota the Republican, Ray Kelly running as an Independent, and Adolpho Carrion running as an Independent, for whom would you vote? de Blasio 32% 39% 39% 31% 24% Lhota Kelly Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Is your opinion of John Liu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 27% 20% 31% 23% 28% 27% 24% 37% 22% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of John Liu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable 41% 20% 52% 33% 40% 42% 41% 44% 48% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Jun 26 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

7 8. Is your opinion of William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 37% 20% 45% 29% 39% 35% 35% 48% 30% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough (*High also 38% July 2009) FAVORABLE... High Low Jun 26 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Aug 26 Feb * 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 34% 20% 39% 35% 31% 36% 36% 35% 31% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Joseph Lhota favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 17% 47% 9% 23% 20% 14% 27% 7% 14% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Joseph Lhota favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

8 11. Is your opinion of Anthony Weiner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 37% 22% 44% 32% 37% 37% 31% 50% 34% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Anthony Weiner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 19 Mar 24 Feb 24 Jan 27 Nov Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Sal Albanese favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 8% 12% 7% 7% 9% 6% 10% 4% 8% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Adolfo Carrion favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 10% 7% 10% 14% 10% 11% 6% 11% 23% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Adolfo Carrion favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

9 14. Is your opinion of Ray Kelly favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 52% 79% 48% 56% 54% 51% 65% 41% 53% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of John Catsimatidis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 9% 23% 5% 11% 11% 7% 12% 5% 6% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of John Catsimatidis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of George McDonald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Favorable 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of George McDonald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough Jun 26 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

10 17. Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year? Should 45% 31% 52% 42% 49% 42% 38% 57% 42% Should not DK/NA Should 45% 46% 53% 44% 40% 49% 47% 47% 39% Should not DK/NA Should 40% 47% 46% 49% 28% Should not DK/NA TREND: Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year? Jun 26 May 22 Apr Should run Should not DK/NA Do you think Ray Kelly should or should not run for Mayor this year? Should 49% 68% 43% 56% 50% 48% 55% 44% 53% Should not DK/NA Should 44% 53% 50% 49% 45% 54% 51% 46% 48% Should not DK/NA Should 46% 51% 43% 51% 60% Should not DK/NA TREND: Do you think Ray Kelly should or should not run for Mayor this year? Jun 26 May Should run Should not DK/NA

11 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? Approve 68% 91% 63% 73% 69% 67% 82% 55% 66% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 68% 68% 63% 70% 74% 59% 66% 69% 76% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 63% 67% 61% 74% 86% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? APPROVE... High Low Jun 26 May 22 Apr 11 Feb 28 Jan 17 Jan 17 Jan Approve Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? Approve 45% 28% 51% 45% 44% 45% 45% 48% 49% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 52% 40% 42% 55% 48% 43% 45% 48% 43% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 39% 48% 49% 41% 38% Disapprove DK/NA

12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? (*High also 50% Feb 2013) APPROVE... High Low Jun 26 May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Apr 10 May * 2010 Approve Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? Approve 50% 37% 60% 40% 51% 49% 48% 54% 58% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 52% 48% 50% 47% 56% 52% 57% 47% 45% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 45% 42% 54% 58% 48% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? APPROVE... High Low Jun 26 May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov 21 Nov Approve Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Approve 41% 37% 46% 37% 45% 38% 36% 52% 42% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 42% 41% 43% 47% 40% 44% 36% 42% 44% Disapprove DK/NA Cont d 12

13 24. (cont d) Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Approve 48% 40% 35% 42% 45% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? APPROVE... High Low Jun 26 May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 May 11 Dec Approve Disapprove DK/NA

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